Hamburger SV vs Holstein Kiel Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 Dec 2025
DFB-Pokal Betting Preview: Hamburger SV vs Holstein Kiel
Bundesliga side Hamburger SV host 2. Bundesliga team Holstein Kiel at Volksparkstadion, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Wednesday 3 December.
It’s great to get attractive odds of -141 for a home win when Hamburger SV go up against Holstein Kiel. We think that the hosts will have the upper hand and the Full-Time Result market is a way of getting the best value.
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Hamburger SV landed a win when last in action. It was a 2-1 scoreline at home to Stuttgart at Volksparkstadion in the Bundesliga. Merlin Polzin's side ended up with just 34% possession and had two shots on target, while Robert Glatzel and Fabio Vieira scored one goal apiece.
Holstein Kiel lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Hertha BSC by a 1-0 2. Bundesliga scoreline at Holstein Stadion. The Schleswig-Holstein team recorded one shot on goal and had 52% possession.
In their last DFB-Pokal matches, HSV won 1-0 when travelling to Heidenheim, while Holstein triumphed 1-0 away to Wolfsburg.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Holstein have claimed victories in the last two encounters against HSV. A 1-0 win on their travels at Volksparkstadion came after a 4-2 home success at Holstein Stadion. The previous 10 H2H matches have featured six draws, three victories for Holstein and just one for HSV.
4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 15.0 attempts and 5.6 shots on goal. HSV have had 50.9% possession and 4.1 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.1 goals from 12.6 attempts and 4.2 shots on goal, while earning 4.7 corners.
Top goalscorer Rayan Philippe has found the net 3 times, with Robert Glatzel, Jean-Luc Dompe and Albert Sambi Lokonga scoring 2 each. Miro Muheim is the leading assists maker with 2, while goalkeepers Daniel Heuer Fernandes and Daniel Peretz collectively have 3 clean sheets.
Holstein have won 3, lost 4 and drawn 3, averaging 4.1 shots on goal, 9.1 attempts and 1.0 goals. Marcel Rapp's men average 51.5% possession, 5.4 corners awarded and 5.1 corners against, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 10.3 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal.
The top scorers have been Alexander Bernhardsson, Adrian Kapralik and David Zec, with 2 goals apiece. Alexander Bernhardsson has been the top assist maker on 5, with Timon Weiner notching one clean sheet in the last 10 games.
Hamburger SV vs Holstein Kiel Prediction & Betting Tips
Discover the top Hamburger SV vs Holstein Kiel betting angles — from our trusted match prediction and likely score to the best prop plays and a customized bet builder.
Match Prediction
Hamburger SV can deliver the goods and we’ll back them with confidence for this DFB-Pokal match. The odds of -141 look attractive when it comes to the home team and we’re feeling confident.
The football experts at Sportsgambler.com check injury updates regularly and combine this with the form guide. We’re also able to consult a database of DFB-Pokal stats and present the key numbers to our readers.
Key Hamburger SV vs Holstein Kiel DFB-Pokal & league stats:
The betting apps are estimating that there is a 58.5% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, we think that the probability sits between 65-70% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.
There are some excellent alternatives when it comes to backing Hamburg if you think they’ll prove too strong. One option is the Asian Handicap where you can choose a line at bigger odds.
Getting ready to place a wager? Check our updated guide for the latest betting offers, including free bets and the newest promos codes.
Correct Score Prediction
Let’s go for HSV to win 2-0, a bet which is available at +650. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.
Player Prop Picks
Alexander Bernhardsson (Holstein Kiel) has chalked up at least one shot on goal in two of his past nine away matches. We think this could be a decisive stat and we’ll bet on him to cover the Shots on Target line which is on offer at odds of +107.
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Rayan Philippe (HSV) has scored three goals in his past five home games. It’s worth a play on the +130 that he is Anytime Goalscorer as there’s lots of value for these betting odds.
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Bet Builder Tips
We’ve got a bet builder with three options: Hamburger SV on the 1x2, no more than two goals merged with Alexander Bernhardsson (Holstein Kiel) to have a minimum of one shot on target.
A bet builder is a great alternative for football punters who want to focus their wagering on a single game. It’s a great bet to have if you’re confident of certain outcomes, especially as the price for each selection is combined.
Hamburger SV vs Holstein Kiel Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Hamburger SV are the -141 favourites on the 1x2 betting. That implies a 58% chance of triumphing in this DFB-Pokal encounter according to the latest odds. If you want to back the outsider, Holstein Kiel are available at +340.
Backing HSV -0.75 at -112 on the Asian Handicap line means they need to win by two goals or more against Holstein for a full payout. A one-goal success would see you get paid out on the -0.5 part and money back on the -1.0 part.
Over 2.5 Goals is trading at a shorter price than Under 2.5 Goals right now. For those expecting both sides to find the net, Both Teams to Score Yes is available at -172.
There are hundreds of markets from which to select your preferred bet when it comes to DFB-Pokal matches. The leading football betting sites push the boat out to provide lots of choice.
The First Goalscorer favourite is Rayan Philippe at +390. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to register the last goal.
