Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 01 Mar 2026

Bundesliga Betting Preview: Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig

Hamburger SV square off against RB Leipzig at Volksparkstadion, with kick-off set for 13:30 on Sunday 1 March.

We’re splitting our Asian Handicap stake between 0 and +0.5 when backing Hamburger SV +0.25 at -104 against Leipzig. We need the hosts to win for a maximum payout although the draw means we also get a return.

Hamburger SV played Mainz 05 away in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw at MEWA Arena. The Lower Saxony club had the majority of the ball boasting 55% possession and five shots on target, while Fabio Vieira scored the goal.

RB Leipzig drew 2-2 in their previous game. This was at home against Borussia Dortmund at Red Bull Arena. Ole Werner's team boasted 55% possession and recorded three shots on goal, with Christoph Baumgartner finding the net twice.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Leipzig overcame HSV at home when the teams last played. It was a 2-1 scoreline at Red Bull Arena. In the previous 3 H2H games, Leipzig have won every time.

Bundesliga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	RB Leipzig	23	12	5	6	44	32	12	44:32	41
11	Hamburger SV	22	6	8	8	25	32	-7	25:32	26

View Full Table

3 wins, 2 losses and 5 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 12.8 attempts. HSV have had 48.1% possession, 421.2 passes and 4.1 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.4 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 12.7 attempts, while being awarded 5.0 corners.

Ransford Koenigsdoerffer and Luka Vuskovic are the leading goalscorers with 3, while Fabio Vieira has 2. Fabio Vieira is top assists maker with 3, while goalkeeper Daniel Heuer Fernandes has kept 3 clean sheets.

Leipzig have 3 victories, 4 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 5.4 shots on goal, 15.0 attempts and 1.6 goals. The Red Bulls average 58.9% possession, 558.1 passes, 4.2 corners taken and 4.3 corners against them, while 1.9 goals have been conceded from 10.6 attempts and 4.5 shots on goal.

Christoph Baumgartner has scored 4, followed by Yan Diomande and Romulo Cruz with 2 goals apiece. David Raum has clocked up 4 assists, with Peter Gulacsi keeping 2 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Hamburger SV predicted lineup (4-4-2): Daniel Heuer Fernandes (GK), Warmed Omari, Jordan Torunarigha, Nicolas Capaldo, Bakery Jatta, Fabio Vieira, Nicolai Remberg, Miro Muheim, Ransford Koenigsdoerffer, Philip Otele, Robert Glatzel.

RB Leipzig predicted lineup (4-3-3): Maarten Vandevoordt (GK), Ridle Baku, Willi Orban, Castello Lukeba, David Raum, Ezechiel Banzuzi, Nicolas Seiwald, Christoph Baumgartner, Brajan Gruda, Romulo Cruz, Yan Diomande.

Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig Prediction & Betting Tips

Get ready for Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig with all the betting angles covered, from an expert match prediction and correct score advice to corners market insight, player props and a custom bet builder.

Match Prediction

If you agree with our verdict that Hamburger SV can avoid defeat in this Bundesliga clash, then you can back them with a +0.25 goal start at -104. There are several reasons to back this selection.

The football recommendations are only made once we have established the latest team news. It’s also important to study the form and investigate the most relevant Bundesliga stats to get the full picture.

Key Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by HSV in 7 consecutive games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by HSV in 9 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by HSV in 9 of their last 11 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Leipzig in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Leipzig in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Leipzig in 2 consecutive games.

According to the latest odds, there’s a 51% likelihood of our pick winning. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

Bettors can choose between buying or selling goals depending on their attitude to risk. When you move the line in either direction, the odds change accordingly.

Elevate your wagering experience with the latest free bets, promos and top betting offers listed in our comprehensive bonus guide.

Our Match Prediction

Hamburg Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -104 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 27, 19:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Hamburger SV 2 - 1 Leipzig

Our prediction for the correct score is HSV to land a 2-1 victory and this is available at +850. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Christoph Baumgartner Over 1.5 Shots -161

Christoph Baumgartner (Leipzig) has covered the 1.5 shots total in eight of his past nine Bundesliga games. We’re expecting him to produce a high level of performance and cover the Player Shots line, with odds of -161 on offer.

Latest Christoph Baumgartner Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+260

First

+750

Shots

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

-

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Fabio Vieira to Score +420

Fabio Vieira (HSV) has racked up two goals in his past five Bundesliga matches. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager at +420 which means we need to him to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Fabio Vieira Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+420

First

+1200

Shots

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners +102

The 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered in six consecutive Leipzig matches, while the same outcome has happened in two  straight HSV games. We can use these numbers for our gain, with odds of +102 that the sides fall short when it comes to the Total Corners line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Hamburger SV

Total

9.10 4.10 5.00

Home

9.40 4.00 5.40

Away

8.10 3.70 4.40

Leipzig

Total

8.50 4.20 4.30

Home

9.90 5.50 4.40

Away

9.30 4.90 4.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-143

Under 9.5

+102

Hamburger SV Corners

Over 4.5

-114

Under 4.5

-123

Leipzig Corners

Over 4.5

-164

Under 4.5

+112

Most Corners

1

+125

X

+650

2

-122

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The favourites have a 48% likelihood of success according to the bookies, with RB Leipzig chalked up at +110 to land a win in this Bundesliga clash. Hamburger SV are the +215 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.

