Hamburger SV vs St. Pauli Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 29 Aug 2025

Bundesliga Betting Preview: Hamburger SV vs St. Pauli

Hamburger SV host St. Pauli in this German Bundesliga game at Volksparkstadion, with kick-off set for 14:30 on Friday 29 August. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Go For HSV With Some Insurance

Hamburger SV look like a value bet on the Asian Handicap 0.0. The beauty of this bet is that we’ll get a return at -154 if they get the better of St. Pauli and money back if the game finishes in a draw.

Confident in our Asian Handicap pick? Unlock the best BetMGM promo code and read our expert review of the site before jumping in.

HSV 1-0 Win in Previous H2H Encounter

Hamburger SV drew on the road in their last game. A 0-0 scoreline was played out against Borussia Monchengladbach at Borussia-Park. HSV recorded just 39% possession and one shot on target.

St. Pauli drew their previous game which was at home. The action at Millerntor-Stadion ended 3-3 against Borussia Dortmund. Alexander Blessin's side enjoyed 50% possession and had seven shots on goal, while Andreas Hountondji, Danel Sinani and Eric Smith were on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

HSV boast an unbeaten record in the past three games with St. Pauli. In the last encounter, home team HSV claimed a 1-0 2. Bundesliga win at Volksparkstadion. The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved five St. Pauli wins, three HSV victories and two draws.

Bundesliga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
13	Hamburger SV	9	2	2	5	8	15	-7	8:15	8
15	St. Pauli	9	2	1	6	8	18	-10	8:18	7

View Full Table

4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 2.3 goals from 13.2 attempts and 6.1 shots on goal. HSV have had 54.0% possession and 5.0 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.2 goals from 11.9 attempts and 3.6 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 4.4 corners.

Ransford Koenigsdoerffer and Davie Selke lead the way with 5 goals, while Jean-Luc Dompe has 3. Jean-Luc Dompe has the most assists with 6, while goalie Daniel Heuer Fernandes has recorded one clean sheet.

St. Pauli have won 2, lost 3 and drawn 5, with an average of 10.2 attempts, 4.3 shots on goal and 1.2 goals. Die Kiezkicker average 44.2% possession, 408.8 passes, 5.3 corners awarded and 3.0 corners against them, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 4.4 shots on goal and 9.5 attempts.

Danel Sinani has scored 2 goals, followed by Eric Smith, Andreas Hountondji, Manolis Saliakas and Morgan Guilavogui on 1. Manolis Saliakas has been chief assist maker on 2, with Nikola Vasilj recording 2 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Hamburger SV confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Daniel Heuer Fernandes (GK), Warmed Omari, Daniel Elfadli, Jordan Torunarigha, Giorgi Gocholeishvili, Nicolai Remberg, Nicolas Capaldo, Miro Muheim, Emir Sahiti, Ransford Koenigsdoerffer, Alexander Roessing.

St. Pauli confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Nikola Vasilj (GK), Hauke Wahl, Eric Smith, Adam Dzwigala, Arkadiusz Pyrka, James Sands, Joel Chima Fujita, Louis Oppie, Danel Sinani, Andreas Hountondji, Mathias Pereira Lage.

Hamburger SV vs St. Pauli Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the edge with our best Hamburger SV vs St. Pauli tips: a key match prediction, expert corners pick, correct score recommendation, top player prop bets and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

Hamburger SV are available at odds of -154 and that can be taken with confidence when it comes to Asian Handicap 0.0 for this Bundesliga game. We believe the home team can claim a victory.

The first step involves analysing the form and also getting an idea of the injury situation before making any football picks. Then it’s a case of consulting the latest Bundesliga stats and seeing if they can inform our opinion.

Key Hamburger SV vs St. Pauli league stats:

• The 0.0 line hasn’t been covered by St. Pauli in any of their last 5 games.
• The 0.0 line hasn’t been covered by St. Pauli in 8 of their last 10 games.

HSV 0.0 Probability

The latest betting odds imply that our pick has a 60.6% prospect of winning. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 70%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

If you want to secure a larger possible pay out on your bet, there’s the option to move the line. Take a look at the various prices and see which line you think will be covered.

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Our Match Prediction

HSV Asian Hcp 0.0 @ -154 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Hamburger SV 1 - 0 St. Pauli

One bet that has caught our eye is HSV to claim a 1-0 correct score win. This selection is available at +650 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Danel Sinani Over 1.5 Shots -127

Danel Sinani (St. Pauli) has finished with over 1.5 shots in six of his past ten Bundesliga games. Out of all the prop bets available, we’re going to take the -127 when it comes to this Player Shots wager.

Latest Danel Sinani Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+360

First

+800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-208

Shots

Over 1.5

-127

Under 1.5

-

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Ransford Königsdörffer To Score +275

Ransford Königsdörffer (HSV) can be wagered at +275 to score. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive based on the evidence and we’ll plump for him to find the net.

Latest Ransford Königsdörffer Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+285

First

+650

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-127

Shots

Over 1.5

-192

Under 1.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Hamburger SV Under 4.5 Corners -100

In their past two home matches, HSV have not covered the 4.5 corners line, while the last eight St. Pauli games have involved them conceding under 4.5 corners. On this evidence, we can take odds of -100 that this HSV Team Corners wager falls short of the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Hamburger SV

Total

9.40 5.00 4.40

Home

9.80 5.70 4.10

Away

10.90 5.10 5.80

St. Pauli

Total

8.30 5.30 3.00

Home

9.20 5.90 3.30

Away

8.60 3.80 4.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

+106

Under 9.5

-152

Hamburger SV Corners

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-120

St. Pauli Corners

Over 4.5

-125

Under 4.5

-110

Most Corners

1

-104

X

+600

2

+120

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Hamburger SV vs St. Pauli Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

HSV Likely to Win According to Latest Odds

The bookies have priced up the draw at +230 on the Full-Time Result, with Hamburger SV available to back at betting odds of +135. St. Pauli are +200 to win this Bundesliga clash.

