Grêmio vs Palmeiras Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 25 Nov 2025

Série A Betting Preview: Grêmio vs Palmeiras

Grêmio clash with second-placed Palmeiras, with kick-off set for 19:30 on Tuesday 25 November.

After weighing everything up, the price of -161 for Under 2.5 Goals looks to be the sensible wager. Neither Grêmio or Palmeiras might be prolific and this Total Goals pick provides lots of value.

Our Total Goals pick looking good to you? Make sure you read our in-depth BetMGM review and get the latest promo code before betting.

Grêmio were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 3-2 reverse against Botafogo. Mano Menezes' side boasted 55% possession and recorded six shots on target, while Andre and Carlos Vinicius scored one goal each.

Palmeiras played Fluminense at home in their previous game. It was a 0-0 draw. The Big Green boasted 54% possession and recorded two shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Palmeiras have claimed consecutive victories over Grêmio, winning by 1-0 and 1-0 scorelines when hosting. Palmeiras have landed seven victories, Grêmio have one win and there’s been two draws in the past 10 H2H meetings.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
11	Grêmio	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
14	Palmeiras	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 10.3 attempts. Grêmio have had 44.6% possession and 4.0 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.5 goals from 5.9 shots on goal and 12.0 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 6.1 corners.

Top goalscorer Carlos Vinicius has found the net 8 times, with Andre, Francis Amuzu, Marlon and Edenilson scoring 1 each. Cristian Pavon is the top assists maker with 2.

Palmeiras have won 4, lost 3 and drawn 3, with an average of 14.9 attempts, 7.3 shots on goal and 1.6 goals. The São Paulo team average 53.6% possession, 6.5 corners awarded and 4.5 corners against them, while 0.8 goals have been conceded from 3.7 shots on goal and 8.9 attempts.

Vitor Roque is top of the team’s scoring charts with 6, Felipe Anderson has 3, with Bruno Rodrigues and Bruno Fuchs both on 2. Allan and Raphael Veiga have clocked up 3 assists each in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Grêmio confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Tiago Volpi (GK), Marcos Rocha, Wagner Leonardo, Walter Kannemann, Marlon, Dodi, Arthur, Cristian Pavon, Edenilson, Francis Amuzu, Carlos Vinicius.

Palmeiras confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Marcelo Lomba (GK), Emiliano Martinez, Luis Benedetti, Micael, Agustin Giay, Anibal Moreno, Felipe Anderson, Jefte, Facundo Torres, Mauricio, Ramon Sosa.

Grêmio vs Palmeiras Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the full betting picture for Grêmio vs Palmeiras, including our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, key corners pick, must-watch player props and a tailored bet builder ready to use.

Match Prediction

The stats imply that we’ll see a low-scoring Série A clash, with a total goal count of two or less expected based on the information to hand. Secure a price of -161 for Under 2.5 Goals.

We take note of any injuries or suspensions affecting each side before going ahead with our football predictions. The Série A form guide and stats also help the team at Sportsgambler.com crunch the numbers ahead of the action.

Key Grêmio vs Palmeiras league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Grêmio games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 Grêmio games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Grêmio games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Palmeiras games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Palmeiras games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Palmeiras games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 games between these teams.

If you go by the top bookies, there’s a 61.7% likelihood of our pick winning. Based on our experts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 70%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

Bettors who are looking for more juice from their bet could consider a wager on Under 2.5 Goals along with a team to win. The Result & Total Goals market provides this particular option.

Before placing a wager, see what betting offers are on the table. Our in-depth guide lists the top welcome bonuses right now.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -161 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Grêmio 1 - 1 Palmeiras

We’ve got a correct score prediction which involves the teams playing out a 1-1 draw. Odds of +425 look appealing and we should get a run for our money here.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: José Manuel López Over 0.5 Shots On Target -164

José Manuel López (Palmeiras) can be wagered to finish with at least one shot on goal at -164. Those wanting to back him should certainly look at the Shots on Target betting odds available.

Latest José Manuel López Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+270

First

+650

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-102

Shots

Over 2.5

-141

Under 2.5

-

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

---

Francis Amuzu to Score +550

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio) has registered two goals in his past five Série A home games. We think this is the pick of the player props, with a generous +550 available when it comes to backing him to score at any time.

