Hamburger SV vs Mainz Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 05 Oct 2025

Bundesliga Betting Preview: Hamburger SV vs Mainz

Hamburger SV host Mainz in this German Bundesliga meeting at Volksparkstadion, with kick-off set for 11:30 on Sunday 5 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Goals the Bet in HSV vs Mainz

The Total Goals market can provide the best betting angle considering that odds of -143 are available when it comes to Over 2.5. We expect this total to be covered when Hamburger SV line up against Mainz.

Going with our Total Goals selection? Our BetMGM review has all the details—and the promo code can add extra value to your stake.

Mainz Looking to Build on Previous Win

Hamburger SV faced Union Berlin away when last in action. It was a 0-0 draw at Alten Foersterei. The Lower Saxony outfit dominated possession with 66% of the ball and recorded six shots on target.

Mainz 05 were beaten 2-0 in their previous Bundesliga game, being turned over at home to Borussia Dortmund at MEWA Arena. Bo Henriksen's side recorded 49% possession and had one shot on goal.

On Thursday night, Mainz won 1-0 away in the Europa Conference League against Omonia Nicosia.

Bundesliga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
13	Hamburger SV	5	1	2	2	2	8	-6	2:8	5
14	Mainz 05	5	1	1	3	5	6	-1	5:6	4

View Full Table

3 wins, 4 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 5.7 shots on goal and 12.6 attempts. HSV have had 50.6% possession and 3.6 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.6 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 14.5 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 5.3 corners.

Top scorers are Davie Selke and Ransford Koenigsdoerffer on 3 goals, while Robert Glatzel has racked up 2. Miro Muheim and Jean-Luc Dompe have racked up the most assists with 3, while goalkeeper Daniel Heuer Fernandes has 2 clean sheets.

Mainz have 2 victories, 4 defeats and 4 draws, averaging 3.9 shots on goal, 13.9 attempts and 1.4 goals. The 05ers average 51.9% possession, 400.5 passes, 6.7 corners taken and 4.1 corners against them, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 11.1 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal.

Paul Nebel and Jonathan Burkardt have top scored with 3, while Dominik Kohr is next on 2. Nadiem Amiri and Nelson Weiper are the top assist makers, managing 2 in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Hamburger SV predicted lineup (3-4-3): Daniel Heuer Fernandes (GK), Guilherme Ramos, Luka Vuskovic, Daniel Elfadli, Giorgi Gocholeishvili, Nicolás Capaldo, Nicolai Remberg, Miro Muheim, Rayan Philippe, Ransford Königsdörffer, Jean-Luc Dompe.

Mainz predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Lasse Rieß (GK), Danny da Costa, Andreas Hanche-Olsen, Dominik Kohr, Silvan Widmer, Kaishu Sano, Nadiem Amiri, Phillipp Mwene, Paul Nebel, Jae-Sung Lee, Armindo Sieb.

Hamburger SV vs Mainz Prediction & Betting Tips

Gear up for Hamburger SV vs Mainz with our comprehensive betting guide, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, top player props and a hand-picked bet builder.

Match Prediction

The betting price of -143 looks attractive when it comes to betting on Over 2.5 Goals. We are expecting a nice return in this Bundesliga clash and this wager provides us with a good betting angle.

The team at Sportsgambler.com are right across the latest Bundesliga injury news and the form guide also informs our football predictions. This data is combined with the latest stats.

Key Hamburger SV vs Mainz league stats:

• The 2.5 line has been covered in 12 of the last 18 Mainz games on the road.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Mainz games on the road.

Over 2.5 Probability

The best bookies are estimating that there is a 58.8% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 65-70%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

There are alternatives to this pick including Over 3.5 Goals where bettors can get a bigger price. You need at least four to be bagged in order to trigger a pay out with this wager.

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Our Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -143 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Hamburger SV 1 - 2 Mainz

There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing Mainz to win 2-1. We can’t pass up the odds of +750 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Armindo Sieb Over 1.5 Shots -159

Armindo Sieb (Mainz) has had over 1.5 shots in four consecutive Bundesliga matches on the road. There is odds of -159 available when it comes to this Player Shots wager and we think he’ll cover the line.

Latest Armindo Sieb Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+290

First

+700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-133

Shots

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

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Nadiem Amiri to Score +310

Nadiem Amiri (Mainz) has registered two goals in his past four Bundesliga away games. The Anytime Goalscorer odds look really appealing based on the stats and we’ll take a chance on him at odds of +310.

Latest Nadiem Amiri Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+310

First

+750

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-125

Shots

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

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Hamburger SV vs Mainz Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Match Odds Suggest a Tight Affair

At betting odds of +128, the bookies make Mainz 05 probable winners and there’s a 44% likelihood that the favourites triumph in this Bundesliga encounter. The +180 means that Hamburger SV are seen as having the lowest probability of succeeding.

