Granada vs Málaga Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Feb 2026

La Liga 2 Betting Preview: Granada vs Málaga

Granada welcome Málaga to Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes, with kick-off set for 12:30 on Saturday 28 February.

Málaga have a strong chance against Granada and we’ll side with the visitors on the Asian Handicap. It’s worth chancing the -118 with a +0.25 goal headstart, meaning that our stake is split between 0 and +0.5.

Granada have enjoyed two La Liga 2 home victories in a row. They were defeated in their last league game when losing 2-1 away to Ceuta. Pacheta's team recorded three shots on target and had 45% possession, with Baba Diocou registering the goal.

Málaga have lost their previous two La Liga 2 matches away from home. Their most recent league game was at home at Estadio La Rosaleda where they recorded a 1-0 victory over Albacete. Los Boquerones enjoyed 56% possession and recorded seven shots on goal, with Joaquin Munoz on target in the 54th minute.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Málaga haven’t lost to Granada in their past three matches, with the last encounter ending 2-2 at Estadio La Rosaleda. The past 7 H2H games have featured three triumphs for Granada, one for Málaga along with three draws.

La Liga 2		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Málaga	35	17	9	9	58	41	17	58:41	60
13	Granada	35	11	12	12	44	41	3	44:41	45

View Full Table

3 wins, 4 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 9.4 attempts. Granada have had 51.1% possession and 4.7 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.0 goals from 3.0 shots on goal and 7.4 attempts, while being awarded 4.6 corners.

Ruben Alcaraz and Jose Arnaiz lead the way with 2 goals, while Baba Diocou has scored 1. Izan Gonzalez, Pedro Aleman and Alex Sola have racked up the most assists with 1 each.

Málaga have won 8 and lost 2, with an average of 9.8 attempts, 5.6 shots on goal and 1.9 goals. Juan Funes' side average 52.9% possession, 4.0 corners awarded and 4.7 corners against them, while 0.9 goals have been conceded from 4.0 shots on goal and 8.9 attempts.

David Larrubia and Chupe top the team’s scoring charts on 6 goals, with Adrian Nino on 2. Chupe has managed 2 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Granada confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Luca Zidane (GK), Manu Lama, Alex Sola, Pedro Aleman, Gonzalo Petit, Jose Arnaiz, Baila Diallo, Loic Williams, Oscar Naasei Oppong, Baba Diocou, Izan Gonzalez.

Málaga confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Alfonso Herrero (GK), Carlos Puga, Diego Murillo, Francisco Montero, Rafita, David Larrubia, Izan Merino, Dani Lorenzo, Julen Lobete, Chupe, Carlos Dotor.

Granada vs Málaga Prediction & Betting Tips

We cover the key Granada vs Málaga betting angles, showcasing our expert match prediction, best corners pick, correct score selection, top player props and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

We’re siding with Málaga at -118 in this La Liga 2 match with a +0.25 goal advantage. It’s expected that they will have an edge and we can therefore feel bullish of a return with this wager.

The La Liga 2 experts at Sportsgambler.com have a strong handle when it comes to injuries and suspensions. The recent form also helps to shape our football predictions, with this being cross-referenced with the latest numbers.

Key Granada vs Málaga league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Málaga in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Málaga in 14 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Granada in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Granada in 14 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Granada in 3 consecutive games against Málaga.

The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 54.1% chance of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability close to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

If you want to land bigger odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the betting line. There’s extra juice depending on how risky you want your bet to be.

