Germany vs Portugal Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Jun 2025

Germany Look the Smart Pick

Get ready for this Nations League semi-final as Germany clash with Portugal at Allianz Arena in Munich.

The standout bet can be found on the Full-Time Result market where Germany are currently priced at -112. We think they can overcome Portugal and this looks a value play.

4-2 Victory for Germany in Previous H2H Clash

Germany advanced to this semi-final after beating Italy on penalties in the second quarter-final leg (3-3 AET). The action took place at Signal Iduna Park, with Julian Nagelsmann's team enjoying 56% possession and winning the shots on target 7-3.

Joshua Kimmich, Jamal Musiala and Tim Kleindienst scored for Germany in regular time, while Moise Kean (2) and Giacomo Raspadori found the net for Italy.

Portugal claimed a 5-2 extra-time win (3-2 after 90 mins) when hosting Denmark in the second leg of their quarter-final tie. Portugal boasted 59% possession and won the shots on target 11-4 at Estadio Jose Alvalade, with Trincao scoring two regular time goals for the Navigators. Rasmus Kristensen and Christian Eriksen bagged the goals for Denmark.

Head-to-Head Statistics

These two teams last met at Allianz Arena, with Germany claiming the Euro 2020 win. Beating Portugal by a 4-2 scoreline.

Nations League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Portugal	6	4	2	0	13	5	8	13:5	14
1	Germany	6	4	2	0	18	4	14	18:4	14

View Full Table

6 wins, 1 loss and 3 draws, averaging 2.6 goals from 6.4 shots on goal and 17.1 attempts. Germany have had 57.6% possession, 600.3 passes and 5.3 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.0 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 9.7 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 3.9 corners.

Tim Kleindienst, Jamal Musiala and Florian Wirtz lead the way with 4 goals, while Kai Havertz has scored 3. Joshua Kimmich has the most assists with 6, while goalies Oliver Baumann, Alexander Nuebel and Marc-Andre ter Stegen have collectively recorded 3 clean sheets.

Portugal have won 6, lost 2 and drawn 2, with an average of 2.4 goals from 5.7 shots on goal and 16.4 attempts. Roberto Martinez's team have averaged 59.8% possession, 658.3 passes, 7.9 corners awarded and 5.3 corners against, while the Navigators have conceded 1.3 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 12.4 attempts.

The leading scorer has been Cristiano Ronaldo with 6, while Trincao and Bruno Fernandes have 2. Nuno Mendes has been the top assist maker on 4, with Diogo Costa notching 2 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Germany confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Marc-Andre ter Stegen (GK), Jonathan Tah, Robin Koch, Waldemar Anton, Joshua Kimmich, Aleksandar Pavlovic, Leon Goretzka, Maximilian Mittelstaedt, Leroy Sane, Florian Wirtz, Nick Woltemade.

Portugal confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Diogo Costa (GK), Joao Neves, Ruben Dias, Goncalo Inacio, Nuno Mendes, Ruben Neves, Bernardo Silva, Trincao, Bruno Fernandes, Pedro Neto, Cristiano Ronaldo.

Germany vs Portugal Prediction & Betting Tips

We believe that Germany are excellent value at -112 when it comes to this Nations League semi-final. The odds look really attractive and we’re confident of landing a return here.

We study the form as a first port of call and also make sure we’re across any injuries before making any football predictions. Then it’s a case of understanding the sort of narrative that the stats provide.

Key Germany vs Portugal stats:

• Germany have won 6 of their last 7 home games.
• Germany have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 4 home games
• Portugal have failed to win any of their last 3 away games.

Germany to Win Probability

The bookies make it a 52.9% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability close to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

Germany are available at a range of odds on the Asian Handicap. If you are looking for a bigger price, then check out the latest lines and choose the bet that makes the most appeal.

Our Match Prediction

Germany To Win @ -112 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Germany 2 - 1 Portugal

We’ve got a correct score prediction which involves Germany winning 2-1. Odds of +650 look appealing and we should get a run for our money here.

