Fortaleza vs São Paulo Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 02 Oct 2025

Série A Betting Preview: Fortaleza vs São Paulo

Fortaleza host São Paulo in this Brazilian Série A encounter, with kick-off set for 18:30 on Thursday 2 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

A Tight Game In Store

If you agree with our view of a low-scoring contest between Fortaleza and São Paulo, then you can get odds of -167 about Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market. We think this has a strong chance of landing.

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Goalless Draw in in Previous H2H Clash

Fortaleza have recorded back-to-back Série A home wins. They recently secured a 1-0 triumph against Sport Recife. The Ceará club had the majority of the ball boasting 57% possession and four shots on target, with Lucas Sasha scoring the winner just before half-time.

São Paulo have lost back-to-back league games. The latest was a 1-0 defeat against Ceará. Hernan Crespo's side had the lion’s share of the ball recording 61% possession and three shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Fortaleza are unbeaten in the past ten matches against São Paulo, with the last encounter ending in a 0-0 draw. The past 10 H2H matches have included five Fortaleza wins along with five draws.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
7	São Paulo	25	9	8	8	27	25	2	27:25	35
19	Fortaleza	24	5	6	13	24	38	-14	24:38	21

View Full Table

Fortaleza have 3 wins, 6 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.1 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 8.3 attempts. Martin Palermo's team have averaged 45.0% possession and 5.5 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.8 goals from 5.9 shots on goal, 10.5 attempts and 4.7 corners.

Top goalscorer Breno Lopes has found the net 3 times, with Lucca Prior and Deyverson scoring 2 each. Matheus Pereira is the top assists maker with 4.

São Paulo have won 6, lost 3 and drawn 1, with an average of 1.3 goals from 9.3 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 56.3% possession, 6.2 corners in their favour and 3.5 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.7 goals from 6.7 attempts and 3.0 shots on goal.

We’ve seen Gonzalo Tapia, Damian Bobadilla and Robert Arboleda score 2 goals each. Nahuel Ferraresi is the top assists provider in the last 10 games with 3.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Fortaleza predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): João Ricardo (GK), Emanuel Brítez, Lucas Gazal, Gaston Avila, Diogo Barbosa, Lucas Sasha, Matheus Pereira, Yago Pikachu, Lucas Crispim, Breno Lopes, Deyverson.

São Paulo predicted lineup (3-5-2): Rafael (GK), Alan Franco, Sabino, Wendell, Cedric Soares, Alisson, Damián Bobadilla, Rodriguinho, Enzo Díaz, Luciano, Aldemir Ferreira.

Fortaleza vs São Paulo Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Fortaleza vs São Paulo betting preview covers everything you need, including a key match prediction, a corners betting angle, correct score insight, top player prop bets and a value-packed bet builder recommendation.

Match Prediction

We hope you agree with our verdict of a low-scoring encounter, with an opportunity to back the -167 for the Under 2.5 Goals selection. We are not anticipating this Série A clash to yield goals.

The Série A injury and suspension data can be utilised to provide expert football betting tips. You can also identify that a stats-led approach is adopted by considering the most important stats.

Key Fortaleza vs São Paulo league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Fortaleza games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Fortaleza games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 11 of the last 19 Fortaleza games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 5 São Paulo games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 São Paulo games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 São Paulo games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 games between these teams.

Under 2.5 Probability

The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 62.5% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our research has found that the actual probability is closer to 70%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

For those searching for a larger price, a possible option could be backing Under 1.5 Goals. This is a wager that will land a return for a 0-0 draw or a 1-0 victory to either side.

Make smarter bets by exploring our bonus guide full of updated betting offers, free bets, and exciting new promotions.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -167 Watch Live Bet Now

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Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Fortaleza 1 - 1 São Paulo

We think there’s a chance of a 1-1 draw and this can be backed at odds of +480. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Breno Lopes Under 0.5 Shots On Target -159

Breno Lopes (Fortaleza) can be wagered at -159 to finish without a shot on goal. We’ll take a chance with this Shots on Target pick as the betting odds look pretty attractive.

