Fiorentina vs AC Milan Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 11 Jan 2026
Serie A Betting Preview: Fiorentina vs AC Milan
Fiorentina meet AC Milan at Stadio Artemio Franchi, with kick-off set for 09:00 on Sunday 11 January.
Milan have the potential to land a win when they go up against Fiorentina. On this basis, we will side with the Full-Time Result odds of -100 and this price can be taken confidently.
Fiorentina faced Lazio away when last in action. It was a 2-2 draw at Stadio Olimpico. The Florence outfit had five shots on target and 51% possession, with Robin Gosens and Albert Gudmundsson scoring one goal apiece.
AC Milan drew their previous game which was at home. The action at San Siro ended 1-1 against Genoa. Massimiliano Allegri's team enjoyed 61% possession and had eight shots on goal, while Rafael Leao was on the scoresheet.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The last head-to-head saw Milan land a 2-1 home victory over Fiorentina at San Siro. The 10 previous H2H meetings have involved six Milan wins, one draw and three Fiorentina victories.
| Serie A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | AC Milan |
26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 41 | 20 | 21 | 41:20 | 54 |
| 16 | Fiorentina |
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 30:39 | 24 |
2 wins, 5 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 14.1 attempts. Fiorentina have had 57.9% possession, 463.1 passes and 4.9 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.5 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 12.8 attempts, while being awarded 4.5 corners.
The three top scorers are Albert Gudmundsson, Moise Kean and Rolando Mandragora, with these players all scoring 3 goals. Nicolo Fagioli is the top assists maker on 3, with goalie David de Gea managing one clean sheet.
Milan have won 6 and drawn 4, averaging 4.9 shots on goal, 13.7 attempts and 1.6 goals. I Rossoneri average 50.9% possession, 445.1 passes, 5.3 corners awarded and 4.9 corners against, while 0.8 goals have been conceded from 11.0 attempts and 3.4 shots on goal.
The leading scorers have been Rafael Leao and Christian Pulisic with 4, while Christopher Nkunku has 2. Adrien Rabiot, Christopher Nkunku and Fikayo Tomori are top assists providers with 2, while Mike Maignan has recorded 5 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Fiorentina confirmed lineup (4-1-2-3): David de Gea (GK), Dodo, Pietro Comuzzo, Marin Pongracic, Robin Gosens, Nicolo Fagioli, Rolando Mandragora, Cher Ndour, Fabiano Parisi, Moise Kean, Albert Gudmundsson.
AC Milan confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Mike Maignan (GK), Koni De Winter, Matteo Gabbia, Strahinja Pavlovic, Alexis Saelemaekers, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Ardon Jashari, Samuele Ricci, Pervis Estupinan, Christian Pulisic, Niclas Fuellkrug.
Fiorentina vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips
Get the full betting picture for Fiorentina vs AC Milan, including a key match prediction, our correct score selection, best corners advice, top player prop picks and a ready-made bet builder.
Match Prediction
There’s a realistic prospect that we’ll see Milan secure a win and they are priced at -100 to triumph in this Serie A encounter. We think that the price offers bettors plenty of juice.
The latest Serie A team news and current form are always useful information when it comes to providing football betting tips. It’s also important to pay attention to the available stats so that we make the best picks.
Key Fiorentina vs AC Milan league stats:
The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 50% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.
A different way of betting on Milan is the Double Result market. You can get a bigger price by choosing them to be in front at the interval before claiming a victory.
Our user-friendly bonus guide highlights the newest betting offers, free bets, and sign-up deals in one spot.
Correct Score Prediction
There’s the option to wager on Milan to win by a 1-0 scoreline. Odds of +700 are on offer and this is a correct score bet that should provide plenty of entertainment.
Player Prop Picks
Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina) has totalled over 1.5 shots in five consecutive Serie A matches. We think it’s achievable that he will cover the Player Shots line and there are odds of -149 available.
Christian Pulisic (Milan) has scored three goals in his past four Serie A away matches. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive considering the numbers and we’ll plump for him to find the net at odds of +175.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
All of the past four Milan games has seen the 8.5 Total Corners line covered, with three straight Fiorentina matches having the same outcome. If you agree with our verdict that the Total Corners line is too low, go for odds of -130 that the teams go over.
Fiorentina
Milan
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
It’s great fun to place a bet builder and our picks are Milan on the 1x2, one or both teams not scoring accompanied by over 8.5 corners to be awarded.
A football bet builder is a fantastic way of cheering on different selections within the same game. You can go through the available markets and cherry-pick the outcomes that you think will happen. The odds for each selection are then combined together.
Fiorentina vs AC Milan Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
AC Milan are the +120 favourites on the Full-Time Result. That means a 45% chance of winning this Serie A encounter according to the latest betting odds. If you want to back the outsider, Fiorentina are available at +235.
There are various ways to back Milan and one option is the Asian Handicap -0.25. There’s -112 currently available that they beat Fiorentina and there’s half a stake refund if the scoreline ends level.
If you’re betting on Total Goals, the market is far from clear over whether Overs or Unders happens. If you are expecting both teams to score, there’s the chance to back Yes at -152 on the BTTS market.
