Estrela Amadora vs Nacional Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 09 Nov 2025

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Estrela Amadora vs Nacional

Estrela Amadora go head-to-head with Nacional at Estadio Jose Gomes, with kick-off set for 10:30 on Sunday 9 November. Our betting preview features expert Portuguese Primeira Liga predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Goals Look in Short Supply

There’s every chance that we’ll see a low goal count when Estrela go up against Nacional. For this reason, we’ll take the odds of -150 about Under 2.5 when it comes to the Total Goals market.

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Estrela 1-0 Win in Previous H2H Encounter

Estrela Amadora won last time out by a 5-3 scoreline. It was on their travels against Casa Pia at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. The Tricolores had 44% possession and six shots on target, while Sidny Lopes Cabral scored a hat-trick.

Nacional lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Famalicão by a 1-0 scoreline at Estadio da Madeira. The Madeira outfit recorded 44% possession and had three shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was Estrela who were victorious when they last faced Nacional. At Estadio da Madeira, a 1-0 away victory was recorded.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
10	Nacional	10	3	2	5	10	14	-4	10:14	11
13	Estrela	10	2	4	4	12	13	-1	12:13	10

View Full Table

Estrela have 2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 10.7 attempts. Joao Nuno's team have averaged 50.2% possession, 344.7 passes and 3.9 corners per match, conceding 1.3 goals and 4.6 corners from 4.1 shots on goal and 10.8 attempts.

Sidny Lopes Cabral is the top scorer with 4 goals, Kikas has 3, with Paulo Moreira and Ianis Stoica on 2. Abraham Marcus and Sidny Lopes Cabral are tied for the most assists on 2, with goalie Renan Ribeiro managing 3 clean sheets.

Nacional have 3 victories, 5 defeats and 2 draws, averaging 3.8 shots on goal, 10.2 attempts and 1.0 goals. The White and Black average 43.4% possession, 287.6 passes, 4.7 corners taken and 6.3 corners against them, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 13.0 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal.

Jesus Ramirez has recorded 6 goals, Leonardo Santos 2, with Ze Vitor and Paulinho Boia both managing 1. Jose Gomes is top assists provider with 3, while Lucas Franca and Kaique Pereira have collectively recorded 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Estrela Amadora predicted lineup (3-4-3): Renan Ribeiro (GK), Atanas Chernev, Luan Patrick, Otávio Manoel Galdino Fernandes, Jefferson Encada, Paulo Moreira, Oumar Ngom, Sidny Cabral, Jorge Meireles, Kikas, Abraham Marcus.

Nacional predicted lineup (4-3-3): Kaique Pereira (GK), Joao Aurelio, Léo Santos, Zé Vítor, Jose Gomes, Liziero, Matheus Dias, Filipe Soares, Witi, Jesús Ramírez, Paulinho Bóia.

Estrela Amadora vs Nacional Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Estrela Amadora vs Nacional betting guide delivers expert insight, including a main match pick, our corners angle, scoreline advice and bet builder recommendations. Dive into each section below for more.

Match Prediction

The two teams might not deliver too many goals and that leads us to bet Under 2.5. This Primeira Liga selection could be the way forward and that’s especially considering you can get odds of -150.

It's important to understand the players who are unavailable for the upcoming Primeira Liga action and the respective form of each team. If you want stats, you have come to the right place and they form the basis of our football predictions.

Key Estrela Amadora vs Nacional league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 Estrela games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Estrela games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 5 Nacional games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Nacional games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 18 Nacional games on the road.

Under 2.5 Probability

The best bookies are estimating that there is a 60% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 65-70%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

If you want to place an Under 2.5 Goals bet at larger odds, then there’s the chance to combine this selection with BTTS No. A Total Goals & Both Teams to Score wager is a popular option.

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Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -150 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Estrela 1 - 1 Nacional

The teams can be backed at +500 to play out a 1-1 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -138

The average number of corners in the previous ten Nacional matches has been 11.00. Our verdict is that there’s value when it comes the Total Corners line being covered, with odds of -138 on offer.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Estrela

Total

8.50 3.90 4.60

Home

9.50 4.70 4.80

Away

8.80 3.30 5.50

Nacional

Total

11.00 4.70 6.30

Home

10.90 5.30 5.60

Away

9.30 4.90 4.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-138

Under 9.5

-100

Estrela Corners

Over 4.5

-150

Under 4.5

+110

Nacional Corners

Over 4.5

-138

Under 4.5

-100

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Estrela Amadora vs Nacional Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Tight Affair in the Eyes of the Bookies

If you want to back Estrela Amadora to win this Primeira Liga clash, then the bookies have priced them up at +165 on the 1x2 market. Nacional are available at betting odds of +155 and the draw is +220.

The 0.0 Asian Handicap market is available for both Estrela and Nacional. It means money back if we see a draw, with the former priced at -103 to claim a victory. Alternatively, the latter is available at -114.

The Total Goals market always provides an interesting angle and Under 2.5 Goals is the shortest-priced option. An alternative angle is Both Team to Score where you can back both BTTS Yes and BTTS No at -110.

There are hundreds of markets which means lots of options to find a football wager for the latest Primeira Liga game. The leading betting apps leave no stone unturned to provide a first-class service.

Full-Time Result

1

+165

X

+220

2

+155

Half-Time Result

1

+240

X

+105

2

+225

Double Chance

1X

-200

12

-275

X2

-225

Draw No Bet

1

-120

2

-120

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp 0.0

-103

2 Hcp 0.0

-114

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-154

Over 2.5

+120

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-110

No

-110

Six of Past Ten Estrela Home Games Have Been Defeats

Estrela have collected six defeats, two wins and two draws in the previous 10 home matches, scoring an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

Nacional have managed four losses, three victories and three draws in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 0.70 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

Estrela beat Nacional 2-0 when they last met at Estadio Jose Gomes.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Estrela Amadora Home Stats		2-2-6	2.20	0.90	1.30	4	6	3	7
Nacional Away Stats		3-3-4	1.80	0.70	1.10	2	8	3	7

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Estrela Amadora vs Nacional Lineups & Team News

Stay informed and review the Estrela vs Nacional team news before placing your bets. Get the predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.

Estrela Amadora Team Page Nacional Team Page