Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 29 Mar 2025

Back a Close Game

We’ll chance Atlético Mineiro +0.25 on the Asian Handicap and divide our stake between 0 and +0.5 when they meet Grêmio. A win delivers a payout at -119 although a draw would still land a return.

Atlético Claimed 2-1 Victory in Last H2H

Grêmio lost their last game, being beaten 3-0 at home to Corinthians. The Immortal Tricolor ended up with just 34% possession and had four shots on target.

Atlético Mineiro won their previous game, beating Athletico Paranaense at home. It was a 1-0 triumph. The Belo Horizonte side enjoyed 55% possession and had seven shots on goal, with Rubens on target in the 73rd minute.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Atlético have three consecutive wins against Grêmio. In the last clash, Atlético bagged a 2-1 victory as the home side. The previous 10 H2H games have included five wins for Atlético, four triumphs for Grêmio and a single draw.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
12	Grêmio	29	9	9	11	30	37	-7	30:37	36
15	Atlético MG	28	8	9	11	26	32	-6	26:32	33

View Full Table

Grêmio have 2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 8.1 attempts. The Porto Alegre club have averaged 44.1% possession and 4.6 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.5 goals from 5.8 shots on goal, 13.5 attempts and 6.4 corners.

Top goalscorer Martin Braithwaite has found the net 3 times, with Joao Pedro, Franco Cristaldo, Reinaldo and Yeferson Soteldo scoring 1 each. Leading assistor is Joao Pedro with 2.

Atlético have won 1, lost 5 and drawn 4, averaging 8.6 attempts, 3.6 shots on goal and 0.7 goals. Cuca's team average 52.0% possession, 4.2 corners awarded and 5.3 corners against them, while 1.3 goals have been conceded from 4.1 shots on goal and 10.8 attempts.

Eduardo Vargas and Paulinho have top scored with 2 goals, while Rubens is next on 1. Eduardo Vargas, Hulk and Brahian Palacios have clocked up 1 assists each in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Grêmio confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Tiago Volpi (GK), Igor Serrote, Jemerson, Wagner Leonardo, Lucas Esteves, Camilo, Mathias Villasanti, Cristian Olivera, Edenilson, Francis Amuzu, Matias Arezo.

Atlético Mineiro confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Everson (GK), Natanael, Lyanco, Junior Alonso, Guilherme Arana, Gustavo Scarpa, Alan Franco, Gabriel Menino, Tomas Cuello, Rony, Hulk.

Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction & Betting Tips

Wager on Atlético Mineiro +0.25 on the Asian Handicap at -119 for this Série A game. We’re keen on their prospects of outperforming their match winner price and this wager looks like good value.

Getting the lowdown on injuries and studying the form guide are important duties ahead of making football picks. We also place great emphasis on the stats and a data-led approach can be effective.

Key Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Atlético MG in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Atlético MG in 11 of their last 19 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Grêmio in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Grêmio in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Grêmio in 2 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Grêmio in 3 consecutive games against Atlético MG.

Atlético +0.25 Probability

According to the betting sites, our pick has a 54.3% chance of landing a return. However, our tipsters research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

If you want a different wager to the Asian Handicap, then Winning Margin provides an exciting alternative. That’s especially if you have a view on the performance of Atlético.

Our Match Prediction

Atlético MG Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -119 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Grêmio 1 - 2 Atlético

Atlético are available to back at +1000 to secure a 2-1 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Corners Prediction

Atlético Over 4.5 Corners +110

The 4.5 corners line has been covered by Atlético Mineiro in three consecutive matches, with Grêmio conceding over 4.5 corners in their past four games. The latest stats suggest that it’s worth backing Atlético Mineiro to cover the Team Corners line, with +110 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Grêmio

Total

11.00 4.60 6.40

Home

10.60 5.80 4.80

Away

11.20 4.60 6.60

Atlético

Total

9.50 4.20 5.30

Home

9.40 4.50 4.90

Away

9.60 4.10 5.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-141

Under 9.5

-100

Grêmio Corners

Over 5.5

-106

Under 5.5

-132

Atlético Corners

Over 4.5

+108

Under 4.5

-152

Most Corners

1

-164

X

+575

2

+155

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Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro Odds

Atlético Mineiro are available at betting odds of +215 to win away to Grêmio, with the home side trading at +148 with the bookies. Should you wish to back the draw, it’s on offer at +188 for this Serie A encounter.

The Total Goals market is popular and Under 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds right now.

There are hundreds of markets when it comes to betting on the Série A coupon and we recommend visiting the leading betting sites to find the bet that matches your view on the game.

Full-Time Result

1

+148

X

+188

2

+215

Half-Time Result

1

+215

X

+102

2

+270

Double Chance

1X

-313

12

-263

X2

-204

Draw No Bet

1

-143

2

+115

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+108

2 Hcp +0.25

-135

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-179

Over 2.5

+135

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-110

No

-128

Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro Lineups & Team News

If you’re looking for Grêmio vs Atlético team news, then we have predicted and confirmed lineups available along with details of any injuries on both sides.

The Série A squad information is a great asset when it comes to making your bets.

Grêmio Team Page Atlético Mineiro Team Page