Fortaleza vs Vélez Sarsfield Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 12 Aug 2025

Copa Libertadores Betting Preview: Fortaleza vs Vélez Sarsfield

Brazilian Série A side Fortaleza host Argentine Primera División club Vélez Sarsfield in the first leg of this Copa Libertadores round of 16 tie at Estádio Castelão, with kick-off set for 18:00 on Tuesday 12 August. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats and team news.

Fortaleza to Outscore Vélez

We’re going for a straight pick on Fortaleza when it comes to the Full-Time Result market. We think the hosts can achieve some kind of victory against Vélez Sarsfield, with odds of +102 currently available.

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Both Teams Lost Last Time Out

Fortaleza were defeated last time out and that was in Série A. They were beaten at home to Botafogo by a 5-0 scoreline. Renato Paiva's team had only 36% possession and one shot on target.

Vélez Sarsfield were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road. San Lorenzo claimed a 1-0 Primera División victory. El Fortín boasted 59% possession, but were unable to manage a shot on goal.

Copa Libertadores		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Fortaleza	6	2	2	2	8	5	3	8:5	8
1	Vélez Sarsfield	6	3	2	1	11	4	7	11:4	11

View Full Table

Fortaleza have 1 win, 7 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.8 goals from 3.4 shots on goal and 9.4 attempts. The Lion of the Pici have averaged 45.2% possession and 6.2 corners per game, with the opposition getting 2.4 goals from 6.5 shots on goal, 12.0 attempts and 4.1 corners.

Top goalscorers are Deyverson and Yago Pikachu on 2 goals, while Breno Lopes has bagged 1. Matheus Pereira is the top assists maker on 3.

Vélez have won 3, lost 5 and drawn 2, averaging 2.8 shots on goal, 5.9 attempts and 0.6 goals. Guillermo Barros Schelotto's side average 53.3% possession, 4.4 corners taken and 4.3 corners against them, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 9.7 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal.

Maher Carrizo and Braian Romero have scored 2, followed by Tomas Galvan with 1. Agustin Bouzat has been top assists provider with 2 in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Fortaleza confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Helton Leite (GK), Eros Mancuso, Benjamin Kuscevic, Gaston Avila, Diogo Barbosa, Leandro Martinez, Lucca Prior, Lucas Sasha, Marinho, Deyverson, Breno Lopes.

Vélez Sarsfield confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Tomas Marchiori (GK), Jano Gordon, Emanuel Mammana, Lisandro Magallan, Elias Gomez, Rodrigo Aliendro, Claudio Baeza, Maher Carrizo, Tomas Galvan, Matias Pellegrini, Braian Romero.

Fortaleza vs Vélez Sarsfield Prediction & Betting Tips

Our expert Fortaleza vs Vélez Sarsfield tips include betting advice on all fronts — from a main match prediction and player prop guidance to a correct score selection and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

Fortaleza can deliver the goods and we’ll back them with confidence for this Copa Libertadores match. The odds of +102 look attractive when it comes to the home team and we’re feeling confident.

We’re always aware of the injuries and suspensions for each team before we decide which way to go with our football picks. The form and data also help the Copa Libertadores experts at Sportsgambler.com when it comes to a betting view on the action.

Key Fortaleza vs Vélez Sarsfield Copa Libertadores & league stats:

• Vélez have lost 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

Fortaleza to Win Probability

The latest odds imply that our pick has a 49.5% prospect of winning. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

If you’re expecting Fortaleza to win but also think they’ll keep a clean sheet, then it stands to reason to back the bigger odds on the Result + Both Teams to Score No market.

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Our Match Prediction

Fortaleza To Win @ +102 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Fortaleza 1 - 0 Vélez

There are betting odds of +450 that Fortaleza land a 1-0 victory. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Diego Valdés Under 0.5 Shots On Target -149

Diego Valdés (Vélez) is available at -149 to not have a shot on goal. He looks like an attractive pick and we’ll have a bet on this Shots on Target outcome as the betting odds stand out.

Latest Diego Valdés Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+550

First

+1100

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-141

Shots

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

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Juan Lucero to Score +330

Juan Lucero (Fortaleza) has netted three goals in his past eight home games. It’s worth a play on the +330 that he is Anytime Goalscorer as there’s lots of value for these betting odds.

Latest Juan Lucero Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+330

First

+750

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-112

Shots

Over 2.5

+138

Under 2.5

-

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Fortaleza vs Vélez Sarsfield Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Fortaleza Have the Shortest Odds to Win

With a 44% chance of winning according to the latest odds, Fortaleza are favourites to prosper in this Copa Libertadores encounter and they’re available at +128 with the bookies. Vélez Sarsfield are an outside chance to get the job done and you can now back them at +255.

