Grêmio vs Fluminense Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 02 Dec 2025

Série A Betting Preview: Grêmio vs Fluminense

Grêmio go head-to-head with Fluminense, with kick-off set for 19:30 on Tuesday 2 December.

Grêmio +0.25 look like a value bet on the Asian Handicap. This involves splitting our stake between 0 and +0.5, with a win against Fluminense the desired outcome at betting odds of -154.

Confident in our Asian Handicap pick? Read our expert review of BetMGM, then grab the latest promo code before placing your bet.

Grêmio have registered back-to-back home victories in Série A. They recently secured a 3-2 win against Palmeiras. The Immortal Tricolor had 44% possession and nine shots on target, with Francis Amuzu, Carlos Vinicius and Willian among the goals.

Fluminense claimed a home win in their previous game. A 6-0 victory occurred against São Paulo. The Rio de Janeiro team recorded 55% possession and had eleven shots on goal, with Agustin Canobbio scoring twice.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Fluminense have not lost to Grêmio in the past three meetings. In their last encounter, Fluminense claimed a 1-0 victory at home. The 10 previous H2H meetings have involved seven Grêmio wins, one draw and two Fluminense victories.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
6	Fluminense	36	17	7	12	46	38	8	46:38	58
10	Grêmio	36	12	10	14	42	48	-6	42:48	46

View Full Table

Grêmio have 4 wins, 5 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.4 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 11.1 attempts. The Porto Alegre outfit have averaged 45.2% possession and 4.5 corners per match, conceding 1.6 goals and 5.4 corners from 5.9 shots on goal and 11.6 attempts.

Carlos Vinicius leads the way with 9 goals, Francis Amuzu has 2, with Willian and two others on 1. Cristian Pavon is the leading assists maker with 2.

Fluminense have won 6, lost 2 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.2 goals from 9.4 attempts and 4.5 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 52.3% possession, 4.9 corners awarded and 3.7 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 0.5 goals from 8.2 attempts and 2.3 shots on goal.

Kevin Serna is the leading scorer with 3 goals, followed by Agustin Canobbio on 2, with Martinelli and two others bagging 1. Look no further than Kevin Serna for the top assist maker (2) in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Grêmio predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Tiago Volpi (GK), Marcos Rocha, Wagner Leonardo, Walter Kannemann, Lucas Esteves, Arthur, Dodi, Alysson Edward, Edenilson, Cristian Pavón, André Henrique.

Fluminense predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Fabio (GK), Samuel Xavier, Thiago Silva, Juan Pablo Freytes, Rene, Gustavo Nonato, Martinelli, Kevin Serna, Luciano Acosta, Yeferson Soteldo, Everaldo.

Grêmio vs Fluminense Prediction & Betting Tips

Get ahead of the game with our Grêmio vs Fluminense betting rundown, featuring our trusted match prediction, likely score outcome, corners betting edge, standout player prop plays and a fully loaded bet builder.

Match Prediction

If you agree with our verdict that Grêmio can avoid defeat in this Série A clash, then you can back them with a +0.25 goal start at -154. There are several reasons to back this selection.

In order to come up with the best football predictions, we like to know the Série A team news and study the latest form. There are also plenty of numbers to crunch from the available stats.

Key Grêmio vs Fluminense league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Grêmio in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Grêmio in 15 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Grêmio in 2 consecutive games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Fluminense in 6 consecutive games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Fluminense in 9 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Fluminense in 16 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Grêmio in 8 of their last 10 games against Fluminense.

If you go by the top bookies, there’s a 60.6% likelihood of our pick winning. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be closer to 70%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

There are larger odds available for bettors who want to move the line. If you have a strong view on a team performing well, then you can get more juice from your bet.

Score better value on your wagers by checking our bonus guide filled with the best sportsbook promo codes and free bets.

Our Match Prediction

Grêmio Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -154 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Grêmio 1 - 2 Fluminense

There are odds of +700 available that Fluminense land a 2-1 win. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Luciano Acosta Under 0.5 Shots On Target -161

Luciano Acosta (Fluminense) is available at -161 to not record a shot on goal. Those wanting to back him should certainly look at the Shots on Target betting odds available.

