Grêmio vs Vitória Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Sep 2025
Série A Betting Preview: Grêmio vs Vitória
Grêmio host Vitória in this Brazilian Série A game, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Sunday 28 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
Grêmio could land the money against Vitória and we’ll take this pick on the Full-Time Result market. There are appealing odds of -143 and we can’t pass up the chance to back the favourites.
Backing Grêmio for the win? Get your hands on the newest BetMGM promo code and give our comprehensive review a read before locking in your pick.
Grêmio played Botafogo at home in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw. The Porto Alegre club recorded four shots on target and had 46% possession, while Tiago Volpi bagged the goal.
Vitória have now suffered three straight away defeats. Their previous game ended in a 1-0 home loss against Fluminense. Rodrigo Chagas' team had 45% possession and recorded four shots on goal.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Grêmio are unbeaten when it comes to the past five matches against Vitória, with a 1-1 draw happening in the last encounter. The past 5 H2H matches have included three Grêmio wins along with two draws.
| Série A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Grêmio |
33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 35:43 | 40 |
| 17 | Vitória |
33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 29:47 | 35 |
3 wins, 4 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 8.3 attempts. Grêmio have had 46.8% possession and 3.4 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.0 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 10.7 attempts, while being awarded 4.4 corners.
Top scorers are Tiago Volpi and Martin Braithwaite on 2 goals, while Carlos Vinicius has racked up 1. Andre has made the most assists with 3.
Vitória have won 2, lost 4 and drawn 4, with an average of 0.9 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 10.0 attempts. The Salvador outfit have averaged 43.2% possession, 3.9 corners taken and 5.5 corners against, while conceding 2.0 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 10.7 attempts.
Renato Kayzer is top of the team’s scoring charts with 4, Erick has 3, with Gabriel Baralhas and Renzo Lopez both on 1. Ronald has had 2 assists in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Grêmio confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Gabriel Grando (GK), Marcos Rocha, Gustavo Martins, Walter Kannemann, Marlon, Erick Noriega, Arthur, Edenilson, Willian, Cristian Pavon, Andre.
Vitória confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Lucas Arcanjo (GK), Lucas Halter, Camutanga, Ze Marcos, Raul Caceres, Gabriel Baralhas, Ronald, Aitor Cantalapiedra, Ramon, Erick, Renato Kayzer.
Grêmio vs Vitória Prediction & Betting Tips
Discover our expert Grêmio vs Vitória betting tips, featuring a match prediction, correct score suggestion, corners market outlook, top player prop picks and bet builder advice. Scroll down for full analysis.
Match Prediction
We really like Grêmio at odds of -143 to win this Série A game, with this bet making lots of appeal. There’s a nice potential return and we think a victory could be on the cards.
The Série A experts at Sportsgambler.com always keep close tabs on team news. We also use a form guide for our football betting tips along with checking out the stats that are going to help inform our final decision.
Key Grêmio vs Vitória league stats:
The best football betting sites make it a 58.8% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 65-70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.
For those that think Grêmio will be able to oblige with a victory along with achieving a shut out, then we recommend backing them to win along with the BTTS No option at bigger odds.
Make smarter bets by exploring our bonus guide full of updated betting offers, free bets, and exciting new promotions.
Correct Score Prediction
A 2-0 win in favor of Grêmio is available at odds of +650. Correct score betting can be rewarding and you can also get plenty of entertainment with this option.
Player Prop Picks
Andre Henrique da Silva Martins (Grêmio) can be backed to not have a shot on goal at -164. We’ll take a chance with this Shots on Target pick as the betting odds look pretty attractive.
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Willian (Grêmio) is available at +420 to find the net. Using all information, we’ll head to the Anytime Goalscorer market where we can bet him to find the net at attractive odds.
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Corners Prediction
It has been five straight Grêmio home games involving the 9.5 Total Corners line not being covered, with four consecutive Vitória away matches seeing the same thing happen. When it comes to Total Corners, we’re expecting the teams to fall short and you can land odds of -105.
Grêmio
Vitória
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Bet Builder Tips
Our bet builder picks are Grêmio to win, no more than two goals to be registered accompanied by less than 9.5 corners to be taken.
