Hamburger SV vs Holstein Kiel Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 Dec 2025

DFB-Pokal Betting Preview: Hamburger SV vs Holstein Kiel

Bundesliga side Hamburger SV host 2. Bundesliga team Holstein Kiel at Volksparkstadion in the DFB-Pokal round of 16, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Wednesday 3 December.

It’s great to get attractive odds of -141 for a home win when Hamburger SV go up against Holstein Kiel. We think that the hosts will have the upper hand and the Full-Time Result market is a way of getting the best value.

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Hamburger SV landed a win when last in action. It was a 2-1 scoreline at home to Stuttgart at Volksparkstadion in the Bundesliga. Merlin Polzin's side ended up with just 34% possession and had two shots on target, while Robert Glatzel and Fabio Vieira scored one goal apiece.

Holstein Kiel lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Hertha BSC by a 1-0 2. Bundesliga scoreline at Holstein Stadion. The Schleswig-Holstein team recorded one shot on goal and had 52% possession.

In their last DFB-Pokal matches, HSV won 1-0 when travelling to Heidenheim, while Holstein triumphed 1-0 away to Wolfsburg.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Holstein have claimed victories in the last two encounters against HSV. A 1-0 win on their travels at Volksparkstadion came after a 4-2 home success at Holstein Stadion. The previous 10 H2H matches have featured six draws, three victories for Holstein and just one for HSV.

Bundesliga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
14	Hamburger SV	17	4	5	8	17	27	-10	17:27	17

2. Bundesliga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
10	Holstein Kiel	18	6	5	7	22	22	0	22:22	23

4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 15.0 attempts and 5.6 shots on goal. HSV have had 50.9% possession and 4.1 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.1 goals from 12.6 attempts and 4.2 shots on goal, while earning 4.7 corners.

Top goalscorer Rayan Philippe has found the net 3 times, with Robert Glatzel, Jean-Luc Dompe and Albert Sambi Lokonga scoring 2 each. Miro Muheim is the leading assists maker with 2, while goalkeepers Daniel Heuer Fernandes and Daniel Peretz collectively have 3 clean sheets.

Holstein have won 3, lost 4 and drawn 3, averaging 4.1 shots on goal, 9.1 attempts and 1.0 goals. Marcel Rapp's men average 51.5% possession, 5.4 corners awarded and 5.1 corners against, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 10.3 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal.

The top scorers have been Alexander Bernhardsson, Adrian Kapralik and David Zec, with 2 goals apiece. Alexander Bernhardsson has been the top assist maker on 5, with Timon Weiner notching one clean sheet in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Hamburger SV confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Daniel Peretz (GK), Guilherme Ramos, Luka Vuskovic, Jordan Torunarigha, Giorgi Gocholeishvili, Fabio Vieira, Nicolai Remberg, Miro Muheim, Rayan Philippe, Ransford Koenigsdoerffer, Alexander Roessing.

Holstein Kiel confirmed lineup (5-3-2): Timon Weiner (GK), Marko Ivezic, David Zec, Marco Komenda, Lasse Rosenboom, John Tolkin, Magnus Knudsen, Kasper Davidsen, Jonas Torrissen Therkelsen, Adrian Kapralik, Phil Harres.

Hamburger SV vs Holstein Kiel Prediction & Betting Tips

Discover the top Hamburger SV vs Holstein Kiel betting angles — from our trusted match prediction and likely score to the best prop plays and a customized bet builder.

Match Prediction

Hamburger SV can deliver the goods and we’ll back them with confidence for this DFB-Pokal match. The odds of -141 look attractive when it comes to the home team and we’re feeling confident.

The football experts at Sportsgambler.com check injury updates regularly and combine this with the form guide. We’re also able to consult a database of DFB-Pokal stats and present the key numbers to our readers.

Key Hamburger SV vs Holstein Kiel DFB-Pokal & league stats:

• HSV have won 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• Holstein have lost 3 of their last 5 games.
• Holstein have lost their last 2 games.

The betting apps are estimating that there is a 58.5% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, we think that the probability sits between 65-70% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

There are some excellent alternatives when it comes to backing Hamburg if you think they’ll prove too strong. One option is the Asian Handicap where you can choose a line at bigger odds.

Getting ready to place a wager? Check our updated guide for the latest betting offers, including free bets and the newest promos codes.

Our Match Prediction

Hamburg To Win @ -141 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Hamburger SV 2 - 0 Holstein Kiel

Let’s go for HSV to win 2-0, a bet which is available at +650. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Alexander Bernhardsson Over 0.5 Shots On Target +107

Alexander Bernhardsson (Holstein Kiel) has chalked up at least one shot on goal in two of his past nine away matches. We think this could be a decisive stat and we’ll bet on him to cover the Shots on Target line which is on offer at odds of +107.

