Independiente vs Lanús Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 12 Oct 2025

Primera División Betting Preview: Independiente vs Lanús

Independiente host Lanús in this Argentine Primera División meeting, with kick-off set for 16:00 on Sunday 12 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Lanús to Frustrate Independiente

Lanús +0.25 look like a spot of value on the Asian Handicap. This involves halving our stake between 0 and +0.5, with a victory against Independiente the aim at betting odds of +105.

Backing our Asian Handicap prediction? Use the latest BetMGM promo code and explore our expert review of the sportsbook ahead of your wager.

1-1 Draw When Teams Last Met

Independiente played Godoy Cruz on their travels in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw. The Avellaneda side had 53% possession and three shots on target, with Santiago Gabriel Montiel getting the goal.

Lanús won their previous game which was at home. It was a 2-1 triumph against San Lorenzo. El Granate boasted 56% possession and had five shots on goal, with Sasha Marcich and Walter Bou finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Independiente haven’t lost to Lanús in their past four games, with their last clash ending 1-1. The past 9 H2H games have featured five draws, three wins for Lanús and just one for Independiente.

Primera División		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Independiente	16	8	5	3	23	12	11	23:12	29
15	Lanús	16	4	8	4	13	11	2	13:11	20

View Full Table

Independiente have 4 losses and 6 draws, averaging 0.6 goals from 2.7 shots on goal and 6.6 attempts. Los Diablos Rojos have averaged 57.9% possession and 3.0 corners per match, conceding 1.0 goals and 4.9 corners from 3.2 shots on goal and 6.8 attempts.

Top goalscorer Felipe Loyola has found the net 2 times, with Santiago Gabriel Montiel, Nicolas Freire and Gabriel Avalos scoring 1 each. Santiago Gabriel Montiel, Leonardo Godoy and Federico Mancuello are the leading assists makers with 1.

Lanús have 6 victories, 2 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.1 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 8.3 attempts. Mauricio Pellegrino's team have averaged 48.9% possession, 3.6 corners awarded and 6.0 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.8 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 9.9 attempts.

Rodrigo Castillo has top scored with 4, while Walter Bou and Jose Maria Canale are next best on 2. Walter Bou is the top assists provider in the last 10 games with 2.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Independiente predicted lineup (4-3-3): Rodrigo Rey (GK), Federico Vera, Kevin Lomonaco, Sebastián Valdéz, Facundo Zabala, Pablo Galdames, Rodrigo Fernández, Luciano Cabral, Santiago Montiel, Ignacio Pussetto, Matías Abaldo.

Lanús predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Nahuel Losada (GK), Gonzalo Pérez, Carlos Izquierdoz, José Canale, Sasha Marcich, Agustín Medina, Agustin Cardozo, Eduardo Salvio, Marcelino Moreno, Ramiro Carrera, Walter Bou.

Independiente vs Lanús Prediction & Betting Tips

We cover the essential Independiente vs Lanús betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, a corners value pick, correct score guidance, top player prop plays and a carefully crafted bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’ll divide our stake by wagering Lanús +0.25 at odds of +105 for this Asian Handicap wager. We’re expecting to see a quality performance from the away team in this Primera División showdown.

In order to come up with the best football predictions, we like to know the Primera División team news and study the latest form. There are also plenty of numbers to crunch from the available stats.

Key Independiente vs Lanús league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Lanús in 4 consecutive games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Lanús in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Lanús in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Independiente in 11 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Independiente in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Independiente in 8 of their last 9 games against Lanús.

Lanús +0.25 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 48.8% chance of winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

There’s the opportunity to sell goals and that means moving the line until you’re happy with the bet. It means a riskier wager but a bigger potential return from the available odds.

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Our Match Prediction

Lanús Asian Hcp +0.25 @ +105 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Independiente 0 - 1 Lanús

We’re predicting Lanús to land a 1-0 victory and this is available at +650. The correct score betting option provides plenty of fun and entertainment.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Ignacio Pussetto Over 0.5 Shots On Target -115

Ignacio Pussetto (Independiente) can be wagered to have at least one shot on goal at -115. When it comes to wagering Shots on Target, we think the betting odds really stand out for this pick.

Latest Ignacio Pussetto Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+300

First

+700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-135

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Walter Bou to Score +400

Walter Bou (Lanús) has scored two goals in his past five Primera División matches. This data directs us to the Anytime Goalscorer market where we can bet him to find the net at attractive odds of +400.

