Hull vs Derby Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 26 Apr 2025

Back a Close Game

The stakes are high when Hull and Derby clash at MKM Stadium in this Championship relegation battle.

The best plan could involve backing Derby with a +0.25 Asian Handicap at -122 when clashing with Hull. Our stake is split between 0 and +0.5, allowing us to land a return in the event of a draw.

1-1 Draw in in Pair’s Previous H2H

Hull City won their last game 2-1. This was recorded at The MKM Stadium against Preston North End. The Tigers had 44% of possession and six shots on target, while Joe Gelhardt grabbed the goals.

Derby County won their previous game by a 3-1 scoreline. It was on the road against West Bromwich Albion at The Hawthorns. The East Midlands club had just 28% possession and totalled four shots on goal, while Ebou Adams, Jerry Yates and Nathaniel Mendez-Laing found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Derby have not lost to Hull in the past four meetings, with their last encounter ending in a 1-1 draw at Pride Park. The previous 6 H2H meetings have involved four Derby wins, a single draw and one Hull victory.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
6	Derby	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
7	Hull	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

Hull have 4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 7.3 attempts and 3.5 shots on goal. Ruben Selles' side have averaged 45.6% possession and 5.6 corners per game, conceding 0.8 goals and 6.3 corners from 9.1 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal.

Joe Gelhardt is the top goalscorer with 4, Abu Kamara has 3, with Charlie Hughes and two other players on 1. The leading assistor is Kasey Palmer with 2.

Derby have 5 victories, 3 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 2.7 shots on goal, 5.7 attempts and 1.4 goals. The Rams average 35.2% possession, 4.2 corners awarded and 4.9 corners against, while 0.9 goals have been conceded from 7.8 attempts and 2.9 shots on goal.

Jerry Yates and Marcus Harness have scored 3 goals, followed by Ebou Adams with 2. Nathaniel Phillips and Callum Elder are the top assists providers with 3 in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Hull confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Ivor Pandur (GK), Lewie Coyle, John Egan, Charlie Hughes, Sean McLoughlin, Regan Slater, Gustavo Puerta, Abu Kamara, Joe Gelhardt, Nordin Amrabat, Kyle Joseph.

Derby confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Josh Vickers (GK), Sondre Klingen Langaas, Nathaniel Phillips, Matthew Clarke, Kane Wilson, Liam Thompson, Harrison Armstrong, Ebou Adams, Craig Forsyth, Jerry Yates, Marcus Harness.

Hull vs Derby Prediction & Betting Tips

Derby +0.25 on the Asian Handicap looks like a sensible play at a price of -122. They should be able to swerve a loss in this Championship game and we’re confident that the away team can land a victory.

We’re keen to follow the latest form and understand any patterns that emerge. The same applies to injuries that could affect key players. Combined with the best stats, there is plenty of information to make a verdict.

Key Hull vs Derby league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Derby in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Derby in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Derby in 2 consecutive games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Hull in 15 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Hull in 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Hull in 4 consecutive games against Derby.

Derby +0.25 Probability

According to the bookies, our pick has a 54.9% chance of landing a return. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

There’s a chance to land a larger price and this can be attained by moving the line. Increase your odds for your selection by taking a different wagering stance.

Our Match Prediction

Derby Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -122 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Hull 0 - 1 Derby

There are betting odds of +600 that Derby land a 1-0 victory. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.

Player Prop Picks

João Galvão Under 0.5 Shots On Target -164

João Galvão (Hull) can be backed at -164 to fail to have a shot on goal. It’s all about backing him at attractive odds when it comes to the Shots on Target market.

Latest João Galvão Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+275

First

+540

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-156

Shots

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

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Jerry Yates to Score +450

Jerry Yates (Derby) has registered two goals in his past four Championship games. This data directs us to the Anytime Goalscorer market where we can bet him to find the net at attractive odds of +450.

Latest Jerry Yates Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+440

First

+900

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+148

Under 0.5

-263

Shots

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Derby Under 4.5 Corners -110

In their past seven away games, Derby have had less than 4.5 corners. We’re anticipating Derby to fall short of the line, with this Team Corners wager available at -110.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Hull

Total

11.90 5.60 6.30

Home

11.30 6.20 5.10

Away

9.90 3.20 6.70

Derby

Total

9.10 4.20 4.90

Home

9.30 4.80 4.50

Away

9.50 5.00 4.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-100

Under 10.5

-138

Hull Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-138

Derby Corners

Over 4.5

-125

Under 4.5

-110

Most Corners

1

-137

X

+550

2

+133

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Hull vs Derby Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Predicting a Close Encounter

This Championship match sees Hull City available at +130 and Derby County priced at +230 for the victory. The bookies have betting odds of +210 about the draw.

