Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Feb 2026

Eredivisie Betting Preview: Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar

Excelsior clash with AZ Alkmaar at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, with kick-off set for 12:45 on Saturday 14 February.

There’s a strong case for backing Excelsior +0.5 on the Asian Handicap in their meeting with AZ. Landing odds of -118 looks like great value and we simply need the hosts to avoid a defeat here.

Excelsior triumphed in their last game which was away from home. NAC Breda were beaten 2-0 at Rat Verlegh Stadion. The Rotterdam side recorded 52% possession and managed six shots on target, while Emil Hansson and Irakli Yegoian scored one goal each.

AZ Alkmaar drew 1-1 against Ajax in their previous game. This was on home soil at AFAS Stadion. The Cheeseheads enjoyed just 38% possession and had six shots on goal, while Wouter Goes found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

AZ haven’t lost to Excelsior in their past five matches, with the last encounter ending 1-1 at AFAS Stadion. The past 7 H2H matches have resulted in three AZ wins, two draws and two Excelsior victories.

Eredivisie		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
6	AZ Alkmaar	28	12	6	10	47	45	2	47:45	42
16	Excelsior	28	7	6	15	29	47	-18	29:47	27

View Full Table

4 wins, 2 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 9.5 attempts. Excelsior have had 46.0% possession, 417.6 passes and 3.5 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.4 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 14.2 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 5.8 corners.

Top scorer Noah Naujoks has found the net 5 times, with Irakli Yegoian and Miliano Jonathans getting 3 and 2 respectively. Gyan de Regt is the leading assists maker on 3, with goalkeeper Stijn van Gassel keeping 3 clean sheets.

AZ have won 2, lost 5 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.2 goals from 13.8 attempts and 4.9 shots on goal. The Alkmaar outfit average 52.4% possession, 444.8 passes, 5.1 corners in their favour and 4.1 corners against, while conceding 1.8 goals from 12.2 attempts and 4.6 shots on goal.

Troy Parrott got 5 goals, Sven Mijnans notched 2, while Wouter Goes and two other players scored 1. Mees de Wit has been the top assist maker on 2, with Jeroen Zoet and Rome Owusu-Oduro collectively notching 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Excelsior confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Stijn van Gassel (GK), Ilias Bronkhorst, Casper Widell, Rick Meissen, Arthur Zagre, Lewis Schouten, Lennard Hartjes, Gyan de Regt, Irakli Yegoian, Derensili Sanches Fernandes, Noah Naujoks.

AZ Alkmaar confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Jeroen Zoet (GK), Mateo Chavez, Wouter Goes, Alexandre Penetra, Mees de Wit, Kasper Boogaard, Rio Robbemond, Jizz Hornkamp, Weslley Pinto, Ro-Zangelo Daal, Troy Parrott.

Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction & Betting Tips

We cover the key Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar betting angles, showcasing our expert match prediction, best corners pick, correct score selection, top player props and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

Excelsior +0.5 can deliver a return for this Eredivisie clash. We’ll side with the home team on the Asian Handicap, with the stats backing up this selection which is on offer at odds of -118.

The football predictions are generated after consulting the team news for both sides along with the form. We are also able to analyse the latest Eredivisie stats which can suggest how the game might unfold.

Key Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar league stats:

• The +0.5 line has been covered by Excelsior in 5 consecutive games.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Excelsior in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Excelsior in 12 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by AZ in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by AZ in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by AZ in 2 consecutive games.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Excelsior in 4 of their last 7 games against AZ.

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 54.1% chance of winning. However, we have this number closer to 60% based on our in-depth research. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

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Our Match Prediction

Excelsior Asian Hcp +0.5 @ -118 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 12, 19:08). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Excelsior 1 - 1 AZ Alkmaar

There are odds of +525 that the two teams play out a 1-1 scoreline. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Irakli Yegoian Over 1.5 Shots +132

Irakli Yegoian (Excelsior) has covered the 1.5 shots total in three straight Eredivisie home matches. We think that the value can be found by wagering on Player Shots and you can get +132 that he goes over the line.

Latest Irakli Yegoian Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+430

First

+1200

Shots

Over 1.5

+133

Under 1.5

-

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Troy Parrott To Score +130

Troy Parrott (AZ) can be backed to score at +130. We think there’s value in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop bet which will hopefully see him find the net.

