Fluminense vs Botafogo Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Sep 2025

Série A Betting Preview: Fluminense vs Botafogo

Rio de Janeiro rivals Fluminense and Botafogo meet in the Grandfather Derby at Estádio do Maracanã, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Sunday 28 September. Our Brazilian Série A betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

If you agree with our view that Botafogo can perform well against Fluminense, then you can bet them with a +0.25 goal start at -128. This means our Asian Handicap stake is divided equally between 0 and +0.5.

Trust our Asian Handicap pick? Unlock BetMGM’s latest promo code and dive into our review of the sportsbook to get the best value.

Fluminense got the win in their last Série A game. A 1-0 victory occurred on the road when meeting Vitória. Renato Gaucho's side had the majority of the ball enjoying 55% possession and four shots on target, with Hercules netting the winner in the 37th minute.

On Tuesday night, Fluminense were knocked out of the Copa Sudamericana following a 1-1 draw at home to Argentine Primera División club Lanús (1-2 loss on aggregate).

Botafogo drew on the road in their previous game. A 1-1 scoreline was played out against Grêmio. Fogo had the lion’s share of the ball enjoying 54% possession and four shots on goal, with Cuiabano on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Botafogo have racked up five consecutive wins over Fluminense. In their last encounter, it was a 2-0 home victory for Botafogo. The past 10 meetings between these sides have resulted in five Botafogo victories and three Fluminense wins. There have also been two draws.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Fluminense	36	17	7	12	46	38	8	46:38	58
6	Botafogo	35	16	10	9	50	32	18	50:32	58

View Full Table

3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 2.6 shots on goal and 6.5 attempts. Fluminense have had 51.0% possession and 4.3 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.5 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 7.4 attempts, while being awarded 5.8 corners.

Top goalscorer German Cano has found the net 4 times, Hercules 2, with Luciano Acosta and two other players on 1. Keno and Kevin Serna have recorded the most assists with 2 apiece.

Botafogo have won 4, lost 3 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.8 goals from 10.4 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal. Fogo average 55.5% possession, 5.0 corners in their favour and 4.5 corners against, while conceding 1.1 goals from 8.2 attempts and 3.3 shots on goal.

Christopher Ramos has scored 3 goals, followed by Jefferson Savarino, Alvaro Montoro, Fernando Marcal and Arthur Cabral on 2. Santiago Rodriguez and Alex Telles have had 3 assists in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Fluminense confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Fabio (GK), Samuel Xavier, Thiago Silva, Juan Freytes, Rene, Martinelli, Hercules, Agustin Canobbio, Luciano Acosta, Kevin Serna, German Cano.

Botafogo confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Leonardo Linck (GK), Vitinho, Gabriel Bahia, David Ricardo, Santiago Rodriguez, Newton, Marlon Freitas, Fernando Marcal, Jefferson Savarino, Cuiabano, Christopher Ramos.

Fluminense vs Botafogo Prediction & Betting Tips

Get ready for Fluminense vs Botafogo with all the betting angles covered, from an expert match prediction and correct score advice to corners market insight, player props and a custom bet builder.

Match Prediction

Wager on Botafogo +0.25 on the Asian Handicap at -128 for this Série A game. We’re keen on their prospects of outperforming their match winner price and this wager looks like good value.

Team news plays a valuable role and our football experts are always monitoring the players who have an injury concern. We’ve also got a handle on the form guide, with plenty of Série A data provided which puts you in the picture in terms of stats.

Key Fluminense vs Botafogo league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Botafogo in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Botafogo in 14 of their last 18 games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Botafogo in 3 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Fluminense in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Fluminense in 12 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Fluminense in 6 consecutive games against Botafogo.

According to the odds, there’s a 56.2% likelihood of our pick winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 60-65% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

We advise that you move the line if you are looking for a larger price about the same selection. Make your prediction and land the bigger odds from your wager as a result.

Our user-friendly bonus guide highlights the newest betting offers, free bets, and sign-up deals in one spot.

Our Match Prediction

Botafogo Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -128 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Fluminense 0 - 1 Botafogo

There are betting odds of +700 that Botafogo land a 1-0 victory. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Luciano Acosta Under 0.5 Shots On Target -149

Luciano Acosta (Fluminense) can be backed at -149 to not record a shot on goal. In conclusion, we think that the odds offer plenty of appeal when it comes to betting on Shots on Target.

Latest Luciano Acosta Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+325

First

+700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-119

Under 0.5

-141

Shots

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

---

Jefferson Savarino to Score +510

Jefferson Savarino (Botafogo) has managed two goals in his past four Série A games. This data directs us to the Anytime Goalscorer market where we can bet him to find the net at attractive odds of +510.

