Copa Sudamericana Betting Preview: Independiente del Valle vs Vasco da Gama

Ecuadorian LigaPro side Independiente del Valle host Brazilian Série A outfit Vasco da Gama in the first leg of this Copa Sudamericana knockout round play-offs match, with kick-off set for 20:30 on Tuesday 15 July 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats and team news.

Back Vasco to Cause IDV Problems

Wager Vasco da Gama +0.75 at -125 in their meeting with IDV. Dividing the Asian Handicap stake between +0.5 and +1.0 means we have the safety net if the visitors lose by a goal, with a full payout for a draw or win.

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Vasco Beaten in Previous Clash

Independiente del Valle triumphed in their last game. It was on the road where CSD Macara were beaten 2-1 in the LigaPro.

Vasco da Gama lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Botafogo 2-0 in Série A. Fernando Diniz's team dominated possession with 66% of the ball and recorded five shots on goal.

Confirmed Lineups

Independiente del Valle confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Guido Villar (GK), Matias Fernandez, Mateo Carabajal, Richard Schunke, Gustavo Cortez, Darwin Guagua, Jordy Alcivar, Patrik Mercado, Renato Ibarra, Claudio Spinelli, Ronald Briones.

Vasco da Gama confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Leo Jardim (GK), Paulo Henrique, Joao Victor, Lucas Freitas, Lucas Piton, Rayan, Tche Tche, Hugo Moura, Nuno Moreira, Pablo Vegetti, GB.

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Independiente del Valle vs Vasco da Gama Prediction & Betting Tips

Step into Independiente del Valle vs Vasco da Gama with confidence as we bring you our expert match prediction, projected scoreline, best player prop picks and a custom-built bet builder.

Match Prediction

Vasco da Gama should be highly competitive in this Copa Sudamericana knockout round play-offs match. On this basis, we’ll take them at -125 on the Asian Handicap +0.75 feeling optimistic that the underdogs will land a payout.

Having the inside track for injuries and accessing the form guide are important before coming up with football predictions. It’s also key to identify the key numbers and that is why our Copa Sudamericana experts sometimes take a data-led approach.

Key Independiente del Valle vs Vasco da Gama Copa Sudamericana & league stats:

The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by IDV in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by IDV in 3 of their last 5 games.
The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by IDV in 2 consecutive games at home.

Vasco +0.75 Probability

According to the odds, there’s a 55.6% likelihood of our pick winning. However, we have this number between 60-65% based on our in-depth research. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

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If you want to secure a larger possible pay out on your bet, there’s the possibility to move the line. Take a look at the various prices and see which line you think will be covered.

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Our Match Prediction

Vasco Asian Hcp +0.75 @ -125 Bet Now

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Published 00:37, 14 July 2025

Correct Score Prediction

IDV

1 - 1 Vasco logo

Vasco

There are odds of +510 that the two teams play out a 1-1 scoreline. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.

Latest Correct Score Odds

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Nuno Moreira to Score +600

Nuno Moreira (Vasco) has registered two goals in his past ten games. It’s worth a gamble on the +600 for him to be Anytime Goalscorer as there’s plenty of juice in these betting odds.

Latest Nuno Moreira Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

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Bet Builder Tips

Asian Handicap Vasco +0.75 -125

Total Goals Under 2.5 -128

Anytime Goalscorer Nuno Moreira +600

If you want to try a same-game multi, have a play on Vasco da Gama with an Asian Handicap of +0.75, no more than two goals to be registered as well as Nuno Moreira (Vasco) to find the net.

The bet builder option allows you to combine different outcomes within the same football game. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.

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Independiente del Valle vs Vasco da Gama Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Think IDV Most Likely to Win

The bookmakers have Independiente del Valle as -147 favourites for this Copa Sudamericana encounter, with the 1x2 odds suggesting that they are 60% likely to triumph. If you’re interested in wagering Vasco da Gama, you can get +480 for the underdog.

The Half-Time Result market means that your bet will always be settled at the interval. IDV are +140, while Vasco are alternatively priced at +480 and the draw is +105.

When it comes to the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this exciting contest. If you think at least one side will keep a clean sheet, then Both Teams to Score No is -175.

Customers love the flexibility that hundreds of markets provide and that is for every Copa Sudamericana match. The recommended football betting sites ensure that bettors always have plenty of options.

Full-Time Result

Half-Time Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Asian Handicap

Total Goals

Both Teams to Score

Michael Hoyos Shortest Odds for First Goalscorer

Michael Hoyos is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +380, while you can get similar odds if you want him to score the last goal.

Player Goals

Michael Hoyos (IDV)

Pablo Vegetti (Vasco)

Junior Sornoza (IDV)

Renato Ibarra (IDV)

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Player Shots

Michael Hoyos (IDV)

Pablo Vegetti (Vasco)

Rayan Vitor (Vasco)

Junior Sornoza (IDV)

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Vasco da Gama

Team Stats

Latest Copa Sudamericana and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Independiente del Valle Stats

Vasco da Gama Stats

Full-Time Result

5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
4 wins, 1 defeat and 5 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

2 wins, 7 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
2 wins and 8 defeats in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
An average of 1.50 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
BTTS Yes in 9 of the previous 10 matches
BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
An average of 0.90 goals scored and 2.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 away matches

Independiente del Valle vs Vasco da Gama Lineups & Team News

The IDV vs Vasco team news could change everything — review it before betting. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Copa Sudamericana lineups alongside the newest injury information.