HSV and St. Pauli can be backed at +195 and +250 respectively on the Half-Time Result market. This is an ideal route for bettors who want a quick settlement and the draw is +114.

For those expecting a low-scoring contest, Under 2.5 is the market leader on the Total Goals market. Punters anticipating that both teams will find the net are able to land -132 for the BTTS Yes option.

For those wanting hundreds of football markets, it’s great that the top betting sites are on hand to offer this service. When it comes to every Bundesliga game, go for the pick which stands out the most.

Full-Time Result

1

+135

X

+230

2

+200

Half-Time Result

1

+195

X

+114

2

+250

Double Chance

1X

-270

12

-313

X2

-179

Draw No Bet

1

-149

2

+110

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+102

2 Hcp +0.25

-127

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-130

Over 2.5

-100

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-132

No

-103

Yussuf Poulsen Top of First Goalscorer List

There’s the chance to back Yussuf Poulsen at +510 to be the First Goalscorer, with the favourite on this market available at similar odds to find the net last.

Yussuf Poulsen (HSV)

First

+245

Anytime

+510

Robert Glatzel (HSV)

First

+265

Anytime

+600

Ransford Königsdörffer (HSV)

First

+285

Anytime

+650

Andréas Hountondji (St. Pauli)

First

+350

Anytime

+700

Danel Sinani (St. Pauli)

First

+360

Anytime

+800

Oladapo Afolayan (St. Pauli)

First

+390

Anytime

+800

Bakery Jatta (HSV)

First

+440

Anytime

+1000

Mathias Pereira Lage (St. Pauli)

First

+450

Anytime

+1000

Jean-Luc Dompé (HSV)

First

+475

Anytime

+1050

Immanuel Pherai (HSV)

First

+480

Anytime

+1050

Connor Metcalfe (St. Pauli)

First

+500

Anytime

+1150

Louis Oppie (St. Pauli)

First

+540

Anytime

+1200

Nicolas Capaldo (HSV)

First

+550

Anytime

+1200

Nicolai Remberg (HSV)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Jonas Meffert (HSV)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Arkadiusz Pyrka (St. Pauli)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Jordan Torunarigha (HSV)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Adam Dźwigała (St. Pauli)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Eric Smith (St. Pauli)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Lars Ritzka (St. Pauli)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Yussuf Poulsen (HSV)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

+123

Andréas Hountondji (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

+108

Robert Glatzel (HSV)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-104

Ransford Königsdörffer (HSV)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-127

Danel Sinani (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-208

Oladapo Afolayan (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-217

Jean-Luc Dompé (HSV)

Over 0.5

+138

Under 0.5

-222

Bakery Jatta (HSV)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-244

Immanuel Pherai (HSV)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-250

Mathias Pereira Lage (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-263

Connor Metcalfe (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-333

Nicolas Capaldo (HSV)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-333

Nicolai Remberg (HSV)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-333

Louis Oppie (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-400

Jonas Meffert (HSV)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-455

Jordan Torunarigha (HSV)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-909

Arkadiusz Pyrka (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+360

Under 0.5

-1111

Eric Smith (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+370

Under 0.5

-909

Adam Dźwigała (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+380

Under 0.5

-1429

Lars Ritzka (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+400

Under 0.5

-1111

Yussuf Poulsen (HSV)

Over 1.5

-200

Under 1.5

-

Andréas Hountondji (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

Danel Sinani (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

-127

Under 1.5

-

Oladapo Afolayan (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

-102

Under 1.5

-

Mathias Pereira Lage (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

Jean-Luc Dompé (HSV)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

Ransford Königsdörffer (HSV)

Over 1.5

-192

Under 1.5

-

Louis Oppie (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

-102

Under 1.5

-

Arkadiusz Pyrka (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+114

Under 0.5

-

Eric Smith (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-

Adam Dźwigała (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+114

Under 0.5

-

Jordan Torunarigha (HSV)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-

Connor Metcalfe (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Jonas Meffert (HSV)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-

Nicolai Remberg (HSV)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Nicolas Capaldo (HSV)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

-

Immanuel Pherai (HSV)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Bakery Jatta (HSV)

Over 0.5

-270

Under 0.5

-

Lars Ritzka (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-

HSV Claimed Victory in Last Three H2H Volksparkstadion Games

HSV have recorded five victories, three draws and two defeats in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 2.60 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

St. Pauli haven’t been beaten in three straight games away from home. Alexander Blessin's side have clocked up four losses, three wins and three draws in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 1.20.

In the last meeting at Volksparkstadion, HSV defeated St. Pauli by a 1-0 scoreline. We’ve seen the past 5 H2H matches at Volksparkstadion involve three wins for HSV, one draw and one victory for St. Pauli.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Hamburger SV Home Stats		5-3-2	3.80	2.60	1.20	8	2	6	4
St. Pauli Away Stats		3-3-4	2.20	1.00	1.20	3	7	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Hamburger SV vs St. Pauli Lineups & Team News

Double-check the HSV vs St. Pauli team news before placing your bets. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Bundesliga lineups and injury news right here.

Hamburger SV Team Page St. Pauli Team Page