A bet builder is a great alternative for football punters who want to focus their wagering on a single game. You can forecast specific things to happen and enjoy larger odds compared to betting a single. The odds multiply for each leg.
Grêmio vs Vitória Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Grêmio are forecasted to be the most likely winner in this Série A encounter. The -114 for them coming out on top suggests a 53% probability based on their latest betting odds. Vitória are operating at larger odds than the opposition and the underdogs can be wagered at +320.
There are different ways to bet on Grêmio including the Asian Handicap -0.5 market. This option is -111, although Vitória +0.5 is a viable alternative at -111 and you can cheer on the draw with the latter.
Under 2.5 Goals is available as the favourite and a bet on this pick means that you don’t want more than two goals to be netted. The Both Teams to Score No pick is -143 if you’re expecting at least one side will fail to find the net.
You can find hundreds of markets for every Série A game, with the best betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and In-Play selections before placing your football bets.
Cristian Olivera is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +650 and if you’re keen to back him to simply find the net, then the price is +300.
Grêmio League Stats
Vitória League Stats
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 2 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 1 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.30 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.40 corners awarded and 4.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.20 corners awarded and 5.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 7.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 5.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 4.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.60 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 46.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 46.10% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 43.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 43.50% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Grêmio this season are Martin Braithwaite (6), Alexander Aravena (2), Andre (2)
- Top Assistors for Grêmio this season are Andre (3), Franco Cristaldo (2), Marlon (2)
Grêmio vs Vitória Lineups & Team News
Before placing any bets on Grêmio vs Vitória, check the team news first. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for Série A along with the latest injury news.
Grêmio Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Vitória Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2
Grêmio Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Vitória Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2
Grêmio Substitutes
- 3Wagner Leonardo
- 9Francis Amuzu
- 10Franco Cristaldo
- 15Camilo
- 16Alexander Aravena
- 17Dodi
- 25Lucas Esteves
- 31Jorge
- 40Jardiel da Silva
- 47Alysson Edward
- 80Alex Santana
- 99Cristian Olivera
Vitória Substitutes
- 2Claudinho
- 7Romarinho
- 10Matheuzinho
- 11Osvaldo
- 12Thiago
- 22Lucas Braga
- 28Ricardo Ryller
- 29Willian
- 31Renzo Lopez
- 43Edu
- 66Maykon Jesus
- 77Neris
Previous Grêmio Lineups
Previous Vitória Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Série A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 69:21 | 71 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 58:29 | 68 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 46:22 | 64 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 54:33 | 59 |
| 5 | Botafogo | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47:30 | 55 |
| 6 | Bahia | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 44:40 | 53 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 38:37 | 51 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 40:50 | 45 |
| 9 | São Paulo | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 37:36 | 45 |
| 10 | Atlético MG | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:39 | 44 |
| 11 | Vasco da Gama | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 50:49 | 42 |
| 12 | Ceará | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 31:30 | 42 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 35:38 | 42 |
| 14 | Grêmio | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 35:43 | 40 |
| 15 | Internacional | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37:46 | 37 |
| 16 | Santos | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 34:48 | 36 |
| 17 | Vitória | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 29:47 | 35 |
| 18 | Juventude | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 29:59 | 32 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 34:51 | 31 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 27:63 | 17 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 17 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 42:8 | 41 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 35:11 | 39 |
| 3 | Mirassol | 17 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 36:14 | 39 |
| 4 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 30:12 | 39 |
| 5 | Bahia | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 28:11 | 39 |
| 6 | Fluminense | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 21:10 | 37 |
| 7 | Botafogo | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 32:20 | 32 |
| 8 | Atlético MG | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 24:14 | 31 |
| 9 | São Paulo | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 22:16 | 28 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 23:23 | 28 |
| 11 | Vitória | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 27 |
| 12 | Internacional | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23:18 | 26 |
| 13 | Grêmio | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18:13 | 26 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 21:14 | 25 |
| 15 | Ceará | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 17:12 | 25 |
| 16 | Vasco da Gama | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 26:23 | 25 |
| 17 | Santos | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 17:18 | 23 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20:22 | 21 |
| 19 | Juventude | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:19 | 21 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 17 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 16:32 | 10 |
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