Genoa vs Lazio Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 29 Sep 2025

Serie A Betting Preview: Genoa vs Lazio

Genoa host Lazio in this Italian Serie A game at Stadio Luigi Ferraris, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Monday 29 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

We Predict a Close Encounter

Genoa +0.25 look like a value bet on the Asian Handicap. This involves splitting our stake between 0 and +0.5, with a win against Lazio the desired outcome at betting odds of -130.

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8 Lazio Victories in Previous 10 H2H Clashes

Genoa were defeated on the road in their last Serie A game. Bologna won 2-1 at Stadio Renato Dell'Ara. The Liguria club had 41% possession and totalled four shots on target, while Mikael Egill Ellertsson bagged the goal.

Four days ago, Genoa won 3-1 at home in the Coppa Italia against Empoli.

Lazio have lost in back-to-back Serie A outings. In a recent home game at Stadio Olimpico, they were turned over 1-0 by Roma. Maurizio Sarri's side had 48% possession and managed two shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Lazio have four successive wins against Genoa. Their last encounter saw Lazio leave Stadio Luigi Ferraris with a 2-0 victory. The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved eight Lazio wins, a single draw and one Genoa victory.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
13	Lazio	4	1	0	3	4	4	0	4:4	3
16	Genoa	4	0	2	2	2	4	-2	2:4	2

View Full Table

Genoa have 1 win, 6 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 8.0 attempts. Patrick Vieira's team have averaged 45.4% possession, 356.2 passes and 4.1 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.5 goals from 4.9 shots on goal, 12.9 attempts and 6.1 corners.

Vitinha, Lorenzo Venturino and Andrea Pinamonti are joint-top scorers with 2 goals on the board. Leading assistor is Aaron Martin Caricol with 4, while goalie Nicola Leali has recorded one clean sheet.

Lazio have won 3, lost 4 and drawn 3, averaging 13.6 attempts, 4.4 shots on goal and 1.2 goals. The Rome club average 58.2% possession, 502.5 passes, 5.6 corners awarded and 3.7 corners against them, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 3.9 shots on goal and 10.2 attempts.

Pedro Rodriguez is top of the team’s scoring charts with 4 goals, Boulaye Dia has 3 and Valentin Castellanos is on 2. Valentin Castellanos, Nicolo Rovella and Luca Pellegrini have clocked up 2 assists, with Christos Mandas keeping 2 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Genoa predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Nicola Leali (GK), Brooke Norton-Cuffy, Leo Østigard, Johan Vásquez, Aaron Martin, Morten Frendrup, Patrizio Masini, Valentin Carboni, Ruslan Malinovskyi, Mikael Egill Ellertsson, Lorenzo Colombo.

Lazio predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Ivan Provedel (GK), Adam Marusic, Mario Gila, Alessio Romagnoli, Nuno Tavares, Toma Basic, Danilo Cataldi, Matteo Cancellieri, Pedro Rodriguez, Mattia Zaccagni, Valentín Castellanos.

Genoa vs Lazio Prediction & Betting Tips

Get fully prepped for Genoa vs Lazio with our betting guide, featuring our expert match pick, predicted scoreline, sharp corners advice, top player props and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

Genoa +0.25 on the Asian Handicap could be the way forward at odds of -130. The home team should be able to avoid defeat in this Serie A clash and we’re optimistic that they can land a win.

Sportsgambler.com boast Serie A expertise and that comes from knowing the team news once it’s announced. The latest form will also fuel our football betting tips and we make sure that the best stats are on hand.

Key Genoa vs Lazio league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Genoa in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Genoa in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Lazio in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Lazio in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Lazio in 3 consecutive games on the road.

Genoa +0.25 Probability

Based on the odds from the best betting apps, our pick carries a 56.5% chance of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 60-65%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

Selling goals can be a great alternative and allows bettors to enjoy a bigger return on a similar selection. For a more conservative pick, you can alternatively buy goals.

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Our Match Prediction

Genoa Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -130 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Genoa 1 - 0 Lazio

There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing Genoa to win 1-0. We can’t pass up the odds of +650 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Mattia Zaccagni Over 0.5 Shots On Target -100

Mattia Zaccagni (Lazio) has finished with one or more shots on goal in three consecutive Serie A matches. We think this could be a decisive stat and we’ll bet on him to cover the Shots on Target line which is on offer at odds of -100.

Latest Mattia Zaccagni Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+400

First

+850

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-159

Shots

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

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Mikael Egill Ellertsson To Score +850

Mikael Egill Ellertsson (Genoa) can be wagered at +850 to be on the scoresheet. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive based on the evidence and we’ll plump for him to find the net.