Player Prop Picks

Cristiano Ronaldo Over 2.5 Shots -147

Cristiano Ronaldo (Portugal) has recorded over 2.5 shots in eight of his past nine matches. We think that the value can be found by wagering on Player Shots and you can get -147 that he goes over the line.

Latest Cristiano Ronaldo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+180

First

+480

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+118

Shots

Over 3.5

+138

Under 3.5

-

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Florian Wirtz to Score +205

Florian Wirtz (Germany) has racked up three goals in his past four games on home soil. We think there’s value in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop bet at +205 which will hopefully see him find the net.

Latest Florian Wirtz Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+195

First

+525

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+115

Shots

Over 1.5

-286

Under 1.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -132

The 9.5 Total Corners line has been covered in six consecutive Portugal away matches, while the same outcome has happened in three straight Germany games. We think that the value can be found by wagering on Total Corners and you can get -132 that the teams go over the line.

Competitive Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Germany

Total

9.20 5.30 3.90

Home

8.71 5.57 3.14

Away

10.83 6.50 4.33

Portugal

Total

13.20 7.90 5.30

Home

14.14 9.43 4.71

Away

11.33 6.33 5.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-143

Under 9.5

+102

Germany Corners

Over 5.5

-109

Under 5.5

-128

Portugal Corners

Over 4.5

+107

Under 4.5

-149

Most Corners

1

-164

X

+575

2

+155

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Germany vs Portugal Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Germany Win on the Cards According to the Bookies

Germany are available at -116 to come away with a triumph in this Nations League clash, meaning a 54% likelihood of winning according to the published betting odds. Portugal are the +280 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.

You can choose between Germany -0.5 at -116 or Portugal +0.5 at -108 if you’re looking to bet on the Asian Handicap. The former is the same as the 1x2 market, while the latter means you also get a payout if it’s a draw.

The Total Goals market indicates that Over 2.5 Goals is the betting favourite right now. If you’re anticipating that both teams will score, the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -200.

If you’re wanting hundreds of football markets, then the good news is that the top betting sites can provide this. For any Nations League match, take your pick and hopefully find a winning angle.

Full-Time Result

1

-116

X

+275

2

+280

Half-Time Result

1

+143

X

+140

2

+290

Double Chance

1X

-400

12

-385

X2

-114

Draw No Bet

1

-250

2

+170

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-116

2 Hcp +0.5

-108

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+138

Over 2.5

-179

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-200

No

+143

Niclas Füllkrug is the First Goalscorer Favourite

There is +163 available that Niclas Füllkrug finds the net anytime, while the favourite to score the first goal is on offer at +440.

Niclas Füllkrug (Germany)

First

+163

Anytime

+440

Jonathan Burkardt (Germany)

First

+175

Anytime

+440

Deniz Undav (Germany)

First

+175

Anytime

+440

Cristiano Ronaldo (Portugal)

First

+180

Anytime

+480

Nick Woltemade (Germany)

First

+188

Anytime

+480

Florian Wirtz (Germany)

First

+195

Anytime

+525

Gonçalo Ramos (Portugal)

First

+225

Anytime

+575

Leroy Sané (Germany)

First

+245

Anytime

+600

Bruno Fernandes (Portugal)

First

+270

Anytime

+700

Joao Felix (Portugal)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Karim Adeyemi (Germany)

First

+310

Anytime

+750

Nadiem Amiri (Germany)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Serge Gnabry (Germany)

First

+320

Anytime

+750

Diogo Jota (Portugal)

First

+330

Anytime

+850

Rodrigo Mora de Carvalho (Portugal)

First

+380

Anytime

+950

Felix Nmecha (Germany)

First

+390

Anytime

+1000

Leon Goretzka (Germany)

First

+410

Anytime

+1050

Francisco Conceição (Portugal)

First

+430

Anytime

+1150

Pedro Goncalves (Portugal)

First

+440

Anytime

+1150

Pedro Neto (Portugal)

First

+460

Anytime

+1200

Robin Gosens (Germany)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Tom Bischof (Germany)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Francisco Trincão (Portugal)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Pascal Gross (Germany)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Bernardo Silva (Portugal)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Robin Koch (Germany)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Joshua Kimmich (Germany)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Aleksandar Pavlovic (Germany)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Rúben Neves (Portugal)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Renato Veiga (Portugal)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Niclas Füllkrug (Germany)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

