Fortaleza vs São Paulo Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 02 Oct 2025

Série A Betting Preview: Fortaleza vs São Paulo

Fortaleza host São Paulo in this Brazilian Série A encounter, with kick-off set for 18:30 on Thursday 2 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

If you agree with our view of a low-scoring contest between Fortaleza and São Paulo, then you can get odds of -167 about Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market. We think this has a strong chance of landing.

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Fortaleza have recorded back-to-back Série A home wins. They recently secured a 1-0 triumph against Sport Recife. The Ceará club had the majority of the ball boasting 57% possession and four shots on target, with Lucas Sasha scoring the winner just before half-time.

São Paulo have lost back-to-back league games. The latest was a 1-0 defeat against Ceará. Hernan Crespo's side had the lion’s share of the ball recording 61% possession and three shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Fortaleza are unbeaten in the past ten matches against São Paulo, with the last encounter ending in a 0-0 draw. The past 10 H2H matches have included five Fortaleza wins along with five draws.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
9	São Paulo	33	12	9	12	37	36	1	37:36	45
19	Fortaleza	33	7	10	16	34	51	-17	34:51	31

View Full Table

Fortaleza have 3 wins, 6 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.1 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 8.3 attempts. Martin Palermo's team have averaged 45.0% possession and 5.5 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.8 goals from 5.9 shots on goal, 10.5 attempts and 4.7 corners.

Top goalscorer Breno Lopes has found the net 3 times, with Lucca Prior and Deyverson scoring 2 each. Matheus Pereira is the top assists maker with 4.

São Paulo have won 6, lost 3 and drawn 1, with an average of 1.3 goals from 9.3 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 56.3% possession, 6.2 corners in their favour and 3.5 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.7 goals from 6.7 attempts and 3.0 shots on goal.

We’ve seen Gonzalo Tapia, Damian Bobadilla and Robert Arboleda score 2 goals each. Nahuel Ferraresi is the top assists provider in the last 10 games with 3.

Confirmed Lineups

Fortaleza confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Brenno (GK), Emanuel Britez, Gaston Avila, Lucas Gazal, Diogo Barbosa, Lucas Sasha, Matheus Pereira, Yago Pikachu, Lucas Crispim, Jose Herrera, Deyverson.

São Paulo confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Rafael (GK), Cedric Soares, Felipe Negrucci, Sabino, Wendell, Pablo Maia, Luiz Gustavo, Emiliano Ariel Rigoni, Damian Bobadilla, Rodriguinho, Gonzalo Tapia.

Fortaleza vs São Paulo Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Fortaleza vs São Paulo betting preview covers everything you need, including a key match prediction, a corners betting angle, correct score insight, top player prop bets and a value-packed bet builder recommendation.

Match Prediction

We hope you agree with our verdict of a low-scoring encounter, with an opportunity to back the -167 for the Under 2.5 Goals selection. We are not anticipating this Série A clash to yield goals.

The Série A injury and suspension data can be utilised to provide expert football betting tips. You can also identify that a stats-led approach is adopted by considering the most important stats.

Key Fortaleza vs São Paulo league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Fortaleza games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Fortaleza games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 11 of the last 19 Fortaleza games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 5 São Paulo games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 São Paulo games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 São Paulo games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 games between these teams.

The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 62.5% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our research has found that the actual probability is closer to 70%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

For those searching for a larger price, a possible option could be backing Under 1.5 Goals. This is a wager that will land a return for a 0-0 draw or a 1-0 victory to either side.

Make smarter bets by exploring our bonus guide full of updated betting offers, free bets, and exciting new promotions.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -167 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Fortaleza 1 - 1 São Paulo

We think there’s a chance of a 1-1 draw and this can be backed at odds of +475. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Breno Lopes Under 0.5 Shots On Target -159

Breno Lopes (Fortaleza) can be wagered at -159 to finish without a shot on goal. We’ll take a chance with this Shots on Target pick as the betting odds look pretty attractive.

Latest Breno Lopes Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+400

First

+800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-159

Shots

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

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Damián Bobadilla to Score +750

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo) has registered two goals in his past nine Série A matches. Based on the stats, we are happy to back the +750 when it comes to him finding the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Damián Bobadilla Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+700

First

+1600

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-417

Shots

Over 0.5

-270

Under 0.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -141

The past five Fortaleza home matches have averaged 11.40 corners, while the average corner count has been 11.40 in the previous five São Paulo away games. If you agree with our verdict that the Total Corners line is too low, go for odds of -141 that the teams go over.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Fortaleza

Total

10.20 5.50 4.70

Home

11.30 7.10 4.20

Away

10.20 5.60 4.60

São Paulo

Total

9.70 6.20 3.50

Home

9.60 5.50 4.10

Away

9.90 4.60 5.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-137

Under 9.5

-103

Fortaleza Corners

Over 4.5

-152

Under 4.5

+108

São Paulo Corners

Over 4.5

-119

Under 4.5

-116

Most Corners

1

-110

X

+650

2

+125

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Fortaleza vs São Paulo Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Fortaleza are currently available at +170 with the bookmakers to defeat São Paulo, with the latter available at the same price. If you’re siding with the draw in this Série A clash, then it can be backed at +210.

