Granada vs Málaga Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Feb 2026
La Liga 2 Betting Preview: Granada vs Málaga
Granada welcome Málaga to Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes, with kick-off set for 12:30 on Saturday 28 February.
Málaga have a strong chance against Granada and we’ll side with the visitors on the Asian Handicap. It’s worth chancing the -118 with a +0.25 goal headstart, meaning that our stake is split between 0 and +0.5.
Granada have enjoyed two La Liga 2 home victories in a row. They were defeated in their last league game when losing 2-1 away to Ceuta. Pacheta's team recorded three shots on target and had 45% possession, with Baba Diocou registering the goal.
Málaga have lost their previous two La Liga 2 matches away from home. Their most recent league game was at home at Estadio La Rosaleda where they recorded a 1-0 victory over Albacete. Los Boquerones enjoyed 56% possession and recorded seven shots on goal, with Joaquin Munoz on target in the 54th minute.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Málaga haven’t lost to Granada in their past three matches, with the last encounter ending 2-2 at Estadio La Rosaleda. The past 7 H2H games have featured three triumphs for Granada, one for Málaga along with three draws.
| La Liga 2 | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Málaga |
27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 40:31 | 44 |
| 16 | Granada |
27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 32:32 | 32 |
3 wins, 4 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 9.4 attempts. Granada have had 51.1% possession and 4.7 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.0 goals from 3.0 shots on goal and 7.4 attempts, while being awarded 4.6 corners.
Ruben Alcaraz and Jose Arnaiz lead the way with 2 goals, while Baba Diocou has scored 1. Izan Gonzalez, Pedro Aleman and Alex Sola have racked up the most assists with 1 each.
Málaga have won 8 and lost 2, with an average of 9.8 attempts, 5.6 shots on goal and 1.9 goals. Juan Funes' side average 52.9% possession, 4.0 corners awarded and 4.7 corners against them, while 0.9 goals have been conceded from 4.0 shots on goal and 8.9 attempts.
David Larrubia and Chupe top the team’s scoring charts on 6 goals, with Adrian Nino on 2. Chupe has managed 2 assists in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Granada predicted lineup (4-3-3): Luca Zidane (GK), Oscar Naasei Oppong, Manu Lama, Loïc Williams, Baïla Diallo, Pedro Alemañ, Manu Trigueros, Izan González, Alex Sola, Gonzalo Petit, José Manuel Arnáiz.
Málaga predicted lineup (4-3-3): Alfonso Herrero (GK), Carlos Puga, Diego Murillo, Einar Galilea, Rafita, Carlos Dotor, Izan Merino, Dani Lorenzo, David Larrubia, Chupete, Joaquín Muñoz.
Granada vs Málaga Prediction & Betting Tips
We cover the key Granada vs Málaga betting angles, showcasing our expert match prediction, best corners pick, correct score selection, top player props and a bet builder tailored for value.
Match Prediction
We’re siding with Málaga at -118 in this La Liga 2 match with a +0.25 goal advantage. It’s expected that they will have an edge and we can therefore feel bullish of a return with this wager.
The La Liga 2 experts at Sportsgambler.com have a strong handle when it comes to injuries and suspensions. The recent form also helps to shape our football predictions, with this being cross-referenced with the latest numbers.
Key Granada vs Málaga league stats:
The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 54.1% chance of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability close to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.
If you want to land bigger odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the betting line. There’s extra juice depending on how risky you want your bet to be.
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Correct Score Prediction
We’re betting on Málaga to secure a 2-1 winning scoreline. Odds of +750 can be taken and it’s great fun to predict a correct score and hopefully land a winner.
Player Prop Picks
David Larrubia (Málaga) has racked up four goals in his past five La Liga 2 matches. Based on the stats, we are happy to back the +500 when it comes to him finding the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Granada have had under 5.5 corners in five consecutive matches, with Málaga conceding under 5.5 corners in the previous three games. We think that Granada will come up short and this Team Corners bet can be backed at -147.
Granada
Málaga
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
If you’re keen to place a same-game multi, go for Málaga on the Asian Handicap at +0.25, three or more goals to be registered accompanied by Granada Under 5.5 corners.
The bet builder option is great for football fans wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same game. Should a bettor get all selections correct, then they can achieve a good return from a small stake.
