Finland vs Lithuania Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 09 Oct 2025

World Cup qualifying Betting Preview: Finland vs Lithuania

Finland host Lithuania in this World Cup qualifying meeting at Olympiastadion, with kick-off set for 12:00 on Thursday 9 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats and team news.

Lithuania Look Value for This Game

Lithuania +1 on the Asian Handicap looks like a good plan when they clash with Finland. The underdogs can be backed at -103 and we benefit if they draw or win, while there’s money back for a single goal defeat.

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2-2 Draw in Previous H2H Clash

Finland were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 3-1 World Cup qualifying loss against Poland at Stadion Slaski. Jacob Friis' side had two shots on target and boasted 55% possession, while Benjamin Kaellman scored the goal.

Lithuania were defeated in their previous game, being turned over 3-2 at home to Netherlands in the World Cup qualifier at Dariaus Ir Gireno Stadium. The Green and White had just 32% possession and recorded three shots on goal, with Gvidas Gineitis and Edvinas Girdvainis finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last encounter between the teams saw Finland draw 2-2 away to Lithuania at Dariaus Ir Gireno Stadium.

Europe World Cup Qualification		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Finland	5	2	1	2	6	8	-2	6:8	7
4	Lithuania	5	0	3	2	5	7	-2	5:7	3

View Full Table

2 wins, 7 losses and 1 draw, averaging 0.8 goals from 2.5 shots on goal and 7.8 attempts. Finland have had 44.6% possession and 3.2 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.8 goals from 6.5 shots on goal and 14.7 attempts, while being awarded 5.4 corners.

Top goalscorer Joel Pohjanpalo has found the net 3 times, Benjamin Kaellman 2, with Kaan Kairinen and two other players on 1. Oliver Antman, Benjamin Kaellman and Leo Walta have the most assists with 1, while goalie Lukas Hradecky has recorded one clean sheet.

Lithuania have 7 defeats and 3 draws, averaging 3.6 shots on goal, 7.9 attempts and 0.9 goals. Edgaras Jankauskas' men average 47.9% possession, 2.4 corners awarded and 5.3 corners against, while 1.7 goals have been conceded from 10.3 attempts and 4.5 shots on goal.

Gvidas Gineitis is the leading goalscorer with 4, Armandas Kucys has 3, with Edvinas Girdvainis and Paulius Golubickas getting 1. Justas Lasickas and Paulius Golubickas have clocked up 2 assists, with Edvinas Gertmonas keeping one clean sheet in the last 10 games.

Finland vs Lithuania Prediction & Betting Tips

Our expert Finland vs Lithuania betting tips include a main match prediction, a correct score pick, a corners forecast and bet builder advice. Explore each section below for detailed insights.

Match Prediction

We’ve found some value by selecting Lithuania +1 at odds of -103 for this World Cup qualifying game. This bet looks really appealing based on the numbers and we’re happy to take this price with confidence.

Injuries and suspensions are studied by the team at Sportsgambler.com. Our football predictions also come from studying the latest World Cup qualifying form, with the numbers playing a huge part before the tips are decided.

Key Finland vs Lithuania stats:

• The +1 line has been covered by Lithuania in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Finland in any of their last 10 games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Finland in any of their last 5 games.

Lithuania +1 Probability

According to the top betting sites, our pick has a 50.8% chance of landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

If you are looking for bigger odds, then you are able to move the line. Choose from a wide range of options and get rewarded if your selection exceeds expectations.

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Our Match Prediction

Lithuania Asian Hcp +1 @ -103 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Finland 1 - 1 Lithuania

There are odds of +550 that the two teams play out a 1-1 scoreline. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.

Corners Prediction

Finland Under 5.5 Corners -120

Finland have had under 5.5 corners in ten consecutive games. We can use these stats to our advantage, with odds of -120 that Finland fall short when it comes to the Team Corners line.

Competitive Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Finland

Total

8.60 3.20 5.40

Home

7.40 3.50 3.90

Away

9.00 4.00 5.00

Lithuania

Total

7.70 2.40 5.30

Home

8.10 3.00 5.10

Away

7.70 2.90 4.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-139

Under 8.5

-102

Finland Corners

Over 5.5

-120

Under 5.5

-120

Lithuania Corners

Over 2.5

-150

Under 2.5

+110

Most Corners

1

-303

X

+700

2

+295

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Finland vs Lithuania Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Giving Finland Plenty of Respect

At betting odds of -208, the bookies make Finland probable winners and there’s a 68% likelihood that the favourites triumph in this World Cup qualifying encounter. If you want to back the outsider, Lithuania are available at +600.

There’s sometimes a case for betting on the Half-Time Result market, with Finland available at +102 and Lithuania at +575. The third option is the draw which is priced at +125.

For the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this interesting contest. If you’re expecting at least one team to draw a blank, then the No option on the Both Teams to Score market is available at -182.

The leading football betting sites offer hundreds of markets when it comes to World Cup qualifying matches. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Full-Time Result

1

-208

X

+310

2

+600

Half-Time Result

1

+102

X

+125

2

+575

Double Chance

1X

-1250

12

-526

X2

+148

Draw No Bet

1

-714

2

+380

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

-132

2 Hcp +1

-103

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-141

Over 2.5

+108

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+125

No

-182

Joel Pohjanpalo Favourite to Be First Goalscorer

There is +160 available that Joel Pohjanpalo finds the net, while he is available at +350 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.

Joel Pohjanpalo (Finland)

First

+160

Anytime

+350

Benjamin Källman (Finland)

First

+170

Anytime

+380

Oliver Antman (Finland)

First

+220

Anytime

+500

Robin Lod (Finland)

First

+235

Anytime

+525

Naatan Skyttä (Finland)

First

+255

Anytime

+600

Casper Terho (Finland)

First

+300

Anytime

+650

Santeri Väänänen (Finland)

First

+475

Anytime

+1000

Adam Markhiyev (Finland)

First

+480

Anytime

+1000

Kaan Kairinen (Finland)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Matti Peltola (Finland)

First

+800

Anytime

+1600

Ståhl, Adam (Finland) (Finland)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Miro Tenho (Finland)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Ville Aleksi Jukanpoika Koski (Finland)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Tony Miettinen (Finland)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.

Finland Stats

Lithuania Stats

Full-Time Result

• 2 wins, 7 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 7 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 2 wins, 7 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 0.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.80 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 3.20 corners awarded and 5.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 3.50 corners awarded and 3.90 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 8.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 7.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 2.40 corners awarded and 5.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 2.90 corners awarded and 4.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 7.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 7.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 44.60% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 48.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 4 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 47.90% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 48.50% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 away matches

Finland vs Lithuania Lineups & Team News

Make sure you're up to date on the Finland vs Lithuania team news before betting. We’ll share the most up-to-date confirmed World Cup qualifying lineups and injury information.