Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Mar 2026
Bundesliga Betting Preview: Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen
Hamburger SV meet Bayer Leverkusen at Volksparkstadion, with kick-off set for 14:30 on Wednesday 4 March.
The outstanding wager can be found on the Full-Time Result market where Bayer Leverkusen are currently trading at +102. We believe the visitors will get the better of Hamburger SV and this looks like a value pick.
Hamburger SV were beaten 2-1 at Volksparkstadion in their last game, being turned over at home to RB Leipzig. Merlin Polzin's team had 42% possession and recorded three shots on target, while Fabio Vieira bagged the goal.
Bayer Leverkusen drew 1-1 against Mainz 05 in their previous game. This was on home soil at BayArena. The North Rhine-Westphalia club racked up five shots on goal and boasted 66% possession, with Jarell Quansah on the scoresheet.
| Bundesliga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Leverkusen |
23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 44:29 | 40 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV |
23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 26:34 | 26 |
HSV have 2 wins, 3 losses and 5 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 12.4 attempts. The Dinosaurs have averaged 46.9% possession, 411.9 passes and 4.0 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.4 goals from 4.2 shots on goal, 13.1 attempts and 5.6 corners.
Top goalscorers Fabio Vieira and Ransford Koenigsdoerffer have found the net 3 times, with Rayan Philippe scoring 2. William Mikelbrencis and Fabio Vieira are top assists makers with 2, while goalkeeper Daniel Heuer Fernandes has kept 3 clean sheets.
Leverkusen have 5 victories, 3 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.6 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 12.6 attempts. Kasper Hjulmand's side have averaged 60.4% possession, 645.1 passes, 5.5 corners taken and 3.5 corners against, while conceding 1.0 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 11.6 attempts.
The top scorers have been Jarell Quansah, Patrik Schick and Martin Terrier, with 2 goals apiece. Christian Kofane, Aleix Garcia and Ernest Poku have clocked up 2 assists, with Janis Blaswich keeping 2 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Hamburger SV predicted lineup (3-4-3): Daniel Heuer Fernandes (GK), Warmed Omari, Luka Vuskovic, Jordan Torunarigha, Giorgi Gocholeishvili, Fabio Vieira, Nicolai Remberg, William Mikelbrencis, Ransford Koenigsdoerffer, Damion Downs, Philip Otele.
Bayer Leverkusen predicted lineup (4-4-2): Janis Blaswich (GK), Jarell Quansah, Robert Andrich, Edmond Tapsoba, Lucas Vazquez, Equi Fernandez, Exequiel Palacios, Alejandro Grimaldo, Jonas Hofmann, Ernest Poku, Patrik Schick.
Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Betting Tips
Be fully equipped for Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen with our betting guide, offering a key match prediction, a correct score recommendation, valuable corners advice, top player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.
Match Prediction
Bayer Leverkusen have the potential to secure a triumph when they set up for this Bundesliga clash. On this basis, we are going to take a price of +102 feeling confident that this can happen.
The latest Bundesliga injuries and suspensions can affect the overall outcome and we use this information as well as the form guide. The same applies to the stats so that we can get the best understanding of how things might pan out.
Key Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen league stats:
If you go by the top bookies, there’s a 49.5% likelihood of our pick winning. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.
If you’re looking to extract more value from the odds, take a look at Leverkusen on the Asian Handicap. Those anticipating our winner to punch above their weight can back them to cover the line.
Give yourself a head start. Find betting offers that include generous free bets and welcome packages in our bonus guide.
Correct Score Prediction
A 2-1 win in favor of Leverkusen is available at odds of +700. Correct score betting can be rewarding and you can also get plenty of entertainment with this option.
Player Prop Picks
Fabio Vieira (HSV) has netted three goals in his past five Bundesliga games. Based on the numbers, we are looking to bet the +500 for him to find the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The 4.5 corners line has been covered by Bayer Leverkusen in three straight games, while HSV have let the opposition have an average of 7.60 corners in their last 5 matches. The Leverkusen Team Corners line is on the low side and we’re looking to go over this number at odds of -156.
