Hearts vs St Mirren Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Jan 2026

Premiership Betting Preview: Hearts vs St Mirren

Scottish Premiership leaders Hearts clash with St Mirren at Tynecastle Park, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Wednesday 14 January.

We think Hearts will beat St Mirren by two goals or more. This leads us to back the favourites -1.25 on the Asian Handicap at odds of -115, with a one goal victory meaning half the stake comes back.

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Hearts have won two league games on the spin, triumphing 1-0 in their previous Premiership encounter. This was on their travels against Dundee FC at Dens Park. The Jam Tarts recorded 48% possession and managed two shots on target, with the winning goal scored by Claudio Braga in the 27th minute.

St Mirren suffered a third straight league defeat when losing 2-0 in their previous game. This was at home to Falkirk at SMISA Stadium. Stephen Robinson's men didn’t see much of the ball with just 38% possession and three shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Hearts have avoided defeat against St Mirren in the past four games, with their last clash being a 2-2 draw at SMISA Stadium. The previous 10 H2H games have ended in four Hearts victories, four draws and two St Mirren wins.

Scottish Premiership		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Hearts	21	14	5	2	40	17	23	40:17	47
10	St Mirren	20	4	6	10	16	28	-12	16:28	18

View Full Table

Hearts have 5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 12.5 attempts. Derek McInnes' side have averaged 53.5% possession and 5.4 corners per match, with their opponents getting 0.8 goals from 3.6 shots on goal, 10.3 attempts and 4.2 corners.

Top scorers Claudio Braga and Lawrence Shankland have found the net 3 times, with Craig Halkett getting 1. Alexandros Kiziridis has recorded the most assists with 2.

St Mirren have 2 victories, 6 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 0.8 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 13.1 attempts. There’s been an average of 44.8% possession, 6.1 corners taken and 5.1 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.6 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 12.6 attempts.

Mikael Mandron has scored 3 goals, followed by Conor McMenamin, Keanu Baccus, Marcus Fraser and Jonah Ayunga on 1. Declan John has managed 2 assists in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Hearts predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Craig Gordon (GK), Jordi Altena, Craig Halkett, Jamie McCart, Stuart Findlay, Beni Baningime, Cameron Devlin, Tómas Bent Magnússon, Claudio Braga, Alexandros Kyziridis, Lawrence Shankland.

St Mirren predicted lineup (3-5-2): Ryan Mullen (GK), Marcus Fraser, Richard King, Miguel Freckleton, Jayden Richardson, Roland Idowu, Conor McMenamin, Fraser Taylor, Declan John, Mikael Mandron, Dan Nlundulu.

Hearts vs St Mirren Prediction & Betting Tips

Step into Hearts vs St Mirren with confidence as we bring you our main match prediction, projected scoreline, key corners betting angle, best player prop picks and a custom-built bet builder.

Match Prediction

It makes sense to back Hearts -1.25 at -115. The favourites are capable of winning this Premiership clash by two goals or more, with the stats suggesting that a comfortable victory is on the cards.

We take note of any injuries or suspensions affecting each side before going ahead with our football predictions. The Premiership form guide and stats also help the team at Sportsgambler.com crunch the numbers ahead of the action.

Key Hearts vs St Mirren league stats:

• The +1.25 line hasn’t been covered by St Mirren in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +1.25 line hasn’t been covered by St Mirren in 2 consecutive games.

Based on the latest odds from the top bookmakers, our pick carries a 53.5% chance of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

Bigger prices can be secured for bettors who are prepared to move the line. The odds increase according to how much risk you are prepared to have with your wager.

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Our Match Prediction

Hearts Asian Hcp -1.25 @ -115 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Hearts 2 - 0 St Mirren

We’re taking a chance on Hearts to achieve a 2-0 winning scoreline. Odds of +420 means we can place a smaller stake and still achieve a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Lawrence Shankland to Score +112

Lawrence Shankland (Hearts) has been among the goals in three of his past five Premiership games on home soil. We’re happy to take the +112 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.