Latest Francis Amuzu Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+450

First

+1050

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-213

Shots

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

-

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Corners Prediction

Grêmio Over 3.5 Corners -149

In their past four home games, Grêmio have covered the 3.5 corners line, while the previous three Palmeiras away matches have involved them conceding over 3.5 corners. We think it’s possible that Grêmio will cover the Team Corners line and there are odds of -149 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Grêmio

Total

10.10 4.00 6.10

Home

7.40 4.20 3.20

Away

10.60 3.00 7.60

Palmeiras

Total

11.00 6.50 4.50

Home

10.30 6.90 3.40

Away

9.30 5.00 4.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

+104

Under 10.5

-149

Grêmio Corners

Over 4.5

-127

Under 4.5

-108

Palmeiras Corners

Over 4.5

-152

Under 4.5

+112

Most Corners

1

+115

X

+650

2

-111

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Grêmio vs Palmeiras Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Grêmio are regarded as having a 45% chance of winning this Série A clash in the eyes of the bookies. It means that their current betting odds are +123. If you’re searching for a different slant, Palmeiras are available at +230.

Grêmio are available at odds of -111 on the Asian Handicap -0.25. With this bet, you need them to simply beat Palmeiras to win, although a draw would see half your stake returned.

Under 2.5 Goals is a short-priced option for those expecting two goals or less. On the Both Teams to Score market, there isn’t much between the BTTS Yes and No options in terms of price.

If you’re betting on Série A games, we recommend heading to the best football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

+123

X

+220

2

+230

Half-Time Result

1

+185

X

+114

2

+275

Double Chance

1X

-333

12

-313

X2

-164

Draw No Bet

1

-182

2

+125

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-111

2 Hcp +0.25

-111

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-156

Over 2.5

+118

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-118

No

-120

Carlos Vinícius is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +380 and if you’re keen to back him to simply find the net, then the price is +170.

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

First

+170

Anytime

+380

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

First

+205

Anytime

+480

José Manuel López (Palmeiras)

First

+270

Anytime

+650

Ramón Sosa (Palmeiras)

First

+420

Anytime

+900

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Grêmio)

First

+440

Anytime

+1000

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

First

+450

Anytime

+1050

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

First

+500

Anytime

+1150

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Facundo Torres (Palmeiras)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Bruno Rafael Rodrigues (Palmeiras)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Raphael Cavalcante Veiga (Palmeiras)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Allan Andrade Elias (Palmeiras)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Andreas Pereira (Palmeiras)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes (Palmeiras)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Arthur Melo (Grêmio)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Wagner Leonardo (Grêmio)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Gustavo Cuellar (Grêmio)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Joaquín Piquerez (Palmeiras)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

+140

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

+130

José Manuel López (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-102

Ramón Sosa (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-179

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-213

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-233

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+138

Under 0.5

-250

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-263

Facundo Torres (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-270

Raphael Cavalcante Veiga (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-278

Allan Andrade Elias (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-278

Bruno Rafael Rodrigues (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-303

Andreas Pereira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-333

Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-417

Wagner Leonardo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-588

Arthur Melo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-588

Gustavo Cuellar (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-625

Joaquín Piquerez (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-769

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

Over 3.5

+138

Under 3.5

-

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-

José Manuel López (Palmeiras)

Over 2.5

-141

Under 2.5

-

Ramón Sosa (Palmeiras)

Over 2.5

+148

Under 2.5

-

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

+104

Under 1.5

-

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

-

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

+108

Under 1.5

-

Raphael Cavalcante Veiga (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Allan Andrade Elias (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

-106

Under 1.5

-

Wagner Leonardo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-127

Under 0.5

-

Gustavo Cuellar (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-127

Under 0.5

-

Joaquín Piquerez (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-

Grêmio vs Palmeiras Lineups & Team News

Before making your bets, take a look at the Grêmio vs Palmeiras team news. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Série A lineups and injury news right here.

Grêmio Team Page Palmeiras Team Page

Top Football Pages