Granada vs Málaga Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The bookmakers have Granada as +114 favourites for this La Liga 2 encounter, with the 1x2 odds suggesting that they are 47% likely to triumph. Málaga are regarded as the least likely winner at +225.
Should you want to back Granada to win but want money back if the game ends level, then there is -200 available on the Draw No Bet market. Opponents Málaga have been chalked up at +128.
When it comes to the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this exciting contest. For the Both Teams to Score market, it’s hard to separate the BTTS Yes and No options when it comes to the odds available.
The recommended football betting sites will provide a first-class service and that includes getting hundreds of markets. Scan through them for any La Liga 2 match and take your pick.
Favourite Jorge Pascual is available at +430 to be the First Goalscorer. Similar odds apply if you’re interested in him to score the last goal.
Granada have not tasted defeat at Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes in ten straight matches. Pacheta's team have recorded seven draws and three wins in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.20 goals per game and conceding 0.50.
Málaga have six defeats, three victories and one draw in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.50.
Granada and Málaga played out a 2-2 draw when the teams last met at Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes. We’ve seen Granada claim two wins in the past 3 H2H meetings at Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes, with one draw also taking place.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Granada Home Stats |
3-7-0 | 1.70 | 1.20 | 0.50 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 5 | |
Málaga Away Stats |
3-1-6 | 2.60 | 1.10 | 1.50 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 4 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Granada League Stats
Málaga League Stats
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins and 7 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 8 wins and 2 defeats in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 4.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.90 corners awarded and 4.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.00 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.30 corners awarded and 6.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.60 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 51.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 52.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 52.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Granada this season are Gonzalo Petit (5), Jorge Pascual (5), Pedro Aleman (5)
- Top Assistors for Granada this season are Souleymane Faye (6), Pedro Aleman (3), Alex Sola (2)
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Granada vs Málaga Lineups & Team News
Don’t miss the latest Granada vs Málaga team news before you bet. Receive the predicted and confirmed La Liga 2 lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.
Granada Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Málaga Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Granada Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Málaga Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Previous Granada Lineups
Previous Málaga Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Granada Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Pacheta
Málaga Player Stats & Squad
La Liga 2 Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Club | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 53:35 | 50 |
| 2 | Castellón | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 45:26 | 49 |
| 3 | Almería | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 52:39 | 48 |
| 4 | Deportivo | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:29 | 46 |
| 5 | Málaga | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 40:31 | 44 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 31:22 | 42 |
| 7 | Córdoba | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 37:33 | 41 |
| 8 | Sporting Gijon | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 38:36 | 41 |
| 9 | Ceuta | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 35:39 | 41 |
| 10 | Burgos | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 29:26 | 40 |
| 11 | Eibar | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:29 | 35 |
| 12 | Cádiz | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:32 | 35 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad B | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 36:36 | 34 |
| 14 | Albacete | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32:38 | 34 |
| 15 | Leganés | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 29:28 | 33 |
| 16 | Granada | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 32:32 | 32 |
| 17 | Andorra | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 31:39 | 32 |
| 18 | Huesca | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 26:36 | 30 |
| 19 | Real Valladolid | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 28:38 | 29 |
| 20 | La Cultural | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 27:41 | 27 |
| 21 | Mirandés | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 28:44 | 24 |
| 22 | Real Zaragoza | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 23:40 | 24 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Málaga | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 27:13 | 31 |
| 2 | Ceuta | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 22:15 | 31 |
| 3 | Eibar | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 22:10 | 30 |
| 4 | Racing Club | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 31:16 | 29 |
| 5 | Castellón | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 28:14 | 29 |
| 6 | Almería | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 33:22 | 29 |
| 7 | Sporting Gijon | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22:17 | 25 |
| 8 | Las Palmas | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 19:11 | 23 |
| 9 | Real Sociedad B | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 19:13 | 23 |
| 10 | Burgos | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 15:10 | 23 |
| 11 | Deportivo | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:13 | 22 |
| 12 | Huesca | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18:16 | 22 |
| 13 | Córdoba | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 18:15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cádiz | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:17 | 20 |
| 15 | Granada | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19:14 | 19 |
| 16 | Andorra | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15:15 | 17 |
| 17 | Albacete | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:20 | 17 |
| 18 | Leganés | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13:12 | 16 |
| 19 | Real Valladolid | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13:16 | 13 |
| 20 | Mirandés | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:21 | 12 |
| 21 | Real Zaragoza | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 22 | La Cultural | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 8:16 | 10 |
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