Grêmio vs Vitória Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Sep 2025

Série A Betting Preview: Grêmio vs Vitória

Grêmio host Vitória in this Brazilian Série A game, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Sunday 28 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Get the Best Value By Backing Grêmio

Grêmio could land the money against Vitória and we’ll take this pick on the Full-Time Result market. There are appealing odds of -143 and we can’t pass up the chance to back the favourites.

Backing Grêmio for the win? Get your hands on the newest BetMGM promo code and give our comprehensive review a read before locking in your pick.

Teams Drew 1-1 in Previous H2H Clash

Grêmio played Botafogo at home in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw. The Porto Alegre club recorded four shots on target and had 46% possession, while Tiago Volpi bagged the goal.

Vitória have now suffered three straight away defeats. Their previous game ended in a 1-0 home loss against Fluminense. Rodrigo Chagas' team had 45% possession and recorded four shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Grêmio are unbeaten when it comes to the past five matches against Vitória, with a 1-1 draw happening in the last encounter. The past 5 H2H matches have included three Grêmio wins along with two draws.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
11	Grêmio	24	7	8	9	24	30	-6	24:30	29
17	Vitória	24	4	10	10	19	35	-16	19:35	22

View Full Table

3 wins, 4 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 8.3 attempts. Grêmio have had 46.8% possession and 3.4 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.0 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 10.7 attempts, while being awarded 4.4 corners.

Top scorers are Tiago Volpi and Martin Braithwaite on 2 goals, while Carlos Vinicius has racked up 1. Andre has made the most assists with 3.

Vitória have won 2, lost 4 and drawn 4, with an average of 0.9 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 10.0 attempts. The Salvador outfit have averaged 43.2% possession, 3.9 corners taken and 5.5 corners against, while conceding 2.0 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 10.7 attempts.

Renato Kayzer is top of the team’s scoring charts with 4, Erick has 3, with Gabriel Baralhas and Renzo Lopez both on 1. Ronald has had 2 assists in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Grêmio predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Tiago Volpi (GK), Marcos Rocha, Erick Noriega, Walter Kannemann, Marlon, Dodi, Arthur, Cristian Pavón, Edenilson, Willian, André Henrique.

Vitória predicted lineup (4-3-3): Lucas Arcanjo (GK), Raúl Cáceres, Camutanga, Lucas Halter, Ramon, Willian Oliveira, Gabriel Baralhas, Matheuzinho, Erick, Renato Kayzer, Osvaldo Filho.

Grêmio vs Vitória Prediction & Betting Tips

Discover our expert Grêmio vs Vitória betting tips, featuring a match prediction, correct score suggestion, corners market outlook, top player prop picks and bet builder advice. Scroll down for full analysis.

Match Prediction

We really like Grêmio at odds of -143 to win this Série A game, with this bet making lots of appeal. There’s a nice potential return and we think a victory could be on the cards.

The Série A experts at Sportsgambler.com always keep close tabs on team news. We also use a form guide for our football betting tips along with checking out the stats that are going to help inform our final decision.

Key Grêmio vs Vitória league stats:

• Vitória have lost their last 3 games on the road.
• Vitória have lost 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Grêmio have won 3 of their last 5 games against Vitória.

Grêmio to Win Probability

The best football betting sites make it a 58.8% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 65-70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

For those that think Grêmio will be able to oblige with a victory along with achieving a shut out, then we recommend backing them to win along with the BTTS No option at bigger odds.

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Our Match Prediction

Grêmio To Win @ -143 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Grêmio 2 - 0 Vitória

A 2-0 win in favor of Grêmio is available at odds of +575. Correct score betting can be rewarding and you can also get plenty of entertainment with this option.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Andre Henrique da Silva Martins Under 0.5 Shots On Target -164

Andre Henrique da Silva Martins (Grêmio) can be backed to not have a shot on goal at -164. We’ll take a chance with this Shots on Target pick as the betting odds look pretty attractive.

Latest Andre Henrique da Silva Martins Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+380

First

+700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+106

Under 0.5

-167

Shots

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

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Willian To Score +420

Willian (Grêmio) is available at +420 to find the net. Using all information, we’ll head to the Anytime Goalscorer market where we can bet him to find the net at attractive odds.

