FC Midtjylland vs Sturm Graz Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 24 Sep 2025

Europa League Betting Preview: FC Midtjylland vs Sturm Graz

Danish Superliga club FC Midtjylland host Austrian Bundesliga outfit Sturm Graz in this Europa League match at MCH Arena, with kick-off set for 12:45 on Wednesday 24 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Side With FCM to Secure a Victory

We’re heading to the Full-Time Result market and selecting Midtjylland to land a victory, with odds of -143 looking generous. We think they should be able to overcome Sturm Graz over ninety minutes.

Confident in Midtjylland to win? Unlock the latest BetMGM promo code and read our expert review before placing your bet.

FCM Won 2-0 in Teams’ Last Meeting

FC Midtjylland won their last game, beating Viborg at home. It was a 2-0 Superliga victory at MCH Arena. Mike Tullberg's men recorded ten shots on target and had 48% possession, with Philip Billing and Gue-Sung Cho scoring one goal each.

Sturm Graz won their previous game. It was on the road where Red Bull Salzburg were beaten 2-0 at Red Bull Arena in the Bundesliga. The Blackies were 48% in the possession stakes and had nine shots on goal, with Tomi Horvat and Seedy Jatta both on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 2-0 home win for Midtjylland at MCH Arena when they last played Sturm.

Europa League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Sturm Graz	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
1	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

Midtjylland have 6 wins, 1 loss and 3 draws, averaging 2.6 goals from 6.6 shots on goal and 14.7 attempts. Mike Tullberg's side have averaged 48.8% possession, 419.7 passes and 4.2 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.4 goals from 4.7 shots on goal, 13.9 attempts and 4.3 corners.

Franculino is the top scorer with 8 goals, while Aral Simsir and Dario Osorio each have 3. Aral Simsir has recorded the most assists with 4.

Sturm have won 6, lost 3 and drawn 1, averaging 5.5 shots on goal, 12.1 attempts and 1.8 goals. The Blackies average 51.2% possession, 5.1 corners awarded and 4.5 corners against, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 9.2 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal.

Otar Kiteishvili is the leading scorer with 5 goals, followed by Seedy Jatta on 3, with Tomi Horvat and two others bagging 2. William Boeving has had 3 assists in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

FC Midtjylland predicted lineup (3-5-2): Elías Rafn Ólafsson (GK), Ousmane Diao, Martin Erlic, Mads Bech Sørensen, Adam Gabriel, Denil Castillo, Philip Billing, Aral Simsir, Victor Bak Jensen, Franculino, Júnior Brumado.

Sturm Graz predicted lineup (4-1-2-1-2): Oliver Christensen (GK), Tim Oermann, Emanuel Aiwu, Dimitri Lavalée, Emir Karic, Jacob Hodl, Tomi Horvat, Tochi Chukwuani, Otar Kiteishvili, Seedy Jatta, Belmin Beganovic.

FC Midtjylland vs Sturm Graz Prediction & Betting Tips

The FC Midtjylland vs Sturm Graz betting tips feature sharp analysis across major markets, including a key match prediction, our best corners bet, player prop picks, correct score guidance and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

Midtjylland should be able to deliver a return when they line up in this Europa League game, with odds of -143 looking really appealing. We are confident that this is the best way to play this wager.

The first port of call is to check out the Europa League injury and suspension news for each side and then scroll through the form guide. We take this information and apply it to the latest available stats to come up with a verdict.

Key FC Midtjylland vs Sturm Graz Europa League & league stats:

• FCM have won 4 of their last 5 games.
• FCM have won 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• FCM have won 2 consecutive games at home.

FCM to Win Probability

The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 58.8% chance of winning. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 65-70%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

If you’re looking for bigger odds, check out FCM on the Asian Handicap. You can potentially back them at -1 or even -1.5 if you’re expecting a comfortable win.

Before you place your bets, explore our updated guide packed with the latest free bets and betting bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Midtjylland To Win @ -143 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Midtjylland 2 - 0 Sturm

There are odds of +850 available that Midtjylland land a 2-0 win. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Seedy Jatta Over 0.5 Shots On Target -130

Seedy Jatta (Sturm) can be backed to record at least one shot on goal at -130. In conclusion, we think that the odds offer plenty of appeal when it comes to betting on Shots on Target.

