Estrela Amadora vs Tondela Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 20 Feb 2026
Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Estrela Amadora vs Tondela
Estrela Amadora square off against second-from-bottom Tondela at Estadio Jose Gomes, with kick-off set for 15:45 on Friday 20 February.
Tondela +0.25 at -143 on the Asian Handicap could be the bet to have. We’re expecting them to avoid defeat against Estrela, with our stake divided equally between 0 and +0.5 in the hope the away team can land a win.
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Estrela Amadora lost away from home in their last game. Vitória de Guimarães won 2-1 at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques. Joao Nuno's side managed four shots on target and had 46% possession, while Paulo Moreira bagged the goal.
Tondela drew 1-1 in their previous game. This was at home against Alverca at Estadio Joao Cardoso. The Gold and Green enjoyed 60% possession and had four shots on goal, with Joao Silva on the scoresheet.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It was a 0-0 draw when Tondela and Estrela last went head-to-head, with the former hosting this clash at Estadio Joao Cardoso.
| Primeira Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Estrela |
22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26:39 | 23 |
| 17 | Tondela |
22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 36 | -21 | 15:36 | 15 |
Estrela have 3 wins, 4 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 3.4 shots on goal and 8.9 attempts. The Lisbon outfit have averaged 43.5% possession, 343.1 passes and 2.6 corners per match, with their opponents getting 2.1 goals from 5.6 shots on goal, 14.4 attempts and 6.4 corners.
Top goalscorer Jovane Cabral has found the net 4 times, with Kikas and Abraham Marcus scoring 3 each. Jefferson Encada and Ianis Stoica are the leading assists makers with 2, while goalie Renan Ribeiro has kept 2 clean sheets.
Tondela have 1 victory, 6 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 0.8 goals from 9.4 attempts and 2.7 shots on goal. Cristiano Bacci's team average 38.8% possession, 306.6 passes, 4.3 corners in their favour and 5.5 corners against, while conceding 1.6 goals from 11.9 attempts and 4.8 shots on goal.
Pedro Henryque has scored 2 goals, followed by Joao Silva, Jordan Pefok, Emmanuel Maviram and Yefrei Rodriguez on 1. Emmanuel Maviram has managed 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Bernardo Fontes has one clean sheet to his name.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Estrela Amadora predicted lineup (3-4-3): Renan Ribeiro (GK), Luan Patrick, Robinho, Stefan Lekovic, Jefferson Encada, Gueladan Doue, Paulo Moreira, Otávio Manoel Galdino Fernandes, Abraham Marcus, Rodrigo Pinho, Jovane Cabral.
Tondela predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Bernardo (GK), Bebeto, Christian Marques, Brayan Medina, Rodrigo Conceicao, Cicero Clebson Alves Santana, Sphephelo Sithole, Pedro Maranhão, Joe Hodge, Makan Aïko, Benjamin Kimpioka.
Estrela Amadora vs Tondela Prediction & Betting Tips
Tackle Estrela Amadora vs Tondela with all the betting insight you need, including our match prediction, scoreline forecast, corners market advice, key player prop selections and a hand-picked bet builder.
Match Prediction
We’ll side with Tondela +0.25 for this Primeira Liga clash, with an attractive -143 available. Our verdict is that they’ll perform strongly and the Asian Handicap line looks generous for this outcome.
Our football experts are keen to follow the latest form and understand any patterns that emerge. The same applies to injuries that could affect key players. Combined with the best Primeira Liga stats, there is plenty of information to make a verdict.
Key Estrela Amadora vs Tondela league stats:
According to the latest odds, our pick has a 58.8% chance of winning. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 65-70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.
It’s possible to move the line for your selection and this allows bettors to get increasingly bigger odds. If you’re looking for more juice, then this option could tick the boxes.
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Correct Score Prediction
Our prediction for the correct score is Tondela to land a 1-0 victory and this is available at +550. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.
Player Prop Picks
Joe Hodge (Tondela) can be wagered to be on the scoresheet at +1000. We’ll have a play on this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look pretty attractive.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Tondela have had a corner average of 4.60 in the past 5 away matches, with Estrela averaging 1.80 corners in their previous 5 games. There could be more corners awarded to Tondela and we like the +108 available.