Fortaleza are +128 at -0.25 on the Asian Handicap and this gives you a half stake refund in the event of a draw. However, you get a full payout on your wager if they manage to beat São Paulo.

The Total Goals odds suggest that Under 2.5 is the likelier outcome in this contest. A different slant is having a BTTS bet and Both Teams to Score No is chalked up at -135.

If you head to our recommended sports betting sites, then you can’t go wrong with the hundreds of markets available for each Série A game. Go through the options and choose your football wager.

Full-Time Result

1

+170

X

+210

2

+170

Half-Time Result

1

+235

X

+104

2

+235

Double Chance

1X

-238

12

-294

X2

-233

Draw No Bet

1

-118

2

-115

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+128

2 Hcp +0.25

-159

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-179

Over 2.5

+138

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-104

No

-135

Favourite Luciano da Rocha is available at +525 to be the First Goalscorer. Similar odds apply if you’re interested in him to score the last goal.

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

First

+265

Anytime

+525

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

First

+300

Anytime

+650

Deyverson Silva Acosta (Fortaleza)

First

+300

Anytime

+650

Mario Sergio 'Marinho' Santos Costa (Fortaleza)

First

+330

Anytime

+650

Juan Lucero (Fortaleza)

First

+335

Anytime

+750

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

First

+360

Anytime

+700

Juan Dinenno (São Paulo)

First

+400

Anytime

+750

Breno Lopes (Fortaleza)

First

+400

Anytime

+800

Yago Souza Lisboa "Pikachu" (Fortaleza)

First

+440

Anytime

+950

Emiliano Rigoni (São Paulo)

First

+450

Anytime

+1000

Oscar (São Paulo)

First

+480

Anytime

+950

Jose Herrera (Fortaleza)

First

+510

Anytime

+1150

Tomás Pochettino (Fortaleza)

First

+550

Anytime

+1100

Matheus Pereira da Silva (Fortaleza)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Rodrigo Almeida Mendonca "Rodriguinho" (São Paulo)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Rafael Tolói (São Paulo)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Luiz Gustavo (São Paulo)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Marcos Antônio Silva Santos (São Paulo)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Robert Arboleda (São Paulo)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Wendell (São Paulo)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Cédric Soares (São Paulo)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

+120

Deyverson Silva Acosta (Fortaleza)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-123

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-122

Mario Sergio 'Marinho' Santos Costa (Fortaleza)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-120

Juan Lucero (Fortaleza)

Over 0.5

-119

Under 0.5

-143

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-133

Juan Dinenno (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-164

Breno Lopes (Fortaleza)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-159

Yago Souza Lisboa "Pikachu" (Fortaleza)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-208

Emiliano Rigoni (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-227

Oscar (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-217

Tomás Pochettino (Fortaleza)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-270

Rodrigo Almeida Mendonca "Rodriguinho" (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-357

Jose Herrera (Fortaleza)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-400

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-417

Matheus Pereira da Silva (Fortaleza)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-455

Rafael Tolói (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-588

Luiz Gustavo (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-667

Robert Arboleda (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-625

Wendell (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-1111

Cédric Soares (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+360

Under 0.5

-1250

Marcos Antônio Silva Santos (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+370

Under 0.5

-1250

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

-120

Under 2.5

-

Deyverson Silva Acosta (Fortaleza)

Over 2.5

-164

Under 2.5

-

Mario Sergio 'Marinho' Santos Costa (Fortaleza)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

Emiliano Rigoni (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

+107

Under 1.5

-

Rodrigo Almeida Mendonca "Rodriguinho" (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Tomás Pochettino (Fortaleza)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Jose Herrera (Fortaleza)

Over 1.5

+143

Under 1.5

-

Oscar (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

Yago Souza Lisboa "Pikachu" (Fortaleza)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Breno Lopes (Fortaleza)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

Juan Dinenno (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

-

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

-

Juan Lucero (Fortaleza)

Over 1.5

-192

Under 1.5

-

Matheus Pereira da Silva (Fortaleza)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-270

Under 0.5

-

Rafael Tolói (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-

Luiz Gustavo (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Marcos Antônio Silva Santos (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-

Wendell (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-

Cédric Soares (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Fortaleza vs São Paulo Lineups & Team News

Be prepared — check the Fortaleza vs São Paulo team news before wagering. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed Série A lineups as well as the most recent injury news.

Fortaleza Team Page São Paulo Team Page

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