- 2. Bundesliga: 20/04 2024 Hamburger SV 0 Holstein Kiel 1
- 2. Bundesliga: 11/11 2023 Holstein Kiel 4 Hamburger SV 2
- 2. Bundesliga: 18/03 2023 Hamburger SV 0 Holstein Kiel 0
- 2. Bundesliga: 09/09 2022 Holstein Kiel 2 Hamburger SV 3
- 2. Bundesliga: 10/04 2022 Holstein Kiel 1 Hamburger SV 0
- 2. Bundesliga: 30/10 2021 Hamburger SV 1 Holstein Kiel 1
- 2. Bundesliga: 08/03 2021 Hamburger SV 1 Holstein Kiel 1
- 2. Bundesliga: 09/11 2020 Holstein Kiel 1 Hamburger SV 1
- 2. Bundesliga: 08/06 2020 Hamburger SV 3 Holstein Kiel 3
- 2. Bundesliga: 09/11 2019 Holstein Kiel 1 Hamburger SV 1
Latest DFB-Pokal and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.
Hamburger SV Stats
Holstein Kiel Stats
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 6 home matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 9 away matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 6 home matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 6 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 6 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 6 home matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.11 goals scored and 1.11 conceded in the previous 9 away matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.22 goals per game in the previous 9 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 9 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 9 away matches
- An average of 4.10 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 corners awarded and 5.67 corners against in the last 6 home matches
- An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.17 corners awarded in the last 6 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 5 of the last 6 home matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 5.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.88 corners awarded and 6.00 corners against in the last 8 away matches
- An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.88 corners awarded in the last 8 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 6 of the last 8 away matches
- An average of 50.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 46.00% possession in the last 6 home matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 6 home matches
You can watch and bet on DFB-Pokal games thanks to the live streaming service that’s available. This is only available to eligible sportsbook customers and is subject to geo-restrictions.
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Hamburger SV vs Holstein Kiel Lineups & Team News
Stay ahead of the game by checking the HSV vs Holstein team news before betting. We’ll deliver both predicted and confirmed lineups for the DFB-Pokal as well as the latest injury reports.
Previous Hamburger SV Lineups
Previous Holstein Kiel Lineups
DFB-Pokal Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 44:9 | 34 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 22:13 | 26 |
| 3 | Dortmund | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 21:11 | 25 |
| 4 | Leverkusen | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 28:17 | 23 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 25:17 | 23 |
| 6 | Stuttgart | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21:17 | 22 |
| 7 | Frankfurt | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 28:23 | 21 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19:20 | 16 |
| 9 | Werder Bremen | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:21 | 16 |
| 10 | FC Koln | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21:20 | 15 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 12 | B. M'gladbach | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16:19 | 13 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:18 | 12 |
| 14 | Augsburg | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15:27 | 10 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14:22 | 9 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10:27 | 8 |
| 17 | St. Pauli | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10:24 | 7 |
| 18 | Mainz 05 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11:23 | 6 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 29:4 | 21 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | 15 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 15 |
| 4 | Leverkusen | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:6 | 13 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:8 | 11 |
| 6 | Dortmund | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 11 |
| 7 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:8 | 11 |
| 8 | Hamburger SV | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 9 | Frankfurt | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 10 |
| 10 | Hoffenheim | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:10 | 9 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 12 | FC Koln | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 7 |
| 13 | B. M'gladbach | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:14 | 6 |
| 14 | Augsburg | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:15 | 6 |
| 15 | Heidenheim | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | 5 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:14 | 4 |
| 17 | Mainz 05 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | 2 |
| 18 | Wolfsburg | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7:14 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Schalke 04 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 18:8 | 31 |
| 2 | Paderborn | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 29 |
| 3 | Elversberg | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27:13 | 27 |
| 4 | Hannover 96 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27:18 | 27 |
| 5 | Darmstadt | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 23:13 | 26 |
| 6 | Hertha BSC | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 17:10 | 26 |
| 7 | Kaiserslautern | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 24:17 | 23 |
| 8 | Karlsruher | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21:24 | 21 |
| 9 | Preussen Munster | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19:22 | 18 |
| 10 | Nurnberg | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15:19 | 18 |
| 11 | A. Bielefeld | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 26:22 | 17 |
| 12 | Bochum | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20:20 | 16 |
| 13 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14:17 | 15 |
| 14 | F. Dusseldorf | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 15 | D. Dresden | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 20:26 | 13 |
| 16 | Braunschweig | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 14:25 | 13 |
| 17 | Greuther Furth | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 20:37 | 13 |
| 18 | Magdeburg | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 13:24 | 10 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Schalke 04 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 18 |
| 2 | Kaiserslautern | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Elversberg | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:5 | 15 |
| 4 | Darmstadt | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:6 | 15 |
| 5 | Karlsruher | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 6 | Paderborn | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12:9 | 15 |
| 7 | Hertha BSC | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 13 |
| 8 | A. Bielefeld | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 17:10 | 12 |
| 9 | Preussen Munster | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 10 | Hannover 96 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 11 | Nurnberg | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 11 |
| 12 | Bochum | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:7 | 9 |
| 13 | Holstein Kiel | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 8 |
| 14 | Braunschweig | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:14 | 7 |
| 15 | Greuther Furth | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:16 | 7 |
| 16 | Magdeburg | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9:13 | 6 |
| 17 | D. Dresden | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | 5 |
| 18 | F. Dusseldorf | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:12 | 5 |
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