Latest Breno Lopes Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+400

First

+800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-156

Shots

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

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Damián Bobadilla to Score +750

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo) has registered two goals in his past nine Série A matches. Based on the stats, we are happy to back the +750 when it comes to him finding the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Damián Bobadilla Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+750

First

+1500

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-345

Shots

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -141

The past five Fortaleza home matches have averaged 11.40 corners, while the average corner count has been 11.40 in the previous five São Paulo away games. If you agree with our verdict that the Total Corners line is too low, go for odds of -141 that the teams go over.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Fortaleza

Total

10.20 5.50 4.70

Home

11.30 7.10 4.20

Away

10.20 5.60 4.60

São Paulo

Total

9.70 6.20 3.50

Home

9.60 5.50 4.10

Away

9.90 4.60 5.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-141

Under 9.5

-102

Fortaleza Corners

Over 4.5

-138

Under 4.5

-100

São Paulo Corners

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-120

Most Corners

1

-109

X

+650

2

+123

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Fortaleza vs São Paulo Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Game Could Go Right to the Wire According to the Bookies

If you want to back Fortaleza to win this Série A clash, then the bookies have priced them up at +170 on the 1x2 market. São Paulo are available at betting odds of +160 and the draw is +225.

São Paulo are +123 at -0.25 on the Asian Handicap and this gives you a half stake refund in the event of a draw. However, you get a full payout on your wager if they manage to beat Fortaleza.

The Total Goals odds suggest that Under 2.5 is the likelier outcome in this contest. A different slant is having a BTTS bet and Both Teams to Score No is chalked up at -128.

If you head to our recommended sports betting sites, then you can’t go wrong with the hundreds of markets available for each Série A game. Go through the options and choose your football wager.

Full-Time Result

1

+170

X

+225

2

+160

Half-Time Result

1

+240

X

+107

2

+220

Double Chance

1X

-222

12

-313

X2

-233

Draw No Bet

1

-112

2

-120

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-154

2 Hcp -0.25

+123

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-164

Over 2.5

+125

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-110

No

-128

Luciano da Rocha is the First Goalscorer Favourite

Favourite Luciano da Rocha is available at +500 to be the First Goalscorer. Similar odds apply if you’re interested in him to score the last goal.

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

First

+250

Anytime

+500

Deyverson Silva Acosta (Fortaleza)

First

+300

Anytime

+650

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

First

+310

Anytime

+650

Mario Sergio 'Marinho' Santos Costa (Fortaleza)

First

+320

Anytime

+650

Juan Lucero (Fortaleza)

First

+335

Anytime

+750

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

First

+350

Anytime

+700

Juan Dinenno (São Paulo)

First

+390

Anytime

+750

Breno Lopes (Fortaleza)

First

+400

Anytime

+800

Oscar (São Paulo)

First

+450

Anytime

+950

Yago Souza Lisboa "Pikachu" (Fortaleza)

First

+450

Anytime

+950

Emiliano Rigoni (São Paulo)

First

+475

Anytime

+1000

Tomás Pochettino (Fortaleza)

First

+550

Anytime

+1200

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

First

+750

Anytime

+1500

Rodrigo Almeida Mendonca "Rodriguinho" (São Paulo)

First

+750

Anytime

+1500

Matheus Pereira da Silva (Fortaleza)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Rafael Tolói (São Paulo)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Marcos Antônio Silva Santos (São Paulo)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Robert Arboleda (São Paulo)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Wendell (São Paulo)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Cédric Soares (São Paulo)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+125

Deyverson Silva Acosta (Fortaleza)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-125

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-118

Mario Sergio 'Marinho' Santos Costa (Fortaleza)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-119

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-128

Juan Lucero (Fortaleza)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-143

Juan Dinenno (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-154

Breno Lopes (Fortaleza)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-156

Yago Souza Lisboa "Pikachu" (Fortaleza)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-200

Oscar (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-200

Emiliano Rigoni (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-213

Tomás Pochettino (Fortaleza)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-270

Rodrigo Almeida Mendonca "Rodriguinho" (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-313

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-345

Matheus Pereira da Silva (Fortaleza)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-400

Rafael Tolói (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+255

Under 0.5

-556

Robert Arboleda (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-625

Marcos Antônio Silva Santos (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-1000

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

-128

Under 2.5

-

Deyverson Silva Acosta (Fortaleza)

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

-

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-

Mario Sergio 'Marinho' Santos Costa (Fortaleza)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-

Juan Lucero (Fortaleza)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-

Rodrigo Almeida Mendonca "Rodriguinho" (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-

Tomás Pochettino (Fortaleza)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Emiliano Rigoni (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

+118

Under 1.5

-

Oscar (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

+108

Under 1.5

-

Yago Souza Lisboa "Pikachu" (Fortaleza)

Over 1.5

-108

Under 1.5

-

Breno Lopes (Fortaleza)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Juan Dinenno (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

-

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Matheus Pereira da Silva (Fortaleza)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Rafael Tolói (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Marcos Antônio Silva Santos (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-

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Fortaleza vs São Paulo Lineups & Team News

Be prepared — check the Fortaleza vs São Paulo team news before wagering. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed Série A lineups as well as the most recent injury news.

Fortaleza Team Page São Paulo Team Page