Fiorentina vs Roma Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 05 Oct 2025

Serie A Betting Preview: Fiorentina vs Roma

Fiorentina host Roma in this Italian Serie A meeting at Stadio Artemio Franchi, with kick-off set for 09:00 on Sunday 5 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

We’re Expecting a Low-Scoring Encounter

We’re not anticipating that the net will be found too many times, with Under 2.5 Goals expected when Fiorentina and Roma lock horns. This Total Goals prediction affords us attractive betting odds of -143.

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Roma Won 1-0 in Teams’ Last Encounter

Fiorentina played Pisa away in their last Serie A game. It was a 0-0 draw at Stadio Romeo Anconetani. The Florence club had two shots on target and boasted 61% possession.

On Thursday night, Fiorentina hosted Sigma Olomouc in the Europa Conference League and won 2-0.

Roma claimed a home victory in their previous league game. A 2-0 triumph against Hellas Verona at Stadio Olimpico made it back-to-back Serie A wins. I Giallorossi had five shots on goal and enjoyed 57% possession, with Artem Dovbyk and Matias Soule both on target.

Three days ago, Roma suffered a 1-0 Europa League home defeat at the hands of LOSC Lille.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was Roma who came out on top when they last played Fiorentina. At Stadio Olimpico, a 1-0 home win was recorded. The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved five Roma wins, three Fiorentina victories and two draws.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Roma	5	4	0	1	5	1	4	5:1	12
16	Fiorentina	5	0	3	2	3	6	-3	3:6	3

View Full Table

Fiorentina have 3 wins, 4 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 12.4 attempts. La Viola have averaged 54.5% possession, 441.3 passes and 4.1 corners per match, conceding 1.4 goals and 4.5 corners from 4.5 shots on goal and 12.1 attempts.

Top goalscorer Rolando Mandragora has found the net 4 times, Moise Kean 2, with Luca Ranieri and two other players on 1. The leading assistors are Albert Gudmundsson and Yacine Adli with 2, while goalie David de Gea has recorded 2 clean sheets.

Roma have 8 victories and 2 defeats, with an average of 1.3 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 13.9 attempts. Gian Piero Gasperini's side have averaged 52.4% possession, 452.4 passes, 5.2 corners taken and 3.3 corners against, while conceding 0.4 goals from 3.1 shots on goal and 11.7 attempts.

Matias Soule has scored 3, followed by Artem Dovbyk, Leandro Paredes and Bryan Cristante with 2 goals apiece. Matias Soule has had 4 assists, with Mile Svilar notching 7 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Fiorentina predicted lineup (3-5-2): David De Gea (GK), Marin Pongračić, Pablo Mari, Luca Ranieri, Dodo, Rolando Mandragora, Hans Nicolussi Caviglia, Jacopo Fazzini, Robin Gosens, Albert Gudmundsson, Moise Kean.

Roma predicted lineup (3-4-1-2): Mile Svilar (GK), Mario Hermoso, Gianluca Mancini, Evan NDicka, Wesley, Bryan Cristante, Manu Koné, Angeliño, Lorenzo Pellegrini, Matias Soule, Artem Dovbyk.

Fiorentina vs Roma Prediction & Betting Tips

We cover the essential Fiorentina vs Roma betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, a corners value pick, correct score guidance, top player prop plays and a carefully crafted bet builder.

Match Prediction

We are expecting a low number of goals for this Serie A encounter. The odds of -143 for Under 2.5 look really attractive and we can play this bet with a fair amount of confidence.

The Serie A injury and suspension data can be utilised to provide expert football betting tips. You can also identify that a stats-led approach is adopted by considering the most important stats.

Key Fiorentina vs Roma league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Fiorentina games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 6 Roma games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Roma games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 16 of the last 20 Roma games.

Under 2.5 Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 58.8% chance of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 65-70%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

Bettors wanting to boost their odds might want to combine the Under 2.5 Goals pick with a specific side to land a victory. This is available through the Result & Total Goals market.

Before you place your bets, explore our updated guide packed with the latest free bets and betting bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -143 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Fiorentina 1 - 1 Roma

We’re taking a correct score bet which involves a 1-1 scoreline. The odds of +500 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Rolando Mandragora Over 0.5 Shots On Target +150

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina) has registered at least one shot on goal in eight of his past ten Serie A games. In our opinion, there is value when it comes to him covering the Shots on Target line, with betting odds of +150 now available.

Latest Rolando Mandragora Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+540

First

+1200

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-244

Shots

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

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Moise Kean to Score +200

Moise Kean (Fiorentina) has scored four goals in his past seven Serie A home matches. It’s worth a gamble on the +200 for him to be Anytime Goalscorer as there’s plenty of juice in these betting odds.

