Freiburg vs St. Pauli Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 09 Nov 2025
Bundesliga Betting Preview: Freiburg vs St. Pauli
Freiburg square off against St. Pauli at Europa-Park Stadion, with kick-off set for 09:30 on Sunday 9 November. Our betting preview features expert German Bundesliga predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
Best Bet Could Be Freiburg for the Win
Our opinion is that Freiburg will prove too strong in all departments and we’ll therefore take the -127 that they beat St. Pauli. This Full-Time Result bet looks like a value proposition.
Betting on Freiburg to come out on top? Make sure you’re getting the best value by unlocking the exclusive BetMGM promo code and checking out our full review.
1-0 Win for Freiburg in Last Head-to-Head
Freiburg played out a 0-0 draw in their last Bundesliga game. This was away from home at Alten Foersterei against Union Berlin. The Breisgau-Brazilians had the majority of the ball boasting 63% possession and four shots on target.
Three days ago, Freiburg triumphed 3-1 away to Nice in the Europa League.
St. Pauli have been defeated in six straight games. They were recently beaten at home to Borussia Monchengladbach by a 4-0 scoreline at Millerntor-Stadion. Alexander Blessin's side recorded 56% possession and had four shots on goal.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The last clash between Freiburg and St. Pauli saw the former triumph on the road. It was a 1-0 scoreline at Millerntor-Stadion. The past 3 H2H games have seen two Freiburg victories and just one triumph for St. Pauli.
| Bundesliga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |  Freiburg |
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 11:13 | 10 |
| 15 |  St. Pauli |
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 8:18 | 7 |
2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 11.2 attempts. Freiburg have had 49.8% possession, 403.5 passes and 3.9 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.6 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 12.0 attempts, while being awarded 3.8 corners.
Vincenzo Grifo leads the way with 3 goals, with Derry Scherhant and Igor Matanovic getting 2 apiece. Johan Manzambi, Chukwubuike Adamu and Vincenzo Grifo have the most assists with 1, while goalie Noah Atubolu has recorded 3 clean sheets.
St. Pauli – Last 10 League GamesSt. Pauli have 2 victories, 7 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 0.8 goals from 12.2 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal. The Hamburg outfit average 52.8% possession, 511.6 passes, 5.7 corners awarded and 3.1 corners against them, while conceding 2.0 goals from 10.3 attempts and 5.9 shots on goal.
Andreas Hountondji got 3 goals, Danel Sinani notched 2, while Hauke Wahl and two other players scored 1. Mathias Pereira Lage, Joel Chima Fujita and Manolis Saliakas have had 1 assists in the last 10 games, while Nikola Vasilj has one clean sheet to his name.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Freiburg predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Noah Atubolu (GK), Lukas Kübler, Matthias Ginter, Philipp Lienhart, Jordy Makengo, Maximilian Eggestein, Johan Manzambi, Jan-Niklas Beste, Lucas Höler, Vincenzo Grifo, Junior Adamu.
St. Pauli predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Nikola Vasilj (GK), Hauke Wahl, Eric Smith, Karol Mets, Manolis Saliakas, James Sands, Joel Chima Fujita, Louis Oppie, Mathias Pereira Lage, Oladapo Afolayan, Andreas Hountondji.
Freiburg vs St. Pauli Prediction & Betting Tips
Our Freiburg vs St. Pauli tips include the main match prediction, a correct score forecast, a corners recommendation, bet builder advice and top player prop picks. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.
Match Prediction
There are several reasons to back Freiburg, especially considering that you can get value odds of -127. We think that the favourites will have too much in hand for this Bundesliga encounter.
The football betting tips stem from knowing the team news and the latest form for each side. We work hard to unearth the most pertinent Bundesliga stats which can also act as a guide.
Key Freiburg vs St. Pauli league stats:
Freiburg to Win Probability
According to the latest odds, there’s a 55.9% likelihood of our pick winning. However, our experts have this number between 60-65% based on their in-depth research. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.
One betting option for those looking for bigger odds is Freiburg to claim a victory along with both teams finding the net. You can get a juicy price when it comes to combining our pick with BTTS Yes.
Get ahead of the game by checking our latest guide full of betting offers, welcome bonuses, and free bet deals.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
0
St. Pauli
We’ve got a correct score prediction which involves Freiburg winning 1-0. Odds of +575 look appealing and we should get a run for our money here.
Player Prop Picks
Andréas Hountondji (St. Pauli) has finished without a shot on goal in five straight Bundesliga games. There’s plenty of evidence that he will go under the line and you can secure odds of -161 for this Shots on Target bet.
