Fiorentina vs AC Milan Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 11 Jan 2026

Serie A Betting Preview: Fiorentina vs AC Milan

Fiorentina meet AC Milan at Stadio Artemio Franchi, with kick-off set for 09:00 on Sunday 11 January.

Milan have the potential to land a win when they go up against Fiorentina. On this basis, we will side with the Full-Time Result odds of -100 and this price can be taken confidently.

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Fiorentina faced Lazio away when last in action. It was a 2-2 draw at Stadio Olimpico. The Florence outfit had five shots on target and 51% possession, with Robin Gosens and Albert Gudmundsson scoring one goal apiece.

AC Milan drew their previous game which was at home. The action at San Siro ended 1-1 against Genoa. Massimiliano Allegri's team enjoyed 61% possession and had eight shots on goal, while Rafael Leao was on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw Milan land a 2-1 home victory over Fiorentina at San Siro. The 10 previous H2H meetings have involved six Milan wins, one draw and three Fiorentina victories.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	AC Milan	18	11	6	1	29	14	15	29:14	39
19	Fiorentina	19	2	7	10	20	30	-10	20:30	13

View Full Table

2 wins, 5 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 14.1 attempts. Fiorentina have had 57.9% possession, 463.1 passes and 4.9 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.5 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 12.8 attempts, while being awarded 4.5 corners.

The three top scorers are Albert Gudmundsson, Moise Kean and Rolando Mandragora, with these players all scoring 3 goals. Nicolo Fagioli is the top assists maker on 3, with goalie David de Gea managing one clean sheet.

Milan have won 6 and drawn 4, averaging 4.9 shots on goal, 13.7 attempts and 1.6 goals. I Rossoneri average 50.9% possession, 445.1 passes, 5.3 corners awarded and 4.9 corners against, while 0.8 goals have been conceded from 11.0 attempts and 3.4 shots on goal.

The leading scorers have been Rafael Leao and Christian Pulisic with 4, while Christopher Nkunku has 2. Adrien Rabiot, Christopher Nkunku and Fikayo Tomori are top assists providers with 2, while Mike Maignan has recorded 5 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Fiorentina predicted lineup (4-1-2-3): David de Gea (GK), Dodo, Pietro Comuzzo, Marin Pongracic, Robin Gosens, Nicolo Fagioli, Rolando Mandragora, Cher Ndour, Fabiano Parisi, Roberto Piccoli, Albert Gudmundsson.

AC Milan predicted lineup (3-5-2): Mike Maignan (GK), Koni De Winter, Matteo Gabbia, Strahinja Pavlovic, Alexis Saelemaekers, Youssouf Fofana, Luka Modric, Adrien Rabiot, Davide Bartesaghi, Christian Pulisic, Rafael Leao.

Fiorentina vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the full betting picture for Fiorentina vs AC Milan, including a key match prediction, our correct score selection, best corners advice, top player prop picks and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

There’s a realistic prospect that we’ll see Milan secure a win and they are priced at -100 to triumph in this Serie A encounter. We think that the price offers bettors plenty of juice.

The latest Serie A team news and current form are always useful information when it comes to providing football betting tips. It’s also important to pay attention to the available stats so that we make the best picks.

Key Fiorentina vs AC Milan league stats:

• Milan have won 3 consecutive games on the road.
• Milan have won 6 of their last 10 games.
• Milan have won 12 of their last 20 games.
• Fiorentina have lost 6 of their last 10 games against Milan.

The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 50% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

A different way of betting on Milan is the Double Result market. You can get a bigger price by choosing them to be in front at the interval before claiming a victory.

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Our Match Prediction

Milan To Win @ -100 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Fiorentina 0 - 1 Milan

There’s the option to wager on Milan to win by a 1-0 scoreline. Odds of +600 are on offer and this is a correct score bet that should provide plenty of entertainment.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Albert Gudmundsson Over 1.5 Shots -149

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina) has totalled over 1.5 shots in five consecutive Serie A matches. We think it’s achievable that he will cover the Player Shots line and there are odds of -149 available.

Latest Albert Gudmundsson Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+380

First

+950

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+106

Under 0.5

-208

Shots

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-

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Christian Pulisic to Score +175

Christian Pulisic (Milan) has scored three goals in his past four Serie A away matches. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive considering the numbers and we’ll plump for him to find the net at odds of +175.

