Grêmio vs Palmeiras Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 25 Nov 2025

Série A Betting Preview: Grêmio vs Palmeiras

Grêmio clash with second-placed Palmeiras, with kick-off set for 19:30 on Tuesday 25 November.

After weighing everything up, the price of -161 for Under 2.5 Goals looks to be the sensible wager. Neither Grêmio or Palmeiras might be prolific and this Total Goals pick provides lots of value.

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Grêmio were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 3-2 reverse against Botafogo. Mano Menezes' side boasted 55% possession and recorded six shots on target, while Andre and Carlos Vinicius scored one goal each.

Palmeiras played Fluminense at home in their previous game. It was a 0-0 draw. The Big Green boasted 54% possession and recorded two shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Palmeiras have claimed consecutive victories over Grêmio, winning by 1-0 and 1-0 scorelines when hosting. Palmeiras have landed seven victories, Grêmio have one win and there’s been two draws in the past 10 H2H meetings.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Palmeiras	35	21	7	7	58	29	29	58:29	70
12	Grêmio	35	11	10	14	39	46	-7	39:46	43

View Full Table

3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 10.3 attempts. Grêmio have had 44.6% possession and 4.0 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.5 goals from 5.9 shots on goal and 12.0 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 6.1 corners.

Top goalscorer Carlos Vinicius has found the net 8 times, with Andre, Francis Amuzu, Marlon and Edenilson scoring 1 each. Cristian Pavon is the top assists maker with 2.

Palmeiras have won 4, lost 3 and drawn 3, with an average of 14.9 attempts, 7.3 shots on goal and 1.6 goals. The São Paulo team average 53.6% possession, 6.5 corners awarded and 4.5 corners against them, while 0.8 goals have been conceded from 3.7 shots on goal and 8.9 attempts.

Vitor Roque is top of the team’s scoring charts with 6, Felipe Anderson has 3, with Bruno Rodrigues and Bruno Fuchs both on 2. Allan and Raphael Veiga have clocked up 3 assists each in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Grêmio predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Tiago Volpi (GK), Marcos Rocha, Wagner Leonardo, Walter Kannemann, Marlon, Dodi, Arthur, Alysson Edward, Edenilson, Francis Amuzu, Carlos Vinícius.

Palmeiras predicted lineup (4-4-2): Carlos Miguel (GK), Khellven, Gustavo Gomez, Bruno Fuchs, Joaquín Piquerez, Allan, Anibal Moreno, Andreas Pereira, Felipe Anderson, José Manuel López, Vitor Roque.

Grêmio vs Palmeiras Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the full betting picture for Grêmio vs Palmeiras, including our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, key corners pick, must-watch player props and a tailored bet builder ready to use.

Match Prediction

The stats imply that we’ll see a low-scoring Série A clash, with a total goal count of two or less expected based on the information to hand. Secure a price of -161 for Under 2.5 Goals.

We take note of any injuries or suspensions affecting each side before going ahead with our football predictions. The Série A form guide and stats also help the team at Sportsgambler.com crunch the numbers ahead of the action.

Key Grêmio vs Palmeiras league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Grêmio games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 Grêmio games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Grêmio games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Palmeiras games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Palmeiras games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Palmeiras games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 games between these teams.

If you go by the top bookies, there’s a 61.7% likelihood of our pick winning. Based on our experts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 70%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

Bettors who are looking for more juice from their bet could consider a wager on Under 2.5 Goals along with a team to win. The Result & Total Goals market provides this particular option.

Before placing a wager, see what betting offers are on the table. Our in-depth guide lists the top welcome bonuses right now.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -161 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Grêmio 1 - 1 Palmeiras

We’ve got a correct score prediction which involves the teams playing out a 1-1 draw. Odds of +425 look appealing and we should get a run for our money here.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Francis Amuzu to Score +550

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio) has scored two goals in his past five Série A home games. We’ll take a chance at +550 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look really appealing.

Latest Francis Amuzu Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+550

First

+1300

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-286

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Corners Prediction

Grêmio Over 3.5 Corners -149

In their past four home games, Grêmio have covered the 3.5 corners line, while the previous three Palmeiras away matches have involved them conceding over 3.5 corners. We think it’s possible that Grêmio will cover the Team Corners line and there are odds of -149 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Grêmio

Total

10.10 4.00 6.10

Home

7.40 4.20 3.20

Away

10.60 3.00 7.60

Palmeiras

Total

11.00 6.50 4.50

Home

10.30 6.90 3.40

Away

9.30 5.00 4.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-123

Under 9.5

-114

Grêmio Corners

Over 4.5

+112

Under 4.5

-152

Palmeiras Corners

Over 5.5

+108

Under 5.5

-147

Most Corners

1

+148

X

+650

2

-147

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Grêmio vs Palmeiras Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Palmeiras are regarded as having a 43% chance of winning this Série A clash in the eyes of the bookies. It means that their current betting odds are +130. If you’re searching for a different slant, Grêmio are available at +225.

Palmeiras are available at odds of -104 on the Asian Handicap -0.25. With this bet, you need them to simply beat Grêmio to win, although a draw would see half your stake returned.

Under 2.5 Goals is a short-priced option for those expecting two goals or less. On the Both Teams to Score market, there isn’t much between the BTTS Yes and No options in terms of price.

If you’re betting on Série A games, we recommend heading to the best football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

+225

X

+215

2

+130

Half-Time Result

1

+265

X

+112

2

+190

Double Chance

1X

-175

12

-303

X2

-313

Draw No Bet

1

+120

2

-172

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-118

2 Hcp -0.25

-104

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-161

Over 2.5

+123

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-115

No

-123

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +430 and if you’re keen to back him to simply find the net, then the price is +180.

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

First

+180

Anytime

+430

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

First

+210

Anytime

+480

José Manuel López (Palmeiras)

First

+210

Anytime

+480

Ramón Sosa (Palmeiras)

First

+340

Anytime

+700

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

First

+440

Anytime

+1000

Facundo Torres (Palmeiras)

First

+450

Anytime

+1000

Raphael Cavalcante Veiga (Palmeiras)

First

+450

Anytime

+1050

Allan Andrade Elias (Palmeiras)

First

+450

Anytime

+1050

Bruno Rafael Rodrigues (Palmeiras)

First

+450

Anytime

+1050

Andreas Pereira (Palmeiras)

First

+500

Anytime

+1150

Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes (Palmeiras)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Grêmio)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Joaquín Piquerez (Palmeiras)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Arthur Melo (Grêmio)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Gustavo Cuellar (Grêmio)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Wagner Leonardo (Grêmio)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

+125

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+110

José Manuel López (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-100

Ramón Sosa (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-182

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-250

Allan Andrade Elias (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-263

Facundo Torres (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-263

Raphael Cavalcante Veiga (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-263

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+148

Under 0.5

-278

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-286

Bruno Rafael Rodrigues (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-294

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-303

Andreas Pereira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-303

Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-400

Joaquín Piquerez (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-714

Arthur Melo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-769

Wagner Leonardo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-714

Gustavo Cuellar (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-833

Grêmio vs Palmeiras Lineups & Team News

Before making your bets, take a look at the Grêmio vs Palmeiras team news. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Série A lineups and injury news right here.

Grêmio Team Page Palmeiras Team Page

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