Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Feb 2026

Eredivisie Betting Preview: Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar

Excelsior clash with AZ Alkmaar at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, with kick-off set for 12:45 on Saturday 14 February.

There’s a strong case for backing Excelsior +0.5 on the Asian Handicap in their meeting with AZ. Landing odds of -118 looks like great value and we simply need the hosts to avoid a defeat here.

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Excelsior triumphed in their last game which was away from home. NAC Breda were beaten 2-0 at Rat Verlegh Stadion. The Rotterdam side recorded 52% possession and managed six shots on target, while Emil Hansson and Irakli Yegoian scored one goal each.

AZ Alkmaar drew 1-1 against Ajax in their previous game. This was on home soil at AFAS Stadion. The Cheeseheads enjoyed just 38% possession and had six shots on goal, while Wouter Goes found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

AZ haven’t lost to Excelsior in their past five matches, with the last encounter ending 1-1 at AFAS Stadion. The past 7 H2H matches have resulted in three AZ wins, two draws and two Excelsior victories.

Eredivisie		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
7	AZ Alkmaar	22	9	6	7	37	36	1	37:36	33
12	Excelsior	22	7	5	10	24	37	-13	24:37	26

View Full Table

4 wins, 2 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 9.5 attempts. Excelsior have had 46.0% possession, 417.6 passes and 3.5 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.4 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 14.2 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 5.8 corners.

Top scorer Noah Naujoks has found the net 5 times, with Irakli Yegoian and Miliano Jonathans getting 3 and 2 respectively. Gyan de Regt is the leading assists maker on 3, with goalkeeper Stijn van Gassel keeping 3 clean sheets.

AZ have won 2, lost 5 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.2 goals from 13.8 attempts and 4.9 shots on goal. The Alkmaar outfit average 52.4% possession, 444.8 passes, 5.1 corners in their favour and 4.1 corners against, while conceding 1.8 goals from 12.2 attempts and 4.6 shots on goal.

Troy Parrott got 5 goals, Sven Mijnans notched 2, while Wouter Goes and two other players scored 1. Mees de Wit has been the top assist maker on 2, with Jeroen Zoet and Rome Owusu-Oduro collectively notching 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Excelsior predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Stijn van Gassel (GK), Ilias Bronkhorst, Casper Widell, Rick Meissen, Arthur Zagre, Lewis Schouten, Lennard Hartjes, Gyan de Regt, Irakli Yegoian, Emil Hansson, Noah Naujoks.

AZ Alkmaar predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Jeroen Zoet (GK), Seiya Maikuma, Wouter Goes, Alexandre Penetra, Mees de Wit, Weslley Patati, Kasper Boogaard, Isak Jensen, Matej Sin, Ro-Zangelo Daal, Troy Parrott.

Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction & Betting Tips

We cover the key Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar betting angles, showcasing our expert match prediction, best corners pick, correct score selection, top player props and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

Excelsior +0.5 can deliver a return for this Eredivisie clash. We’ll side with the home team on the Asian Handicap, with the stats backing up this selection which is on offer at odds of -118.

The football predictions are generated after consulting the team news for both sides along with the form. We are also able to analyse the latest Eredivisie stats which can suggest how the game might unfold.

Key Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar league stats:

• The +0.5 line has been covered by Excelsior in 5 consecutive games.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Excelsior in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Excelsior in 12 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by AZ in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by AZ in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by AZ in 2 consecutive games.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Excelsior in 4 of their last 7 games against AZ.

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 54.1% chance of winning. However, we have this number closer to 60% based on our in-depth research. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

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Our Match Prediction

Excelsior Asian Hcp +0.5 @ -118 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (19:08, 12 February 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Excelsior 1 - 1 AZ Alkmaar

There are odds of +525 that the two teams play out a 1-1 scoreline. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Irakli Yegoian to Score +430

Irakli Yegoian (Excelsior) has netted two goals in his past four Eredivisie games on home soil. He looks like a value bet to find the net and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer pick at odds of +430.

