Estrela Amadora vs Nacional Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 09 Nov 2025

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Estrela Amadora vs Nacional

Estrela Amadora go head-to-head with Nacional at Estadio Jose Gomes, with kick-off set for 10:30 on Sunday 9 November. Our betting preview features expert Portuguese Primeira Liga predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

There’s every chance that we’ll see a low goal count when Estrela go up against Nacional. For this reason, we’ll take the odds of -150 about Under 2.5 when it comes to the Total Goals market.

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Estrela Amadora won last time out by a 5-3 scoreline. It was on their travels against Casa Pia at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. The Tricolores had 44% possession and six shots on target, while Sidny Lopes Cabral scored a hat-trick.

Nacional lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Famalicão by a 1-0 scoreline at Estadio da Madeira. The Madeira outfit recorded 44% possession and had three shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was Estrela who were victorious when they last faced Nacional. At Estadio da Madeira, a 1-0 away victory was recorded.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
12	Nacional	15	4	4	7	17	21	-4	17:21	16
14	Estrela	15	3	6	6	17	22	-5	17:22	15

View Full Table

Estrela have 2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 10.7 attempts. Joao Nuno's team have averaged 50.2% possession, 344.7 passes and 3.9 corners per match, conceding 1.3 goals and 4.6 corners from 4.1 shots on goal and 10.8 attempts.

Sidny Lopes Cabral is the top scorer with 4 goals, Kikas has 3, with Paulo Moreira and Ianis Stoica on 2. Abraham Marcus and Sidny Lopes Cabral are tied for the most assists on 2, with goalie Renan Ribeiro managing 3 clean sheets.

Nacional have 3 victories, 5 defeats and 2 draws, averaging 3.8 shots on goal, 10.2 attempts and 1.0 goals. The White and Black average 43.4% possession, 287.6 passes, 4.7 corners taken and 6.3 corners against them, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 13.0 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal.

Jesus Ramirez has recorded 6 goals, Leonardo Santos 2, with Ze Vitor and Paulinho Boia both managing 1. Jose Gomes is top assists provider with 3, while Lucas Franca and Kaique Pereira have collectively recorded 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Estrela Amadora confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Renan Ribeiro (GK), Luan Patrick, Atanas Chernev, Guilherme Montoia, Jefferson Encada, Oumar Ngom, Paulo Moreira, Sidny Lopes Cabral, Abraham Marcus, Kikas, Robinho.

Nacional confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Kaique Pereira (GK), Joao Aurelio, Chico Goncalves, Leonardo Santos, Jose Gomes, Chiheb Labidi, Matheus Dias, Liziero, Paulinho Boia, Jesus Ramirez, Witi.

Estrela Amadora vs Nacional Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Estrela Amadora vs Nacional betting guide delivers expert insight, including a main match pick, our corners angle, scoreline advice and bet builder recommendations. Dive into each section below for more.

Match Prediction

The two teams might not deliver too many goals and that leads us to bet Under 2.5. This Primeira Liga selection could be the way forward and that’s especially considering you can get odds of -150.

It's important to understand the players who are unavailable for the upcoming Primeira Liga action and the respective form of each team. If you want stats, you have come to the right place and they form the basis of our football predictions.

Key Estrela Amadora vs Nacional league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 Estrela games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Estrela games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 5 Nacional games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Nacional games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 18 Nacional games on the road.

The best bookies are estimating that there is a 60% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 65-70%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

If you want to place an Under 2.5 Goals bet at larger odds, then there’s the chance to combine this selection with BTTS No. A Total Goals & Both Teams to Score wager is a popular option.

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Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -150 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Estrela 1 - 1 Nacional

The teams can be backed at +500 to play out a 1-1 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -138

The average number of corners in the previous ten Nacional matches has been 11.00. Our verdict is that there’s value when it comes the Total Corners line being covered, with odds of -138 on offer.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Estrela

Total

8.50 3.90 4.60

Home

9.50 4.70 4.80

Away

8.80 3.30 5.50

Nacional

Total

11.00 4.70 6.30

Home

10.90 5.30 5.60

Away

9.30 4.90 4.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-138

Under 9.5

-100

Estrela Corners

Over 4.5

-150

Under 4.5

+110

Nacional Corners

Over 4.5

-138

Under 4.5

-100

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Estrela Amadora vs Nacional Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Estrela Amadora are the skinniest price to succeed in this Primeira Liga clash, with the favourites afforded a 43% probability based on their +130 betting odds with the bookies. The +195 means that Nacional are seen as having the lowest probability of succeeding.

If Estrela only draw with Nacional, then the Asian Handicap -0.25 wager means you get half your stake back. However, you get a full payout at +102.5 if they’re able to land a victory.

The Total Goals market always provides an interesting angle and Under 2.5 Goals is the shortest-priced option. The Both Teams to Score market provides some good options, with Yes and No hard to split in terms of odds.

There are hundreds of markets which means lots of options to find a football wager for the latest Primeira Liga game. The leading betting apps leave no stone unturned to provide a first-class service.

Full-Time Result

1

+130

X

+220

2

+195

Half-Time Result

1

+210

X

+105

2

+275

Double Chance

1X

-275

12

-275

X2

-175

Draw No Bet

1

-150

2

+110

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+102.5

2 Hcp +0.25

-121

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-163

Over 2.5

+125

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-105

No

-125

Estrela have collected six defeats, two wins and two draws in the previous 10 home matches, scoring an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

Nacional have managed four losses, three victories and three draws in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 0.70 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

Estrela beat Nacional 2-0 when they last met at Estadio Jose Gomes.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Estrela Amadora Home Stats		2-2-6	2.20	0.90	1.30	4	6	3	7
Nacional Away Stats		3-3-4	1.80	0.70	1.10	2	8	3	7

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Estrela Amadora vs Nacional Lineups & Team News

Stay informed and review the Estrela vs Nacional team news before placing your bets. Get the predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.

Estrela Amadora Team Page Nacional Team Page

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