Latest Walter Bou Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+400

First

+850

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-175

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Corners Prediction

Lanús Over 3.5 Corners -123

Lanús have been awarded an average of 5.80 corners in the past five away matches, while Independiente have yielded a corner average of 5.80 in their last five games. We’re going to take the Overs for Lanús Team Corners, with this line standing out and you can get odds of -123.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Independiente

Total

7.90 3.00 4.90

Home

9.10 5.40 3.70

Away

8.40 3.50 4.90

Lanús

Total

9.60 3.60 6.00

Home

8.00 3.20 4.80

Away

9.30 4.70 4.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-147

Under 8.5

+104

Independiente Corners

Over 5.5

+112

Under 5.5

-159

Lanús Corners

Over 3.5

-123

Under 3.5

-115

Most Corners

1

-182

X

+600

2

+190

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Independiente vs Lanús Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Have Independiente as Favourites

The bookmakers have Independiente at +108 when it comes to 1x2. This suggests that the favourites have a 48% chance of winning this Primera División clash based on the betting odds. Lanús are the +290 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.

As the name suggests, the Draw No Bet market means money back if the game ends level. Should you take this option, then you can choose between Independiente at -227 and Lanús at +160.

Under 2.5 Goals is available as the favourite and a bet on this pick means that you don’t want more than two goals to be netted. An alternative play could be betting BTTS No where you can get -189 when it comes to the Both Teams to Score No market.

For those wanting hundreds of football markets, it’s great that the best sports betting sites are on hand to offer this service. When it comes to every Primera División match, go for the pick which stands out the most.

Full-Time Result

1

+108

X

+210

2

+290

Half-Time Result

1

+185

X

-110

2

+350

Double Chance

1X

-400

12

-278

X2

-139

Draw No Bet

1

-227

2

+160

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-130

2 Hcp +0.25

+105

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-244

Over 2.5

+180

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+132

No

-189

Gabriel Ávalos Favourite to Be First Goalscorer

There’s the chance to back Gabriel Ávalos at +480 to be the First Goalscorer, with the favourite on this market available at similar odds to find the net last.

Gabriel Ávalos (Independiente)

First

+220

Anytime

+480

Ignacio Pussetto (Independiente)

First

+300

Anytime

+700

Santiago Montiel (Independiente)

First

+310

Anytime

+650

Walter Mazzantti (Independiente)

First

+360

Anytime

+750

Walter Bou (Lanús)

First

+400

Anytime

+850

Felipe Loyola (Independiente)

First

+450

Anytime

+1000

Rodrigo Castillo (Lanús)

First

+475

Anytime

+1000

Diego Tarzia (Independiente)

First

+500

Anytime

+1050

Alexis Canelo (Lanús)

First

+500

Anytime

+1050

Luciano Cabral (Independiente)

First

+500

Anytime

+1100

Eduardo Salvio (Lanús)

First

+550

Anytime

+1150

Marcelino Moreno (Lanús)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Federico Mancuello (Independiente)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Lautaro Acosta (Lanús)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Lautaro Millán (Independiente)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Ramiro Angel Carrera (Lanús)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Alexis Segovia (Lanús)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Pablo Galdames (Independiente)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Sebastián Valdéz (Independiente)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Franco Watson (Lanús)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2000

Agustín Cardozo (Lanús)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Gabriel Ávalos (Independiente)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

+112

Santiago Montiel (Independiente)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-135

Ignacio Pussetto (Independiente)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-135

Walter Bou (Lanús)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-175

Walter Mazzantti (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+116

Under 0.5

-185

Rodrigo Castillo (Lanús)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-200

Alexis Canelo (Lanús)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-222

Eduardo Salvio (Lanús)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-238

Diego Tarzia (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+163

Under 0.5

-270

Marcelino Moreno (Lanús)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-270

Luciano Cabral (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-294

Lautaro Acosta (Lanús)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-333

Federico Mancuello (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-400

Lautaro Millán (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+225

Under 0.5

-400

Ramiro Angel Carrera (Lanús)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-417

Alexis Segovia (Lanús)

Over 0.5

+235

Under 0.5

-435

Sebastián Valdéz (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-833

Independiente vs Lanús Lineups & Team News

Don’t bet on Independiente vs Lanús without reviewing the latest team news. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Primera División together with updated injury news.

Independiente Team Page Lanús Team Page