Estoril vs Nacional Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 26 Oct 2025

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Estoril vs Nacional

Estoril host Nacional in this Portuguese Primeira Liga clash at Antonio Coimbra da Mota, with kick-off set for 10:30 on Sunday 26 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

We’re Predicting Under 2.5 Goals

We think the odds of -128 are really attractive when it comes to betting Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market. It’s anticipated that Estoril and Nacional could play out a low-scoring contest.

On board with our Total Goals tip? Make sure you’ve got the latest BetMGM promo code and give our comprehensive site review a read.

2-2 Draw in Pair’s Last Meeting

Estoril Praia played Casa Pia away in their last game. It was a 2-2 draw at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. Ian Cathro's men had 49% of possession and three shots on target, while Nodar Lominadze and Joao Carvalho scored one goal each.

Nacional claimed a home win in their previous Primeira Liga match. A 3-2 triumph against Moreirense at Estadio da Madeira made it back-to-back league victories. The Madeira outfit had seven shots on goal and recorded 60% possession, while Jesus Ramirez found the net twice and Leonardo Santos bagged one.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Estadio da Madeira played host to the most recent head-to-head when home side Nacional drew 2-2 with Estoril.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
9	Nacional	8	3	1	4	9	12	-3	9:12	10
16	Estoril	8	1	3	4	10	13	-3	10:13	6

View Full Table

Estoril have 2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 10.8 attempts. The Cascais team have averaged 51.5% possession, 393.3 passes and 3.7 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.5 goals from 3.9 shots on goal, 12.3 attempts and 4.8 corners.

Top scorer Yanis Begraoui has found the net 4 times, with Joao Carvalho, Nodar Lominadze and Rafik Guitane getting 2 each. Joao Carvalho has made the most assists with 4.

Nacional have 3 victories, 5 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.2 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 10.5 attempts. There’s been an average of 43.3% possession, 297.1 passes, 5.1 corners taken and 5.4 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.8 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 12.1 attempts.

Jesus Ramirez has recorded 6 goals, Leonardo Santos 3, with Paulinho Boia and Andre Sousa both managing 1. Jose Gomes has been the top assist maker on 3, with Lucas Franca and Kaique Pereira collectively notching 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Estoril predicted lineup (3-4-3): Joel Robles (GK), Kevin Boma, Ferro, Felix Bacher, Pedro Carvalho, Nodar Lominadze, Jordan Holsgrove, Pedro Amaral, Yanis Begraoui, Alejandro Marques, Joao Carvalho.

Nacional predicted lineup (4-3-3): Kaique Pereira (GK), Alan Nunez, Leonardo Santos, Ze Vitor, Jose Gomes, Chiheb Labidi, Matheus Dias, Liziero, Pablo Ruan, Jesus Ramirez, Paulinho Boia.

Estoril vs Nacional Prediction & Betting Tips

We cover the essential Estoril vs Nacional betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, a corners value pick, correct score guidance, top player prop plays and a carefully crafted bet builder.

Match Prediction

The betting sites offer us the opportunity to back our Under 2.5 Goals prediction. The two teams might play out a fairly dull Primeira Liga encounter and odds of -128 stick out on the coupon.

Current team news and the latest form provide useful pieces of information when it comes to making Primeira Liga recommendations. It’s also vital to have access to all available stats so that we make the most informed football picks.

Key Estoril vs Nacional league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Estoril games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 Nacional games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Nacional games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 18 Nacional games on the road.

Under 2.5 Probability

The betting odds at the top bookies suggest our pick carries a 56.2% chance of winning. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success between 60-65%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

There’s the chance to bet on the Result & Total Goals market if you’re looking for larger odds. With this wager, you are able to combine Under 2.5 with the team you think will win.

