Hamburger SV vs Mainz Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 05 Oct 2025
Bundesliga Betting Preview: Hamburger SV vs Mainz
Hamburger SV host Mainz in this German Bundesliga meeting at Volksparkstadion, with kick-off set for 11:30 on Sunday 5 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
The Total Goals market can provide the best betting angle considering that odds of -143 are available when it comes to Over 2.5. We expect this total to be covered when Hamburger SV line up against Mainz.
Going with our Total Goals selection? Our BetMGM review has all the details—and the promo code can add extra value to your stake.
Hamburger SV faced Union Berlin away when last in action. It was a 0-0 draw at Alten Foersterei. The Lower Saxony outfit dominated possession with 66% of the ball and recorded six shots on target.
Mainz 05 were beaten 2-0 in their previous Bundesliga game, being turned over at home to Borussia Dortmund at MEWA Arena. Bo Henriksen's side recorded 49% possession and had one shot on goal.
On Thursday night, Mainz won 1-0 away in the Europa Conference League against Omonia Nicosia.
| Bundesliga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 |  Hamburger SV |
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 |  Mainz 05 |
10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 10:18 | 5 |
3 wins, 4 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 5.7 shots on goal and 12.6 attempts. HSV have had 50.6% possession and 3.6 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.6 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 14.5 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 5.3 corners.
Top scorers are Davie Selke and Ransford Koenigsdoerffer on 3 goals, while Robert Glatzel has racked up 2. Miro Muheim and Jean-Luc Dompe have racked up the most assists with 3, while goalkeeper Daniel Heuer Fernandes has 2 clean sheets.
Mainz have 2 victories, 4 defeats and 4 draws, averaging 3.9 shots on goal, 13.9 attempts and 1.4 goals. The 05ers average 51.9% possession, 400.5 passes, 6.7 corners taken and 4.1 corners against them, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 11.1 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal.
Paul Nebel and Jonathan Burkardt have top scored with 3, while Dominik Kohr is next on 2. Nadiem Amiri and Nelson Weiper are the top assist makers, managing 2 in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Hamburger SV confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Daniel Heuer Fernandes (GK), Nicolas Capaldo, Luka Vuskovic, Daniel Elfadli, Giorgi Gocholeishvili, Albert Sambi Lokonga, Nicolai Remberg, Miro Muheim, Rayan Philippe, Ransford Koenigsdoerffer, Jean-Luc Dompe.
Mainz confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Lasse Riess (GK), Danny da Costa, Andreas Hanche-Olsen, Dominik Kohr, Arnaud Nordin, Kaishu Sano, Nadiem Amiri, Phillipp Mwene, Paul Nebel, Jae-Sung Lee, Benedict Hollerbach.
Hamburger SV vs Mainz Prediction & Betting Tips
Gear up for Hamburger SV vs Mainz with our comprehensive betting guide, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, top player props and a hand-picked bet builder.
Match Prediction
The betting price of -143 looks attractive when it comes to betting on Over 2.5 Goals. We are expecting a nice return in this Bundesliga clash and this wager provides us with a good betting angle.
The team at Sportsgambler.com are right across the latest Bundesliga injury news and the form guide also informs our football predictions. This data is combined with the latest stats.
Key Hamburger SV vs Mainz league stats:
The best bookies are estimating that there is a 58.8% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 65-70%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.
There are alternatives to this pick including Over 3.5 Goals where bettors can get a bigger price. You need at least four to be bagged in order to trigger a pay out with this wager.
Give yourself a head start. Explore the latest free bet promotions and bonus offers in our comprehensive guide.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
2
Mainz
There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing Mainz to win 2-1. We can’t pass up the odds of +700 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.
Player Prop Picks
Armindo Sieb (Mainz) has had over 1.5 shots in four consecutive Bundesliga matches on the road. There is odds of -159 available when it comes to this Player Shots wager and we think he’ll cover the line.
T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Nadiem Amiri (Mainz) has registered two goals in his past four Bundesliga away games. The Anytime Goalscorer odds look really appealing based on the stats and we’ll take a chance on him at odds of +310.
