Gil Vicente vs Nacional Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 17 Jan 2026

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Gil Vicente vs Nacional

Gil Vicente clash with Nacional at Municipal de Barcelos, with kick-off set for 10:30 on Saturday 17 January.

We’re confident that there will be a low goal count when Gil Vicente and Nacional meet. The Total Goals market offers us the chance to bet on Under 2.5 and the odds of -152 look really appealing.

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In the last Gil Vicente game, they played out a 1-1 draw at home to Sporting CP at Municipal de Barcelos. The Roosters recorded just 37% possession and had nine shots on target, with Carlos Eduardo being the goalscorer.

Nacional drew 3-3 against Santa Clara in their previous game. This was on home soil at Estadio da Madeira. The Madeira team recorded 46% possession and totalled five shots on goal, with Jesus Ramirez stealing the show with a hat-trick.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Gil Vicente have four successive wins against Nacional. In their last clash, Gil Vicente claimed a 2-0 away victory at Estadio da Madeira. The previous 5 H2H meetings have involved four Gil Vicente triumphs and just one win for Nacional.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Gil Vicente	17	7	7	3	22	12	10	22:12	28
13	Nacional	17	4	5	8	21	26	-5	21:26	17

View Full Table

Gil Vicente have 3 wins, 1 loss and 6 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 13.6 attempts. Cesar Peixoto's men have averaged 50.4% possession, 362.8 passes and 6.5 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 0.8 goals from 3.6 shots on goal, 9.3 attempts and 3.3 corners.

Top goalscorer is Pablo on 6 goals, while Murilo and Santi Garcia have both bagged 2. Leading assistor is Luis Esteves with 3, while goalkeeper Andrew has 4 clean sheets.

Nacional have 2 victories, 4 defeats and 4 draws, with an average of 4.2 shots on goal, 12.2 attempts and 1.5 goals. The White and Black average 46.0% possession, 326.6 passes, 3.0 corners taken and 6.4 corners against them, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 16.1 attempts and 4.6 shots on goal.

Jesus Ramirez has landed 8 goals, Ze Vitor 3, with Chiheb Labidi and two others scoring 1. Liziero has been top assists provider with 3 in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Gil Vicente predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Dani Figueira (GK), Zé Carlos, Antonio Espigares, Marvin Elimbi, Hevertton, Zé Carlos, Santi García, Murilo de Souza Costa, Luís Esteves, Tidjany Touré, Gustavo Varela.

Nacional predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Kaique Pereira (GK), Joao Aurelio, Zé Vítor, Jose Gomes, Léo Santos, Matheus Dias, Miguel Baeza, Daniel Júnior, Liziero, Paulinho Bóia, Jesús Ramírez.

Gil Vicente vs Nacional Prediction & Betting Tips

We dive into the best Gil Vicente vs Nacional betting angles, including a key match prediction, our corners pick, correct score forecast, top player prop bets and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

A low goal count could be on the cards for this Primeira Liga encounter. On this basis, we’ll land the -152 for Under 2.5, with the two sides unlikely to reach a combined three goals or more between them.

We only create the football betting tips after consulting the latest Primeira Liga team news along with the form of both sides. There are also stats that can be mined to good effect to come up with predictions.

Key Gil Vicente vs Nacional league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Gil Vicente games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Gil Vicente games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Nacional games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 19 Nacional games on the road.

According to the latest odds, there’s a 60.2% likelihood of our pick winning. Based on our tipsters research, we calculate the actual probability to be 65-70%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

There are bigger odds on the cards if you combine the Under 2.5 Goals selection on the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market. BTTS No is the other pick that you can include here.

Don’t miss the chance to claim free bets using our exclusive betting promo codes —check our bonus guide before placing your bets.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -152 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Gil Vicente 1 - 0 Nacional

A potentially entertaining bet is going for Gil Vicente to win by a 1-0 scoreline. At odds of +410, there’s the chance to get a handsome return should this wager win.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Santiago García To Score +540

Santiago García (Gil Vicente) is available at +540 to find the net. We’re happy to take this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.

