Grêmio FBPA
Football Brazilian Série A Arena do Grêmio Tue 2 Dec 19:30
Fluminense FC
  1. Prediction
  2. Odds
  3. Stats
  4. Team News
  5. Lineups
  6. Injuries
  7. Squads
  8. Table

Série A Betting Preview: Grêmio vs Fluminense

Grêmio go head-to-head with Fluminense at Arena do Grêmio, with kick-off set for 19:30 on Tuesday 2 December.

The Value Lies With Grêmio

Grêmio +0.25 look like a value bet on the Asian Handicap. This involves splitting our stake between 0 and +0.5, with a win against Fluminense the desired outcome at betting odds of -154.

Confident in our Asian Handicap pick? Read our expert review of BetMGM, then grab the latest promo code before placing your bet.

Grêmio Are 7 From 10 on the Head-to-Head

Grêmio have registered back-to-back home victories in Série A. They recently secured a 3-2 win against Palmeiras. The Immortal Tricolor had 44% possession and nine shots on target, with Francis Amuzu, Carlos Vinicius and Willian among the goals.

Fluminense claimed a home win in their previous game. A 6-0 victory occurred against São Paulo. The Rio de Janeiro team recorded 55% possession and had eleven shots on goal, with Agustin Canobbio scoring twice.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Fluminense have not lost to Grêmio in the past three meetings. In their last encounter, Fluminense claimed a 1-0 victory at home. The 10 previous H2H meetings have involved seven Grêmio wins, one draw and two Fluminense victories.

Série A G W D L GF GA GD GD P
10 Fluminense logo Fluminense 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Grêmio logo Grêmio 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
View Full Table
Grêmio – Last 10 League Games

Grêmio have 4 wins, 5 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.4 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 11.1 attempts. The Porto Alegre outfit have averaged 45.2% possession and 4.5 corners per match, conceding 1.6 goals and 5.4 corners from 5.9 shots on goal and 11.6 attempts.

Carlos Vinicius leads the way with 9 goals, Francis Amuzu has 2, with Willian and two others on 1. Cristian Pavon is the leading assists maker with 2.

Fluminense – Last 10 League Games

Fluminense have won 6, lost 2 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.2 goals from 9.4 attempts and 4.5 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 52.3% possession, 4.9 corners awarded and 3.7 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 0.5 goals from 8.2 attempts and 2.3 shots on goal.

Kevin Serna is the leading scorer with 3 goals, followed by Agustin Canobbio on 2, with Martinelli and two others bagging 1. Look no further than Kevin Serna for the top assist maker (2) in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Grêmio confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Tiago Volpi (GK), Marcos Rocha, Gustavo Martins, Wagner Leonardo, Marlon, Dodi, Arthur, Willian, Cristian Pavon, Andre, Alysson Edward.

Fluminense confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Fabio (GK), Samuel Xavier, Ignacio, Juan Freytes, Rene, Martinelli, Nonato, Luciano Acosta, Kevin Serna, Everaldo, Yeferson Soteldo.

Grêmio vs Fluminense Prediction & Betting Tips

Get ahead of the game with our Grêmio vs Fluminense betting rundown, featuring our trusted match prediction, likely score outcome, corners betting edge, standout player prop plays and a fully loaded bet builder.

Match Prediction

If you agree with our verdict that Grêmio can avoid defeat in this Série A clash, then you can back them with a +0.25 goal start at -154. There are several reasons to back this selection.

In order to come up with the best football predictions, we like to know the Série A team news and study the latest form. There are also plenty of numbers to crunch from the available stats.

Key Grêmio vs Fluminense league stats:

  • The +0.25 line has been covered by Grêmio in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
  • The +0.25 line has been covered by Grêmio in 15 of their last 20 games at home.
  • The +0.25 line has been covered by Grêmio in 2 consecutive games at home.
  • The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Fluminense in 6 consecutive games on the road.
  • The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Fluminense in 9 of their last 10 games on the road.
  • The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Fluminense in 16 of their last 20 games on the road.
  • The +0.25 line has been covered by Grêmio in 8 of their last 10 games against Fluminense.
Grêmio +0.25 Probability

If you go by the top bookies, there’s a 60.6% likelihood of our pick winning. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be closer to 70%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

There are larger odds available for bettors who want to move the line. If you have a strong view on a team performing well, then you can get more juice from your bet.