Latest Alexander Bernhardsson Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+330

First

+850

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-200

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Rayan Philippe to Score +130

Rayan Philippe (HSV) has scored three goals in his past five home games. It’s worth a play on the +130 that he is Anytime Goalscorer as there’s lots of value for these betting odds.

Latest Rayan Philippe Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+140

First

+400

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-278

Under 0.5

+150

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Hamburger SV vs Holstein Kiel Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Hamburger SV are the -141 favourites on the 1x2 betting. That implies a 58% chance of triumphing in this DFB-Pokal encounter according to the latest odds. If you want to back the outsider, Holstein Kiel are available at +340.

Backing HSV -0.75 at -110 on the Asian Handicap line means they need to win by two goals or more against Holstein for a full payout. A one-goal success would see you get paid out on the -0.5 part and money back on the -1.0 part.

Over 2.5 Goals is trading at a shorter price than Under 2.5 Goals right now. For those expecting both sides to find the net, Both Teams to Score Yes is available at -159.

There are hundreds of markets from which to select your preferred bet when it comes to DFB-Pokal matches. The leading football betting sites push the boat out to provide lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

1

-141

X

+295

2

+340

Half-Time Result

1

+125

X

+145

2

+320

Double Chance

1X

-526

12

-455

X2

+104

Draw No Bet

1

-333

2

+215

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-110

2 Hcp +0.75

-115

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+114

Over 2.5

-154

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-159

No

+114

The First Goalscorer favourite is Jean-Luc Dompé at +400. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to register the last goal.

Jean-Luc Dompé (HSV)

First

+135

Anytime

+400

Rayan Philippe (HSV)

First

+140

Anytime

+400

Yussuf Poulsen (HSV)

First

+180

Anytime

+460

Robert Glatzel (HSV)

First

+180

Anytime

+525

Ransford Königsdörffer (HSV)

First

+190

Anytime

+525

Phil Harres (Holstein Kiel)

First

+280

Anytime

+750

Fabio Vieira (HSV)

First

+310

Anytime

+850

Immanuel Pherai (HSV)

First

+320

Anytime

+900

Alexander Bernhardsson (Holstein Kiel)

First

+330

Anytime

+850

Steven Skrzybski (Holstein Kiel)

First

+330

Anytime

+750

Nicolas Capaldo (HSV)

First

+380

Anytime

+1000

Nicolai Remberg (HSV)

First

+410

Anytime

+1100

Stefan Schwab (Holstein Kiel)

First

+475

Anytime

+1300

Albert Sambi Lokonga (HSV)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Jonas Meffert (HSV)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Jordan Torunarigha (HSV)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Noah Katterbach (HSV)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Jean-Luc Dompé (HSV)

Over 0.5

-278

Under 0.5

+145

Rayan Philippe (HSV)

Over 0.5

-278

Under 0.5

+150

Yussuf Poulsen (HSV)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

+105

Ransford Königsdörffer (HSV)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

+105

Robert Glatzel (HSV)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-100

Phil Harres (Holstein Kiel)

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-143

Steven Skrzybski (Holstein Kiel)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-182

Alexander Bernhardsson (Holstein Kiel)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-200

Fabio Vieira (HSV)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-208

Immanuel Pherai (HSV)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-222

Nicolas Capaldo (HSV)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-278

Nicolai Remberg (HSV)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-303

Stefan Schwab (Holstein Kiel)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-303

Albert Sambi Lokonga (HSV)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-455

Jonas Meffert (HSV)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-476

Jordan Torunarigha (HSV)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-667

Noah Katterbach (HSV)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-909

Latest DFB-Pokal and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Hamburger SV Stats

Holstein Kiel Stats

Full-Time Result

• 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 3 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 6 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 4 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 9 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 6 home matches
• An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 6 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 6 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 6 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.11 goals scored and 1.11 conceded in the previous 9 away matches
• An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.22 goals per game in the previous 9 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 9 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 9 away matches

Corners

• An average of 4.10 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 3.50 corners awarded and 5.67 corners against in the last 6 home matches
• An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.17 corners awarded in the last 6 home matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 5 of the last 6 home matches

Corners

• An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 5.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 3.88 corners awarded and 6.00 corners against in the last 8 away matches
• An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.88 corners awarded in the last 8 away matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 6 of the last 8 away matches

Possession

• An average of 50.90% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 46.00% possession in the last 6 home matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 1 of the last 6 home matches

Possession

• An average of 51.50% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 49.63% possession in the last 8 away matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 4 of the last 8 away matches

Hamburger SV vs Holstein Kiel Lineups & Team News

Stay ahead of the game by checking the HSV vs Holstein team news before betting. We’ll deliver both predicted and confirmed lineups for the DFB-Pokal as well as the latest injury reports.

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