Independiente del Valle vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Oct 2025

Copa Sudamericana Betting Preview: Independiente del Valle vs Atlético Mineiro

Ecuadorian LigaPro side Independiente del Valle host Brazilian Série A club Atlético Mineiro in the first leg of this Copa Sudamericana semi-final, with kick-off set for 20:30 on Tuesday 21 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and confirmed lineups.

We can’t pass up the chance to wager Under 2.5 when IDV clash with Atlético Mineiro. The Total Goals market offers us the chance to take odds of -164 and we think a return is on the cards.

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Independiente del Valle won their last game 2-1. This was a LigaPro road victory against Orense.

Atlético Mineiro lost away from home in their previous game. Corinthians won 1-0 in Série A. Jorge Sampaoli's men didn’t see much of the ball with just 38% possession and one shot on goal.

In the Copa Sudamericana quarter-finals, IDV overcame Once Caldas on penalties (2-2 on aggregate), with Atlético claiming a 3-2 aggregate win against Bolivar.

Confirmed Lineups

Independiente del Valle confirmed lineup (4-1-3-2): Guido Villar (GK), Matias Fernandez, Richard Schunke, Andy Velasco, Gustavo Cortez, Jordy Alcivar, Darwin Guagua, Junior Sornoza, Patrik Mercado, Claudio Spinelli, Michael Hoyos.

Atlético Mineiro confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Everson (GK), Ruan, Vitor Hugo, Junior Alonso, Gabriel Menino, Alan Franco, Gustavo Scarpa, Guilherme Arana, Rony, Igor Gomes, Bernard.

Independiente del Valle vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction & Betting Tips

Step into Independiente del Valle vs Atlético Mineiro with confidence as we bring you our expert match prediction, projected scoreline, best player prop picks and a custom-built bet builder.

Match Prediction

The two teams aren’t expected to deliver on the goals front and that means we will bet Under 2.5. This Copa Sudamericana pick could be a sensible play and that’s particularly the case on the basis that odds of -164 are available.

The form guide is always considered and it’s great to also use the Copa Sudamericana team news as it filters through ahead of kick-off. In our quest for the best possible football predictions, the latest stats are scrutinised so that we have the best data.

Key Independiente del Valle vs Atlético Mineiro Copa Sudamericana & league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 11 of the last 20 IDV games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 IDV games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Atlético MG games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 Atlético MG games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Atlético MG games.

The betting apps are estimating that there is a 62.1% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 65-70%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

There are bigger odds on the cards if you combine the Under 2.5 Goals selection on the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market. BTTS No is the other pick that you can include here.

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Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -164 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

IDV 1 - 1 Atlético

Our prediction is a 1-1 draw which is available at odds of +510. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Junior Sornoza To Score +525

Junior Sornoza (IDV) is available at +525 to be on the scoresheet. We think this is the pick of the player props, with generous odds available when it comes to backing him to score at any time.

Latest Junior Sornoza Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+510

First

+1000

Shots

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

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Independiente del Valle vs Atlético Mineiro Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Independiente del Valle are the shortest price to win this Copa Sudamericana clash according to the bookies, with the favourites given a 54% probability due to their -119 betting odds. If you’re interested in wagering Atlético Mineiro, you can get +360 for the underdog.

If you’re feeling confident of a win for IDV, the Asian Handicap -0.5 option is priced at -119. You might instead think that Atlético +0.5 at -104 is more appealing and the draw is included here.

For the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this interesting contest. The Both Teams to Score No wager is -164 and it’s perfect if you anticipate that one side or more will fail to score by the full-time whistle.

The leading football betting sites offer hundreds of markets when it comes to Copa Sudamericana matches. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Full-Time Result

1

-119

X

+235

2

+360

Half-Time Result

1

+150

X

+108

2

+410

Double Chance

1X

-556

12

-333

X2

-114

Draw No Bet

1

-303

2

+210

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-119

2 Hcp +0.5

-104

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-192

Over 2.5

+140

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+117

No

-164

Claudio Spinelli is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +370 while there’s also the chance to back him to find the net at +175.

Claudio Spinelli (IDV)

First

+175

Anytime

+370

Michael Hoyos (IDV)

First

+245

Anytime

+500

Givanildo Souza "Hulk" (Atlético MG)

First

+300

Anytime

+600

Ronielson Da Silva Barbosa "Rony" (Atlético MG)

First

+450

Anytime

+900

'Biel' Teixeira Aragão (Atlético MG)

First

+500

Anytime

+950

Junior Sornoza (IDV)

First

+510

Anytime

+1000

Isaac Aguiar Tomich (Atlético MG)

First

+525

Anytime

+1050

Jose Antonio dos Santos Júnior (Atlético MG)

First

+525

Anytime

+1000

Patrik Mercado (IDV)

First

+550

Anytime

+1150

João Marcelo Soares de Freitas (Atlético MG)

First

+550

Anytime

+1000

Jean Pierre Arroyo (IDV)

First

+575

Anytime

+1100

Renato Ibarra (IDV)

First

+575

Anytime

+1150

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Jordy Alcívar (IDV)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Reinier (Atlético MG)

First

+750

Anytime

+1500

Eduardo Pereira Rodrigues Sotero (Atlético MG)

First

+750

Anytime

+1500

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

First

+750

Anytime

+1500

Cristian Zabala (IDV)

First

+800

Anytime

+1500

Bernard (Atlético MG)

First

+850

Anytime

+1600

Matías Fernández (IDV)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Gabriel Menino (Atlético MG)

First

+1000

Anytime

+1900

Claudio Spinelli (IDV)

Over 3.5

-104

Under 3.5

-

Michael Hoyos (IDV)

Over 2.5

-156

Under 2.5

-

Givanildo Souza "Hulk" (Atlético MG)

Over 2.5

-103

Under 2.5

-

Jordy Alcívar (IDV)

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

-

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-137

Under 1.5

-

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+107

Under 1.5

-

Renato Ibarra (IDV)

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-

Jean Pierre Arroyo (IDV)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

Patrik Mercado (IDV)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

João Marcelo Soares de Freitas (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-

Jose Antonio dos Santos Júnior (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Isaac Aguiar Tomich (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

Junior Sornoza (IDV)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

'Biel' Teixeira Aragão (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

Ronielson Da Silva Barbosa "Rony" (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Cristian Zabala (IDV)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Matías Fernández (IDV)

Over 0.5

-112

Under 0.5

-

Latest Copa Sudamericana and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Independiente del Valle Stats

Atlético Mineiro Stats

Full-Time Result

• 7 wins and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 1 win, 8 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.80 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.70 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 0.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 0.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 1.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches

Independiente del Valle vs Atlético Mineiro Lineups & Team News

Be smart with your bets — check the IDV vs Atlético team news beforehand. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Copa Sudamericana along with the latest injury news.

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