Latest Willian Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+410

First

+850

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-167

Shots

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -105

It has been five straight Grêmio home games involving the 9.5 Total Corners line not being covered, with four  consecutive Vitória away matches seeing the same thing happen. When it comes to Total Corners, we’re expecting the teams to fall short and you can land odds of -105.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Grêmio

Total

7.80 3.40 4.40

Home

9.40 4.20 5.20

Away

9.80 2.90 6.90

Vitória

Total

9.40 3.90 5.50

Home

10.50 5.70 4.80

Away

8.60 3.90 4.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-141

Under 9.5

-100

Grêmio Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-138

Vitória Corners

Over 4.5

+120

Under 4.5

-163

Most Corners

1

-164

X

+700

2

+180

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Grêmio vs Vitória Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Grêmio Made Favourites by the Bookies

Grêmio are forecasted to be the most likely winner in this Série A encounter. The -139 for them coming out on top suggests a 58% probability based on their latest betting odds. Vitória are operating at larger odds than the opposition and the underdogs can be wagered at +400.

Grêmio are -103 if you take them on the Asian Handicap at -0.75. Stakes are split between -0.5 and -1 which means you need a 2+ goal win for a full payout. A one-goal victory means a return with half your stake and the other half refunded.

Under 2.5 Goals is available as the favourite and a bet on this pick means that you don’t want more than two goals to be netted. The Both Teams to Score No pick is -161 if you’re expecting at least one side will fail to find the net.

You can find hundreds of markets for every Série A game, with the best betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and In-Play selections before placing your football bets.

Full-Time Result

1

-139

X

+255

2

+400

Half-Time Result

1

+138

X

+110

2

+420

Double Chance

1X

-625

12

-370

X2

-100

Draw No Bet

1

-357

2

+240

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-103

2 Hcp +0.75

-120

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-167

Over 2.5

+128

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+114

No

-161

Cristian Olivera is the First Goalscorer Favourite

Cristian Olivera is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +600 and if you’re keen to back him to simply find the net, then the price is +300.

Cristian Olivera (Grêmio)

First

+300

Anytime

+600

Romarinho da Silva (Vitória)

First

+350

Anytime

+750

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Grêmio)

First

+370

Anytime

+750

Andre Henrique da Silva Martins (Grêmio)

First

+380

Anytime

+700

Renato Kayzer de Souza (Vitória)

First

+400

Anytime

+800

Willian (Grêmio)

First

+410

Anytime

+850

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

First

+430

Anytime

+850

Matheus Paulo "Matheuzinho" (Vitória)

First

+550

Anytime

+1100

Willian Oliveira (Vitória)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Erick de Arruda Serafim (Vitória)

First

+650

Anytime

+1200

João Pedro Maturano dos Santos (Grêmio)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Osvaldo Filho (Vitória)

First

+700

Anytime

+1300

Alex Santana (Grêmio)

First

+750

Anytime

+1500

Camilo Reijers de Oliveira (Grêmio)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Gustavo Cuellar (Grêmio)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Gustavo Martins (Grêmio)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Ronald dos Santos Lopes (Vitória)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Gabriel Baralhas (Vitória)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Cristian Olivera (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-100

Romarinho da Silva (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-118

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-147

Renato Kayzer de Souza (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-137

Andre Henrique da Silva Martins (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+106

Under 0.5

-167

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+106

Under 0.5

-172

Willian (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-167

Matheus Paulo "Matheuzinho" (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-213

Willian Oliveira (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-263

Erick de Arruda Serafim (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-263

Osvaldo Filho (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-278

João Pedro Maturano dos Santos (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-333

Alex Santana (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-385

Gustavo Cuellar (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+235

Under 0.5

-455

Camilo Reijers de Oliveira (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-556

Ronald dos Santos Lopes (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-476

Gustavo Martins (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-667

Gabriel Baralhas (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-588

Cristian Olivera (Grêmio)

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-

Romarinho da Silva (Vitória)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-192

Under 1.5

-

Andre Henrique da Silva Martins (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Renato Kayzer de Souza (Vitória)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

-

Willian (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

-

Matheus Paulo "Matheuzinho" (Vitória)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Willian Oliveira (Vitória)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

Erick de Arruda Serafim (Vitória)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

Osvaldo Filho (Vitória)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

João Pedro Maturano dos Santos (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Alex Santana (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Camilo Reijers de Oliveira (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

Gustavo Martins (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-

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Grêmio vs Vitória Lineups & Team News

Before placing any bets on Grêmio vs Vitória, check the team news first. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for Série A along with the latest injury news.

Grêmio Team Page Vitória Team Page