Genoa vs Fiorentina Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 09 Nov 2025

Serie A Betting Preview: Genoa vs Fiorentina

Genoa clash with Fiorentina at Stadio Luigi Ferraris, with kick-off set for 09:00 on Sunday 9 November. Our betting preview features expert Italian Serie A predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Will Genoa Stay Within Touching Distance?

Genoa look capable of beating Fiorentina and we’ll take them on the Asian Handicap. Back the home team at -159 with a +0.25 goal start, with our stake split between 0 and +0.5 which means a return if they avoid defeat.

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Fiorentina 2-1 Win in Previous H2H Encounter

Genoa triumphed in their last game which was away from home. Sassuolo were beaten 2-1 at Stadio Mapei. Daniele De Rossi's side had just 39% possession and recorded four shots on target, while Ruslan Malinovsky and Leo Oestigard each scored one goal.

Fiorentina have lost in back-to-back Serie A outings. In a recent home game at Stadio Artemio Franchi, they were turned over 1-0 by Lecce. La Viola had the lion’s share of the ball enjoying 63% possession and four shots on goal.

Three days ago, Fiorentina were beaten 2-1 when facing Mainz 05 away in the Europa Conference League.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Fiorentina have triumphed in the last two clashes against Genoa. When hosting at Stadio Artemio Franchi, there was a 2-1 scoreline and that came after a 1-0 away win at Stadio Luigi Ferraris. In the previous 10 H2H matches, we’ve seen five Fiorentina victories, one Genoa win and four draws.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
18	Genoa	10	1	3	6	6	14	-8	6:14	6
20	Fiorentina	10	0	4	6	7	16	-9	7:16	4

View Full Table

Genoa have 1 win, 6 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.6 goals from 11.3 attempts and 3.3 shots on goal. The Liguria club have averaged 48.9% possession, 372.5 passes and 4.5 corners per game, conceding 1.4 goals and 4.1 corners from 10.3 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal.

Ruslan Malinovsky is the top scorer along with five other players, with each of them scoring 1 goals. Aaron Martin Caricol, Brooke Norton-Cuffy and Ruslan Malinovsky have recorded the most assists with 1 apiece. Meanwhile, goalkeeper Nicola Leali has kept 2 clean sheets.

Fiorentina have 6 defeats and 4 draws, averaging 2.8 shots on goal, 10.9 attempts and 0.7 goals. Daniele Galloppa's team average 49.9% possession, 379.6 passes, 4.1 corners taken and 4.8 corners against them, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 12.4 attempts and 4.8 shots on goal.

The leading scorers have been Moise Kean and Rolando Mandragora with 2, while Albert Gudmundsson has 1. Hans Nicolussi Caviglia and Albert Gudmundsson have both had 1 assists, with David de Gea notching 2 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Genoa predicted lineup (3-5-2): Nicola Leali (GK), Alessandro Marcandalli, Leo Østigard, Johan Vásquez, Brooke Norton-Cuffy, Morten Frendrup, Patrizio Masini, Morten Thorsby, Aaron Martin, Vitinha, Lorenzo Colombo.

Fiorentina predicted lineup (3-5-2): David De Gea (GK), Marin Pongračić, Pablo Mari, Luca Ranieri, Dodo, Rolando Mandragora, Hans Nicolussi Caviglia, Nicolò Fagioli, Niccolò Fortini, Albert Gudmundsson, Moise Kean.

Genoa vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Genoa vs Fiorentina betting tips provide expert coverage of all major angles, including our main match prediction, top player prop picks, correct score recommendation, corners betting angle and best bet builder insights.

Match Prediction

We’ll split our stake by backing Genoa +0.25 at odds of -159 for this Asian Handicap wager. There’s every chance that we see a strong performance from the home team in this Serie A encounter.

Our panel of football writers survey the latest injuries and suspensions. When combined with the form guide, this helps us secure the best odds. Our stats-led approach backed up by key Serie A data is helpful.

Key Genoa vs Fiorentina league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Genoa in 12 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Fiorentina in 10 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Fiorentina in 14 of their last 20 games.

Genoa +0.25 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 61.3% chance of winning. However, we think that the probability is close to 70% taking all factors into consideration. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

There’s an opportunity to take an alternative bet on Genoa, with Winning Margin giving you the chance to predict how many goals a team will win by. Choose from a range of fixed intervals.

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Our Match Prediction

Genoa Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -159 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Genoa 1 - 0 Fiorentina

Our correct score prediction is a 1-0 win for Genoa which is available at odds of +550. We think they’ll achieve victory and this is a way of getting bigger odds and more excitement.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Lorenzo Colombo Under 0.5 Shots On Target -130

Lorenzo Colombo (Genoa) hasn’t registered a shot on goal in five consecutive Serie A games. We expect him not to cover the line and this Shots on Target wager can be taken at -130.

Latest Lorenzo Colombo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+310

First

+650

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-130

Shots

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-

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Morten Frendrup To Score +900

Morten Frendrup (Genoa) can be backed to find the net at +900. We’re happy to take this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.

