Independiente vs Lanús Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 12 Oct 2025
Primera División Betting Preview: Independiente vs Lanús
Independiente host Lanús in this Argentine Primera División meeting, with kick-off set for 16:00 on Sunday 12 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
Lanús +0.25 look like a spot of value on the Asian Handicap. This involves halving our stake between 0 and +0.5, with a victory against Independiente the aim at betting odds of +105.
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Independiente played Godoy Cruz on their travels in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw. The Avellaneda side had 53% possession and three shots on target, with Santiago Gabriel Montiel getting the goal.
Lanús won their previous game which was at home. It was a 2-1 triumph against San Lorenzo. El Granate boasted 56% possession and had five shots on goal, with Sasha Marcich and Walter Bou finding the net.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Independiente haven’t lost to Lanús in their past four games, with their last clash ending 1-1. The past 9 H2H games have featured five draws, three wins for Lanús and just one for Independiente.
| Primera División | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Independiente |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 20 | Lanús |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Independiente have 4 losses and 6 draws, averaging 0.6 goals from 2.7 shots on goal and 6.6 attempts. Los Diablos Rojos have averaged 57.9% possession and 3.0 corners per match, conceding 1.0 goals and 4.9 corners from 3.2 shots on goal and 6.8 attempts.
Top goalscorer Felipe Loyola has found the net 2 times, with Santiago Gabriel Montiel, Nicolas Freire and Gabriel Avalos scoring 1 each. Santiago Gabriel Montiel, Leonardo Godoy and Federico Mancuello are the leading assists makers with 1.
Lanús have 6 victories, 2 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.1 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 8.3 attempts. Mauricio Pellegrino's team have averaged 48.9% possession, 3.6 corners awarded and 6.0 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.8 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 9.9 attempts.
Rodrigo Castillo has top scored with 4, while Walter Bou and Jose Maria Canale are next best on 2. Walter Bou is the top assists provider in the last 10 games with 2.
Confirmed Lineups
Independiente confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Rodrigo Rey (GK), Federico Vera, Kevin Lomonaco, Sebastian Valdez, Milton Valenzuela, Rodrigo Fernandez, Pablo Galdames, Santiago Gabriel Montiel, Luciano Cabral, Matias Abaldo, Ignacio Pussetto.
Lanús confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Nahuel Losada (GK), Gonzalo Perez, Ezequiel Munoz, Jose Maria Canale, Sasha Marcich, Agustin Medina, Agustin Cardozo, Eduardo Salvio, Marcelino Moreno, Ramiro Carrera, Walter Bou.
Independiente vs Lanús Prediction & Betting Tips
We cover the essential Independiente vs Lanús betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, a corners value pick, correct score guidance, top player prop plays and a carefully crafted bet builder.
Match Prediction
We’ll divide our stake by wagering Lanús +0.25 at odds of +105 for this Asian Handicap wager. We’re expecting to see a quality performance from the away team in this Primera División showdown.
In order to come up with the best football predictions, we like to know the Primera División team news and study the latest form. There are also plenty of numbers to crunch from the available stats.
Key Independiente vs Lanús league stats:
According to the latest odds, our pick has a 48.8% chance of winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.
There’s the opportunity to sell goals and that means moving the line until you’re happy with the bet. It means a riskier wager but a bigger potential return from the available odds.
Before placing your bet, tap into the latest welcome bonuses. Our detailed guide shows you where to get the best value.
Correct Score Prediction
We’re predicting Lanús to land a 1-0 victory and this is available at +600. The correct score betting option provides plenty of fun and entertainment.
Player Prop Picks
Ignacio Pussetto (Independiente) can be wagered to have at least one shot on goal at -115. When it comes to wagering Shots on Target, we think the betting odds really stand out for this pick.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Walter Bou (Lanús) has scored two goals in his past five Primera División matches. This data directs us to the Anytime Goalscorer market where we can bet him to find the net at attractive odds of +400.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Lanús have been awarded an average of 5.80 corners in the past five away matches, while Independiente have yielded a corner average of 5.80 in their last five games. We’re going to take the Overs for Lanús Team Corners, with this line standing out and you can get odds of -123.
Independiente
Lanús
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve got a same-game multi and the legs include Lanús to cover the +0.25 Asian Handicap, both teams to score No combined with Lanús to have over 3.5 corners.
The bet builder option allows you to combine different outcomes within the same football game. It results in you being able to place a tailored bet at a larger price based on the number of predictions made.
Independiente vs Lanús Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
The bookmakers have Independiente at +114 when it comes to 1x2. This suggests that the favourites have a 47% chance of winning this Primera División clash based on the betting odds. Lanús are the +280 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.
