Fortaleza vs São Paulo Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 02 Oct 2025
Série A Betting Preview: Fortaleza vs São Paulo
Fortaleza host São Paulo in this Brazilian Série A encounter, with kick-off set for 18:30 on Thursday 2 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
If you agree with our view of a low-scoring contest between Fortaleza and São Paulo, then you can get odds of -167 about Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market. We think this has a strong chance of landing.
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Fortaleza have recorded back-to-back Série A home wins. They recently secured a 1-0 triumph against Sport Recife. The Ceará club had the majority of the ball boasting 57% possession and four shots on target, with Lucas Sasha scoring the winner just before half-time.
São Paulo have lost back-to-back league games. The latest was a 1-0 defeat against Ceará. Hernan Crespo's side had the lion’s share of the ball recording 61% possession and three shots on goal.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Fortaleza are unbeaten in the past ten matches against São Paulo, with the last encounter ending in a 0-0 draw. The past 10 H2H matches have included five Fortaleza wins along with five draws.
| Série A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |  São Paulo |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
Fortaleza have 3 wins, 6 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.1 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 8.3 attempts. Martin Palermo's team have averaged 45.0% possession and 5.5 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.8 goals from 5.9 shots on goal, 10.5 attempts and 4.7 corners.
Top goalscorer Breno Lopes has found the net 3 times, with Lucca Prior and Deyverson scoring 2 each. Matheus Pereira is the top assists maker with 4.
São Paulo have won 6, lost 3 and drawn 1, with an average of 1.3 goals from 9.3 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 56.3% possession, 6.2 corners in their favour and 3.5 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.7 goals from 6.7 attempts and 3.0 shots on goal.
We’ve seen Gonzalo Tapia, Damian Bobadilla and Robert Arboleda score 2 goals each. Nahuel Ferraresi is the top assists provider in the last 10 games with 3.
Confirmed Lineups
Fortaleza confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Brenno (GK), Emanuel Britez, Gaston Avila, Lucas Gazal, Diogo Barbosa, Lucas Sasha, Matheus Pereira, Yago Pikachu, Lucas Crispim, Jose Herrera, Deyverson.
São Paulo confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Rafael (GK), Cedric Soares, Felipe Negrucci, Sabino, Wendell, Pablo Maia, Luiz Gustavo, Emiliano Ariel Rigoni, Damian Bobadilla, Rodriguinho, Gonzalo Tapia.
Fortaleza vs São Paulo Prediction & Betting Tips
Our Fortaleza vs São Paulo betting preview covers everything you need, including a key match prediction, a corners betting angle, correct score insight, top player prop bets and a value-packed bet builder recommendation.
Match Prediction
We hope you agree with our verdict of a low-scoring encounter, with an opportunity to back the -167 for the Under 2.5 Goals selection. We are not anticipating this Série A clash to yield goals.
The Série A injury and suspension data can be utilised to provide expert football betting tips. You can also identify that a stats-led approach is adopted by considering the most important stats.
Key Fortaleza vs São Paulo league stats:
The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 62.5% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our research has found that the actual probability is closer to 70%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.
For those searching for a larger price, a possible option could be backing Under 1.5 Goals. This is a wager that will land a return for a 0-0 draw or a 1-0 victory to either side.
Make smarter bets by exploring our bonus guide full of updated betting offers, free bets, and exciting new promotions.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
1
São Paulo
We think there’s a chance of a 1-1 draw and this can be backed at odds of +475. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.
Player Prop Picks
Breno Lopes (Fortaleza) can be wagered at -159 to finish without a shot on goal. We’ll take a chance with this Shots on Target pick as the betting odds look pretty attractive.
Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo) has registered two goals in his past nine Série A matches. Based on the stats, we are happy to back the +750 when it comes to him finding the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The past five Fortaleza home matches have averaged 11.40 corners, while the average corner count has been 11.40 in the previous five São Paulo away games. If you agree with our verdict that the Total Corners line is too low, go for odds of -141 that the teams go over.
Fortaleza
São Paulo
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Try out our same-game multi picks which include less than three goals to be scored, the match to be drawn and Breno Lopes (Fortaleza) failing to record a shot on target.