+133

Deniz Undav (Germany)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

+132

Jonathan Burkardt (Germany)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

+117

Cristiano Ronaldo (Portugal)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+118

Florian Wirtz (Germany)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+115

Nick Woltemade (Germany)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

+106

Leroy Sané (Germany)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-105

Gonçalo Ramos (Portugal)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-120

Bruno Fernandes (Portugal)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-143

Serge Gnabry (Germany)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-159

Joao Felix (Portugal)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-156

Karim Adeyemi (Germany)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-164

Nadiem Amiri (Germany)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-164

Diogo Jota (Portugal)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-172

Francisco Conceição (Portugal)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-238

Leon Goretzka (Germany)

Over 0.5

+138

Under 0.5

-244

Pedro Neto (Portugal)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-278

Pedro Goncalves (Portugal)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-263

Robin Gosens (Germany)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-357

Francisco Trincão (Portugal)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-357

Bernardo Silva (Portugal)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-357

Pascal Gross (Germany)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-370

Robin Koch (Germany)

Over 0.5

+255

Under 0.5

-588

Joshua Kimmich (Germany)

Over 0.5

+255

Under 0.5

-556

Renato Veiga (Portugal)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-714

Cristiano Ronaldo (Portugal)

Over 3.5

+138

Under 3.5

-

Niclas Füllkrug (Germany)

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

-

Jonathan Burkardt (Germany)

Over 2.5

-123

Under 2.5

-

Deniz Undav (Germany)

Over 2.5

-141

Under 2.5

-

Nick Woltemade (Germany)

Over 2.5

+114

Under 2.5

-

Leroy Sané (Germany)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Bruno Fernandes (Portugal)

Over 2.5

+105

Under 2.5

-

Pedro Neto (Portugal)

Over 1.5

+132

Under 1.5

-

Francisco Conceição (Portugal)

Over 1.5

+108

Under 1.5

-

Leon Goretzka (Germany)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

-

Diogo Jota (Portugal)

Over 1.5

-120

Under 1.5

-

Nadiem Amiri (Germany)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

-

Serge Gnabry (Germany)

Over 1.5

-132

Under 1.5

-

Karim Adeyemi (Germany)

Over 1.5

-139

Under 1.5

-

Joao Felix (Portugal)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Gonçalo Ramos (Portugal)

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

Florian Wirtz (Germany)

Over 1.5

-286

Under 1.5

-

Robin Gosens (Germany)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Pascal Gross (Germany)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Bernardo Silva (Portugal)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Robin Koch (Germany)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Renato Veiga (Portugal)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-

Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.

Germany Stats

Portugal Stats

Full-Time Result

• 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 6 wins and 1 draw in the previous 7 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 2 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 6 away matches

Goals

• An average of 2.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.57 goals scored and 0.57 conceded in the previous 7 home matches
• An average of 3.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 4.14 goals per game in the previous 7 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 7 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 7 home matches

Goals

• An average of 2.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.17 goals scored and 0.83 conceded in the previous 6 away matches
• An average of 3.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 6 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 6 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 6 away matches

Corners

• An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 3.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.57 corners awarded and 3.14 corners against in the last 7 home matches
• An average of 9.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.71 corners awarded in the last 7 home matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 0 of the last 7 home matches

Corners

• An average of 7.90 corners awarded and 5.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 6.33 corners awarded and 5.00 corners against in the last 6 away matches
• An average of 13.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 11.33 corners awarded in the last 6 away matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 3 of the last 6 away matches

Possession

• An average of 57.60% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 59.00% possession in the last 7 home matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 7 home matches

Possession

• An average of 59.80% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 59.67% possession in the last 6 away matches
• Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 6 away matches

Germany vs Portugal Lineups & Team News

It’s great to get the latest lineups for the match, with injuries being flagged up thanks to our up-to-date Germany vs Portugal team news.

The Nations League squads highlight the star players operating for every team in the division.