Hamburger SV vs St. Pauli Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 29 Aug 2025

Bundesliga Betting Preview: Hamburger SV vs St. Pauli

Hamburger SV host St. Pauli in this German Bundesliga game at Volksparkstadion, with kick-off set for 14:30 on Friday 29 August 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Go For HSV With Some Insurance

Hamburger SV look like a value bet on the Asian Handicap 0.0. The beauty of this bet is that we’ll get a return at -154 if they get the better of St. Pauli and money back if the game finishes in a draw.

Confident in our Asian Handicap pick? Unlock the best BetMGM promo code and read our expert review of the site before jumping in.

HSV 1-0 Win in Previous H2H Encounter

Hamburger SV drew on the road in their last game. A 0-0 scoreline was played out against Borussia Monchengladbach at Borussia-Park. HSV recorded just 39% possession and one shot on target.

St. Pauli drew their previous game which was at home. The action at Millerntor-Stadion ended 3-3 against Borussia Dortmund. Alexander Blessin's side enjoyed 50% possession and had seven shots on goal, while Andreas Hountondji, Danel Sinani and Eric Smith were on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

HSV boast an unbeaten record in the past three games with St. Pauli. In the last encounter, home team HSV claimed a 1-0 2. Bundesliga win at Volksparkstadion. The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved five St. Pauli wins, three HSV victories and two draws.

Bundesliga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
9	St. Pauli	1	0	1	0	3	3	0	3:3	1
11	Hamburger SV	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0:0	1

View Full Table

4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 2.3 goals from 13.2 attempts and 6.1 shots on goal. HSV have had 54.0% possession and 5.0 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.2 goals from 11.9 attempts and 3.6 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 4.4 corners.

Ransford Koenigsdoerffer and Davie Selke lead the way with 5 goals, while Jean-Luc Dompe has 3. Jean-Luc Dompe has the most assists with 6, while goalie Daniel Heuer Fernandes has recorded one clean sheet.

St. Pauli have won 2, lost 3 and drawn 5, with an average of 10.2 attempts, 4.3 shots on goal and 1.2 goals. Die Kiezkicker average 44.2% possession, 408.8 passes, 5.3 corners awarded and 3.0 corners against them, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 4.4 shots on goal and 9.5 attempts.

Danel Sinani has scored 2 goals, followed by Eric Smith, Andreas Hountondji, Manolis Saliakas and Morgan Guilavogui on 1. Manolis Saliakas has been chief assist maker on 2, with Nikola Vasilj recording 2 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Hamburger SV predicted lineup (3-4-3): Daniel Heuer Fernandes (GK), Warmed Omari, Daniel Elfadli, Jordan Torunarigha, Giorgi Gocholeishvili, Nicolás Capaldo, Nicolai Remberg, Miro Muheim, Emir Sahiti, Ransford Königsdörffer, Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit.

St. Pauli predicted lineup (3-4-1-2): Nikola Vasilj (GK), Hauke Wahl, Jannik Robatsch, Adam Dzwigala, Arkadiusz Pyrka, James Sands, Joel Chima Fujita, Louis Oppie, Danel Sinani, Andreas Hountondji, Mathias Pereira Lage.

Hamburger SV vs St. Pauli Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the edge with our best Hamburger SV vs St. Pauli tips: a key match prediction, expert corners pick, correct score recommendation, top player prop bets and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

Hamburger SV are available at odds of -154 and that can be taken with confidence when it comes to Asian Handicap 0.0 for this Bundesliga game. We believe the home team can claim a victory.

The first step involves analysing the form and also getting an idea of the injury situation before making any football picks. Then it’s a case of consulting the latest Bundesliga stats and seeing if they can inform our opinion.

Key Hamburger SV vs St. Pauli league stats:

• The 0.0 line hasn’t been covered by St. Pauli in any of their last 5 games.
• The 0.0 line hasn’t been covered by St. Pauli in 8 of their last 10 games.

HSV 0.0 Probability

The latest betting odds imply that our pick has a 60.6% prospect of winning. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 70%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

If you want to secure a larger possible pay out on your bet, there’s the option to move the line. Take a look at the various prices and see which line you think will be covered.

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Our Match Prediction

HSV Asian Hcp 0.0 @ -154 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Hamburger SV 1 - 0 St. Pauli

One bet that has caught our eye is HSV to claim a 1-0 correct score win. This selection is available at +650 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Danel Sinani Over 1.5 Shots -127

Danel Sinani (St. Pauli) has finished with over 1.5 shots in six of his past ten Bundesliga games. Out of all the prop bets available, we’re going to take the -127 when it comes to this Player Shots wager.

Latest Danel Sinani Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+400

First

+950

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-200

Shots

Over 1.5

-127

Under 1.5

-

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Ransford Königsdörffer To Score +275

Ransford Königsdörffer (HSV) can be wagered at +275 to score. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive based on the evidence and we’ll plump for him to find the net.

Latest Ransford Königsdörffer Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+275

First

+650

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-128

Shots

Over 2.5

+148

Under 2.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Hamburger SV Under 4.5 Corners -100

In their past two home matches, HSV have not covered the 4.5 corners line, while the last eight St. Pauli games have involved them conceding under 4.5 corners. On this evidence, we can take odds of -100 that this HSV Team Corners wager falls short of the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Hamburger SV

Total

9.40 5.00 4.40

Home

9.80 5.70 4.10

Away

10.90 5.10 5.80

St. Pauli

Total

8.30 5.30 3.00

Home

9.20 5.90 3.30

Away

8.60 3.80 4.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-139

Under 9.5

-102

Hamburger SV Corners

Over 4.5

-138

Under 4.5

-100

St. Pauli Corners

Over 4.5

-138

Under 4.5

-100

Most Corners

1

-114

X

+650

2

+123

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Hamburger SV vs St. Pauli Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

HSV Likely to Win According to Latest Odds

Hamburger SV are the +125 favourites on the 1x2 betting. That implies a 44% chance of triumphing in this Bundesliga encounter according to the latest odds. If you’re interested in wagering St. Pauli, you can get +195 for the underdog.