Latest Moise Kean Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+200

First

+430

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

+155

Shots

Over 2.5

-159

Under 2.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Fiorentina Under 4.5 Corners -125

Fiorentina have averaged 2.60 corners in the past 10 home matches, with the corner count against Roma going under 4.5 in their previous seven games. If you agree with our verdict that the Fiorentina Team Corners line is too big, go for odds of -125 that they go under.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Fiorentina

Total

8.60 4.10 4.50

Home

7.00 2.60 4.40

Away

8.40 4.10 4.30

Roma

Total

8.50 5.20 3.30

Home

8.40 5.10 3.30

Away

10.00 6.00 4.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-127

Under 8.5

-112

Fiorentina Corners

Over 4.5

-110

Under 4.5

-125

Roma Corners

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-150

Most Corners

1

+105

X

+600

2

+108

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Fiorentina vs Roma Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Think the Game Could Go Either Way

The bookies have priced up the draw at +225 on the Full-Time Result, with Roma available to back at betting odds of +138. Fiorentina are +195 to win this Serie A clash.

Roma -0.25 on the Asian Handicap can be backed at +105. It means your stake is split between 0 and -0.5, with a full payout if they beat Fiorentina. Half your stake is refunded if we see a draw.

Under 2.5 Goals is currently the betting favourite and a bet on this option would mean you need no more than two goals to be scored. There are always two Both Teams to Score choices, with Yes available at -118 and No at -112.

There are hundreds of markets from which to select your preferred wager when it comes to Serie A games. The best football betting sites push the boat out to provide lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

1

+195

X

+225

2

+138

Half-Time Result

1

+255

X

+114

2

+200

Double Chance

1X

-182

12

-303

X2

-263

Draw No Bet

1

+106

2

-147

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-130

2 Hcp -0.25

+105

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-143

Over 2.5

+112

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-118

No

-112

Moise Kean Heads First Goalscorer Market

Moise Kean is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +430 while there’s also the chance to back him to find the net at +200.

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

First

+200

Anytime

+430

Artem Dovbyk (Roma)

First

+245

Anytime

+510

Evan Ferguson (Roma)

First

+265

Anytime

+550

Roberto Piccoli (Fiorentina)

First

+270

Anytime

+600

Edin Dzeko (Fiorentina)

First

+320

Anytime

+650

Matías Soulé (Roma)

First

+380

Anytime

+850

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

First

+400

Anytime

+900

Stephan El Shaarawy (Roma)

First

+420

Anytime

+950

Neil El Aynaoui (Roma)

First

+480

Anytime

+1050

Tommaso Baldanzi (Roma)

First

+500

Anytime

+1100

Niccolò Pisilli (Roma)

First

+500

Anytime

+1150

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina)

First

+540

Anytime

+1200

Jacopo Fazzini (Fiorentina)

First

+550

Anytime

+1200

Lorenzo Pellegrini (Roma)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Bryan Cristante (Roma)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Hans Nicolussi Caviglia (Fiorentina)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Kouadio Kone (Roma)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Nicolò Fagioli (Fiorentina)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

Devyne Rensch (Roma)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Evan Ndicka (Roma)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Robin Gosens (Fiorentina)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Cher Ndour (Fiorentina)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Zeki Çelik (Roma)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

+155

Roberto Piccoli (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

+115

Artem Dovbyk (Roma)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

+110

Edin Dzeko (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-103

Evan Ferguson (Roma)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-105

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-159

Matías Soulé (Roma)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-182

Stephan El Shaarawy (Roma)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-222

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-244

Neil El Aynaoui (Roma)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-244

Jacopo Fazzini (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-244

Niccolò Pisilli (Roma)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-270

Tommaso Baldanzi (Roma)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-270

Hans Nicolussi Caviglia (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-313

Lorenzo Pellegrini (Roma)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-313

Bryan Cristante (Roma)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-370

Kouadio Kone (Roma)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-417

Nicolò Fagioli (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-476

Devyne Rensch (Roma)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-769

Evan Ndicka (Roma)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-714

Zeki Çelik (Roma)

Over 0.5

+370

Under 0.5

-909

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

Over 2.5

-159

Under 2.5

-

Artem Dovbyk (Roma)

Over 2.5

-109

Under 2.5

-

Evan Ferguson (Roma)

Over 2.5

+112

Under 2.5

-

Roberto Piccoli (Fiorentina)

Over 2.5

-106

Under 2.5

-

Edin Dzeko (Fiorentina)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-

Matías Soulé (Roma)

Over 2.5

+102

Under 2.5

-

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

Stephan El Shaarawy (Roma)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Neil El Aynaoui (Roma)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Tommaso Baldanzi (Roma)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Niccolò Pisilli (Roma)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

Lorenzo Pellegrini (Roma)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Bryan Cristante (Roma)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Past Four H2H Stadio Artemio Franchi Meetings Have Seen Fiorentina Unbeaten

Fiorentina have racked up five victories, three draws and two defeats in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 1.70 goals per match and conceding 1.10.

Roma have managed three consecutive victories on the road. I Giallorossi have eight wins, one draw and one loss in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.10 goals per match and conceding 0.30.

When the teams previously met at Stadio Artemio Franchi, Fiorentina defeated Roma 5-1. In the past 6 H2H matches at Stadio Artemio Franchi, we have seen three Fiorentina wins, two Roma victories and one draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Fiorentina Home Stats		5-3-2	2.80	1.70	1.10	7	3	6	4
Roma Away Stats		8-1-1	1.40	1.10	0.30	1	9	2	8

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Fiorentina vs Roma Lineups & Team News

Make sure to look over the Fiorentina vs Roma team news before betting. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed Serie A lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries.

Fiorentina Team Page Roma Team Page