Fluminense vs Botafogo Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Sep 2025

Série A Betting Preview: Fluminense vs Botafogo

Rio de Janeiro rivals Fluminense and Botafogo meet in the Grandfather Derby at Estádio do Maracanã, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Sunday 28 September. Our Brazilian Série A betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Don’t Underestimate the Underdogs

If you agree with our view that Botafogo can perform well against Fluminense, then you can bet them with a +0.25 goal start at -128. This means our Asian Handicap stake is divided equally between 0 and +0.5.

Trust our Asian Handicap pick? Unlock BetMGM’s latest promo code and dive into our review of the sportsbook to get the best value.

Fogo Beat Big Flu in their Last Clash

Fluminense got the win in their last Série A game. A 1-0 victory occurred on the road when meeting Vitória. Renato Gaucho's side had the majority of the ball enjoying 55% possession and four shots on target, with Hercules netting the winner in the 37th minute.

On Tuesday night, Fluminense were knocked out of the Copa Sudamericana following a 1-1 draw at home to Argentine Primera División club Lanús (1-2 loss on aggregate).

Botafogo drew on the road in their previous game. A 1-1 scoreline was played out against Grêmio. Fogo had the lion’s share of the ball enjoying 54% possession and four shots on goal, with Cuiabano on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Botafogo have racked up five consecutive wins over Fluminense. In their last encounter, it was a 2-0 home victory for Botafogo. The past 10 meetings between these sides have resulted in five Botafogo victories and three Fluminense wins. There have also been two draws.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Botafogo	24	11	7	6	35	18	17	35:18	40
8	Fluminense	22	9	4	9	26	29	-3	26:29	31

View Full Table

3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 2.6 shots on goal and 6.5 attempts. Fluminense have had 51.0% possession and 4.3 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.5 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 7.4 attempts, while being awarded 5.8 corners.

Top goalscorer German Cano has found the net 4 times, Hercules 2, with Luciano Acosta and two other players on 1. Keno and Kevin Serna have recorded the most assists with 2 apiece.

Botafogo have won 4, lost 3 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.8 goals from 10.4 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal. Fogo average 55.5% possession, 5.0 corners in their favour and 4.5 corners against, while conceding 1.1 goals from 8.2 attempts and 3.3 shots on goal.

Christopher Ramos has scored 3 goals, followed by Jefferson Savarino, Alvaro Montoro, Fernando Marcal and Arthur Cabral on 2. Santiago Rodriguez and Alex Telles have had 3 assists in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Fluminense predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Fabio (GK), Samuel Xavier, Thiago Silva, Juan Pablo Freytes, Rene, Hercules, Martinelli, Kevin Serna, Luciano Acosta, Agustín Canobbio, Everaldo.

Botafogo predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Léo Linck (GK), Vitinho, Gabriel Bahia, David Ricardo, Cuiabano, Newton Araujo, Marlon Freitas, Santiago Rodríguez, Jefferson Savarino, Jeffinho, Arthur Cabral.

Fluminense vs Botafogo Prediction & Betting Tips

Get ready for Fluminense vs Botafogo with all the betting angles covered, from an expert match prediction and correct score advice to corners market insight, player props and a custom bet builder.

Match Prediction

Wager on Botafogo +0.25 on the Asian Handicap at -128 for this Série A game. We’re keen on their prospects of outperforming their match winner price and this wager looks like good value.

Team news plays a valuable role and our football experts are always monitoring the players who have an injury concern. We’ve also got a handle on the form guide, with plenty of Série A data provided which puts you in the picture in terms of stats.

Key Fluminense vs Botafogo league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Botafogo in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Botafogo in 14 of their last 18 games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Botafogo in 3 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Fluminense in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Fluminense in 12 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Fluminense in 6 consecutive games against Botafogo.

Fogo +0.25 Probability

According to the odds, there’s a 56.2% likelihood of our pick winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 60-65% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

We advise that you move the line if you are looking for a larger price about the same selection. Make your prediction and land the bigger odds from your wager as a result.

Our user-friendly bonus guide highlights the newest betting offers, free bets, and sign-up deals in one spot.

Our Match Prediction

Botafogo Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -128 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Fluminense 0 - 1 Botafogo

There are betting odds of +650 that Botafogo land a 1-0 victory. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Chris Ramos to Score +320

Chris Ramos (Botafogo) has scored three goals in his past four Série A games. He looks like a value bet to find the net and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer pick at odds of +320.