Latest Luciano Acosta Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+380

First

+850

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-161

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Kevin Serna to Score +500

Kevin Serna (Fluminense) has racked up three goals in his past five Série A matches. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive considering the numbers and we’ll plump for him to find the net at odds of +500.

Latest Kevin Serna Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+500

First

+1100

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-217

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Corners Prediction

Grêmio Over 4.5 Corners -105

Grêmio have had over 4.5 corners in three straight home games, with Fluminense conceding over 4.5 corners in their past two away games. There’s an opportunity to go over the Grêmio Team Corners line and we’re expecting this to happen, with odds of -105 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Grêmio

Total

9.90 4.50 5.40

Home

7.50 4.50 3.00

Away

10.60 3.00 7.60

Fluminense

Total

8.60 4.90 3.70

Home

8.20 4.80 3.40

Away

9.30 4.20 5.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-115

Under 9.5

-123

Grêmio Corners

Over 4.5

-105

Under 4.5

-128

Fluminense Corners

Over 4.5

-128

Under 4.5

-105

Most Corners

1

+115

X

+650

2

-111

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Grêmio vs Fluminense Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

If you’re looking to wager Grêmio to secure victory in the Série A, then the bookmakers have chalked them up at +175. Fluminense are on offer at betting odds of +165 and the draw is +210.

It sometimes pays to take the Draw No Bet option meaning there’s a safety net if the game ends all square. Fluminense can be backed at -125 or alternatively Grêmio are on offer at -115.

When it comes to the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this exciting contest. Both Teams to Score is a two-way market and, when it comes to latest odds, there’s not much to separate Yes and No.

For those wagering on Série A games, it’s all about heading to the top football betting sites where hundreds of markets await you. Pre-match and In-Play options are plentiful.

Full-Time Result

1

+175

X

+210

2

+165

Half-Time Result

1

+235

X

+110

2

+220

Double Chance

1X

-227

12

-303

X2

-244

Draw No Bet

1

-115

2

-125

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-154

2 Hcp -0.25

+123

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-164

Over 2.5

+125

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-118

No

-122

Favourite Martin Braithwaite is priced at +400 to be the first player on the scoresheet, while there’s also the chance to back him to score any time at odds of +170.

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

First

+170

Anytime

+400

Germán Cano (Fluminense)

First

+195

Anytime

+450

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

First

+210

Anytime

+480

John Kennedy (Fluminense)

First

+260

Anytime

+575

Everaldo Stum (Fluminense)

First

+280

Anytime

+650

Luciano Acosta (Fluminense)

First

+380

Anytime

+850

Andre Henrique da Silva Martins (Grêmio)

First

+450

Anytime

+900

Agustín Canobbio (Fluminense)

First

+450

Anytime

+1000

Willian (Grêmio)

First

+480

Anytime

+1100

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Kevin Serna (Fluminense)

First

+500

Anytime

+1100

Vinicius 'Lima' Moreira de Lima (Fluminense)

First

+500

Anytime

+1100

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Grêmio)

First

+500

Anytime

+1100

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

First

+550

Anytime

+1150

Mathías Villasanti (Grêmio)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

João Pedro Maturano dos Santos (Grêmio)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Arthur Melo (Grêmio)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Nonato (Fluminense)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Wagner Leonardo (Grêmio)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Alex Santana (Grêmio)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Gustavo Cuellar (Grêmio)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Matheus Martinelli (Fluminense)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Facundo Bernal (Fluminense)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Germán Cano (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

+123

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

+117

Everaldo Stum (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-102

John Kennedy (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-120

Luciano Acosta (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-161

Agustín Canobbio (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-192

Andre Henrique da Silva Martins (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-213

Kevin Serna (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-217

Willian (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-227

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-244

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-250

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-263

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-270

Vinicius 'Lima' Moreira de Lima (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-278

Mathías Villasanti (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-400

Nonato (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-556

Arthur Melo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-625

Wagner Leonardo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-625

Gustavo Cuellar (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-667

Matheus Martinelli (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-667

Grêmio vs Fluminense Lineups & Team News

Don’t bet on Grêmio vs Fluminense without reviewing the latest team news. Expect the predicted and confirmed Série A lineups along with timely injury updates.

Grêmio Team Page Fluminense Team Page

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