Latest Seedy Jatta Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+275

First

+750

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-130

Under 0.5

-130

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Aral Simsir to Score +300

Aral Simsir (FCM) has racked up two goals in his past five matches. When it comes to him scoring, we think that the +300 available is attractive when betting on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Aral Simsir Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+300

First

+750

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-112

Under 0.5

-139

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Corners Prediction

Midtjylland Under 5.5 Corners -133

Midtjylland have had under 5.5 corners in three straight games, with Sturm Graz conceding less than 5.5 corners in their past five games. The Midtjylland Team Corners line looks too big and we’re happy to go under this number at odds of -133.

Europa League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Midtjylland

Total

8.50 4.20 4.30

Home

10.30 6.60 3.70

Away

9.50 3.70 5.80

Sturm

Total

9.60 5.10 4.50

Home

9.00 4.80 4.20

Away

10.10 5.20 4.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-147

Under 9.5

+102

Midtjylland Corners

Over 5.5

-150

Under 5.5

+110

Sturm Corners

Over 3.5

-125

Under 3.5

-110

Most Corners

1

-263

X

+750

2

+270

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FC Midtjylland vs Sturm Graz Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

FCM Win on the Cards According to the Bookies

Favourites FC Midtjylland are regarded as the likeliest winners for this Europa League clash. The -143 about them triumphing means a 59% chance of coming out on top based on their current betting odds. The +325 means that Sturm Graz are seen as having the lowest probability of succeeding.

One Asian Handicap bet involves backing Midtjylland -0.75 at -112. If they beat Sturm by 2+ goals, you get a full payout. You also get a return on half your stake if they win by one and the other half is refunded.

The Total Goals odds suggest that Over 2.5 is a strong probability in this contest. The Yes pick in the Both Teams to Score market is considered to be the most likely result and it’s trading at -189.

The best football betting sites ensure that customers are able to choose from a wide range of options. It’s no exaggeration that they provide hundreds of markets when it comes to Europa League matches.

Full-Time Result

1

-143

X

+325

2

+325

Half-Time Result

1

+123

X

+150

2

+320

Double Chance

1X

-476

12

-455

X2

+107

Draw No Bet

1

-313

2

+210

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-112

2 Hcp +0.75

-110

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+155

Over 2.5

-200

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-189

No

+138

Franculino Dju Top of First Goalscorer List

Franculino Dju can be backed to find the net anytime at -120, with +290 available that the market leader scores the first goal.

Franculino Dju (FCM)

First

-120

Anytime

+290

Gue-sung Cho (FCM)

First

+215

Anytime

+650

Seedy Jatta (Sturm)

First

+275

Anytime

+750

Aral Simsir (FCM)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Edward Chilufya (FCM)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Philip Billing (FCM)

First

+300

Anytime

+850

Darío Osorio (FCM)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Leon Grgic (Sturm)

First

+350

Anytime

+1000

Otar Kiteishvili (Sturm)

First

+380

Anytime

+1000

Daniel Filipe Silva (FCM)

First

+420

Anytime

+1150

Denil Castillo (FCM)

First

+430

Anytime

+1200

Tomi Horvat (Sturm)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Pedro Bravo (FCM)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

Paulo Victor Da Silva "Paulinho" (FCM)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Tochi Chukwuani (Sturm)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Jon Gorenc Stankovic (Sturm)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Adam Gabriel (FCM)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Gue-sung Cho (FCM)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-100

Seedy Jatta (Sturm)

Over 0.5

-130

Under 0.5

-130

Franculino Dju (FCM)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-135

Darío Osorio (FCM)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-133

Aral Simsir (FCM)

Over 0.5

-112

Under 0.5

-139

Edward Chilufya (FCM)

Over 0.5

-112

Under 0.5

-139

Philip Billing (FCM)

Over 0.5

-106

Under 0.5

-147

Leon Grgic (Sturm)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-167

Otar Kiteishvili (Sturm)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-192

Denil Castillo (FCM)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-250

Tomi Horvat (Sturm)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-263

Daniel Filipe Silva (FCM)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-263

Pedro Bravo (FCM)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-333

Paulo Victor Da Silva "Paulinho" (FCM)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-417

Tochi Chukwuani (Sturm)

Over 0.5

+235

Under 0.5

-435

Jon Gorenc Stankovic (Sturm)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-455

Latest Europa League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

FC Midtjylland Stats

Sturm Graz Stats

Full-Time Result

• 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 7 wins, 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 2.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.30 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 4.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 5.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.80 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 4.20 corners awarded and 4.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 6.60 corners awarded and 3.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 4.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 4.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 48.80% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 50.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 51.20% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 51.20% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches

FC Midtjylland vs Sturm Graz Lineups & Team News

Stay ahead of the game by checking the FCM vs Sturm team news before betting. We’ll keep you posted with predicted and confirmed lineups for the Europa League and all current injury news.