Fiorentina vs AEK Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 27 Nov 2025

Europa Conference League Betting Preview: Fiorentina vs AEK

Italian Serie A team Fiorentina host Greek Super League outfit AEK at Stadio Artemio Franchi, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Thursday 27 November.

We’re not anticipating that the net will be found too many times, with Under 2.5 Goals expected when Fiorentina and AEK lock horns. This Total Goals prediction affords us attractive betting odds of -135.

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Fiorentina faced Juventus at home when last in action. It was a 1-1 Serie A draw at Stadio Artemio Franchi. Paolo Vanoli's team had two shots on target and 41% possession, with Rolando Mandragora scoring the goal.

AEK Athens won their previous game, beating Aris Thessaloniki at home. It was a 1-0 Super League victory at OPAP Arena. The Double-Headed Eagle had the lion’s share of the ball boasting 63% possession and six shots on goal, with Zini finding the net in the 77th minute.

In their previous Europa Conference League matches, Fiorentina were beaten 2-1 away to Mainz 05, while AEK were held to a 1-1 draw at home to Shamrock Rovers.

Europa Conference League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	AEK	6	4	1	1	14	7	7	14:7	13
15	Fiorentina	6	3	0	3	8	5	3	8:5	9

View Full Table

Fiorentina have 2 wins, 5 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 9.7 attempts. La Viola have averaged 50.0% possession and 4.9 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.5 goals from 4.0 shots on goal, 10.2 attempts and 3.4 corners.

Top scorer Albert Gudmundsson has found the net 3 times, with Roberto Piccoli, Moise Kean and Cher Ndour getting 2 each. The top assist makers are Moise Kean, Simon Sohm and Roberto Piccoli, all of whom have 1 on the board.

AEK Athens have 6 victories, 3 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 1.5 goals from 5.8 shots on goal and 12.3 attempts. The Athens club have averaged 56.5% possession, 5.7 corners awarded and 2.8 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.0 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 5.9 attempts.

Luka Jovic is top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Orbelin Pineda, Aboubakary Koita, Razvan Marin and Dereck Kutesa have 2. Petros Mantalos, Frantzdy Pierrot and Lazaros Rota have been the top assists providers with 2 in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Fiorentina confirmed lineup (3-5-2): David de Gea (GK), Marin Pongracic, Pietro Comuzzo, Luca Ranieri, Niccolo Fortini, Rolando Mandragora, Hans Nicolussi Caviglia, Cher Ndour, Fabiano Parisi, Edin Dzeko, Albert Gudmundsson.

AEK confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Thomas Strakosha (GK), Lazaros Rota, Harold Moukoudi, Filipe Relvas, Stavros Pilios, Orbelin Pineda, Razvan Marin, Roberto Pereyra, Aboubakary Koita, Luka Jovic, Mijat Gacinovic.

Fiorentina vs AEK Prediction & Betting Tips

From our key match prediction to corners advice, correct score pick, top player prop insights and a builder tailored for value — our Fiorentina vs AEK betting tips covers it all.

Match Prediction

The betting sites offer us the opportunity to back our Under 2.5 Goals prediction. The two teams might play out a fairly dull Europa Conference League encounter and odds of -135 stick out on the coupon.

We always have a keen eye on team news, while our football experts have their finger on the pulse by knowing the latest form. You will also find a compendium of stats which provide some valuable pointers ahead of the Europa Conference League action.

Key Fiorentina vs AEK Europa Conference League & league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Fiorentina games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Fiorentina games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 5 AEK games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 AEK games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 AEK games.

The top bookmakers are estimating that there is a 57.5% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our experts have this number between 60-65% based on their in-depth research. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

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Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -135 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (21:07, 25 November 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Fiorentina 1 - 0 AEK

We’ve found an attractive bet at odds of +480 and it involves Fiorentina winning 1-0. We like a wager on correct score as there’s the chance to bank a bigger return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Albert Gudmundsson to Score +235

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina) has managed three goals in his past nine games. We’re content to land the +235 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he features on the scoresheet.

Latest Albert Gudmundsson Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+240

First

+550

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

AEK Over 3.5 Corners -102

AEK have had over 3.5 corners in seven consecutive games. We’re happy to back the -102 when it comes to AEK covering the Team Corners line which looks generous.

Europa Conference League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Fiorentina

Total

8.30 4.90 3.40

Home

9.90 5.20 4.70

Away

8.00 4.60 3.40

AEK

Total

8.50 5.70 2.80

Home

8.30 6.70 1.60

Away

8.80 5.00 3.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-120

Under 8.5

-118

Fiorentina Corners

Over 4.5

-147

Under 4.5

+102

AEK Corners

Over 3.5

-102

Under 3.5

-139

Most Corners

1

-192

X

+650

2

+195

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Fiorentina vs AEK Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Fiorentina are the -125 favourites on the 1x2 betting. That implies a 56% chance of triumphing in this Europa Conference League encounter according to the latest odds. If you want to wager on the underdog, AEK have been priced up at +330.

The Asian Handicap -0.5 market is the same as a Full-Time Result wager, with Fiorentina needing to win at -135 for your bet to be successful. AEK +0.5 at -105 means you need them to triumph or the draw to happen.

If you want to back how many goals will be scored, you can get a similar price on Under or Over 2.5 Goals. BTTS wagering is popular and you can back Yes at -127 on the Both Teams to Score market.

All of the Europa Conference League matches see the best betting apps go to town with their service. Bettors can find the best approach from the hundreds of markets which are presented to them each time.

Full-Time Result

1

-125

X

+265

2

+330

Half-Time Result

1

+138

X

+123

2

+350

Double Chance

1X

-556

12

-417

X2

-111

Draw No Bet

1

-313

2

+200

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-135

2 Hcp +0.5

-105

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-125

Over 2.5

-114

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-127

No

-112

Moise Kean is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +300, while you can get similar odds if you want him to score the last goal.

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

First

+128

Anytime

+300

Edin Dzeko (Fiorentina)

First

+190

Anytime

+430

Roberto Piccoli (Fiorentina)

First

+200

Anytime

+450

Dereck Kutesa (AEK)

First

+235

Anytime

+525

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

First

+240

Anytime

+550

Aboubakary Koita (AEK)

First

+260

Anytime

+575

Luka Jovic (AEK)

First

+340

Anytime

+750

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina)

First

+340

Anytime

+800

Jacopo Fazzini (Fiorentina)

First

+425

Anytime

+900

Hans Nicolussi Caviglia (Fiorentina)

First

+500

Anytime

+1100

Razvan Marin (AEK)

First

+500

Anytime

+1100

Niclas Eliasson (AEK)

First

+510

Anytime

+1100

Petros Mantalos (AEK)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Nicolò Fagioli (Fiorentina)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Robin Gosens (Fiorentina)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Cher Ndour (Fiorentina)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Simon Sohm (Fiorentina)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Fabiano Parisi (Fiorentina)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Orbelín Pineda (AEK)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Pablo Marí (Fiorentina)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Luca Ranieri (Fiorentina)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Marko Grujic (AEK)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Tariq Lamptey (Fiorentina)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Latest Europa Conference League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Fiorentina Stats

AEK Stats

Full-Time Result

• 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 3.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 4.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 8.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 2.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 3.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 50.00% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 49.20% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 56.50% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 54.20% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 away matches

Fiorentina vs AEK Lineups & Team News

Know who’s in and who’s out for Fiorentina vs AEK before making your bets. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed Europa Conference League lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries.

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