Latest Chris Ramos Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+320

First

+650

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-114

Shots

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -112

It’s been three consecutive Botafogo away games where the 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered, while we’ve seen four of the previous five Fluminense home matches achieve the same outcome. We’re going to wager on the teams to fall short for Total Corners and this selection is available at -112.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Fluminense

Total

10.10 4.30 5.80

Home

9.60 5.60 4.00

Away

10.50 3.40 7.10

Botafogo

Total

9.50 5.00 4.50

Home

9.60 5.40 4.20

Away

8.90 3.70 5.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-128

Under 9.5

-110

Fluminense Corners

Over 4.5

-150

Under 4.5

+110

Botafogo Corners

Over 4.5

-110

Under 4.5

-125

Most Corners

1

-112

X

+650

2

+128

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Fluminense vs Botafogo Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Betting Odds Suggest a Close Encounter

The draw is available at +215 if you believe that this Série A clash will finish level, with Fluminense at +138 and Botafogo chalked up at +205 with the bookmakers to secure a win of their own.

There’s a Draw No Bet market should you wish to have some insurance and Botafogo are +110 here. However, if you want to back favourites Fluminense, then -149 is on offer.

Under 2.5 Goals is a short-priced option for those expecting two goals or less. A different angle is going for a BTTS wager and there’s -141 available for Both Teams to Score No.

The top betting sites always do a great job when it comes to Série A games. They provide football bettors with hundreds of markets and you can cherry-pick the most attractive options.

Full-Time Result

1

+138

X

+215

2

+205

Half-Time Result

1

+205

X

+105

2

+265

Double Chance

1X

-286

12

-303

X2

-189

Draw No Bet

1

-149

2

+110

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+104

2 Hcp +0.25

-128

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-185

Over 2.5

+140

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-102

No

-141

Germán Cano Heads First Goalscorer Market

There is +255 available that Germán Cano finds the net anytime, while the favourite to score the first goal is on offer at +525.

Germán Cano (Fluminense)

First

+255

Anytime

+525

Everaldo Stum (Fluminense)

First

+295

Anytime

+600

Chris Ramos (Botafogo)

First

+320

Anytime

+650

Luciano Acosta (Fluminense)

First

+380

Anytime

+800

Santiago Moreno (Fluminense)

First

+410

Anytime

+900

Marcos Silva França "Keno" (Fluminense)

First

+450

Anytime

+950

Agustín Canobbio (Fluminense)

First

+475

Anytime

+900

John Kennedy (Fluminense)

First

+475

Anytime

+950

Matheus Martins (Botafogo)

First

+500

Anytime

+1050

Jefferson Savarino (Botafogo)

First

+510

Anytime

+1050

Joaquín Correa (Botafogo)

First

+540

Anytime

+1050

Kevin Serna (Fluminense)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Álvaro Montoro (Botafogo)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Jefferson Ruan Santos "Jeffinho" (Botafogo)

First

+700

Anytime

+1300

Santiago Rodríguez (Botafogo)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

Alex Telles (Botafogo)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Vinicius 'Lima' Moreira de Lima (Fluminense)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Nonato (Fluminense)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira (Botafogo)

First

+900

Anytime

+1700

Matheus Martinelli (Fluminense)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2000

Facundo Bernal (Fluminense)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Hércules Pereira do Nascimento (Fluminense)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2000

Thiago dos Santos (Fluminense)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Thiago Silva (Fluminense)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Otávio Santos Passos (Fluminense)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Germán Cano (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

+123

Everaldo Stum (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-102

Chris Ramos (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-114

Luciano Acosta (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-149

Santiago Moreno (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-164

Agustín Canobbio (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-182

Marcos Silva França "Keno" (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-200

John Kennedy (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-200

Matheus Martins (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-204

Jefferson Savarino (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-208

Joaquín Correa (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+132

Under 0.5

-208

Kevin Serna (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-217

Álvaro Montoro (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-286

Santiago Rodríguez (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-294

Jefferson Ruan Santos "Jeffinho" (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-333

Vinicius 'Lima' Moreira de Lima (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-400

Alex Telles (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+225

Under 0.5

-476

Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+235

Under 0.5

-435

Thiago dos Santos (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-667

Thiago Silva (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-667

Germán Cano (Fluminense)

Over 2.5

-147

Under 2.5

-

Everaldo Stum (Fluminense)

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-

Chris Ramos (Botafogo)

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-

Luciano Acosta (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

-139

Under 1.5

-

Santiago Moreno (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

-132

Under 1.5

-

Agustín Canobbio (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

-200

Under 1.5

-

Matheus Martins (Botafogo)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Jefferson Savarino (Botafogo)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Joaquín Correa (Botafogo)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Álvaro Montoro (Botafogo)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Jefferson Ruan Santos "Jeffinho" (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Santiago Rodríguez (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Alex Telles (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

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Fluminense vs Botafogo Lineups & Team News

Always review the Fluminense vs Botafogo team news before locking in your bets. We’ll bring you both the expected and confirmed lineups for Série A, along with current injury news.

Fluminense Team Page Botafogo Team Page