HSV and St. Pauli can be backed at +195 and +245 respectively on the Half-Time Result market. This is an ideal route for bettors who want a quick settlement and the draw is +120.

The Over 2.5 / Under 2.5 Goals betting market suggests that there’s not much between the two options. Punters anticipating that both teams will find the net are able to land -135 for the BTTS Yes option.

For those wanting hundreds of football markets, it’s great that the top betting sites are on hand to offer this service. When it comes to every Bundesliga game, go for the pick which stands out the most.

Full-Time Result

1

+125

X

+255

2

+195

Half-Time Result

1

+195

X

+120

2

+245

Double Chance

1X

-263

12

-345

X2

-164

Draw No Bet

1

-154

2

+112

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-103

2 Hcp +0.25

-120

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-116

Over 2.5

-110

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-135

No

-102

Yussuf Poulsen Top of First Goalscorer List

There’s the chance to back Yussuf Poulsen at +500 to be the First Goalscorer, with the favourite on this market available at similar odds to find the net last.

Yussuf Poulsen (HSV)

First

+240

Anytime

+500

Robert Glatzel (HSV)

First

+265

Anytime

+600

Ransford Königsdörffer (HSV)

First

+275

Anytime

+650

Andréas Hountondji (St. Pauli)

First

+380

Anytime

+800

Oladapo Afolayan (St. Pauli)

First

+380

Anytime

+850

Danel Sinani (St. Pauli)

First

+400

Anytime

+950

Bakery Jatta (HSV)

First

+420

Anytime

+950

Jean-Luc Dompé (HSV)

First

+430

Anytime

+1000

Mathias Pereira Lage (St. Pauli)

First

+440

Anytime

+900

Immanuel Pherai (HSV)

First

+450

Anytime

+1000

Connor Metcalfe (St. Pauli)

First

+500

Anytime

+1150

Louis Oppie (St. Pauli)

First

+510

Anytime

+1300

Nicolas Capaldo (HSV)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Nicolai Remberg (HSV)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Arkadiusz Pyrka (St. Pauli)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Jonas Meffert (HSV)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Jordan Torunarigha (HSV)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Adam Dźwigała (St. Pauli)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Eric Smith (St. Pauli)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Lars Ritzka (St. Pauli)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Yussuf Poulsen (HSV)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

+120

Robert Glatzel (HSV)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-104

Ransford Königsdörffer (HSV)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-128

Andréas Hountondji (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-179

Oladapo Afolayan (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-185

Danel Sinani (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-200

Mathias Pereira Lage (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-217

Jean-Luc Dompé (HSV)

Over 0.5

+138

Under 0.5

-222

Bakery Jatta (HSV)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-244

Connor Metcalfe (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-270

Immanuel Pherai (HSV)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-263

Louis Oppie (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-333

Nicolas Capaldo (HSV)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-333

Nicolai Remberg (HSV)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-333

Jonas Meffert (HSV)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-476

Arkadiusz Pyrka (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-909

Jordan Torunarigha (HSV)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-909

Adam Dźwigała (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-1000

Eric Smith (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-769

Lars Ritzka (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+360

Under 0.5

-833

Ransford Königsdörffer (HSV)

Over 2.5

+148

Under 2.5

-

Yussuf Poulsen (HSV)

Over 1.5

-200

Under 1.5

-

Jean-Luc Dompé (HSV)

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-

Louis Oppie (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

Mathias Pereira Lage (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-

Connor Metcalfe (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Bakery Jatta (HSV)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Danel Sinani (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

-127

Under 1.5

-

Oladapo Afolayan (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

Andréas Hountondji (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

Immanuel Pherai (HSV)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Nicolas Capaldo (HSV)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Nicolai Remberg (HSV)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

-

Arkadiusz Pyrka (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+104

Under 0.5

-

Jonas Meffert (HSV)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Jordan Torunarigha (HSV)

Over 0.5

+104

Under 0.5

-

Adam Dźwigała (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+104

Under 0.5

-

Eric Smith (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Lars Ritzka (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+118

Under 0.5

-

HSV Claimed Victory in Last Three H2H Volksparkstadion Games

HSV have recorded five victories, three draws and two defeats in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 2.60 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

St. Pauli haven’t been beaten in three straight games away from home. Alexander Blessin's side have clocked up four losses, three wins and three draws in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 1.20.

In the last meeting at Volksparkstadion, HSV defeated St. Pauli by a 1-0 scoreline. We’ve seen the past 5 H2H matches at Volksparkstadion involve three wins for HSV, one draw and one victory for St. Pauli.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Hamburger SV Home Stats		5-3-2	3.80	2.60	1.20	8	2	6	4
St. Pauli Away Stats		3-3-4	2.20	1.00	1.20	3	7	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Hamburger SV vs St. Pauli Lineups & Team News

Double-check the HSV vs St. Pauli team news before placing your bets. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Bundesliga lineups and injury news right here.

Hamburger SV Team Page St. Pauli Team Page