Farense vs Nacional Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 09 Feb 2025

We’re Expecting Nacional to Cover the Line

Our stake will be split when taking Nacional +0.25 at odds of -116 for this Asian Handicap bet. It means a return in the event of a draw but a bigger payout should the visitors claim a win against Farense.

Nacional Won 2-0 in Teams’ Last Encounter

Farense lost on the road in their last game, making it back-to-back defeats. Sporting CP won 3-1 at Estadio Jose Alvalade. Toze Marreco's side enjoyed just 29% possession and had two shots on target, while Lucas Africo was the goalscorer.

Nacional have been defeated in back-to-back outings. In a recent home game at Estadio da Madeira, they were turned over 2-1 by Arouca. The White and Black enjoyed 59% possession and managed four shots on goal, with Ulisses Rocha on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Nacional beat Farense at home when the teams last met. It was a 2-0 scoreline at Estadio da Madeira. The past 3 H2H games have seen two Nacional victories and just one triumph for Farense.

Farense have 2 wins, 3 losses and 5 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 2.9 shots on goal and 8.0 attempts. The Lions of Faro have averaged 38.2% possession, 281.1 passes and 4.1 corners per match, conceding 1.1 goals and 6.2 corners from 4.4 shots on goal and 13.2 attempts.

Top goalscorer Marco Matias has found the net 2 times, with Lucas Africo, Tomane, Angelo Neto and Claudio Falcao scoring 1 each. Elves and Marco Matias have racked up the most assists with 2, while goalkeeper Ricardo Velho has 3 clean sheets.

Nacional have 3 victories, 5 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.1 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 12.2 attempts. The Madeira club have averaged 45.7% possession, 344.6 passes, 4.2 corners awarded and 6.9 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.3 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 13.5 attempts.

We’ve seen Ulisses Rocha, Bruno Costa and Dudu Teodora score 2 goals each. Jose Gomes, Luis Esteves and Bruno Costa have all made 1 assists in the last 10 games, while Lucas Franca has 3 clean sheets.

Confirmed Lineups

Farense confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Ricardo Velho (GK), Marco Moreno, Claudio Falcao, Lucas Africo, Elves, Ze Ferreira, Miguel Menino, Paulo Victor, Rony Lopes, Tomane, Marco Matias.

Nacional confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Lucas Franca (GK), Gustavo Garcia, Ze Vitor, Leonardo Santos, Jose Gomes, Djibril Soumare, Matheus Dias, Fuki Yamada, Bruno Costa, Paulinho Boia, Dudu Teodora.

Farense vs Nacional Prediction & Betting Tips

If you echo our view that Nacional can swerve defeat in this Primeira Liga encounter, then you can take them with a +0.25 goal start at -116. There are strong reasons to back the visitors.

We use the injury and suspension information to come up with the best possible football tips. You will also see that we take a stats-led approach by considering the key numbers.

Key Farense vs Nacional league stats:

• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Farense in any of their last 5 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Farense in 17 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Farense in 5 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Farense in 2 of their last 3 games against Nacional.

Nacional +0.25 Probability

According to the bookies, our pick has a 53.8% chance of landing a return. After careful examination, our team calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

If you want to back Nacional without taking them on the Asian Handicap, there’s the alternative to go for a Winning Margin wager instead. There are lots of different options here.

Our Match Prediction

Nacional Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -116 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Farense 0 - 1 Nacional

We’re taking a chance on Nacional to achieve a 1-0 winning scoreline. Odds of +650 means we can place a smaller stake and still achieve a nice return.

Corners Prediction

Farense Over 5.5 Corners -110

Farense have had over 5.5 corners in three straight home games, with Nacional conceding over 5.5 corners in their past seven away games. We’re expecting plenty of Farense corners and that the Team Corners line is going to be covered, with odds of -110 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Farense

Total

10.30 4.10 6.20

Home

10.00 5.10 4.90

Away

10.10 2.60 7.50

Nacional

Total

11.10 4.20 6.90

Home

10.00 4.20 5.80

Away

11.10 4.00 7.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-109

Under 10.5

-133

Farense Corners

Over 5.5

-110

Under 5.5

-125

Nacional Corners

Over 4.5

-138

Under 4.5

-100

Most Corners

1

-127

X

+600

2

+118

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Farense vs Nacional Odds

With a 44% chance of winning, Farense are favourites to win this Primeira Liga match and they’re available at betting odds of +125 with the bookies. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +200 about Nacional.

The game is predicted to be a low-scoring one and that is borne out by Under 2.5 Goals trading at short odds.

Should you want to back Farense to win this Primeira Liga match, then there is -156 available on the Draw No Bet market, with Nacional chalked at +117.

Full-Time Result

1

+125

X

+215

2

+200

Half-Time Result

1

+190

X

+105

2

+265

Double Chance

1X

-278

12

-303

X2

-172

Draw No Bet

1

-156

2

+117

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-105

2 Hcp +0.25

-130

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-164

Over 2.5

+123

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-112

No

-127

Farense vs Nacional Lineups & Team News

Our Farense vs Nacional team news will highlight the injuries for both squads, with the lineups giving you a helping hand with your bets.

If you’re looking for the latest player information, check out the Primeira Liga squads.

Farense Team Page Nacional Team Page