T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Bet Builder Tips
If you want to try a bet builder, have a play on three or more goals to be registered, Mainz with the -0.25 Asian Handicap along with Armindo Sieb (Mainz) to record Over 1.5 shots.
The bet builder route is a great one for football fans requiring a tailored same-game multi on a match. Should a bettor get all selections correct, then they can achieve a good return from a small stake.
Hamburger SV vs Mainz Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
At betting odds of +116, the bookies make Mainz 05 probable winners and there’s a 46% likelihood that the favourites triumph in this Bundesliga encounter. The +205 means that Hamburger SV are seen as having the lowest probability of succeeding.
A win for Mainz would see a full payout on the Asian Handicap -0.25 option. You can get -112 that they overcome HSV going down this route and half stake refunded if it’s a draw.
The Total Goals odds suggest that Over 2.5 is a strong probability in this contest. If you are expecting both teams to score, there’s the chance to back Yes at -189 on the BTTS market.
There are hundreds of markets which means lots of options to find a football wager for the latest Bundesliga game. The leading betting apps leave no stone unturned to provide a first-class service.
There’s the chance to back Benedict Hollerbach at +550 to be the First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and available at similar odds to find the net last instead.
HSV have managed five victories, three losses and two draws in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 2.10 goals per game and conceding 1.30.
Mainz have not tasted an away defeat in three straight matches. Bo Henriksen's side have five wins, four losses and one draw in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.70 goals per match and conceding 1.40.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV Home Stats |
5-2-3 | 3.40 | 2.10 | 1.30 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 4 | |
| Mainz Away Stats |
5-1-4 | 3.10 | 1.70 | 1.40 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 4 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Hamburger SV League Stats
Mainz League Stats
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.60 corners awarded and 5.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 4.60 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.70 corners awarded and 4.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 5.10 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 50.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 55.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 51.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 51.90% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Hamburger SV this season are Luka Vuskovic (1), Rayan Philippe (1)
- Top Assistors for Hamburger SV this season are Fabio Vieira (1)
Hamburger SV vs Mainz Lineups & Team News
Stay ahead of the game by checking the HSV vs Mainz team news before betting. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Bundesliga lineups alongside the newest injury information.
Hamburger SV Confirmed Lineup 3-4-3
Mainz 05 Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Hamburger SV Confirmed Lineup 3-4-3
Mainz 05 Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Hamburger SV Substitutes
- 2William Mikelbrencis
- 9Robert Glatzel
- 10Immanuel Pherai
- 13Guilherme Ramos
- 15Yussuf Poulsen
- 23Jonas Meffert
- 26Daniel Peretz
- 38Alexander Roessing
- 45Fabio Balde
Mainz 05 Substitutes
- 11Armindo Sieb
- 14William Boeving
- 15Lennard Maloney
- 16Stefan Bell
- 22Nikolas Veratschnig
- 30Silvan Widmer
- 33Daniel Batz
- 37Ben Bobzien
- 44Nelson Weiper
Previous Hamburger SV Lineups
Previous Mainz Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Bundesliga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 35:6 | 28 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 20:13 | 22 |
| 3 | Dortmund | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16:7 | 21 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 17:12 | 21 |
| 5 | Leverkusen | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21:16 | 19 |
| 7 | Frankfurt | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 23:19 | 17 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:18 | 15 |
| 9 | FC Koln | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 10 | Freiburg | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:17 | 12 |
| 12 | B. M'gladbach | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:19 | 9 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 14 | Wolfsburg | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | 8 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 14:24 | 7 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9:20 | 7 |
| 17 | Mainz 05 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:18 | 5 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8:23 | 5 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20:1 | 15 |
| 2 | Stuttgart | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 15 |
| 3 | Leverkusen | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:4 | 13 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:3 | 12 |
| 5 | Dortmund | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 10 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 7 | Frankfurt | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 9 |
| 8 | Union Berlin | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | 9 |
| 9 | Freiburg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:8 | 8 |
| 10 | FC Koln | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 7 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 13 | Heidenheim | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | 5 |
| 14 | B. M'gladbach | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:14 | 5 |
| 15 | St. Pauli | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:13 | 4 |
| 16 | Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:15 | 3 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | 2 |
| 18 | Mainz 05 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | 1 |
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