Getting ready to bet? Don’t miss out on the latest betting offers! Check out our in-depth guide packed with the best welcome bonuses just for you.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -128 Watch Live Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Estoril 1 - 0 Nacional

A 1-0 win in favor of Estoril is available at odds of +540. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Nodari Lominadze to Score +700

Nodari Lominadze (Estoril) has scored two goals in his past four Primeira Liga matches. Based on the numbers, we are looking to bet the +700 for him to find the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Nodari Lominadze Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+700

First

+1600

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Corners Prediction

Estoril Under 5.5 Corners -152

In their past ten home games, Estoril have not covered the 5.5 corners line. We advise betting on the -152 that Estoril won’t cover the line, with this Team Corners pick hopefully providing a return.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Estoril

Total

8.50 3.70 4.80

Home

7.70 2.50 5.20

Away

8.40 4.50 3.90

Nacional

Total

10.50 5.10 5.40

Home

10.30 5.10 5.20

Away

9.50 5.00 4.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-147

Under 9.5

-100

Estoril Corners

Over 4.5

-150

Under 4.5

+110

Nacional Corners

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-120

Most Corners

1

-128

X

+650

2

+132

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Estoril vs Nacional Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Estoril Made Favourites by the Bookies

With the bookmakers affording them a 45% chance of winning, Estoril Praia might be a popular accumulator selection. Their betting odds are +120 when it comes to this Primeira Liga encounter. The +195 means that Nacional are seen as having the lowest probability of succeeding.

There are various ways to back Estoril and one option is the Asian Handicap -0.25. There’s -112 currently available that they beat Nacional and there’s half a stake refund if the scoreline ends level.

The Total Goals odds suggest that Under 2.5 is the likelier outcome in this contest. When it comes to BTTS betting, the market suggests that Both Teams to Score Yes and No are both equally as likely to happen.

If you head to the top football betting sites, you can take your pick when it comes to Primeira Liga games. The hundreds of markets always ensure lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

1

+120

X

+245

2

+195

Half-Time Result

1

+188

X

+120

2

+245

Double Chance

1X

-294

12

-385

X2

-172

Draw No Bet

1

-167

2

+112

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-112

2 Hcp +0.25

-123

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-128

Over 2.5

-103

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-125

No

-114

Alejandro Marqués Favourite to Find the Net First

Those interested in favourite Alejandro Marqués to find the net first can get +400, while the Anytime Goalscorer angle could hold more appeal and this is +175.

Alejandro Marqués (Estoril)

First

+175

Anytime

+400

Yanis Begraoui (Estoril)

First

+210

Anytime

+475

Jesus Ramírez Díaz (Nacional)

First

+275

Anytime

+600

Luís Miguel Pizzi Fernandes (Estoril)

First

+400

Anytime

+850

Rafik Guitane (Estoril)

First

+440

Anytime

+950

Miguel Baeza (Nacional)

First

+540

Anytime

+1100

Ricard Sánchez (Estoril)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

André Sousa (Nacional)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

Matheus Dias (Nacional)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Nodari Lominadze (Estoril)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Ulisses Wilson Jeronymo Rocha (Nacional)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Patrick de Paula (Estoril)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Pedro Carvalho (Estoril)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Jandro Orellana (Estoril)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Ze Vitor (Nacional)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Ferro (Estoril)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Estoril Have Lost Five of Previous Ten on Home Soil

Estoril have five defeats, three wins and two draws in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 1.30.

Nacional have clocked up five losses, three wins and two draws in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 0.60 goals per match and conceding 1.10.

The past meeting at Antonio Coimbra da Mota saw Estoril defeat Nacional 1-0.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Estoril Home Stats		3-2-5	2.70	1.40	1.30	6	4	6	4
Nacional Away Stats		3-2-5	1.70	0.60	1.10	2	8	2	8

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

It’s great to access Primeira Liga live streaming on your iPhone, iPad or Android device, with desktop also an option. Place a recent bet or have a funded sportsbook account.

The leading betting apps stream many of the latest events across a wide range of sports and leagues.

Estoril vs Nacional Live Streaming Watch Live Geo-restrictions apply. To use the services you need to be logged in, a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours.

Estoril vs Nacional Lineups & Team News

Know who’s in and who’s out for Estoril vs Nacional before making your bets. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups as well as the most recent injury news.

Estoril Team Page Nacional Team Page