Latest Lawrence Shankland Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+112

First

+280

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Corners Prediction

St Mirren Over 3.5 Corners +108

St Mirren have had over 3.5 corners in six straight away matches, while the last 5 Hearts games have seen them concede an average of 4.80 corners. We recommend backing the +108 that St Mirren are able to cover the line, with this Team Corners bet landing a handsome potential return.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Hearts

Total

9.60 5.40 4.20

Home

9.60 6.10 3.50

Away

10.00 5.00 5.00

St Mirren

Total

11.20 6.10 5.10

Home

10.00 5.40 4.60

Away

12.90 5.90 7.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-132

Under 10.5

-108

Hearts Corners

Over 7.5

-103

Under 7.5

-139

St Mirren Corners

Over 3.5

+108

Under 3.5

-156

Most Corners

1

-526

X

+950

2

+420

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Hearts vs St Mirren Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

With a proposed 71% probability of securing a victory, the bookmakers are taking few risks with their -250 odds about Hearts coming out on top in this Premiership encounter. St Mirren are the underdogs at +650 which implies a low percentage prospect of winning.

If you fancy Hearts to be leading at the interval, then you can secure odds of -109. Alternatively, there’s the chance to wager on St Mirren at +550 on the Half-Time Result, with the draw trading at +145.

You can back Over 2.5 Goals or Under 2.5 Goals at similar odds right now. Providing that at least one side fails to score, then the No pick on the Both Teams to Score market will be a winner at -152.

You can find hundreds of markets for every Premiership match, with the top betting apps creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and In-Play selections before placing your football bets.

Full-Time Result

1

-250

X

+350

2

+650

Half-Time Result

1

-109

X

+145

2

+550

Double Chance

1X

-1429

12

-588

X2

+165

Draw No Bet

1

-833

2

+420

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.25

-115

2 Hcp +1.25

-125

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-116

Over 2.5

-122

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+107

No

-152

Lawrence Shankland can be backed to find the net anytime at +112. There is the chance to back the market leader to score the first goal at +280.

Lawrence Shankland (Hearts)

First

+112

Anytime

+280

Cláudio Braga (Hearts)

First

+145

Anytime

+330

Elton Kabangu (Hearts)

First

+220

Anytime

+500

James Wilson (Hearts)

First

+310

Anytime

+700

Jordi Altena (Hearts)

First

+370

Anytime

+800

Islam Chesnokov (Hearts)

First

+410

Anytime

+900

Jonah Ayunga (St Mirren)

First

+430

Anytime

+950

Blair Spittal (Hearts)

First

+450

Anytime

+1000

Daniel N'Lundulu (St Mirren)

First

+450

Anytime

+1000

Mikael Mandron (St Mirren)

First

+460

Anytime

+950

Cam Devlin (Hearts)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Calem Nieuwenhof (Hearts)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Beni Baningime (Hearts)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Jamie McCart (Hearts)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Roland Idowu (St Mirren)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Mark O'Hara (St Mirren)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Killian Phillips (St Mirren)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Liam Donnelly (St Mirren)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Craig Halkett (Hearts)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Stephen Kingsley (Hearts)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Stuart Findlay (Hearts)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Hearts have avoided defeat in their last ten matches at Tynecastle Park. The Jam Tarts have secured seven victories and three draws in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 2.10 goals per game and conceding 0.70.

St Mirren haven’t tasted victory in six consecutive matches on the road. Stephen Robinson's men have finished with six defeats, three draws and one win in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.90.

The most recent Tynecastle Park meeting saw Hearts claim a 3-1 win over St Mirren. We’ve seen the past 9 H2H matches at Tynecastle Park involve seven wins for Hearts, one draw and one victory for St Mirren.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Hearts Home Stats		7-3-0	2.80	2.10	0.70	5	5	5	5
St Mirren Away Stats		1-3-6	2.90	1.00	1.90	5	5	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Hearts vs St Mirren Lineups & Team News

Stay informed and review the Hearts vs St Mirren team news before placing your bets. Get the predicted and confirmed Premiership lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.

Hearts Team Page St Mirren Team Page

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