Grêmio vs Santos Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 May 2025

Santos Should Put Up a Fight

We will split our stake on the Asian Handicap between 0 and +0.5 when wagering Santos +0.25 at -100 against Grêmio. We need a victory for a full payout although the draw means a return is on the cards.

Santos 2-1 Victory in Previous H2H Meeting

Grêmio drew on their travels in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw against Vitória. Mano Menezes' side had 45% possession and eight shots on target, with Jemerson being the goalscorer.

Santos have lost three road games on the spin. Most recently, they were turned over 2-1 at home to Red Bull Bragantino. The Fish boasted 54% possession and recorded three shots on goal, while Deivid Washington was on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Santos won the last clash between the pair. Landing a 2-1 home victory when facing Grêmio. It’s been five Santos wins, three draws and two Grêmio victories in the past 10 H2H matches.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
14	Grêmio	17	5	5	7	16	23	-7	16:23	20
17	Santos	16	4	3	9	15	21	-6	15:21	15

View Full Table

2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 9.6 attempts. Grêmio have had 43.5% possession and 4.5 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.7 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 11.0 attempts, while being awarded 6.0 corners.

Martin Braithwaite is the top scorer with 2 goals, while Jemerson, Matias Arezo, Edenilson and Joao Pedro each have 1. Joao Pedro is the top assists maker on 2.

Santos have won 1, lost 4 and drawn 1, with an average of 10.7 attempts, 3.3 shots on goal and 1.2 goals. Cesar Sampaio's team average 49.0% possession, 4.8 corners in their favour and 4.8 corners against, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 4.2 shots on goal and 9.7 attempts.

Alvaro Barreal is top of the team’s scoring charts with 2, while Deivid Washington, Tiquinho Soares, Ze Ivaldo and Thaciano have 1. Gabriel Bontempo and Tiquinho Soares are the top assists providers with 1 in the previous 6 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Grêmio confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Tiago Volpi (GK), Igor Serrote, Jemerson, Wagner Leonardo, Marlon, Gustavo Cuellar, Dodi, Edenilson, Franco Cristaldo, Cristian Olivera, Martin Braithwaite.

Santos confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Gabriel Brazao (GK), Luisao, Ze Ivaldo, Luan Peres, Gonzalo Escobar, Tomas Rincon, Joao Schmidt, Benjamin Rollheiser, Thaciano, Yeferson Soteldo, Deivid Washington.

Grêmio vs Santos Prediction & Betting Tips

Santos +0.25 on the Asian Handicap looks like a sensible play at a price of -100. They should be able to swerve a loss in this Série A game and we’re confident that the away team can land a victory.

Injuries and suspensions can affect the overall outcome and we use this information as well as the latest form guide. The same applies to the stats so that we can get the best understanding of how things might pan out.

Key Grêmio vs Santos league stats:

• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Grêmio in any of their last 5 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Grêmio in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Grêmio in 5 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Grêmio in 8 of their last 10 games against Santos.

Santos +0.25 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 50% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

There’s an opportunity to land bigger odds thanks to selling goals on your Asian Handicap wager. If you want a safer wager, buying goals could be the way forward.

Our Match Prediction

Santos Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -100 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Grêmio 0 - 1 Santos

There could be merit in backing Santos to win 1-0. Odds of +750 are available about a correct score bet where a nice potential return is on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Cristian Olivera Over 0.5 Shots On Target -156

Cristian Olivera (Grêmio) is available at -156 to have at least one shot on goal. The odds look attractive based on the evidence and we’ll take a chance on him on the Shots on Target market.

Latest Cristian Olivera Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+290

First

+575

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-106

Shots

Over 2.5

+123

Under 2.5

-

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Tiquinho Soares To Score +350

Tiquinho Soares (Santos) is available at +350 to find the net. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive based on the evidence and we’ll plump for him to find the net.

Latest Tiquinho Soares Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+375

First

+800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-164

Shots

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

-

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Grêmio vs Santos Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Match Odds Suggest Grêmio Victory

The Grêmio betting odds have been priced up by the bookies and they are +105 favourites to land victory in this Serie A encounter which means a 49% chance of winning. If you want to back the outsider for this match, Santos are available at +290.