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Our Match Prediction
Grêmio Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -154 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (01:38, 01 December 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 01:38, 01 December 2025

Correct Score Prediction

Grêmio Grêmio logo 1 - 2 Fluminense logo Fluminense

There are odds of +700 available that Fluminense land a 2-1 win. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.

Latest Correct Score Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Luciano Acosta Under 0.5 Shots On Target -161 BetMGM logo

Luciano Acosta (Fluminense) is available at -161 to not record a shot on goal. Those wanting to back him should certainly look at the Shots on Target betting odds available.

Latest Luciano Acosta Player Prop Odds

Kevin Serna to Score +500 BetMGM logo

Kevin Serna (Fluminense) has racked up three goals in his past five Série A matches. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive considering the numbers and we’ll plump for him to find the net at odds of +500.

Latest Kevin Serna Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Grêmio Over 4.5 Corners -105 BetMGM logo

Grêmio have had over 4.5 corners in three straight home games, with Fluminense conceding over 4.5 corners in their past two away games. There’s an opportunity to go over the Grêmio Team Corners line and we’re expecting this to happen, with odds of -105 available.

League Games
League Games
Last 10 Total For Against
Last 10 at Home Total For Against
Last 10 Away Total For Against
Grêmio Logo Grêmio
Total
9.90 4.50 5.40
Home
7.50 4.50 3.00
Away
10.60 3.00 7.60
Fluminense Logo Fluminense
Total
8.60 4.90 3.70
Home
8.20 4.80 3.40
Away
9.30 4.20 5.10
Latest Corner Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Bet Builder Tips

Asian Handicap Grêmio +0.25 -154
Both Team To Score Yes -118
Shots On Target Luciano Acosta Under 0.5 -161

A same-game multi always adds excitement and the picks are Grêmio with an Asian Handicap of +0.25, Yes on the BTTS market along with Luciano Acosta (Fluminense) to finish without a shot on target.

The bet builder feature allows football punters to place a multiple wager on the same game. You need all your predictions to be correct and many readers love to place a tailored bet on the clash which interests them most.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Grêmio vs Fluminense Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Tight Affair in the Eyes of the Bookies

If you’re looking to wager Grêmio to secure victory in the Série A, then the bookmakers have chalked them up at +195. Fluminense are on offer at betting odds of +150 and the draw is +200.

It sometimes pays to take the Draw No Bet option meaning there’s a safety net if the game ends all square. Fluminense can be backed at -143 or alternatively Grêmio are on offer at -100.

When it comes to the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this exciting contest. Both Teams to Score is a two-way market and, when it comes to latest odds, there’s not much to separate Yes and No.

For those wagering on Série A games, it’s all about heading to the top football betting sites where hundreds of markets await you. Pre-match and In-Play options are plentiful.

Martin Braithwaite Favourite to Be First Goalscorer

Favourite Martin Braithwaite is priced at +400 to be the first player on the scoresheet, while there’s also the chance to back him to score any time at odds of +170.

Player Goals
Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)
First
+170
Anytime
+400
BetMGM Logo
Germán Cano (Fluminense)
First
+195
Anytime
+450
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Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)
First
+210
Anytime
+480
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John Kennedy (Fluminense)
First
+250
Anytime
+550
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Player Shots On Target
Germán Cano (Fluminense)
Over 0.5
-222
Under 0.5
+123
BetMGM Logo
Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)
Over 0.5
-208
Under 0.5
+117
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Everaldo Stum (Fluminense)
Over 0.5
-149
Under 0.5
-118
BetMGM Logo
John Kennedy (Fluminense)
Over 0.5
-128
Under 0.5
-135
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Player Shots
Everaldo Stum (Fluminense)
Over 2.5
+107
Under 2.5
-
BetMGM Logo
John Kennedy (Fluminense)
Over 1.5
-152
Under 1.5
-
BetMGM Logo
Luciano Acosta (Fluminense)
Over 1.5
-135
Under 1.5
-
BetMGM Logo
Andre Henrique da Silva Martins (Grêmio)
Over 1.5
+102
Under 1.5
-
BetMGM Logo
Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Best Betting Offers
Team Stats
Grêmio logo Grêmio League Stats
Fluminense logo Fluminense League Stats
Full-Time Result
  • 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
  • 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
Full-Time Result
  • 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
  • 1 win, 4 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 away matches
Goals
Goals
Corners
Corners
Possession
Possession
Top Scorers & Assists
Top Scorers & Assists

Grêmio vs Fluminense Lineups & Team News

Don’t bet on Grêmio vs Fluminense without reviewing the latest team news. Expect the predicted and confirmed Série A lineups along with timely injury updates.

