Copa Libertadores Betting Preview: Fortaleza vs Vélez Sarsfield

Brazilian Série A side Fortaleza host Argentine Primera División club Vélez Sarsfield in the first leg of this Copa Libertadores round of 16 tie at Estádio Castelão, with kick-off set for 18:00 on Tuesday 12 August 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats and team news.

Fortaleza to Outscore Vélez

We’re going for a straight pick on Fortaleza when it comes to the Full-Time Result market. We think the hosts can achieve some kind of victory against Vélez Sarsfield, with odds of +102 currently available.

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Both Teams Lost Last Time Out

Fortaleza were defeated last time out and that was in Série A. They were beaten at home to Botafogo by a 5-0 scoreline. Renato Paiva's team had only 36% possession and one shot on target.

Vélez Sarsfield were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road. San Lorenzo claimed a 1-0 Primera División victory. El Fortín boasted 59% possession, but were unable to manage a shot on goal.

Copa Libertadores		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Fortaleza	6	2	2	2	8	5	3	8:5	8
1	Vélez Sarsfield	6	3	2	1	11	4	7	11:4	11

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Fortaleza – Last 10 League & Copa Libertadores Games

Fortaleza have 1 win, 7 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.8 goals from 3.4 shots on goal and 9.4 attempts. The Lion of the Pici have averaged 45.2% possession and 6.2 corners per game, with the opposition getting 2.4 goals from 6.5 shots on goal, 12.0 attempts and 4.1 corners.

Top goalscorers are Deyverson and Yago Pikachu on 2 goals, while Breno Lopes has bagged 1. Matheus Pereira is the top assists maker on 3.

Vélez Sarsfield – Last 10 League & Copa Libertadores Games

Vélez have won 3, lost 5 and drawn 2, averaging 2.8 shots on goal, 5.9 attempts and 0.6 goals. Guillermo Barros Schelotto's side average 53.3% possession, 4.4 corners taken and 4.3 corners against them, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 9.7 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal.

Maher Carrizo and Braian Romero have scored 2, followed by Tomas Galvan with 1. Agustin Bouzat has been top assists provider with 2 in the previous 10 games.

Fortaleza vs Vélez Sarsfield Prediction & Betting Tips

Our expert Fortaleza vs Vélez Sarsfield tips include betting advice on all fronts — from a main match prediction and player prop guidance to a correct score selection and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

Fortaleza can deliver the goods and we’ll back them with confidence for this Copa Libertadores match. The odds of +102 look attractive when it comes to the home team and we’re feeling confident.

We’re always aware of the injuries and suspensions for each team before we decide which way to go with our football picks. The form and data also help the Copa Libertadores experts at Sportsgambler.com when it comes to a betting view on the action.

Key Fortaleza vs Vélez Sarsfield Copa Libertadores & league stats:

Vélez have lost 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

Fortaleza to Win Probability

The latest odds imply that our pick has a 49.5% prospect of winning. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If you’re expecting Fortaleza to win but also think they’ll keep a clean sheet, then it stands to reason to back the bigger odds on the Result + Both Teams to Score No market.

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Our Match Prediction

Fortaleza To Win @ +102 Watch Live Bet Now

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Published 00:07, 11 August 2025

Correct Score Prediction

Fortaleza

1 - 0 Vélez logo

Vélez

There are betting odds of +450 that Fortaleza land a 1-0 victory. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.

Latest Correct Score Odds

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Player Prop Picks

Diego Valdés Under 0.5 Shots On Target -149

Diego Valdés (Vélez) is available at -149 to not have a shot on goal. He looks like an attractive pick and we’ll have a bet on this Shots on Target outcome as the betting odds stand out.

Latest Diego Valdés Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Shots On Target

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Juan Lucero to Score +330

Juan Lucero (Fortaleza) has netted three goals in his past eight home games. It’s worth a play on the +330 that he is Anytime Goalscorer as there’s lots of value for these betting odds.

Latest Juan Lucero Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Shots On Target

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Bet Builder Tips

Full-Time Result Fortaleza +102

Total Goals Under 2.5 -192

Shots On Target Diego Valdés Under 0.5 -149

If you fancy a same-game multi, then why not take Fortaleza to succeed, two or less goals in total merged with Diego Valdés (Vélez) failing to have a shot on target.

A bet builder provides an exciting opportunity to follow various picks for the same football match. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single bet. The odds can combine to great effect.

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Fortaleza vs Vélez Sarsfield Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Fortaleza Have the Shortest Odds to Win

With a 49% chance of winning according to the latest odds, Fortaleza are favourites to prosper in this Copa Libertadores encounter and they’re available at +105 with the bookies. Vélez Sarsfield are an outside chance to get the job done and you can now back them at +295.

Fortaleza are +104 when it comes to the Asian Handicap -0.5 which is the same as backing them on the 1x2 market. If you instead want to bet on Vélez +0.5 at -128, you also get paid out if it’s a draw.

If you’re anticipating that two goals or less will be netted throughout the contest, then Under 2.5 Goals is a definite runner. A fresh approach might involve siding with a BTTS wager and there’s -161 on offer for Both Teams to Score No.

It’s great to access hundreds of markets whichever Copa Libertadores game interests you. The top football betting sites have got every angle covered for bettors.

Full-Time Result

Half-Time Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Asian Handicap

Total Goals

Both Teams to Score

Mario Sergio 'Marinho' Santos Costa Top of First Goalscorer List

Mario Sergio 'Marinho' Santos Costa is priced at +510 when it comes to First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and also available at odds of +265 to find the net anytime.

Player Goals

Mario Sergio 'Marinho' Santos Costa (Fortaleza)

Braian Romero (Vélez)

Deyverson Silva Acosta (Fortaleza)

Juan Lucero (Fortaleza)

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Player Shots On Target

Mario Sergio 'Marinho' Santos Costa (Fortaleza)

Deyverson Silva Acosta (Fortaleza)

Juan Lucero (Fortaleza)

Braian Romero (Vélez)

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Last 5 Games

Fortaleza

Vélez

Team Stats

Latest Copa Libertadores and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Fortaleza Stats

Vélez Sarsfield Stats

Full-Time Result

1 win, 7 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

An average of 0.80 goals scored and 2.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

An average of 0.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
An average of 0.50 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
An average of 1.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

An average of 6.20 corners awarded and 4.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
An average of 6.50 corners awarded and 4.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
An average of 10.90 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 4.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
An average of 2.80 corners awarded and 4.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
An average of 7.60 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

An average of 45.20% possession in the last 10 matches
An average of 46.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
Most possession in 4 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

An average of 53.30% possession in the last 10 matches
An average of 49.80% possession in the last 10 away matches
Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches

Live Stream

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Fortaleza vs Vélez Sarsfield Lineups & Team News

Make sure to look over the Fortaleza vs Vélez team news before betting. Stay updated with confirmed Copa Libertadores lineups and the latest injury reports.