If Fortaleza only draw with Vélez, then the Asian Handicap -0.25 wager means you get half your stake back. However, you get a full payout at -118 if they’re able to land a victory.

If you’re anticipating that two goals or less will be netted throughout the contest, then Under 2.5 Goals is a definite runner. A fresh approach might involve siding with a BTTS wager and there’s -172 on offer for Both Teams to Score No.

It’s great to access hundreds of markets whichever Copa Libertadores game interests you. The top football betting sites have got every angle covered for bettors.

Full-Time Result

1

+128

X

+200

2

+255

Half-Time Result

1

+210

X

-106

2

+320

Double Chance

1X

-333

12

-244

X2

-156

Draw No Bet

1

-189

2

+130

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-118

2 Hcp +0.25

-122

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-238

Over 2.5

+185

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+123

No

-172

Deyverson Silva Acosta Top of First Goalscorer List

Deyverson Silva Acosta is priced at +450 when it comes to First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and also available at odds of +215 to find the net anytime.

Deyverson Silva Acosta (Fortaleza)

First

+215

Anytime

+450

Mario Sergio 'Marinho' Santos Costa (Fortaleza)

First

+250

Anytime

+525

Braian Romero (Vélez)

First

+280

Anytime

+575

Juan Lucero (Fortaleza)

First

+330

Anytime

+750

Breno Lopes (Fortaleza)

First

+370

Anytime

+750

Maher Carrizo (Vélez)

First

+410

Anytime

+850

Tomás Pochettino (Fortaleza)

First

+525

Anytime

+1050

Emmanuel Martínez (Fortaleza)

First

+525

Anytime

+1150

Diego Valdés (Vélez)

First

+550

Anytime

+1100

Imanol Machuca (Vélez)

First

+700

Anytime

+1300

Tomás Galván (Vélez)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Francisco Pizzini (Vélez)

First

+900

Anytime

+1700

Matias Pellegrini (Vélez)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Lucas Sasha (Fortaleza)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Benjamín Kuscevic (Fortaleza)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Mario Sergio 'Marinho' Santos Costa (Fortaleza)

Over 0.5

-286

Under 0.5

+155

Deyverson Silva Acosta (Fortaleza)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

+125

Juan Lucero (Fortaleza)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-112

Breno Lopes (Fortaleza)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-115

Braian Romero (Vélez)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-127

Diego Valdés (Vélez)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-141

Maher Carrizo (Vélez)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-172

Tomás Pochettino (Fortaleza)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-172

Emmanuel Martínez (Fortaleza)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-217

Matias Pellegrini (Vélez)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-238

Francisco Pizzini (Vélez)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-200

Imanol Machuca (Vélez)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-217

Tomás Galván (Vélez)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-333

Lucas Sasha (Fortaleza)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-667

Benjamín Kuscevic (Fortaleza)

Over 0.5

+325

Under 0.5

-833

Mario Sergio 'Marinho' Santos Costa (Fortaleza)

Over 3.5

-149

Under 3.5

-

Deyverson Silva Acosta (Fortaleza)

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

-

Juan Lucero (Fortaleza)

Over 2.5

+138

Under 2.5

-

Breno Lopes (Fortaleza)

Over 2.5

-127

Under 2.5

-

Braian Romero (Vélez)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Maher Carrizo (Vélez)

Over 1.5

+116

Under 1.5

-

Tomás Pochettino (Fortaleza)

Over 1.5

+104

Under 1.5

-

Emmanuel Martínez (Fortaleza)

Over 1.5

+108

Under 1.5

-

Diego Valdés (Vélez)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

Matias Pellegrini (Vélez)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Imanol Machuca (Vélez)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Tomás Galván (Vélez)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Francisco Pizzini (Vélez)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Sasha (Fortaleza)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-

Benjamín Kuscevic (Fortaleza)

Over 0.5

-110

Under 0.5

-

Latest Copa Libertadores and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Fortaleza Stats

Vélez Sarsfield Stats

Full-Time Result

• 1 win, 7 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 0.80 goals scored and 2.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 0.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 0.50 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 1.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 6.20 corners awarded and 4.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 6.50 corners awarded and 4.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 10.90 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 4.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 2.80 corners awarded and 4.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 7.60 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 45.20% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 46.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 4 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 53.30% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 49.80% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches

Fortaleza vs Vélez Sarsfield Lineups & Team News

Make sure to look over the Fortaleza vs Vélez team news before betting. Receive the predicted and confirmed Copa Libertadores lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.