Placing a bet builder means you can have various selections for one football match. You’re able to forecast various outcomes, with the odds increasing each time before going ahead and placing this wager.
Fortaleza vs São Paulo Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Fortaleza are currently available at +170 with the bookmakers to defeat São Paulo, with the latter available at the same price. If you’re siding with the draw in this Série A clash, then it can be backed at +210.
Fortaleza are +128 at -0.25 on the Asian Handicap and this gives you a half stake refund in the event of a draw. However, you get a full payout on your wager if they manage to beat São Paulo.
The Total Goals odds suggest that Under 2.5 is the likelier outcome in this contest. A different slant is having a BTTS bet and Both Teams to Score No is chalked up at -135.
If you head to our recommended sports betting sites, then you can’t go wrong with the hundreds of markets available for each Série A game. Go through the options and choose your football wager.
Favourite Luciano da Rocha is available at +525 to be the First Goalscorer. Similar odds apply if you’re interested in him to score the last goal.
- Série A: 03/05 2025 São Paulo 0 Fortaleza 0
- Série A: 28/07 2024 Fortaleza 1 São Paulo 0
- Série A: 14/04 2024 São Paulo 1 Fortaleza 2
- Série A: 21/09 2023 São Paulo 1 Fortaleza 2
- Série A: 12/05 2023 Fortaleza 0 São Paulo 0
- Série A: 28/08 2022 São Paulo 0 Fortaleza 1
- Série A: 09/05 2022 Fortaleza 1 São Paulo 1
- Série A: 11/11 2021 Fortaleza 1 São Paulo 1
- Copa do Brasil: 16/09 2021 Fortaleza 3 São Paulo 1
- Copa do Brasil: 26/08 2021 São Paulo 2 Fortaleza 2
Fortaleza League Stats
São Paulo League Stats
- 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.10 corners awarded and 4.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.20 corners awarded and 3.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 5.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 45.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 48.10% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 56.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.40% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Fortaleza this season are Breno Lopes (4), Deyverson (3), Juan Martin Lucero (3)
- Top Assistors for Fortaleza this season are Matheus Pereira (4), Allanzinho (2), Eros Mancuso (2)
Fortaleza vs São Paulo Lineups & Team News
Be prepared — check the Fortaleza vs São Paulo team news before wagering. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed Série A lineups as well as the most recent injury news.
Fortaleza Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
São Paulo Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Fortaleza Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
São Paulo Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Fortaleza Substitutes
- 7Tomas Pochettino
- 9Juan Martin Lucero
- 10Yeison Guzman
- 11Marinho
- 13Benjamin Kuscevic
- 20Matheus Rossetto
- 23Helton Leite
- 26Breno Lopes
- 27Adam Bareiro
- 29Rodrigo Santos
- 30Pierre
- 70Pablo
São Paulo Substitutes
- 8Oscar
- 10Luciano Neves
- 11Ferreira
- 13Enzo Hernan Diaz
- 19Juan Dinenno
- 20Marcos Antonio
- 22Mailton
- 25Alisson
- 36Patryck
- 45Lucca Marques
- 50Young
- 53Isac
Previous Fortaleza Lineups
Previous São Paulo Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Fortaleza Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Martin Palermo
São Paulo Player Stats & Squad
Série A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Botafogo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Chapecoense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Vitória | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 4 | Bahia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 7 | São Paulo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 8 | Athletico PR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 10 | Palmeiras | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 11 | Atlético MG | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 13 | Flamengo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 14 | Grêmio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 15 | Vasco da Gama | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 16 | Coritiba | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 17 | Internacional | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 18 | Santos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 19 | Remo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 20 | Cruzeiro | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Botafogo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Chapecoense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Vitória | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 5 | Mirassol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 6 | São Paulo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 7 | Atlético MG | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 8 | Bahia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Athletico PR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Palmeiras | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Flamengo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Grêmio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Vasco da Gama | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Santos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Remo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 | Cruzeiro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 | Corinthians | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 19 | Coritiba | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 20 | Internacional | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
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