Latest Morten Frendrup Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+900

First

+2000

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Corners Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners -154

It’s been three consecutive Genoa games where the 8.5 Total Corners line has been covered. The amount of corners might be larger than the line implies and that means a bet at odds of -154.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Genoa

Total

8.60 4.50 4.10

Home

8.10 4.70 3.40

Away

9.60 3.20 6.40

Fiorentina

Total

8.90 4.10 4.80

Home

7.70 3.00 4.70

Away

8.80 4.40 4.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-137

Under 8.5

-102

Genoa Corners

Over 4.5

+102

Under 4.5

-143

Fiorentina Corners

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-141

Most Corners

1

+110

X

+600

2

+104

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Genoa vs Fiorentina Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Close Game On the Cards According to Latest Odds

The bookmakers have priced up the Full-Time Result odds and Fiorentina are +170 to come out on top, while Genoa are +180. The draw is available at +195 if you expect the clash to finish level.

You can back Fiorentina at -122 on the Draw No Bet market, with money back if the game is a draw. Genoa are -111 and this could be an attractive option for those who want some insurance.

A low-scoring contest will be predicted by several which is reflected in the fact that Under 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds. The Both Teams to Score No pick is -143 if you’re expecting at least one side will fail to find the net.

You’ll be blown away by the hundreds of markets available for Serie A matches. Head to the best betting sites and take your pick from the various football options available.

Full-Time Result

1

+180

X

+195

2

+170

Half-Time Result

1

+250

X

-100

2

+235

Double Chance

1X

-227

12

-263

X2

-244

Draw No Bet

1

-111

2

-122

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-159

2 Hcp -0.25

+128

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-208

Over 2.5

+155

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+108

No

-143

Moise Kean Shortest Odds for First Goalscorer

Favourite Moise Kean is priced at +400 to be the first player to find the net. There’s also the opportunity to back him to score any time at odds of +200.

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

First

+200

Anytime

+400

Roberto Piccoli (Fiorentina)

First

+290

Anytime

+575

Lorenzo Colombo (Genoa)

First

+310

Anytime

+650

Edin Dzeko (Fiorentina)

First

+320

Anytime

+600

Caleb Ekuban (Genoa)

First

+340

Anytime

+750

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

First

+390

Anytime

+800

Junior Messias (Genoa)

First

+420

Anytime

+900

Vitor Oliveira "Vitinha" (Genoa)

First

+430

Anytime

+900

Maxwel Cornet (Genoa)

First

+440

Anytime

+950

Ruslan Malinovskyi (Genoa)

First

+480

Anytime

+1100

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Nicolae Stanciu (Genoa)

First

+550

Anytime

+1200

Albert Gronbaek (Genoa)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Jacopo Fazzini (Fiorentina)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Seydou Fini (Genoa)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Hans Nicolussi Caviglia (Fiorentina)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Morten Thorsby (Genoa)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Mikael Egill Ellertsson (Genoa)

First

+800

Anytime

+1600

Nicolò Fagioli (Fiorentina)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Morten Frendrup (Genoa)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Patrizio Masini (Genoa)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Cher Ndour (Fiorentina)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Simon Sohm (Fiorentina)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Roberto Piccoli (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-111

Edin Dzeko (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-123

Lorenzo Colombo (Genoa)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-130

Caleb Ekuban (Genoa)

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-159

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+104

Under 0.5

-204

Junior Messias (Genoa)

Over 0.5

+114

Under 0.5

-233

Vitor Oliveira "Vitinha" (Genoa)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-233

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-250

Ruslan Malinovskyi (Genoa)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-250

Maxwel Cornet (Genoa)

Over 0.5

+133

Under 0.5

-278

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

+138

Under 1.5

-294

Nicolae Stanciu (Genoa)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-294

Jacopo Fazzini (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-333

Albert Gronbaek (Genoa)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-370

Seydou Fini (Genoa)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-455

Hans Nicolussi Caviglia (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-476

Mikael Egill Ellertsson (Genoa)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-556

Morten Thorsby (Genoa)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-667

Nicolò Fagioli (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-769

Patrizio Masini (Genoa)

Over 0.5

+295

Under 0.5

-1000

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

Over 3.5

+102

Under 3.5

-

Roberto Piccoli (Fiorentina)

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-

Lorenzo Colombo (Genoa)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-

Edin Dzeko (Fiorentina)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-

Caleb Ekuban (Genoa)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

-110

Under 1.5

-

Junior Messias (Genoa)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

Vitor Oliveira "Vitinha" (Genoa)

Over 1.5

-106

Under 1.5

-

Maxwel Cornet (Genoa)

Over 1.5

+118

Under 1.5

-

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

-102

Under 1.5

-

Nicolae Stanciu (Genoa)

Over 1.5

+106

Under 1.5

-

Jacopo Fazzini (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Morten Thorsby (Genoa)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Genoa Have Developed Winless Habit at Home

Genoa are winless in the last eight games at Stadio Luigi Ferraris. Daniele De Rossi's side have recorded six defeats, two victories and two draws in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 0.60 goals per game and conceding 1.40.

Fiorentina have not triumphed in five straight away matches. La Viola have racked up four draws, four losses and two victories in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 1.40.

The last Stadio Luigi Ferraris meeting saw Fiorentina beat Genoa 1-0. In the previous 5 H2H meetings at Stadio Luigi Ferraris, we have seen three Fiorentina triumphs, one Genoa win and one draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Genoa Home Stats		2-2-6	2.00	0.60	1.40	4	6	3	7
Fiorentina Away Stats		2-4-4	2.40	1.00	1.40	6	4	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Genoa vs Fiorentina Lineups & Team News

Don’t miss the latest Genoa vs Fiorentina team news before you bet. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed Serie A lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries.

Genoa Team Page Fiorentina Team Page