Latest Santiago García Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+540

First

+1200

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Corners Prediction

Nacional Under 3.5 Corners -143

Nacional have failed to cover the 3.5 corners line in six straight matches, while the previous 10 Gil Vicente home games have seen them concede an average of 2.80 corners. There’s everything to like about the Nacional Team Corners line which looks too big and we’d expect them to go under at -143.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Gil Vicente

Total

9.80 6.50 3.30

Home

8.20 5.40 2.80

Away

10.70 6.50 4.20

Nacional

Total

9.40 3.00 6.40

Home

11.70 4.20 7.50

Away

8.50 4.30 4.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-111

Under 9.5

-132

Gil Vicente Corners

Over 5.5

-132

Under 5.5

-108

Nacional Corners

Over 3.5

+107

Under 3.5

-152

Most Corners

1

-270

X

+700

2

+260

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Gil Vicente vs Nacional Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

With an approximate 63% chance of succeeding, the bookies are being cautious with their -167 betting odds for Gil Vicente triumphing in this Primeira Liga encounter. Nacional are the +440 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.

There’s an alternative Asian Handicap angle where you back Gil Vicente -0.75 against Nacional at -133. A 2+ goal win means a full return, although you get a payout on half your stake if they win by one and the other half is refunded.

Under 2.5 Goals is a short-priced option for those expecting two goals or less. If you’re expecting at least one team to keep a clean sheet, you might be interested in the -154 about Both Teams to Score No.

Hundreds of markets are made available when it comes to Primeira Liga matches, with the recommended football betting sites leaving no stone unturned in terms of available options.

Full-Time Result

1

-167

X

+265

2

+440

Half-Time Result

1

+123

X

+120

2

+450

Double Chance

1X

-833

12

-435

X2

+114

Draw No Bet

1

-476

2

+280

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-133

2 Hcp +0.75

-105

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-152

Over 2.5

+107

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+108

No

-154

Favourite Tidjany Touré is priced at +600 to be the first player to find the net. There’s also the opportunity to back him to score any time at odds of +300.

Tidjany Touré (Gil Vicente)

First

+300

Anytime

+600

Jesus Ramírez Díaz (Nacional)

First

+310

Anytime

+600

Sergio Bermejo (Gil Vicente)

First

+340

Anytime

+750

Joelson Fernandes (Gil Vicente)

First

+350

Anytime

+700

Luís Esteves (Gil Vicente)

First

+360

Anytime

+750

Santiago García (Gil Vicente)

First

+540

Anytime

+1200

Facundo Cáseres (Gil Vicente)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Jose Carlos Ferreira (Gil Vicente)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Antonio Espigares (Gil Vicente)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

Miguel Baeza (Nacional)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Hevertton Ciriaco Santos (Gil Vicente)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Jonathan Mutombo Mawesi (Gil Vicente)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Matheus Dias (Nacional)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

Zé Carlos (Gil Vicente)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

André Sousa (Nacional)

First

+950

Anytime

+1900

Ulisses Wilson Jeronymo Rocha (Nacional)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Gil Vicente are winless over their previous three games at Municipal de Barcelos. The Roosters have collected five wins, three draws and two defeats in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.20 goals per match and conceding 0.70.

Nacional haven’t won any of their past five away games. The Madeira team have racked up four draws, four losses and two victories in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 0.90 goals per match and conceding 1.20.

In the last meeting at Municipal de Barcelos, Gil Vicente defeated Nacional by a 2-1 scoreline.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Gil Vicente Home Stats		5-3-2	1.90	1.20	0.70	1	9	3	7
Nacional Away Stats		2-4-4	2.10	0.90	1.20	3	7	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Gil Vicente vs Nacional Lineups & Team News

Make sure to look over the Gil Vicente vs Nacional team news before betting. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Primeira Liga along with the latest injury news.

Gil Vicente Team Page Nacional Team Page

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