A win for Mainz would see a full payout on the Asian Handicap -0.25 option. You can get -102 that they overcome HSV going down this route and half stake refunded if it’s a draw.

The Total Goals odds suggest that Over 2.5 is a strong probability in this contest. If you are expecting both teams to score, there’s the chance to back Yes at -167 on the BTTS market.

There are hundreds of markets which means lots of options to find a football wager for the latest Bundesliga game. The leading betting apps leave no stone unturned to provide a first-class service.

Full-Time Result

1

+180

X

+270

2

+128

Half-Time Result

1

+230

X

+135

2

+175

Double Chance

1X

-167

12

-370

X2

-238

Draw No Bet

1

+104

2

-147

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-127

2 Hcp -0.25

-102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+110

Over 2.5

-143

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-167

No

+125

Benedict Hollerbach Heads First Goalscorer Market

There’s the chance to back Benedict Hollerbach at +575 to be the First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and available at similar odds to find the net last instead.

Benedict Hollerbach (Mainz)

First

+230

Anytime

+575

Nelson Weiper (Mainz)

First

+260

Anytime

+575

Ransford Königsdörffer (HSV)

First

+280

Anytime

+650

Robert Glatzel (HSV)

First

+280

Anytime

+650

Armindo Sieb (Mainz)

First

+290

Anytime

+700

Paul Nebel (Mainz)

First

+300

Anytime

+700

Nadiem Amiri (Mainz)

First

+310

Anytime

+750

Jae-sung Lee (Mainz)

First

+330

Anytime

+800

Arnaud Nordin (Mainz)

First

+350

Anytime

+850

William Bøving (Mainz)

First

+370

Anytime

+850

Immanuel Pherai (HSV)

First

+450

Anytime

+1100

Jean-Luc Dompé (HSV)

First

+450

Anytime

+1150

Nicolas Capaldo (HSV)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Dominik Kohr (Mainz)

First

+550

Anytime

+1600

Nicolai Remberg (HSV)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Danny Da Costa (Mainz)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Albert Sambi Lokonga (HSV)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Jonas Meffert (HSV)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Stefan Bell (Mainz)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Jordan Torunarigha (HSV)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Philipp Mwene (Mainz)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Benedict Hollerbach (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

+115

Nelson Weiper (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-108

Ransford Königsdörffer (HSV)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-109

Robert Glatzel (HSV)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-109

Nadiem Amiri (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-125

Paul Nebel (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-119

Under 0.5

-130

Armindo Sieb (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-133

Jae-sung Lee (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-152

Arnaud Nordin (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-164

William Bøving (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+114

Under 0.5

-179

Jean-Luc Dompé (HSV)

Over 0.5

+138

Under 0.5

-222

Immanuel Pherai (HSV)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-233

Nicolas Capaldo (HSV)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-303

Nicolai Remberg (HSV)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-333

Dominik Kohr (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-435

Albert Sambi Lokonga (HSV)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-455

Jonas Meffert (HSV)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-476

Danny Da Costa (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-667

Stefan Bell (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-909

Jordan Torunarigha (HSV)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-909

Philipp Mwene (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-714

Benedict Hollerbach (Mainz)

Over 2.5

-111

Under 2.5

-

Nelson Weiper (Mainz)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Ransford Königsdörffer (HSV)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Robert Glatzel (HSV)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-

Nadiem Amiri (Mainz)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Jean-Luc Dompé (HSV)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-

Immanuel Pherai (HSV)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

William Bøving (Mainz)

Over 1.5

-102

Under 1.5

-

Arnaud Nordin (Mainz)

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

Jae-sung Lee (Mainz)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Paul Nebel (Mainz)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

-

Armindo Sieb (Mainz)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Nicolas Capaldo (HSV)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Dominik Kohr (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Nicolai Remberg (HSV)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Danny Da Costa (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-112

Under 0.5

-

Stefan Bell (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+104

Under 0.5

-

Jordan Torunarigha (HSV)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-

Past Ten HSV Games at Home Have Yielded Five Wins

HSV have managed five victories, three losses and two draws in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 2.10 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

Mainz have not tasted an away defeat in three straight matches. Bo Henriksen's side have five wins, four losses and one draw in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.70 goals per match and conceding 1.40.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Hamburger SV Home Stats		5-2-3	3.40	2.10	1.30	7	3	6	4
Mainz Away Stats		5-1-4	3.10	1.70	1.40	6	4	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Hamburger SV vs Mainz Lineups & Team News

Stay ahead of the game by checking the HSV vs Mainz team news before betting. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Bundesliga lineups alongside the newest injury information.

Hamburger SV Team Page Mainz 05 Team Page