Latest Jefferson Savarino Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+510

First

+1100

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-213

Shots

Over 2.5

-119

Under 2.5

-

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -112

It’s been three consecutive Botafogo away games where the 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered, while we’ve seen four of the previous five Fluminense home matches achieve the same outcome. We’re going to wager on the teams to fall short for Total Corners and this selection is available at -112.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Fluminense

Total

10.10 4.30 5.80

Home

9.60 5.60 4.00

Away

10.50 3.40 7.10

Botafogo

Total

9.50 5.00 4.50

Home

9.60 5.40 4.20

Away

8.90 3.70 5.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-125

Under 9.5

-114

Fluminense Corners

Over 5.5

+102

Under 5.5

-143

Botafogo Corners

Over 4.5

+112

Under 4.5

-156

Most Corners

1

-147

X

+650

2

+163

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Fluminense vs Botafogo Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The latest Fluminense odds are +110 which leads to them being favourites in this Série A clash. It’s also implied by the bookmakers that they have a 48% prospect of securing a victory. At +265, Botafogo are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

There’s a Draw No Bet market should you wish to have some insurance and Botafogo are +150 here. However, if you want to back favourites Fluminense, then -208 is on offer.

Under 2.5 Goals is a short-priced option for those expecting two goals or less. A different angle is going for a BTTS wager and there’s -154 available for Both Teams to Score No.

The top betting sites always do a great job when it comes to Série A games. They provide football bettors with hundreds of markets and you can cherry-pick the most attractive options.

Full-Time Result

1

+110

X

+220

2

+265

Half-Time Result

1

+185

X

+102

2

+320

Double Chance

1X

-385

12

-313

X2

-149

Draw No Bet

1

-208

2

+150

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-123

2 Hcp +0.25

-100

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-192

Over 2.5

+145

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+107

No

-154

There is +245 available that Germán Cano finds the net anytime, while the favourite to score the first goal is on offer at +500.

Germán Cano (Fluminense)

First

+245

Anytime

+500

Everaldo Stum (Fluminense)

First

+290

Anytime

+575

Chris Ramos (Botafogo)

First

+325

Anytime

+650

Luciano Acosta (Fluminense)

First

+325

Anytime

+700

Agustín Canobbio (Fluminense)

First

+390

Anytime

+800

Santiago Moreno (Fluminense)

First

+400

Anytime

+850

Marcos Silva França "Keno" (Fluminense)

First

+450

Anytime

+900

John Kennedy (Fluminense)

First

+475

Anytime

+950

Matheus Martins (Botafogo)

First

+500

Anytime

+1050

Kevin Serna (Fluminense)

First

+510

Anytime

+1100

Jefferson Savarino (Botafogo)

First

+510

Anytime

+1100

Joaquín Correa (Botafogo)

First

+575

Anytime

+1150

Santiago Rodríguez (Botafogo)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Álvaro Montoro (Botafogo)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Jefferson Ruan Santos "Jeffinho" (Botafogo)

First

+750

Anytime

+1300

Vinicius 'Lima' Moreira de Lima (Fluminense)

First

+750

Anytime

+1500

Alex Telles (Botafogo)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Nonato (Fluminense)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Luis Eduardo Soares 'Cuiabano' da Silva (Botafogo)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira (Botafogo)

First

+900

Anytime

+1700

Thiago Silva (Fluminense)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Matheus Martinelli (Fluminense)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Hércules Pereira do Nascimento (Fluminense)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Facundo Bernal (Fluminense)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2000

Thiago dos Santos (Fluminense)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Otávio Santos Passos (Fluminense)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Marques Allan (Botafogo)

First

+1200

Anytime

+2200

Germán Cano (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

+133

Everaldo Stum (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-104

Chris Ramos (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-110

Luciano Acosta (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-119

Under 0.5

-141

Agustín Canobbio (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-172

Santiago Moreno (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-161

Kevin Serna (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-208

Jefferson Savarino (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-213

Marcos Silva França "Keno" (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-200

John Kennedy (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-200

Matheus Martins (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-217

Joaquín Correa (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-233

Santiago Rodríguez (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-313

Álvaro Montoro (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-294

Jefferson Ruan Santos "Jeffinho" (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-357

Vinicius 'Lima' Moreira de Lima (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-357

Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+235

Under 0.5

-435

Alex Telles (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-526

Luis Eduardo Soares 'Cuiabano' da Silva (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-556

Matheus Martinelli (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-667

Hércules Pereira do Nascimento (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-769

Thiago Silva (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-833

Thiago dos Santos (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-714

Germán Cano (Fluminense)

Over 3.5

+140

Under 3.5

-

Jefferson Savarino (Botafogo)

Over 2.5

-119

Under 2.5

-

Chris Ramos (Botafogo)

Over 2.5

+118

Under 2.5

-

Santiago Rodríguez (Botafogo)

Over 2.5

+138

Under 2.5

-

Agustín Canobbio (Fluminense)

Over 2.5

+112

Under 2.5

-

Everaldo Stum (Fluminense)

Over 2.5

-104

Under 2.5

-

Joaquín Correa (Botafogo)

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-

Kevin Serna (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

-106

Under 1.5

-

Matheus Martins (Botafogo)

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-

Santiago Moreno (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Luciano Acosta (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Álvaro Montoro (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Jefferson Ruan Santos "Jeffinho" (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Alex Telles (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Luis Eduardo Soares 'Cuiabano' da Silva (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Thiago Silva (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-

Matheus Martinelli (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-

Hércules Pereira do Nascimento (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-

Fluminense vs Botafogo Lineups & Team News

Always review the Fluminense vs Botafogo team news before locking in your bets. We’ll bring you both the expected and confirmed lineups for Série A, along with current injury news.

Fluminense Team Page Botafogo Team Page

Top Football Pages