If you want to back the favourites with some insurance, then Leipzig are -182 on the Draw No Bet market. Alternatively, HSV are +125 and there is money back if the game ends all square.

Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest odds and that means three goals or more are anticipated. BTTS wagering is popular and you can back Yes at -208 on the Both Teams to Score market.

There are hundreds of markets when it comes to betting on the Bundesliga coupon and we recommend visiting the leading betting sites to find the football bet that matches your view on the game.

Full-Time Result

1

+215

X

+270

2

+110

Half-Time Result

1

+240

X

+143

2

+163

Double Chance

1X

-143

12

-370

X2

-294

Draw No Bet

1

+125

2

-182

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-104

2 Hcp -0.25

-118

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+135

Over 2.5

-179

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-208

No

+155

Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz is the First Goalscorer favourite at +575. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to simply back him to find the net anytime at +200.

Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz (Leipzig)

First

+200

Anytime

+575

Tidiam Gomis (Leipzig)

First

+210

Anytime

+600

Jean-Luc Dompé (HSV)

First

+210

Anytime

+600

Yan Diomande (Leipzig)

First

+230

Anytime

+600

Conrad Harder (Leipzig)

First

+230

Anytime

+650

Antonio Nusa (Leipzig)

First

+230

Anytime

+650

Rayan Philippe (HSV)

First

+250

Anytime

+700

Christoph Baumgartner (Leipzig)

First

+260

Anytime

+750

Ransford Königsdörffer (HSV)

First

+270

Anytime

+700

Yussuf Poulsen (HSV)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Philip Porwei Otele (HSV)

First

+320

Anytime

+900

Robert Glatzel (HSV)

First

+320

Anytime

+850

Johan Bakayoko (Leipzig)

First

+330

Anytime

+950

Damion Downs (HSV)

First

+340

Anytime

+850

Fábio Baldé (HSV)

First

+390

Anytime

+1100

Brajan Gruda (Leipzig)

First

+400

Anytime

+1050

Fabio Vieira (HSV)

First

+420

Anytime

+1200

Bakery Jatta (HSV)

First

+475

Anytime

+1300

Ezechiel Banzuzi (Leipzig)

First

+480

Anytime

+1300

Xaver Schlager (Leipzig)

First

+540

Anytime

+1600

Ridle Baku (Leipzig)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Willi Orbán (Leipzig)

First

+550

Anytime

+1600

Luka Vuskovic (HSV)

First

+550

Anytime

+1700

Nicolas Capaldo (HSV)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Nicolai Remberg (HSV)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz (Leipzig)

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-

Tidiam Gomis (Leipzig)

Over 2.5

-106

Under 2.5

-

Jean-Luc Dompé (HSV)

Over 2.5

-112

Under 2.5

-

Yan Diomande (Leipzig)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-

Conrad Harder (Leipzig)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-

Antonio Nusa (Leipzig)

Over 2.5

+116

Under 2.5

-

Rayan Philippe (HSV)

Over 2.5

+132

Under 2.5

-

Ransford Königsdörffer (HSV)

Over 2.5

+143

Under 2.5

-

Fabio Vieira (HSV)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Brajan Gruda (Leipzig)

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-

Fábio Baldé (HSV)

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-

Damion Downs (HSV)

Over 1.5

-127

Under 1.5

-

Johan Bakayoko (Leipzig)

Over 1.5

-106

Under 1.5

-

Robert Glatzel (HSV)

Over 1.5

-137

Under 1.5

-

Philip Porwei Otele (HSV)

Over 1.5

-139

Under 1.5

-

Yussuf Poulsen (HSV)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

-

Christoph Baumgartner (Leipzig)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

-

Bakery Jatta (HSV)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Ezechiel Banzuzi (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Ridle Baku (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

-

Willi Orbán (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Luka Vuskovic (HSV)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Nicolas Capaldo (HSV)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

Nicolai Remberg (HSV)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Hamburger SV haven’t tasted defeat in eight consecutive matches at Volksparkstadion. The Lower Saxony club have clocked up five draws, four victories and one defeat in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.60 goals per match and conceding 1.00.

Leipzig have not tasted an away defeat in three straight matches. Ole Werner's team have managed five victories, three draws and two losses in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.70 goals per game and conceding 0.90.

Leipzig beat HSV 3-1 when they last met at Volksparkstadion.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Hamburger SV Home Stats		4-5-1	2.60	1.60	1.00	5	5	6	4
RB Leipzig Away Stats		5-3-2	2.60	1.70	0.90	5	5	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig Lineups & Team News

Always review the HSV vs Leipzig team news before locking in your bets. We’ll bring you both the expected and confirmed lineups for the Bundesliga, along with current injury news.

Hamburger SV Team Page RB Leipzig Team Page

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