If you’re wanting hundreds of football markets, then the good news is that the best betting apps can provide this. For any Serie A game, take your pick and hopefully find a winning angle.
Christian Pulisic can be backed to find the net anytime at +160, with +420 available that the market leader scores the first goal.
Fiorentina have finished with four wins, four losses and two draws in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 1.10.
Milan have not tasted an away defeat in eight straight matches. Massimiliano Allegri's team have recorded six victories, three draws and one defeat in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.60 goals per game and conceding 0.90.
The past meeting at Stadio Artemio Franchi saw Fiorentina defeat Milan 2-1. In the previous 7 H2H games at Stadio Artemio Franchi, there have been three wins apiece and one draw.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fiorentina Home Stats |
4-2-4 | 2.60 | 1.50 | 1.10 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | |
AC Milan Away Stats |
6-3-1 | 2.50 | 1.60 | 0.90 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Serie A: 19/10 2025 AC Milan 2 Fiorentina 1
- Serie A: 05/04 2025 AC Milan 2 Fiorentina 2
- Serie A: 06/10 2024 Fiorentina 2 AC Milan 1
- Serie A: 30/03 2024 Fiorentina 1 AC Milan 2
- Serie A: 25/11 2023 AC Milan 1 Fiorentina 0
- Serie A: 04/03 2023 Fiorentina 2 AC Milan 1
- Serie A: 13/11 2022 AC Milan 2 Fiorentina 1
- Serie A: 01/05 2022 AC Milan 1 Fiorentina 0
- Serie A: 20/11 2021 Fiorentina 4 AC Milan 3
- Serie A: 21/03 2021 Fiorentina 2 AC Milan 3
Fiorentina League Stats
AC Milan League Stats
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 6 wins and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 4.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 4.30 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 4.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.70 corners awarded and 5.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 57.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 52.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 50.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 52.50% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Fiorentina this season are Moise Kean (5), Rolando Mandragora (5), Albert Gudmundsson (4)
- Top Assistors for Fiorentina this season are Nicolo Fagioli (3), Albert Gudmundsson (1), Dodo (1)
Fiorentina vs AC Milan Lineups & Team News
Don’t bet on Fiorentina vs Milan without reviewing the latest team news. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for Serie A together with updated injury news.
Fiorentina Confirmed Lineup 4-1-2-3
AC Milan Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2
Fiorentina Confirmed Lineup 4-1-2-3
AC Milan Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2
Fiorentina Substitutes
- 1Luca Lezzerini
- 4Marco Brescianini
- 6Luca Ranieri
- 7Simon Sohm
- 14H. N. Caviglia
- 19Manor Solomon
- 22Jacopo Fazzini
- 23Eman Kospo
- 29Niccolo Fortini
- 53Oliver Christensen
- 60Eddy Kouadio
- 91Roberto Piccoli
AC Milan Substitutes
- 10Rafael Leao
- 12Adrien Rabiot
- 14Luka Modric
- 18Christopher Nkunku
- 19Youssouf Fofana
- 24Zachary Athekame
- 27David Odogu
- 33Davide Bartesaghi
- 35Matteo Dutu
- 96Lorenzo Torriani
Previous Fiorentina Lineups
Previous AC Milan Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Fiorentina Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Paolo Vanoli
AC Milan Player Stats & Squad
Serie A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 26 | 21 | 1 | 4 | 62:21 | 64 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 41:20 | 54 |
| 3 | Roma | 26 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 34:16 | 50 |
| 4 | Napoli | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 39:27 | 50 |
| 5 | Juventus | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 43:25 | 46 |
| 6 | Como | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 41:19 | 45 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 36:22 | 45 |
| 8 | Bologna | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 35:32 | 36 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 32:35 | 35 |
| 10 | Lazio | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 26:25 | 34 |
| 11 | Udinese | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 28:39 | 32 |
| 12 | Parma | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 19:31 | 32 |
| 13 | Cagliari | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28:35 | 29 |
| 14 | Genoa | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 32:37 | 27 |
| 15 | Torino | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 25:47 | 27 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 30:39 | 24 |
| 17 | Cremonese | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 21:36 | 24 |
| 18 | Lecce | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 17:33 | 24 |
| 19 | Pisa | 26 | 1 | 12 | 13 | 20:43 | 15 |
| 20 | Hellas Verona | 26 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 19:46 | 15 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 36:12 | 31 |
| 2 | Roma | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 19:6 | 28 |
| 3 | Atalanta | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 22:11 | 28 |
| 4 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 21:11 | 28 |
| 5 | Juventus | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 25:12 | 26 |
| 6 | AC Milan | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | 25 |
| 7 | Como | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 21:9 | 23 |
| 8 | Lazio | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:16 | 19 |
| 9 | Bologna | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 13:14 | 17 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | 17 |
| 11 | Cagliari | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15:15 | 16 |
| 12 | Genoa | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17:18 | 16 |
| 13 | Udinese | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13:18 | 16 |
| 14 | Torino | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13:22 | 14 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18:19 | 13 |
| 16 | Parma | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10:18 | 13 |
| 17 | Lecce | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 9:18 | 13 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11:15 | 12 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11:19 | 7 |
| 20 | Pisa | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 4:16 | 7 |
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