For the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 Goals is the shortest price for this interesting match.

If you fancy Hull City but want money back if this Championship match is a draw, then you can get -175. You can bet on Derby County at +125 on the Draw No Bet market.

Full-Time Result

1

+130

X

+210

2

+230

Half-Time Result

1

+210

X

-105

2

+300

Double Chance

1X

-300

12

-275

X2

-175

Draw No Bet

1

-175

2

+125

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+101

2 Hcp +0.25

-112

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-200

Over 2.5

+162.5

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+110

No

-150

João Galvão Favourite to Be First Goalscorer

You will find João Galvão at +540 to be First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite. There’s the chance to get +275 that he finds the net at anytime.

João Galvão (Hull)

First

+275

Anytime

+540

Joe Gelhardt (Hull)

First

+295

Anytime

+600

Kyle Joseph (Hull)

First

+310

Anytime

+575

Abu Kamara (Hull)

First

+375

Anytime

+750

Mason Burstow (Hull)

First

+390

Anytime

+700

Kayden Jackson (Derby)

First

+400

Anytime

+800

Matt Crooks (Hull)

First

+420

Anytime

+800

Kasey Palmer (Hull)

First

+430

Anytime

+800

Jerry Yates (Derby)

First

+440

Anytime

+900

Marcus Harness (Derby)

First

+460

Anytime

+950

Louie Barry (Hull)

First

+550

Anytime

+1050

Nathaniel Méndez-Laing (Derby)

First

+575

Anytime

+1050

Corey Blackett-Taylor (Derby)

First

+575

Anytime

+1050

Harry Vaughan (Hull)

First

+650

Anytime

+1200

Tom Barkhuizen (Derby)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Lincoln Henrique (Hull)

First

+900

Anytime

+1600

Ebou Adams (Derby)

First

+900

Anytime

+1700

Regan Slater (Hull)

First

+950

Anytime

+1900

Gustavo Puerta (Hull)

First

+1000

Anytime

+1700

Kenzo Goudmijn (Derby)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2000

Liam Thompson (Derby)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2000

Craig Forsyth (Derby)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

João Galvão (Hull)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-156

Joe Gelhardt (Hull)

Over 0.5

-104

Under 0.5

-167

Kyle Joseph (Hull)

Over 0.5

+106

Under 0.5

-182

Mason Burstow (Hull)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-213

Abu Kamara (Hull)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-233

Kayden Jackson (Derby)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-233

Jerry Yates (Derby)

Over 0.5

+148

Under 0.5

-263

Kasey Palmer (Hull)

Over 0.5

+148

Under 0.5

-263

Matt Crooks (Hull)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-278

Louie Barry (Hull)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-333

Marcus Harness (Derby)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-370

Nathaniel Méndez-Laing (Derby)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-357

Corey Blackett-Taylor (Derby)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-400

Harry Vaughan (Hull)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-417

Tom Barkhuizen (Derby)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-435

Lincoln Henrique (Hull)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-714

Ebou Adams (Derby)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-769

João Galvão (Hull)

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

Joe Gelhardt (Hull)

Over 1.5

-200

Under 1.5

-

Kyle Joseph (Hull)

Over 1.5

-102

Under 1.5

-

Abu Kamara (Hull)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-

Mason Burstow (Hull)

Over 1.5

-109

Under 1.5

-

Kayden Jackson (Derby)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Matt Crooks (Hull)

Over 1.5

+133

Under 1.5

-

Kasey Palmer (Hull)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Jerry Yates (Derby)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

Marcus Harness (Derby)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Louie Barry (Hull)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Nathaniel Méndez-Laing (Derby)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Corey Blackett-Taylor (Derby)

Over 0.5

-278

Under 0.5

-

Tom Barkhuizen (Derby)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Ebou Adams (Derby)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Hull vs Derby Lineups & Team News

If you’re looking for Hull vs Derby team news, then we have predicted and confirmed lineups available along with details of any injuries on both sides.

Getting the player information you need is easy thanks to the Championship squads.

Hull City Team Page Derby County Team Page