Latest Irakli Yegoian Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+430

First

+1300

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -125

The 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered in four straight AZ Alkmaar games, with an average of 7.20 corners in the previous five Excelsior home matches. On this basis, we can take odds of -125 that this Total Corners bet falls short of the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Excelsior

Total

9.30 3.50 5.80

Home

8.00 3.70 4.30

Away

10.90 4.50 6.40

AZ Alkmaar

Total

9.20 5.10 4.10

Home

10.00 5.80 4.20

Away

10.30 5.70 4.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-105

Under 9.5

-135

Excelsior Corners

Over 3.5

-159

Under 3.5

+112

AZ Alkmaar Corners

Over 4.5

-152

Under 4.5

+107

Most Corners

1

+150

X

+650

2

-147

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Favourites AZ Alkmaar are regarded as the likeliest winners for this Eredivisie clash. The -104 about them triumphing means a 51% chance of coming out on top based on their current betting odds. Excelsior are the outsiders at +260 which suggests a lower likelihood of winning.

Should you want to back AZ to win but want money back if the game ends level, then there is -227 available on the Draw No Bet market. Opponents Excelsior have been chalked up at +155.

For those expecting a high-scoring contest, Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest price. If you are expecting both teams to score, there’s the chance to back Yes at -185 on the BTTS market.

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Full-Time Result

1

+260

X

+260

2

-104

Half-Time Result

1

+275

X

+143

2

+145

Double Chance

1X

-125

12

-370

X2

-357

Draw No Bet

1

+155

2

-227

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.5

-118

2 Hcp -0.5

-104

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+128

Over 2.5

-164

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-185

No

+138

Troy Parrott is the First Goalscorer favourite at +370. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to simply back him to find the net anytime at +130.

Troy Parrott (AZ)

First

+130

Anytime

+370

Mexx Meerdink (AZ)

First

+165

Anytime

+450

Jizz Hornkamp (AZ)

First

+165

Anytime

+460

Noah Naujoks (Excelsior)

First

+250

Anytime

+700

Ayoub Oufkir (AZ)

First

+270

Anytime

+650

Weslley Patati (AZ)

First

+270

Anytime

+750

Jerolldino Bergraaf (Excelsior)

First

+280

Anytime

+750

Ibrahim Sadiq (AZ)

First

+290

Anytime

+750

Derensili Sanches Fernandes (Excelsior)

First

+320

Anytime

+900

Gyan de Regt (Excelsior)

First

+360

Anytime

+1100

Isak Steiner Jensen (AZ)

First

+360

Anytime

+1000

Mike Van Duinen (Excelsior)

First

+370

Anytime

+1000

Kees Smit (AZ)

First

+430

Anytime

+1150

Irakli Yegoian (Excelsior)

First

+430

Anytime

+1300

Miliano Jonathans (Excelsior)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Ro-Zangelo Daal (AZ)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Lennard Hartjes (Excelsior)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Lewis Schouten (Excelsior)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Mathijs Tielemans (Excelsior)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Emil Hansson (Excelsior)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Peer Koopmeiners (AZ)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Chris-Kévin Nadje (Excelsior)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Excelsior have avoided defeat in their last three matches at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion. The Rotterdam side have four wins, four losses and two draws in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.10 goals per match and conceding 1.20.

AZ have five victories and five defeats in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.40.

The previous Van Donge & De Roo Stadion encounter involved a 1-1 draw between Excelsior and AZ. We’ve seen Excelsior claim two wins in the past 3 H2H meetings at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, with one draw also taking place.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Excelsior Home Stats		4-2-4	2.30	1.10	1.20	5	5	5	5
AZ Alkmaar Away Stats		5-0-5	2.70	1.30	1.40	5	5	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar Lineups & Team News

Before making your bets, take a look at the Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar team news. We’ll provide the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Eredivisie along with up-to-date injury news.

Excelsior Team Page AZ Alkmaar Team Page

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