Latest Christian Pulisic Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+175

First

+440

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

+123

Shots

Over 2.5

-120

Under 2.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners -130

All of the past four Milan games has seen the 8.5 Total Corners line covered, with three straight Fiorentina matches having the same outcome. If you agree with our verdict that the Total Corners line is too low, go for odds of -130 that the teams go over.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Fiorentina

Total

9.40 4.90 4.50

Home

9.10 4.80 4.30

Away

9.00 4.00 5.00

Milan

Total

10.20 5.30 4.90

Home

9.50 5.80 3.70

Away

9.00 3.70 5.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-128

Under 8.5

-111

Fiorentina Corners

Over 3.5

-167

Under 3.5

+116

Milan Corners

Over 4.5

-105

Under 4.5

-135

Most Corners

1

+120

X

+575

2

-111

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Fiorentina vs AC Milan Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

AC Milan are the -100 favourites on the Full-Time Result. That means a 50% chance of winning this Serie A encounter according to the latest betting odds. If you want to back the outsider, Fiorentina are available at +275.

The Asian Handicap -0.5 option is the same as a win on the 1x2 market. Milan are -100 when it comes to this selection, with their opponents Fiorentina +0.5 at -125 which means the draw is also included with this pick.

For those anticipating a low-scoring contest, Under 2.5 is the market leader for the Total Goals market. If you are expecting both teams to score, there’s the chance to back Yes at -132 on the BTTS market.

If you’re wanting hundreds of football markets, then the good news is that the best betting apps can provide this. For any Serie A game, take your pick and hopefully find a winning angle.

Full-Time Result

1

+275

X

+235

2

-100

Half-Time Result

1

+300

X

+125

2

+155

Double Chance

1X

-130

12

-333

X2

-370

Draw No Bet

1

+155

2

-233

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.5

-125

2 Hcp -0.5

-100

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-128

Over 2.5

-102

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-132

No

-102

Christian Pulisic can be backed to find the net anytime at +175, with +440 available that the market leader scores the first goal.

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

First

+175

Anytime

+440

Rafael Leão (Milan)

First

+180

Anytime

+450

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

First

+190

Anytime

+510

Christopher Nkunku (Milan)

First

+230

Anytime

+575

Roberto Piccoli (Fiorentina)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Edin Dzeko (Fiorentina)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

First

+350

Anytime

+850

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

First

+380

Anytime

+950

Adrien Rabiot (Milan)

First

+380

Anytime

+950

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Manor Solomon (Fiorentina)

First

+410

Anytime

+1050

Christian Kouamé (Fiorentina)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Youssouf Fofana (Milan)

First

+450

Anytime

+1100

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina)

First

+475

Anytime

+1300

Luka Modric (Milan)

First

+500

Anytime

+1150

Ardon Jashari (Milan)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Jacopo Fazzini (Fiorentina)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

Hans Nicolussi Caviglia (Fiorentina)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Pervis Estupiñán (Milan)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Davide Bartesaghi (Milan)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Nicolò Fagioli (Fiorentina)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Samuele Ricci (Milan)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Rafael Leão (Milan)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

+125

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

+123

Christopher Nkunku (Milan)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-120

Roberto Piccoli (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-141

Under 0.5

-135

Edin Dzeko (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-143

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+106

Under 0.5

-208

Manor Solomon (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-213

Adrien Rabiot (Milan)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-250

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-250

Christian Kouamé (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-263

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-263

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-270

Youssouf Fofana (Milan)

Over 0.5

+133

Under 0.5

-278

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

+148

Under 1.5

-313

Jacopo Fazzini (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+148

Under 0.5

-313

Luka Modric (Milan)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-400

Ardon Jashari (Milan)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-400

Davide Bartesaghi (Milan)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-556

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

Over 3.5

-127

Under 3.5

-

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

Over 2.5

-120

Under 2.5

-

Rafael Leão (Milan)

Over 2.5

-133

Under 2.5

-

Christopher Nkunku (Milan)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Roberto Piccoli (Fiorentina)

Over 2.5

+128

Under 2.5

-

Edin Dzeko (Fiorentina)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-

Adrien Rabiot (Milan)

Over 1.5

+114

Under 1.5

-

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-

Manor Solomon (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

-109

Under 1.5

-

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Fiorentina have finished with four wins, four losses and two draws in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

Milan have not tasted an away defeat in eight straight matches. Massimiliano Allegri's team have recorded six victories, three draws and one defeat in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.60 goals per game and conceding 0.90.

The past meeting at Stadio Artemio Franchi saw Fiorentina defeat Milan 2-1. In the previous 7 H2H games at Stadio Artemio Franchi, there have been three wins apiece and one draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Fiorentina Home Stats		4-2-4	2.60	1.50	1.10	5	5	6	4
AC Milan Away Stats		6-3-1	2.50	1.60	0.90	5	5	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Fiorentina vs AC Milan Lineups & Team News

Don’t bet on Fiorentina vs Milan without reviewing the latest team news. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for Serie A together with updated injury news.

Fiorentina Team Page AC Milan Team Page

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