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Our Match Prediction

Málaga Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -118 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 26, 18:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Granada 1 - 2 Málaga

We’re betting on Málaga to secure a 2-1 winning scoreline. Odds of +750 can be taken and it’s great fun to predict a correct score and hopefully land a winner.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: David Larrubia to Score +500

David Larrubia (Málaga) has racked up four goals in his past five La Liga 2 matches. Based on the stats, we are happy to back the +500 when it comes to him finding the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest David Larrubia Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+525

First

+1100

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Granada Under 5.5 Corners -147

Granada have had under 5.5 corners in five consecutive matches, with Málaga conceding under 5.5 corners in the previous three games. We think that Granada will come up short and this Team Corners bet can be backed at -147.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Granada

Total

9.30 4.70 4.60

Home

10.30 5.90 4.40

Away

9.40 3.50 5.90

Málaga

Total

8.70 4.00 4.70

Home

7.40 3.50 3.90

Away

10.60 4.30 6.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-109

Under 9.5

-133

Granada Corners

Over 5.5

-104

Under 5.5

-143

Málaga Corners

Over 3.5

-132

Under 3.5

-114

Most Corners

1

-185

X

+650

2

+185

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Granada vs Málaga Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookmakers have Granada as +117 favourites for this La Liga 2 encounter, with the 1x2 odds suggesting that they are 46% likely to triumph. Málaga are regarded as the least likely winner at +235.

Should you want to back Granada to win but want money back if the game ends level, then there is -189 available on the Draw No Bet market. Opponents Málaga have been chalked up at +130.

When it comes to the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this exciting contest. For the Both Teams to Score market, it’s hard to separate the BTTS Yes and No options when it comes to the odds available.

The recommended football betting sites will provide a first-class service and that includes getting hundreds of markets. Scan through them for any La Liga 2 match and take your pick.

Full-Time Result

1

+117

X

+205

2

+235

Half-Time Result

1

+185

X

+108

2

+295

Double Chance

1X

-370

12

-333

X2

-172

Draw No Bet

1

-189

2

+130

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-122

2 Hcp +0.25

-116

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-167

Over 2.5

+116

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-118

No

-120

Favourite Jorge Pascual is available at +430 to be the First Goalscorer. Similar odds apply if you’re interested in him to score the last goal.

Jorge Pascual (Granada)

First

+205

Anytime

+430

Carlos Ruiz Rubio (Málaga)

First

+290

Anytime

+650

Mohamed Bouldini (Granada)

First

+295

Anytime

+600

José Arnaiz (Granada)

First

+340

Anytime

+650

Adrián Niño (Málaga)

First

+350

Anytime

+700

Eneko Jauregi (Málaga)

First

+350

Anytime

+750

Sergio Rodelas (Granada)

First

+360

Anytime

+750

Pablo Saenz (Granada)

First

+390

Anytime

+800

Manu Trigueros (Granada)

First

+410

Anytime

+800

Rubén Alcaraz (Granada)

First

+430

Anytime

+950

Alex Sola (Granada)

First

+480

Anytime

+950

Haitam Abaida (Málaga)

First

+500

Anytime

+1050

David Larrubia (Málaga)

First

+525

Anytime

+1100

Juan Pedro Jiménez "Juanpe" (Málaga)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Josue Dorrio (Málaga)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Aarón Ochoa (Málaga)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Luka Gagnidze (Granada)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Dani Lorenzo (Málaga)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Álvaro Lemos (Granada)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

Ramón Enríquez (Málaga)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Carlos Dotor (Málaga)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Manuel Lama (Granada)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

Loïc Williams (Granada)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Izan Merino (Málaga)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Moussa Diarra (Málaga)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Diego Murillo (Málaga)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Einar Galilea (Málaga)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Granada have not tasted defeat at Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes in ten straight matches. Pacheta's team have recorded seven draws and three wins in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.20 goals per game and conceding 0.50.

Málaga have six defeats, three victories and one draw in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.50.

Granada and Málaga played out a 2-2 draw when the teams last met at Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes. We’ve seen Granada claim two wins in the past 3 H2H meetings at Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes, with one draw also taking place.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Granada Home Stats		3-7-0	1.70	1.20	0.50	2	8	5	5
Málaga Away Stats		3-1-6	2.60	1.10	1.50	6	4	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Granada vs Málaga Lineups & Team News

Don’t miss the latest Granada vs Málaga team news before you bet. Receive the predicted and confirmed La Liga 2 lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.

Granada Team Page Málaga Team Page

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