Estrela
Tondela
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
You’re welcome to follow our same-game multi which has Tondela to cover the +0.25 Asian Handicap, two or less goals in total together with Joe Hodge (Tondela) to score at any time.
A bet builder is a single event wager where you select outcomes for a particular football game. You need all your predictions to be correct and many readers love to place a tailored bet on the clash which interests them most.
Estrela Amadora vs Tondela Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Estrela Amadora are currently available at +140 with the bookmakers to defeat Tondela, with the latter priced at odds of +190. If you’re siding with the draw in this Primeira Liga clash, then it can be backed at +210.
As the name suggests, the Draw No Bet market means money back if the game ends level. Should you take this option, then you can choose between Estrela at -147 and Tondela at +102.
Under 2.5 Goals is a short-priced option for those expecting two goals or less. BTTS is always an intriguing wager to have and the Yes/No selections are regarded as being evenly-matched.
The best betting sites push the boat out to ensure that football bettors can select from hundreds of markets. You can access them for every Primeira Liga match before making a decision.
Sydney Van Hooijdonk can be backed to find the net anytime at +200. There is the chance to back the market leader to score the first goal at +420.
Estrela have recorded four draws, three wins and three losses in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.60.
Tondela are winless in the last four away games. The Gold and Green have collected six defeats, two wins and two draws in the previous 10 away matches, scoring an average of 0.80 goals per game and conceding 1.90.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Estrela Amadora Home Stats |
3-4-3 | 3.00 | 1.40 | 1.60 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | |
Tondela Away Stats |
2-2-6 | 2.70 | 0.80 | 1.90 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Estrela Amadora League Stats
Tondela League Stats
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 1 win, 6 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 2.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.60 corners awarded and 6.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.80 corners awarded and 4.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.60 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.30 corners awarded and 5.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 5.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 43.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 38.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 43.40% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Estrela Amadora this season are Kikas (6), Jovane Cabral (4), Abraham Marcus (3)
- Top Assistors for Estrela Amadora this season are Abraham Marcus (3), Ianis Stoica (2), Jefferson Encada (2)
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Estrela Amadora vs Tondela Lineups & Team News
Get the latest team news for Estrela vs Tondela before you bet. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups along with the latest injury developments.
Estrela Amadora Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Tondela Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Estrela Amadora Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Tondela Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Estrela Amadora Lineups
Previous Tondela Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Estrela Amadora Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Joao Nuno
Tondela Player Stats & Squad
Primeira Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 22 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 43:7 | 59 |
| 2 | Sporting | 22 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 56:12 | 55 |
| 3 | Benfica | 22 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 46:13 | 52 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 33:18 | 40 |
| 5 | Braga | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 45:20 | 39 |
| 6 | Moreirense | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 29:30 | 33 |
| 7 | Famalicão | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 27:21 | 32 |
| 8 | Vitória | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 25:31 | 31 |
| 9 | Estoril | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 43:38 | 30 |
| 10 | Alverca | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 22:37 | 25 |
| 11 | Estrela | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 26:39 | 23 |
| 12 | Arouca | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 28:49 | 23 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 25:41 | 22 |
| 14 | Nacional | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 27:31 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 23:43 | 20 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 17:28 | 17 |
| 17 | Tondela | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 15:36 | 15 |
| 18 | AVS | 22 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 18:54 | 8 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 33:4 | 28 |
| 2 | Porto | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 20:3 | 26 |
| 3 | Benfica | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 25:8 | 25 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19:8 | 23 |
| 5 | Vitória | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17:15 | 21 |
| 6 | Braga | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 22:7 | 20 |
| 7 | Estoril | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 23:16 | 19 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:13 | 19 |
| 9 | Famalicão | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:9 | 17 |
| 10 | Alverca | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 10:15 | 17 |
| 11 | Estrela | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | 13 |
| 12 | Arouca | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14:23 | 12 |
| 13 | Nacional | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16:18 | 11 |
| 14 | Santa Clara | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:14 | 11 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 15:21 | 11 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:20 | 9 |
| 17 | Tondela | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7:14 | 7 |
| 18 | AVS | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10:23 | 6 |
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Estrela
Tondela