Latest Troy Parrott Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+140

First

+390

Shots

Over 3.5

-105

Under 3.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -125

The 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered in four straight AZ Alkmaar games, with an average of 7.20 corners in the previous five Excelsior home matches. On this basis, we can take odds of -125 that this Total Corners bet falls short of the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Excelsior

Total

9.30 3.50 5.80

Home

8.00 3.70 4.30

Away

10.90 4.50 6.40

AZ Alkmaar

Total

9.20 5.10 4.10

Home

10.00 5.80 4.20

Away

10.30 5.70 4.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-110

Under 9.5

-128

Excelsior Corners

Over 4.5

-105

Under 4.5

-135

AZ Alkmaar Corners

Over 4.5

-125

Under 4.5

-112

Most Corners

1

+115

X

+650

2

-111

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Favourites AZ Alkmaar are regarded as the likeliest winners for this Eredivisie clash. The +104 about them triumphing means a 49% chance of coming out on top based on their current betting odds. Excelsior are the outsiders at +225 which suggests a lower likelihood of winning.

Should you want to back AZ to win but want money back if the game ends level, then there is -192 available on the Draw No Bet market. Opponents Excelsior have been chalked up at +135.

For those expecting a high-scoring contest, Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest price. If you are expecting both teams to score, there’s the chance to back Yes at -172 on the BTTS market.

If you visit one of the recommended sports betting sites, it’s fantastic to access hundreds of markets for whichever Eredivisie match appeals. Scan through the choices and pick your football wager.

Full-Time Result

1

+225

X

+275

2

+104

Half-Time Result

1

+250

X

+138

2

+163

Double Chance

1X

-135

12

-385

X2

-313

Draw No Bet

1

+135

2

-192

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

+102

2 Hcp -0.25

-127

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+114

Over 2.5

-147

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-172

No

+128

Troy Parrott is the First Goalscorer favourite at +390. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to simply back him to find the net anytime at +140.

Troy Parrott (AZ)

First

+140

Anytime

+390

Jizz Hornkamp (AZ)

First

+170

Anytime

+475

Mexx Meerdink (AZ)

First

+180

Anytime

+480

Noah Naujoks (Excelsior)

First

+240

Anytime

+650

Jerolldino Bergraaf (Excelsior)

First

+280

Anytime

+700

Ayoub Oufkir (AZ)

First

+300

Anytime

+700

Weslley Patati (AZ)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Ibrahim Sadiq (AZ)

First

+330

Anytime

+800

Derensili Sanches Fernandes (Excelsior)

First

+330

Anytime

+850

Gyan de Regt (Excelsior)

First

+350

Anytime

+950

Mike Van Duinen (Excelsior)

First

+380

Anytime

+1000

Isak Steiner Jensen (AZ)

First

+380

Anytime

+1000

Irakli Yegoian (Excelsior)

First

+430

Anytime

+1200

Miliano Jonathans (Excelsior)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Kees Smit (AZ)

First

+460

Anytime

+1200

Ro-Zangelo Daal (AZ)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Lewis Schouten (Excelsior)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Lennard Hartjes (Excelsior)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Emil Hansson (Excelsior)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Mathijs Tielemans (Excelsior)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Peer Koopmeiners (AZ)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Chris-Kévin Nadje (Excelsior)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Troy Parrott (AZ)

Over 3.5

-105

Under 3.5

-

Mexx Meerdink (AZ)

Over 2.5

-141

Under 2.5

-

Jizz Hornkamp (AZ)

Over 2.5

-147

Under 2.5

-

Gyan de Regt (Excelsior)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Kees Smit (AZ)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Miliano Jonathans (Excelsior)

Over 1.5

+143

Under 1.5

-

Irakli Yegoian (Excelsior)

Over 1.5

+133

Under 1.5

-

Isak Steiner Jensen (AZ)

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-

Mike Van Duinen (Excelsior)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-

Derensili Sanches Fernandes (Excelsior)

Over 1.5

-120

Under 1.5

-

Ibrahim Sadiq (AZ)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

Weslley Patati (AZ)

Over 1.5

-139

Under 1.5

-

Ayoub Oufkir (AZ)

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

Jerolldino Bergraaf (Excelsior)

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

-

Noah Naujoks (Excelsior)

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

-

Ro-Zangelo Daal (AZ)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

-

Lewis Schouten (Excelsior)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Lennard Hartjes (Excelsior)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

Emil Hansson (Excelsior)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Mathijs Tielemans (Excelsior)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-

Chris-Kévin Nadje (Excelsior)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-

Excelsior have avoided defeat in their last three matches at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion. The Rotterdam side have four wins, four losses and two draws in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.10 goals per match and conceding 1.20.

AZ have five victories and five defeats in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.40.

The previous Van Donge & De Roo Stadion encounter involved a 1-1 draw between Excelsior and AZ. We’ve seen Excelsior claim two wins in the past 3 H2H meetings at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, with one draw also taking place.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Excelsior Home Stats		4-2-4	2.30	1.10	1.20	5	5	5	5
AZ Alkmaar Away Stats		5-0-5	2.70	1.30	1.40	5	5	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar Lineups & Team News

Before making your bets, take a look at the Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar team news. We’ll provide the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Eredivisie along with up-to-date injury news.

Excelsior Team Page AZ Alkmaar Team Page

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