The odds suggest that Under 2.5 Goals is the likelier outcome in this match.

Should you want to back Grêmio to win this Série A match, then there is -225 available on the Draw No Bet market, with Santos chalked at +162.5.

Full-Time Result

1

+105

X

+220

2

+290

Half-Time Result

1

+175

X

-100

2

+350

Double Chance

1X

-400

12

-275

X2

-138

Draw No Bet

1

-225

2

+162.5

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

+105

2 Hcp +0.5

-125

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-175

Over 2.5

+135

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+105

No

-143

Martin Braithwaite Favourite to Find the Net First

Martin Braithwaite is priced at +430 when it comes to First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and also available at odds of +195 to find the net anytime.

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

First

+195

Anytime

+430

Matías Arezo (Grêmio)

First

+215

Anytime

+480

Cristian Olivera (Grêmio)

First

+290

Anytime

+575

Deivid Washington de Souza Eugenio (Santos)

First

+320

Anytime

+700

Tiquinho Soares (Santos)

First

+375

Anytime

+800

Alexander Aravena (Grêmio)

First

+400

Anytime

+750

'Guilherme' dos Santos (Santos)

First

+400

Anytime

+850

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

First

+450

Anytime

+900

Benjamín Rollheiser (Santos)

First

+450

Anytime

+1000

Gabriel Veron Fonseca de Souza (Santos)

First

+460

Anytime

+1000

Mathías Villasanti (Grêmio)

First

+460

Anytime

+1050

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

First

+480

Anytime

+900

Yeferson Soteldo (Santos)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Thaciano Mickael Silva (Santos)

First

+550

Anytime

+1200

Álvaro Barreal (Santos)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Wagner Leonardo (Grêmio)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

João Victor de Souza Menezes (Santos)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

João Pedro Maturano dos Santos (Grêmio)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

Jemerson Nascimento (Grêmio)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Diego Cristiano "Pituca" Evaristo (Santos)

First

+800

Anytime

+1600

Camilo Reijers de Oliveira (Grêmio)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Gustavo Cuellar (Grêmio)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Hyan Carvalho Machado Silva (Santos)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

João Lucas Carvalho (Grêmio)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Tomás Rincón (Santos)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

+133

Matías Arezo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

+128

Cristian Olivera (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-106

Deivid Washington de Souza Eugenio (Santos)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-122

'Guilherme' dos Santos (Santos)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-132

Tiquinho Soares (Santos)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-164

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+104

Under 0.5

-185

Alexander Aravena (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-192

Benjamín Rollheiser (Santos)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-192

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-222

Gabriel Veron Fonseca de Souza (Santos)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-222

Mathías Villasanti (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+138

Under 0.5

-238

Thaciano Mickael Silva (Santos)

Over 0.5

+143

Under 0.5

-250

Álvaro Barreal (Santos)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-278

João Victor de Souza Menezes (Santos)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-370

João Pedro Maturano dos Santos (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-370

Gustavo Cuellar (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-455

Camilo Reijers de Oliveira (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-455

Wagner Leonardo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-500

Jemerson Nascimento (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-500

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

Over 3.5

+128

Under 3.5

-

Matías Arezo (Grêmio)

Over 2.5

-125

Under 2.5

-

Cristian Olivera (Grêmio)

Over 2.5

+123

Under 2.5

-

Deivid Washington de Souza Eugenio (Santos)

Over 2.5

+114

Under 2.5

-

Tiquinho Soares (Santos)

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

-

Alexander Aravena (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

'Guilherme' dos Santos (Santos)

Over 1.5

-250

Under 1.5

-

Benjamín Rollheiser (Santos)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Gabriel Veron Fonseca de Souza (Santos)

Over 1.5

-106

Under 1.5

-

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-

João Pedro Maturano dos Santos (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

Jemerson Nascimento (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-

Camilo Reijers de Oliveira (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Gustavo Cuellar (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

-

Grêmio vs Santos Lineups & Team News

You’ve found the right place for Grêmio vs Santos team news, with all the latest information available including lineups and injuries so you’re fully informed.

The Série A squad information is a great asset when it comes to making your bets.

Grêmio Team Page Santos Team Page