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Vincenzo Grifo (Freiburg) has managed two goals in his past five Bundesliga home matches. We’ll use this stat and take odds of +270 that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.
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Corners Prediction
Freiburg have had under 5.5 corners in four consecutive games, while St. Pauli have had an average of 2.80 corners against them in their last 5 matches. We’re expecting Freiburg to fall short of the mark, with odds of -161 on offer when it comes to this Team Corners selection.
Freiburg
St. Pauli
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Bet Builder Tips
If you’re up for a bet builder, then we’ve got Freiburg to triumph, Under 2.5 goals and also Freiburg to finish with under 5.5 corners.
The bet builder feature allows football punters to place a multiple wager on the same game. You can forecast specific things to happen and enjoy larger odds compared to betting a single. The odds multiply for each leg.
Freiburg vs St. Pauli Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Bookies Think Freiburg Most Likely to Win
With the bookies giving them a 56% probability of winning, Freiburg might be a popular acca pick. Their current betting odds are -127 when it comes to triumphing in this Bundesliga clash. St. Pauli are regarded as the least likely winner at +340.
If you’re feeling confident of a win for Freiburg, the Asian Handicap -0.5 option is priced at -125. You might instead think that St. Pauli +0.5 at -100 is more appealing and the draw is included here.
The current odds reflect that there’s not much between Over 2.5 Goals and Under 2.5 Goals. Both Teams to Score wagering is popular and you are able to land -115 when it comes to the BTTS Yes and BTTS No picks.
Bettors love the flexibility that hundreds of markets provide and that is for every Bundesliga game. The best football betting sites ensure that their customers always have plenty of options.
Lucas Holer Top of First Goalscorer List
Lucas Holer is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +575. If you want to back him to score the last goal, you can get similar odds.
Can Freiburg Continue Unbeaten Home Streak?
Freiburg haven’t lost any of their past five games at Europa-Park Stadion. The Breisgau-Brazilians have four wins, three draws and three losses in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.80 goals per match and conceding 1.90.
St. Pauli have suffered a three match losing run away from home. Alexander Blessin's side have recorded five losses, three draws and two wins in the previous 10 away games, scoring an average of 0.90 goals per match and conceding 1.40.
In the last meeting at Europa-Park Stadion, St. Pauli defeated Freiburg by a 3-0 scoreline.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg Home Stats |
4-3-3 | 3.70 | 1.80 | 1.90 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 1 | |
| St. Pauli Away Stats |
2-3-5 | 2.30 | 0.90 | 1.40 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 6 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Freiburg League Stats
St. Pauli League Stats
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 7 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 9 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 3.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 4.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 7.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 3.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.40 corners awarded and 3.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 49.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 50.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 52.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 45.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Freiburg this season are Vincenzo Grifo (3), Derry Scherhant (2), Igor Matanovic (2)
- Top Assistors for Freiburg this season are Christian Guenter (1), Chukwubuike Adamu (1), Johan Manzambi (1)
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Freiburg vs St. Pauli Lineups & Team News
Check the Freiburg vs St. Pauli team news before you place your bets. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed Bundesliga lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries.
Freiburg Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
St Pauli Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Freiburg Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
St Pauli Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Previous Freiburg Lineups
Previous St. Pauli Lineups
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 33:4 | 27 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Dortmund | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15:6 | 20 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 14:10 | 18 |
| 5 | Leverkusen | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:14 | 17 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18:15 | 16 |
| 7 | Werder Bremen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:18 | 15 |
| 8 | FC Koln | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:12 | 14 |
| 9 | Frankfurt | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22:19 | 14 |
| 10 | Union Berlin | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | 11 |
| 11 | Freiburg | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:13 | 10 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | 8 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 14 | Augsburg | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12:21 | 7 |
| 15 | St. Pauli | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8:18 | 7 |
| 16 | B. M'gladbach | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 6 |
| 17 | Mainz 05 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | 5 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8:17 | 5 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20:1 | 15 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:3 | 12 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 12 |
| 4 | Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 10 |
| 5 | Dortmund | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 10 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 7 | Union Berlin | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 8 | FC Koln | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 7 |
| 9 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 10 | Frankfurt | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:8 | 6 |
| 11 | Freiburg | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 5 |
| 12 | Heidenheim | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | 5 |
| 13 | St. Pauli | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:13 | 4 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:9 | 3 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:15 | 3 |
| 16 | Wolfsburg | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | 2 |
| 17 | B. M'gladbach | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:13 | 2 |
| 18 | Mainz 05 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | 1 |
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