Hamburger SV
Leverkusen
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
It’s great fun to place a bet builder and our picks are Bayer Leverkusen on the Full-Time Result, Over 2.5 together with Bayer Leverkusen to have over 4.5 corners.
A bet builder is a great alternative for football punters who want to focus their wagering on a single game. It’s a great bet to have if you’re confident of certain outcomes, especially as the price for each selection is combined.
Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With the bookies giving them a 50% probability of winning, Bayer Leverkusen might be a popular acca pick. Their current betting odds are +102 when it comes to triumphing in this Bundesliga clash. Hamburger SV are the outsiders at +240 which suggests a lower likelihood of winning.
The Asian Handicap -0.5 provides the chance to bet on Leverkusen to effectively win. If you want to oppose them, there’s the alternative to back HSV +0.5 at -128 and that gets the draw onside.
The lowest odds can be found for Over 2.5 Goals, which means at least three goals being netted. BTTS Yes is on offer at -172 for anyone who wants to side with Both Teams to Score.
There’s lots to like about the top football betting sites and that includes the hundreds of markets available for each Bundesliga match. You are spoilt for choice when it comes to available options.
Favourite Patrik Schick is +380 to be the First Goalscorer, while similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.
HSV have clocked up five draws, three victories and two defeats in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.30 goals per match and conceding 1.20.
Leverkusen have racked up five wins, four defeats and one draw in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.60 goals per game and conceding 1.50.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hamburger SV Home Stats |
3-5-2 | 2.50 | 1.30 | 1.20 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 3 | |
Bayer Leverkusen Away Stats |
5-1-4 | 3.10 | 1.60 | 1.50 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 4 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Hamburger SV League Stats
Bayer Leverkusen League Stats
- 2 wins, 3 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.00 corners awarded and 5.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.30 corners awarded and 5.10 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 3.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 5.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 46.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 45.80% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 60.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 58.90% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Hamburger SV this season are Rayan Philippe (5), Albert Sambi Lokonga (4), Fabio Vieira (4)
- Top Assistors for Hamburger SV this season are Fabio Vieira (4), Miro Muheim (4), William Mikelbrencis (2)
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Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen Lineups & Team News
Always review the HSV vs Leverkusen team news before locking in your bets. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Bundesliga lineups alongside the newest injury information.
Hamburger SV Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Bayer Leverkusen Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Hamburger SV Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Bayer Leverkusen Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Previous Hamburger SV Lineups
Previous Bayer Leverkusen Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Hamburger SV Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Merlin Polzin
Bayer Leverkusen Player Stats & Squad
Bundesliga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 24 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 88:23 | 63 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 51:25 | 52 |
| 3 | Hoffenheim | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 49:31 | 46 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 48:32 | 46 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 46:33 | 44 |
| 6 | Leverkusen | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 44:29 | 40 |
| 7 | Frankfurt | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 48:49 | 34 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 34:39 | 33 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 30:41 | 31 |
| 10 | Union Berlin | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 29:38 | 28 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 26:34 | 26 |
| 12 | B. M'gladbach | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27:39 | 25 |
| 13 | FC Koln | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 33:41 | 24 |
| 14 | Mainz 05 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 27:39 | 23 |
| 15 | St. Pauli | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 23:40 | 23 |
| 16 | Werder Bremen | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:44 | 22 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 33:53 | 20 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 22:53 | 14 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 48:12 | 31 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 28:11 | 29 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 21:12 | 29 |
| 4 | Hoffenheim | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 27:14 | 24 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21:12 | 24 |
| 6 | Leverkusen | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 25:11 | 23 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27:17 | 23 |
| 8 | Augsburg | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:19 | 21 |
| 9 | Frankfurt | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22:18 | 20 |
| 10 | Hamburger SV | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19:15 | 19 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17:17 | 17 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:21 | 16 |
| 13 | FC Koln | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21:19 | 15 |
| 14 | St. Pauli | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:18 | 15 |
| 15 | Mainz 05 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 16 | B. M'gladbach | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14:21 | 13 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13:27 | 10 |
| 18 | Wolfsburg | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 19:26 | 9 |
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