Latest Mikael Egill Ellertsson Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+850

First

+1700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-556

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Corners Prediction

Lazio Over 4.5 Corners -138

There’s been an average 6.40 Lazio corners in their past five matches, with Genoa conceding a corner average of 6.40 in the previous five games. There’s everything to like about the Lazio Team Corners line which looks low and we’d expect them to go over at -138.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Genoa

Total

10.20 4.10 6.10

Home

9.50 4.70 4.80

Away

9.00 3.30 5.70

Lazio

Total

9.30 5.60 3.70

Home

10.10 6.70 3.40

Away

10.20 4.60 5.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-104

Under 9.5

-137

Genoa Corners

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-150

Lazio Corners

Over 4.5

-138

Under 4.5

-100

Most Corners

1

+170

X

+650

2

-154

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Genoa vs Lazio Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Tight Clash on the Cards According to the Bookies

Lazio are +140 with the bookies to get the better of Genoa, with the latter having betting odds of +210. If you want to back the draw to be landed in this Serie A encounter, this can be wagered at +210.

Lazio can be backed at -149 on the Draw No Bet and you’ll get stakes refunded if the game ends level. Alternatively, Genoa can be chanced at +110 on the same market.

The Total Goals market always provides an interesting angle and Under 2.5 Goals is the shortest-priced option. If you’re expecting at least one team to keep a clean sheet, you might be interested in the -137 about Both Teams to Score No.

The top football betting sites are on hand to provide lots of choice to bettors. It’s now the case that you can select from hundreds of markets for all of the Serie A games.

Full-Time Result

1

+210

X

+210

2

+140

Half-Time Result

1

+280

X

+102

2

+210

Double Chance

1X

-185

12

-286

X2

-286

Draw No Bet

1

+110

2

-149

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-130

2 Hcp -0.25

+105

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-185

Over 2.5

+140

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+104

No

-137

Valentín Castellanos is the First Goalscorer Favourite

Favourite Valentín Castellanos is now available at +480 to be the First Goalscorer. You will find similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.

Valentín Castellanos (Lazio)

First

+240

Anytime

+480

Lorenzo Colombo (Genoa)

First

+320

Anytime

+650

Boulaye Dia (Lazio)

First

+360

Anytime

+750

Mattia Zaccagni (Lazio)

First

+400

Anytime

+850

Matteo Cancellieri (Lazio)

First

+400

Anytime

+850

Junior Messias (Genoa)

First

+430

Anytime

+850

Vitor Oliveira "Vitinha" (Genoa)

First

+450

Anytime

+900

Gustav Isaksen (Lazio)

First

+480

Anytime

+1000

Nicolae Stanciu (Genoa)

First

+550

Anytime

+1200

Fisayo Dele-Bashiru (Lazio)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Seydou Fini (Genoa)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Matías Vecino (Lazio)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Mikael Egill Ellertsson (Genoa)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Morten Frendrup (Genoa)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Patrizio Masini (Genoa)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Danilo Cataldi (Lazio)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Nicolò Rovella (Lazio)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Mario Gila (Lazio)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Nuno Tavares (Lazio)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Valentín Castellanos (Lazio)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

+130

Lorenzo Colombo (Genoa)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-133

Boulaye Dia (Lazio)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-141

Mattia Zaccagni (Lazio)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-159

Matteo Cancellieri (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-167

Gustav Isaksen (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-200

Nicolae Stanciu (Genoa)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-204

Junior Messias (Genoa)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-217

Vitor Oliveira "Vitinha" (Genoa)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-217

Fisayo Dele-Bashiru (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-286

Seydou Fini (Genoa)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-385

Matías Vecino (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-385

Mikael Egill Ellertsson (Genoa)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-556

Morten Frendrup (Genoa)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-625

Nicolò Rovella (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-667

Patrizio Masini (Genoa)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-714

Danilo Cataldi (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-667

Nuno Tavares (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-769

Mario Gila (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-769

Valentín Castellanos (Lazio)

Over 2.5

-147

Under 2.5

-

Lorenzo Colombo (Genoa)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

Boulaye Dia (Lazio)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-

Mattia Zaccagni (Lazio)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Matteo Cancellieri (Lazio)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Junior Messias (Genoa)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-

Vitor Oliveira "Vitinha" (Genoa)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Gustav Isaksen (Lazio)

Over 1.5

-103

Under 1.5

-

Nicolae Stanciu (Genoa)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Seydou Fini (Genoa)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Matías Vecino (Lazio)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Morten Frendrup (Genoa)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-

Danilo Cataldi (Lazio)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Nicolò Rovella (Lazio)

Over 0.5

-119

Under 0.5

-

Nuno Tavares (Lazio)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Past Three H2H Stadio Luigi Ferraris Meetings Have Seen Lazio Beat Genoa

Genoa have gone without a win at Stadio Luigi Ferraris in the last five games. Il Grifone have four wins, four losses and two draws in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.10 goals per match and conceding 1.00.

Lazio have failed to win in their last three matches on their travels. Maurizio Sarri's side have finished with five wins, three losses and two draws in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

Lazio were 2-0 victors against Genoa last time out at Stadio Luigi Ferraris. The previous 6 H2H meetings at Stadio Luigi Ferraris have involved four Lazio triumphs, one Genoa win and one draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Genoa Home Stats		4-2-4	2.10	1.10	1.00	3	7	4	6
Lazio Away Stats		5-2-3	2.20	1.00	1.20	4	6	3	7

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Genoa vs Lazio Lineups & Team News

Make sure you're up to date on the Genoa vs Lazio team news before betting. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed Serie A lineups along with the latest injury developments.

Genoa Team Page Lazio Team Page