As the name suggests, the Draw No Bet market means money back if the game ends level. Should you take this option, then you can choose between Independiente at -217 and Lanús at +155.
Under 2.5 Goals is available as the favourite and a bet on this pick means that you don’t want more than two goals to be netted. An alternative play could be betting BTTS No where you can get -200 when it comes to the Both Teams to Score No market.
For those wanting hundreds of football markets, it’s great that the best sports betting sites are on hand to offer this service. When it comes to every Primera División match, go for the pick which stands out the most.
There’s the chance to back Gabriel Ávalos at +480 to be the First Goalscorer, with the favourite on this market available at similar odds to find the net last.
- Liga Profesional Clausura: 05/10 Godoy Cruz 1 Independiente1
- Liga Profesional Clausura: 28/09 Racing Club 0 Independiente0
- Liga Profesional Clausura: 21/09 Independiente 1 San Lorenzo1
- Liga Profesional Clausura: 13/09 Independiente 0 Banfield1
- Liga Profesional Clausura: 30/08 Instituto 0 Independiente0
- Primera División: 06/04 2025 Lanús 1 Independiente 1
- Primera División: 19/10 2024 Lanús 0 Independiente 2
- Primera División: 28/05 2023 Independiente 1 Lanús 1
- Primera División: 13/08 2022 Lanús 1 Independiente 1
- Primera División: 13/09 2021 Independiente 0 Lanús 1
- Copa Sudamericana: 17/12 2020 Independiente 1 Lanús 3
- Copa Sudamericana: 10/12 2020 Lanús 0 Independiente 0
- Copa Argentina: 25/10 2019 Independiente 0 Lanús 2
- Primera División: 15/09 2019 Independiente 2 Lanús 2
Independiente League Stats
Lanús League Stats
- 4 defeats and 6 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.70 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.00 corners awarded and 4.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 3.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 7.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 3.60 corners awarded and 6.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 4.60 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 57.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 62.80% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 10 of the last 10 home matches
Independiente vs Lanús Lineups & Team News
Don’t bet on Independiente vs Lanús without reviewing the latest team news. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Primera División together with updated injury news.
Independiente Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Lanús Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Independiente Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Lanús Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Independiente Substitutes
- 1Joaquin Blazquez
- 9Gabriel Avalos
- 11Federico Mancuello
- 14Lautaro Millan
- 17Walter Mazzantti
- 22Facundo Zabala
- 23Ivan Marcone
- 27Diego Tarzia
- 28Enzo Taborda
- 29Leonardo Godoy
- 42Fernando Closter
- 54Nicolas Garrido
Lanús Substitutes
- 3Nicolas Morgantini
- 7Lautaro Acosta
- 14Alexis Pedro Canelo
- 17Lautaro Morales
- 19Rodrigo Castillo
- 21Armando Mendez
- 25Dylan Aquino
- 32Tobias Quiroz
- 33Juan Edgardo Ramirez
- 36Alexis Segovia
- 40Luciano Romero
- 50Facundo Sanchez
Previous Independiente Lineups
Previous Lanús Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Independiente Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Gustavo Quinteros
Lanús Player Stats & Squad
Primera División Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Vélez Sarsfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Banfield | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 4 | Huracán | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 5 | Aldosivi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 6 | Platense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 7 | Defensa Justicia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 8 | Unión | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 9 | Argentinos Jrs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Atl. Tucumán | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Barracas Central | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Belgrano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Boca Juniors | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Deportivo Riestra | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Estudiantes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 | Gimnasia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 | Independiente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 19 | Ind. Rivadavia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 20 | Lanús | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 21 | Newell's OB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 22 | Racing Club | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 23 | River Plate | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 24 | Rosario Central | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 25 | San Lorenzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 26 | Sarmiento | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 27 | Talleres | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 28 | Tigre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 29 | Central Córdoba | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 30 | Instituto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Banfield | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 2 | Aldosivi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 3 | Unión | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 4 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Vélez Sarsfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | Huracán | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Platense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Defensa Justicia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Argentinos Jrs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Atl. Tucumán | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Barracas Central | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Belgrano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Boca Juniors | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Deportivo Riestra | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Estudiantes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 | Gimnasia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 | Independiente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 19 | Ind. Rivadavia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 20 | Lanús | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 21 | Newell's OB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 22 | Racing Club | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 23 | River Plate | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 24 | Rosario Central | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 25 | San Lorenzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 26 | Sarmiento | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 27 | Talleres | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 28 | Tigre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 29 | Central Córdoba | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 30 | Instituto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
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