Heracles vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Sep 2025

Eredivisie Betting Preview: Heracles vs AZ Alkmaar

Heracles host AZ Alkmaar in this Dutch Eredivisie clash at Asito Stadion, with kick-off set for 09:30 on Sunday 14 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Over 2.5 Goals Looks the Value Bet

Heracles and AZ could hit the net a few times and we’re happy to take the -172 when it comes to Over 2.5. This can be backed with confidence on the Total Goals market and we’re hopeful of a return.

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1-0 Win for Heracles in Last H2H Battle

Heracles have lost their last four games. Away at Euroborg Stadion, they recently suffered a 4-0 defeat against FC Groningen. Despite boasting 58% possession, they were unable to manage a shot on target.

AZ Alkmaar got the win in their previous game. It was on their travels where NAC Breda were beaten 1-0 at Rat Verlegh Stadion. The Cheeseheads had the lion’s share of the ball recording 61% possession and eight shots on goal, with Sven Mijnans scoring the winner in the final few minutes.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Heracles had the upper hand in the previous clash between these sides. At Asito Stadion, they recorded a 1-0 home victory over AZ. The previous 10 H2H games have featured five AZ wins, two draws and three Heracles victories.

Eredivisie		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	AZ Alkmaar	10	6	3	1	23	13	10	23:13	21
18	Heracles	10	1	0	9	7	30	-23	7:30	3

View Full Table

2 wins and 8 losses, averaging 0.8 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 10.0 attempts. Heracles have had 44.6% possession, 346.3 passes and 4.7 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 2.9 goals from 7.3 shots on goal and 17.5 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 5.3 corners.

Top scorer Jizz Hornkamp has found the net 3 times, with Sem Scheperman, Mario Engels, Ivan Mesik and Luka Kulenovic getting 1 goals each. Leading assistor is Suf Podgoreanu with 2, while goalkeeper Fabian de Keijzer has one clean sheet.

AZ have won 7 and drawn 3, with an average of 16.6 attempts, 7.0 shots on goal and 2.5 goals. The Alkmaar side average 53.5% possession, 462.2 passes, 6.8 corners awarded and 2.9 corners against them, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 3.7 shots on goal and 11.1 attempts.

Mexx Meerdink is top scorer on 6, with Sven Mijnans and Troy Parrott next on 3. Sven Mijnans has had 5 assists, with Rome Owusu-Oduro notching 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Heracles confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Fabian de Keijzer (GK), Mimeirhel Benita, Damon Mirani, Ivan Mesik, Djevencio van der Kust, Ajdin Hrustic, Thomas Bruns, Sem Scheperman, Bryan Limbombe, Jizz Hornkamp, Yvandro Borges Sanches.

AZ Alkmaar confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Rome Owusu-Oduro (GK), Denso Kasius, Wouter Goes, Alexandre Penetra, Mees de Wit, Jordy Clasie, Sven Mijnans, Kees Smit, Weslley Pinto, Mexx Meerdink, Ro-Zangelo Daal.

Heracles vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the full betting picture for Heracles vs AZ Alkmaar, including our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, key corners pick, must-watch player props and a tailored bet builder ready to use.

Match Prediction

We expect the net to bulge plenty of times when it comes to this Eredivisie showdown. Looking at the available stats, we will bet on Over 2.5 Goals and feel bullish with the -172 that is currently available.

The football experts at Sportsgambler.com check injury updates regularly and combine this with the form guide. We’re also able to consult a database of Eredivisie stats and present the key numbers to our readers.

Key Heracles vs AZ Alkmaar league stats:

• The 2.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Heracles games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Heracles games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 3 Heracles games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 AZ games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 AZ games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 games between these teams.

Over 2.5 Probability

According to the odds, there’s a 63.3% likelihood of our pick winning. However, our experts think that the probability is close to 70% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we can recommend this bet.

The Bet Builder option provides bettors with the chance to get bigger odds for their Over 2.5 Goals bet. Combine this option with other picks to land yourself a larger potential return.

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Our Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -172 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Heracles 1 - 2 AZ Alkmaar

AZ can be backed to win 2-1 when it comes to the correct score. We’ll go for the +650 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Kees Smit Under 0.5 Shots On Target -147

Kees Smit (AZ) has failed to record a shot on goal in five consecutive Eredivisie away matches. Using this stat, we can take betting odds of -147 that this Shots on Target wager falls short of the line.

