Gimnasia vs Independiente Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 27 Jul 2025

Primera División Betting Preview: Gimnasia vs Independiente

Gimnasia host Independiente in this Argentine Primera División match, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Sunday 27 July 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Expect a Tight Affair

The way forward could be to back Gimnasia with a +0.25 Asian Handicap at -111 against Independiente. This means our stake is split between 0 and +0.5, which allows us to land a return with a draw.

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Independiente 2-0 Winners in Most Recent H2H

Gimnasia played San Lorenzo on the road in their last game. It was a 0-0 draw. The La Plata outfit recorded just 39% possession and didn’t have any shots on target.

Independiente lost when they last played, being beaten 2-1 at home to Talleres. Julio Vaccari's side had the lion’s share of the ball enjoying 58% possession and five shots on goal, with Nicolas Freire finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Independiente have beaten Gimnasia in their last two clashes, winning by 2-0 and 1-0 scorelines when hosting. Gimnasia have won three of the previous 7 H2H meetings, with Independiente getting two victories along with two draws.

Primera División		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Independiente	16	8	5	3	23	12	11	23:12	29
23	Gimnasia	16	4	4	8	9	18	-9	9:18	16

View Full Table

Gimnasia have 1 win, 5 losses and 4 draws, averaging 0.4 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 9.4 attempts. Alejandro Orfila's team have averaged 52.3% possession and 5.3 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.1 goals from 4.1 shots on goal, 8.4 attempts and 4.0 corners.

The three top scorers are Nicolas Garayalde, Lucas Nahuel Castro and Rodrigo Castillo, with these players all scoring 1 goals. Juan Pintado has recorded the most assists with 1.

Independiente have won 3, lost 4 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.3 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 9.4 attempts. There’s been an average of 62.9% possession, 5.3 corners awarded and 3.6 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.4 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 7.7 attempts.

Gabriel Avalos is top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Nicolas Freire, Felipe Loyola, Alvaro Angulo and Santiago Gabriel Montiel have 1. Pablo Galdames has had 2 assists in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Gimnasia predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Nelson Insfrán (GK), Juan Pintado, Renzo Giampaoli, Gastón Suso, Pedro Silva Torrejón, Facundo Di Biasi, Nicolás Garayalde, Maximiliano Zalazar, Alan Sosa, Jeremias Merlo, Norberto Briasco.

Independiente predicted lineup (4-3-3): Rodrigo Rey (GK), Leonardo Godoy, Kevin Lomonaco, Nicolas Freire, Jonathan De Irastorza, Ivan Marcone, Felipe Loyola, Luciano Cabral, Walter Mazzantti, Gabriel Ávalos, Santiago Montiel.

Gimnasia vs Independiente Prediction & Betting Tips

Your complete Gimnasia vs Independiente betting guide is here, including our go-to match prediction, best scoreline call, corners betting pick and a customized bet builder.

Match Prediction

When Gimnasia line up for this Primera División game, we will back them at -111 on the Asian Handicap +0.25. We think the hosts are more than capable of avoiding defeat and might be able to land a win.

The team news that emerges can have an impact on the odds depending on which players are missing. Our football experts also study the form guide, while the latest stats are also checked before a Primera División verdict is reached.

Key Gimnasia vs Independiente league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Gimnasia in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Gimnasia in 12 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Independiente in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Independiente in 15 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Independiente in 3 consecutive games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Gimnasia in 5 of their last 7 games against Independiente.

Gimnasia +0.25 Probability

According to the odds, there’s a 52.6% likelihood of our pick winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

There is regularly the choice to sell goals which potentially provides the chance to secure a larger return. Alternatively, buying goals is a safer option at skinnier odds.

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Our Match Prediction

Gimnasia Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -111 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Gimnasia 1 - 0 Independiente

Gimnasia can be backed to win 1-0 when it comes to the correct score. We’ll go for the +650 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -141

There’s been a corner average of 6.00 in the past five away games involving Independiente, with the 9.5 Total Corners line not being covered in six of the last ten Gimnasia matches. There is value when it comes to going under the Total Corners line and this is available at -141.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Gimnasia

Total

9.30 5.30 4.00

Home

9.70 6.10 3.60

Away

10.20 3.50 6.70

Independiente

Total

8.90 5.30 3.60

Home

9.90 5.80 4.10

Away

7.40 3.50 3.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-100

Under 9.5

-141

Gimnasia Corners

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-159

Independiente Corners

Over 4.5

-123

Under 4.5

-115

Most Corners

1

+125

X

+700

2

-120

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Gimnasia vs Independiente Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Odds Suggest Independiente Win

The bookmakers have Independiente as +112 favourites for this Primera División encounter, with the 1x2 odds suggesting that they are 47% likely to triumph. Gimnasia are the outsiders at +240 which suggests a lower likelihood of winning.

Independiente and Gimnasia can be backed at -200 and +140 respectively on the Draw No Bet market. This is an ideal route for bettors who want to ensure they have money back if the scoreline ends level.

For those expecting a low-scoring contest, Under 2.5 is the market leader on the Total Goals market. Both Teams to Score betting is always popular and the No option on the BTTS market is available at -175.

Primera División matches are always really well covered at the best betting sites. Customers are able to find a suitable betting angle thanks to the hundreds of football markets which are made available.

Full-Time Result

1

+240

X

+210

2

+112

Half-Time Result

1

+340

X

-111

2

+190

Double Chance

1X

-147

12

-294

X2

-345

Draw No Bet

1

+140

2

-200

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-111

2 Hcp -0.25

-128

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-233

Over 2.5

+160

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+123

No

-175

Gimnasia vs Independiente Lineups & Team News

Don’t miss the latest Gimnasia vs Independiente team news before you bet. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Primera División lineups and injury news right here.

Gimnasia La Plata Team Page Independiente Team Page