Hearts vs Falkirk Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Feb 2026
Premiership Betting Preview: Hearts vs Falkirk
Scottish Premiership leaders Hearts welcome Falkirk to Tynecastle Park, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 21 February.
Falkirk +1 on the Asian Handicap looks like a good plan when they clash with Hearts. The underdogs can be backed at -132 and we benefit if they draw or win, while there’s money back for a single goal defeat.
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Hearts were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 4-2 loss against Rangers at Ibrox Stadium. The Edinburgh outfit managed three shots on target and recorded 43% possession, while Marc Leonard and Claudio Braga each scored one goal.
Falkirk were beaten 3-2 in their previous game, being turned over at home to Dundee United at Falkirk Stadium. John McGlynn's side had four shots on goal and enjoyed 59% possession, with Ben Broggio and Filip Lissah on the scoresheet.
Head-to-Head Statistics
These two teams last met at Tynecastle Park, with Falkirk landing the Scottish Cup away victory on penalties (1-1 AET). Aside from one draw, Hearts have dominated the past 4 H2H games with three victories.
| Scottish Premiership | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hearts |
27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 50 | 24 | 26 | 50:24 | 57 |
| 6 | Falkirk |
27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 32:35 | 39 |
Hearts have 6 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.6 goals from 12.7 attempts and 5.1 shots on goal. Derek McInnes' team have averaged 52.3% possession and 4.4 corners per game, conceding 1.1 goals and 5.0 corners from 11.9 attempts and 3.3 shots on goal.
Lawrence Shankland and Claudio Braga lead the way with 3 goals, while Tomas Magnusson has 2. Claudio Braga, Harry Milne and Alexandros Kiziridis are the leading assists makers with 2.
Falkirk have won 6 and lost 4, with an average of 3.9 shots on goal, 14.8 attempts and 1.3 goals. The Bairns average 52.3% possession, 5.0 corners awarded and 4.3 corners against, while 0.9 goals have been conceded from 10.7 attempts and 3.3 shots on goal.
Barney Stewart has scored 3, followed by Ben Broggio and Filip Lissah with 2 goals apiece. Calvin Miller has had 3 assists in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Hearts predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Alexander Schwolow (GK), Michael Steinwender, Craig Halkett, Stuart Findlay, Harry Milne, Marc Leonard, Beni Baningime, Islam Chesnokov, Eduardo Ageu, Alexandros Kyziridis, Claudio Braga.
Falkirk predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Scott Bain (GK), Filip Lissah, Lewis Neilson, Coll Donaldson, Leon McCann, Dylan Tait, Brad Spencer, Calvin Miller, Louie Marsh, Ben Broggio, Barney Stewart.
Hearts vs Falkirk Prediction & Betting Tips
Tackle Hearts vs Falkirk with all the betting insight you need, including our match prediction, scoreline forecast, corners market advice, key player prop selections and a hand-picked bet builder.
Match Prediction
We’ve found some value by selecting Falkirk +1 at odds of -132 for this Premiership game. This bet looks really appealing based on the numbers and we’re happy to take this price with confidence.
The Premiership tipsters at Sportsgambler.com always have a strong handle on team news. A form guide is also utilised for our betting verdict along with checking out the numbers that are going to help inform our final football picks.
Key Hearts vs Falkirk league stats:
When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 56.8% chance of winning. Based on our tipsters research, we calculate the actual probability to be 60-65%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.
If you want to back Falkirk without taking them on the Asian Handicap, there’s the alternative to go for a Winning Margin wager instead. There are lots of different options here.
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Correct Score Prediction
We’ve got a correct score prediction which involves the teams playing out a 1-1 draw. Odds of +540 look appealing and we should get a run for our money here.
Player Prop Picks
Stuart Findlay (Hearts) has managed two goals in his past five Premiership home matches. We’ll use this stat and take odds of +575 that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Hearts have had under 6.5 corners in seven consecutive games, with Falkirk conceding less than 6.5 corners in their past three matches. There is juice when it comes to going under the Hearts Team Corners line and this is priced at -135.
Hearts
Falkirk
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Get in the game with a bet builder. Our picks are Falkirk on the Asian Handicap at +1, Yes on the BTTS market as well as Stuart Findlay (Hearts) to find the net.
If you’re keen to wager different selections for the same football match, a bet builder will provide a solution. It’s a great bet to have if you’re confident of certain outcomes, especially as the price for each selection is combined.
Hearts vs Falkirk Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
At betting odds of -175, the bookies make Hearts probable winners and there’s a 64% likelihood that the favourites triumph in this Premiership encounter. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Falkirk are trading at +440.
There’s sometimes a case for betting on the Half-Time Result market, with Hearts available at +112 and Falkirk at +430. The third option is the draw which is priced at +135.
The Total Goals market looks like a close call, with Over and Under 2.5 Goals available at similar odds. BTTS Yes is available at -128 for anyone expecting Both Teams to Score.
If you’re betting on Premiership games, we recommend heading to the best football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.
Lawrence Shankland is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +380 and if you’re keen to back him to simply find the net, then the price is +140.
Hearts have swerved defeat at Tynecastle Park in the previous ten matches. The Edinburgh outfit have recorded six victories and four draws in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.80 goals per game and conceding 0.70.
Falkirk have five wins, four losses and one draw in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 1.20.
Falkirk beat Hearts on penalties (1-1 AET) when they last met at Tynecastle Park.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hearts Home Stats |
6-4-0 | 2.50 | 1.80 | 0.70 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 4 | |
Falkirk Away Stats |
5-1-4 | 2.20 | 1.00 | 1.20 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 8 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Hearts League Stats
Falkirk League Stats
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 5.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 4.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 4.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 5.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 52.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 54.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 52.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 49.20% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Hearts this season are Claudio Braga (11), Lawrence Shankland (11), Stuart Findlay (5)
- Top Assistors for Hearts this season are Alexandros Kiziridis (6), Harry Milne (6), Claudio Braga (3)
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Hearts vs Falkirk Lineups & Team News
Before placing any bets on Hearts vs Falkirk, check the team news first. We’ll bring you both the expected and confirmed lineups for the Premiership, along with current injury news.
Hearts Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Falkirk Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Hearts Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Falkirk Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Hearts Lineups
Previous Falkirk Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Hearts Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Derek McInnes
Falkirk Player Stats & Squad
Premiership Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hearts | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 50:24 | 57 |
| 2 | Rangers | 27 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 47:21 | 55 |
| 3 | Celtic | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 48:26 | 54 |
| 4 | Motherwell | 26 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 40:18 | 47 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 43:31 | 42 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 32:35 | 39 |
| 7 | Dundee United | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 33:42 | 28 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 26:35 | 28 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21:40 | 24 |
| 10 | St Mirren | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 21:37 | 23 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 30:54 | 20 |
| 12 | Livingston | 27 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 28:56 | 12 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 29:9 | 31 |
| 2 | Motherwell | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 25:6 | 31 |
| 3 | Hearts | 13 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 26:9 | 31 |
| 4 | Rangers | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 26:11 | 31 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 27:14 | 26 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20:17 | 20 |
| 7 | Dundee FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16:18 | 17 |
| 8 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 8:10 | 17 |
| 9 | Aberdeen | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 10 | Dundee United | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13:18 | 13 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 17:25 | 12 |
| 12 | Livingston | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 16:25 | 7 |
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