Latest Kees Smit Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+300

First

+750

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-110

Under 0.5

-143

Shots

Over 1.5

-132

Under 1.5

-

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Ibrahim Sadiq to Score +270

Ibrahim Sadiq (AZ) has registered two goals in his past five Eredivisie games. There are odds of +270 on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer bet and we think this is an attractive wager for the player to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Ibrahim Sadiq Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+225

First

+550

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+123

Shots

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Heracles Under 3.5 Corners -110

Heracles have failed to cover the 3.5 corners line in three straight games, with AZ Alkmaar conceding under 3.5 corners in the past five matches. There’s the opportunity to go under the Heracles Team Corners line and we’re expecting this to happen, with odds of -110 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Heracles

Total

10.00 4.70 5.30

Home

10.20 5.90 4.30

Away

10.40 4.40 6.00

AZ Alkmaar

Total

9.70 6.80 2.90

Home

9.60 6.80 2.80

Away

9.90 6.40 3.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-127

Under 9.5

-112

Heracles Corners

Over 3.5

-125

Under 3.5

-110

AZ Alkmaar Corners

Over 5.5

-138

Under 5.5

-100

Most Corners

1

+205

X

+650

2

-185

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Heracles vs AZ Alkmaar Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Think AZ Most Likely to Win

With a roughly 68% chance of triumphing, the bookmakers aren’t giving too much away with their -208 betting odds for AZ Alkmaar winning this Eredivisie clash. Heracles are the +480 outsiders, with the draw being a different option which could yield dividends.

AZ have been priced at -127 when it comes to the Asian Handicap -1 market. A 2+ goal victory over Heracles would land a return, while it’s money back if they win by a single goal.

The expectation is that Over 2.5 Goals will be scored according to the latest odds. If you’re anticipating that both teams will score, the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -139.

The top football betting sites provide hundreds of markets for the latest Eredivisie matches. Be sure to peruse all of the available options before going ahead with your preferred wager.

Full-Time Result

1

+480

X

+360

2

-208

Half-Time Result

1

+440

X

+155

2

-105

Double Chance

1X

+148

12

-526

X2

-769

Draw No Bet

1

+320

2

-526

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +1

-100

2 Hcp -1

-127

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+128

Over 2.5

-167

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-139

No

+102

Mexx Meerdink Favourite to Score the First Goal

Mexx Meerdink is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +300. Alternatively, there’s the chance to back him to find the net at any stage at +107.

Mexx Meerdink (AZ)

First

+107

Anytime

+300

Troy Parrott (AZ)

First

+117

Anytime

+310

Ibrahim Sadiq (AZ)

First

+225

Anytime

+550

Isak Steiner Jensen (AZ)

First

+245

Anytime

+600

Sven Mijnans (AZ)

First

+260

Anytime

+650

Kees Smit (AZ)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Jizz Hornkamp (Heracles)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Luka Kulenovic (Heracles)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Denso Kasius (AZ)

First

+425

Anytime

+1150

Bryan Limbombe (Heracles)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Mario Engels (Heracles)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Mees de Wit (AZ)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Thomas Bruns (Heracles)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Peer Koopmeiners (AZ)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Jan Zamburek (Heracles)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Sem Scheperman (Heracles)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Ibrahim Sadiq (AZ)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+123

Sven Mijnans (AZ)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

+108

Jizz Hornkamp (Heracles)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-106

Isak Steiner Jensen (AZ)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-102

Luka Kulenovic (Heracles)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-116

Kees Smit (AZ)

Over 0.5

-110

Under 0.5

-143

Troy Parrott (AZ)

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-200

Mexx Meerdink (AZ)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-204

Denso Kasius (AZ)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-263

Bryan Limbombe (Heracles)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-250

Mario Engels (Heracles)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-313

Thomas Bruns (Heracles)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-303

Jan Zamburek (Heracles)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-500

Mees de Wit (AZ)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-625

Sem Scheperman (Heracles)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-556

Peer Koopmeiners (AZ)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-625

Mexx Meerdink (AZ)

Over 3.5

-105

Under 3.5

-

Ibrahim Sadiq (AZ)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Isak Steiner Jensen (AZ)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Sven Mijnans (AZ)

Over 2.5

+105

Under 2.5

-

Luka Kulenovic (Heracles)

Over 2.5

+148

Under 2.5

-

Kees Smit (AZ)

Over 1.5

-132

Under 1.5

-

Jizz Hornkamp (Heracles)

Over 1.5

-192

Under 1.5

-

Denso Kasius (AZ)

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-

Bryan Limbombe (Heracles)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Mario Engels (Heracles)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Mees de Wit (AZ)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-

Thomas Bruns (Heracles)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Jan Zamburek (Heracles)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-

Can Heracles Avoid Yet Another Home Defeat?

The previous three Heracles matches at Asito Stadion have seen them beaten. The Almelo club have four wins, three draws and three losses in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.70 goals per match and conceding 1.80.

AZ haven’t lost any of their past four away games. The Cheeseheads have secured four wins, four draws and two defeats in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.70 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

When the sides last met at Asito Stadion, Heracles beat AZ 1-0. In the previous 4 H2H matches at Asito Stadion, there have been three Heracles victories and one AZ win.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Heracles Home Stats		4-3-3	3.50	1.70	1.80	6	4	9	1
AZ Alkmaar Away Stats		4-4-2	3.00	1.70	1.30	6	4	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Heracles vs AZ Alkmaar Lineups & Team News

Before making your bets, take a look at the Heracles vs AZ Alkmaar team news. We’ll deliver both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Eredivisie as well as the latest injury reports.

Heracles Team Page AZ Alkmaar Team Page