Grêmio Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3

Fluminense Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3

Grêmio Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3

1 Tiago Volpi
14 Marcos Rocha 53 Gustavo Martins 3 Wagner Leonardo 23 Marlon
17 Dodi 29 Arthur 88 Willian
7 Cristian Pavon 77 Andre 47 Alysson Edward
1 Fabio
2 Samuel Xavier 4 Ignacio 22 Juan Freytes 6 Rene
8 Martinelli 16 Nonato 32 Luciano Acosta
90 Kevin Serna 9 Everaldo 7 Yeferson Soteldo

Fluminense Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3

Grêmio Substitutes

  • 2Joao Lucas
  • 4Walter Kannemann
  • 6Gustavo Cuellar
  • 8Edenilson
  • 10Franco Cristaldo
  • 12Gabriel Grando
  • 15Camilo
  • 16Alexander Aravena
  • 21Jemerson
  • 25Lucas Esteves
  • 40Jardiel da Silva
  • 44Viery

Fluminense Substitutes

  • 5Facundo Bernal
  • 10Ganso
  • 11Keno
  • 19Joaquin Lavega
  • 21Igor Rabello
  • 23Guga
  • 27Marcelo Pitaluga
  • 28Riquelme Felipe
  • 29Thiago Santos
  • 35Hercules
  • 45Vinicius Lima
  • 99John Kennedy

Previous Grêmio Lineups

25 Nov Série A
Grêmio 3-2 Palmeiras
22 Nov Série A
Botafogo 3-2 Grêmio
19 Nov Série A
Grêmio 2-0 Vasco da Gama
09 Nov Série A
Fortaleza 2-2 Grêmio
05 Nov Série A
Grêmio 0-1 Cruzeiro
02 Nov Série A
Corinthians 2-0 Grêmio

Previous Fluminense Lineups

27 Nov Série A
Fluminense 6-0 São Paulo
22 Nov Série A
Palmeiras 0-0 Fluminense
19 Nov Série A
Fluminense 2-1 Flamengo
09 Nov Série A
Cruzeiro 0-0 Fluminense
06 Nov Série A
Fluminense 1-0 Mirassol
02 Nov Série A
Ceará 2-0 Fluminense

Injuries & Suspensions

Grêmio Injury Table
Type Name Info
Cristian Olivera Ankle
Joao Pedro Shoulder
Fabian Balbuena Knee
Mathias Villasanti Knee
Fluminense Injury Table
Type Name Info
Jefferson Savarino Muscle
Team Squads

Grêmio Player Stats & Squad

Manager: Mano Menezes

Player # Pos GP MIN ST BE G A Y R
Tiago Volpi 1 G 31 2790 31 0 2 0 2 0
Marlon 23 D 30 2609 29 3 1 2 8 0
Dodi 17 M 31 2276 25 8 0 1 9 1
Wagner Leonardo 3 D 27 2189 24 11 0 2 3 0
Edenilson 8 M 29 1730 24 6 3 1 6 0

Fluminense FC Player Stats & Squad

Manager: Luis Zubeldia

Player # Pos GP MIN ST BE G A Y R
Fabio 1 G 36 3240 36 0 0 0 2 0
Juan Freytes 22 D 31 2744 31 0 0 0 8 1
Martinelli 8 M 31 2544 30 1 3 2 6 0
Samuel Xavier 2 M 27 2203 24 7 4 1 4 0
Rene 6 D 26 2182 25 6 2 0 3 0
Brazil FlagSérie A Table
2026 Season
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Athletico PR 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Atlético MG 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Bahia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Botafogo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Chapecoense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Corinthians 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Coritiba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Cruzeiro 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Flamengo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Fluminense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Grêmio 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Internacional 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Mirassol 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Palmeiras 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Bragantino 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Remo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Santos 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 São Paulo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
19 Vasco da Gama 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
20 Vitória 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Athletico PR 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Atlético MG 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Bahia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Botafogo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Chapecoense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Corinthians 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Coritiba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Cruzeiro 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Flamengo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Fluminense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Grêmio 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Internacional 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Mirassol 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Palmeiras 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Bragantino 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Remo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Santos 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 São Paulo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
19 Vasco da Gama 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
20 Vitória 0 0 0 0 0:0 0