Grêmio vs Alianza Lima Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 23 Jul 2025

Copa Sudamericana Betting Preview: Grêmio vs Alianza Lima

Grêmio host Alianza Lima in the second leg of this Copa Sudamericana knockout round play-off tie, with kick-off set for 20:30 on Wednesday 23 July 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats and team news.

Go For Under 2.5 Goals With Confidence

The best strategy could be to back Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market at a price of -106. This looks like a standout wager, with Grêmio and Alianza Lima set to contest a low-scoring contest.

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Alianza Claimed 2-0 Victory in First Leg

Grêmio played Vasco da Gama on their travels in their last game. It was a 1-1 Série A draw. Mano Menezes' team had just 36% possession and recorded four shots on target, with Gustavo Martins getting the goal.

Alianza Lima lost their previous game. On the road, they suffered a 2-0 Liga 1 defeat against Cusco.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Alianza Lima won 2-0 when hosting Gremio in the first leg of this Copa Sudamericana knockout round play-off tie. Alianza enjoyed 57% possession and won the shots on target 8-3, with Gaspar Gentile and Erick Castillo on the scoresheet.

Grêmio vs Alianza Lima Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve lined up expert Grêmio vs Alianza Lima betting tips, from our match prediction and correct score call to player prop picks and best bet builder advice. Read on for the full breakdown.

Match Prediction

We don’t think the teams will combine to score three or more in this Copa Sudamericana clash. Therefore, we’ll wager on Under 2.5 Goals which is currently available at odds of -106.

In order to come up with the best football predictions, we like to know the Copa Sudamericana team news and study the latest form. There are also plenty of numbers to crunch from the available stats.

Key Grêmio vs Alianza Lima Copa Sudamericana & league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 9 Grêmio games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 15 of the last 20 Grêmio games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 7 Alianza games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Alianza games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 15 of the last 20 Alianza games.

Under 2.5 Probability

The best betting sites make it a 51.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

One alternative option is to combine Under 2.5 Goals with other picks if you want a bigger price. A Bet Builder provides lots of flexibility and allows you to combine different selections.

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Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -106 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Grêmio 2 - 0 Alianza

Grêmio are available to back at +575 to secure a 2-0 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Martin Braithwaite to Score +138

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio) has found the net in his past two games on home soil. The Anytime Goalscorer odds look really appealing based on the stats and we’ll take a chance on him at odds of +138.

Latest Martin Braithwaite Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+138

First

+360

Shots

Over 4.5

+118

Under 4.5

-

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Grêmio vs Alianza Lima Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest 1x2 Odds Suggest Grêmio Victory

The bookies have Grêmio as -185 favourites for this Copa Sudamericana clash, with the Full-Time Result betting odds implying that they are 65% likely to win. At +475, Alianza Lima are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

Grêmio -1 on the Asian Handicap means getting -102 that they beat Alianza by two or more goals. It also means you will get your full stake refunded if they win by one.

Over 2.5 Goals is the market leader and that means three or more goals are predicted. If you’re looking to wager on Both Teams to Score, there’s not a lot of difference between Yes and No.

Hundreds of markets are now a guarantee for each of the Copa Sudamericana matches, with the recommended football betting sites making sure that customers have quality options.

Full-Time Result

1

-185

X

+295

2

+475

Half-Time Result

1

+108

X

+140

2

+440

Double Chance

1X

-769

12

-455

X2

+128

Draw No Bet

1

-476

2

+295

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

-102

2 Hcp +1

-127

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-106

Over 2.5

-127

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-119

No

-116

Martin Braithwaite Favourite to Find the Net First

Martin Braithwaite is the First Goalscorer favourite at +360 and there’s an opportunity to back him to find the net anytime at +138.

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

First

+138

Anytime

+360

Cristian Olivera (Grêmio)

First

+215

Anytime

+510

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Grêmio)

First

+295

Anytime

+600

Alexander Aravena (Grêmio)

First

+300

Anytime

+600

Nathan Allan de Souza (Grêmio)

First

+310

Anytime

+600

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

First

+310

Anytime

+750

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

First

+335

Anytime

+750

Paolo Guerrero (Alianza)

First

+350

Anytime

+850

Hernan Barcos (Alianza)

First

+390

Anytime

+950

Mathías Villasanti (Grêmio)

First

+390

Anytime

+950

Kevin Quevedo (Alianza)

First

+460

Anytime

+1150

Wagner Leonardo (Grêmio)

First

+460

Anytime

+1200

João Pedro Maturano dos Santos (Grêmio)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Matías Succar (Alianza)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Jemerson Nascimento (Grêmio)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Gustavo Cuellar (Grêmio)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Alan Cantero (Alianza)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Camilo Reijers de Oliveira (Grêmio)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Pablo Ceppelini (Alianza)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Ronald Cardoso Falkoski (Grêmio)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Pablo Lavandeira (Alianza)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Gustavo Martins (Grêmio)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Fernando Gaibor (Alianza)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Lucas Esteves (Grêmio)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Rodrigo Ely (Grêmio)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

Over 4.5

+118

Under 4.5

-

Cristian Olivera (Grêmio)

Over 2.5

-147

Under 2.5

-

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Grêmio)

Over 2.5

-102

Under 2.5

-

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

Over 2.5

+108

Under 2.5

-

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Alan Cantero (Alianza)

Over 1.5

+143

Under 1.5

-

João Pedro Maturano dos Santos (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

+143

Under 1.5

-

Wagner Leonardo (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Kevin Quevedo (Alianza)

Over 1.5

-102

Under 1.5

-

Mathías Villasanti (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

+118

Under 1.5

-

Hernan Barcos (Alianza)

Over 1.5

-119

Under 1.5

-

Paolo Guerrero (Alianza)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-

Nathan Allan de Souza (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

-

Alexander Aravena (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

Matías Succar (Alianza)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Jemerson Nascimento (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Pablo Ceppelini (Alianza)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

-

Pablo Lavandeira (Alianza)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Gustavo Martins (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Fernando Gaibor (Alianza)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Latest Copa Sudamericana and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Grêmio Stats

Alianza Lima Stats

Full-Time Result

• 3 wins, 2 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.10 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 1.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.80 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 1 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches

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Grêmio vs Alianza Lima Lineups & Team News

Stay ahead of the game by checking the Grêmio vs Alianza team news before betting. We’ll bring the confirmed Copa Sudamericana lineups to you alongside the newest injury reports.