Independiente vs River Plate Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 09 Aug 2025

Primera División Betting Preview: Independiente vs River Plate

Independiente host River Plate in this Argentine Primera División match, with kick-off set for 17:30 on Saturday 9 August 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

We’re Sweet on BTTS No

There’s a strong chance that Independiente or River Plate will fail to find the net. This means taking the BTTS No option on the Both Teams to Score market and the odds of -167 look like great value.

Fancy this BTTS No wager? Use the latest bet365 promo code and see what our experts think of the platform in our in-depth review before getting in on the action.

River Have 5 Wins in Last 7 H2H Battles

Independiente have been beaten in consecutive Primera División games. On the road, they recently lost 1-0 against Gimnasia. The Avellaneda club boasted an incredible 76% of possession and managed three shots on target.

In their previous showing, Independiente were defeated 2-0 when visiting Belgrano in the Copa Argentina.

River Plate played San Lorenzo at home in their previous Primera División game. It was a 0-0 draw. Los Millonarios dominated possession with 70% of the ball and recorded two shots on goal.

The last outing involving River saw them win 3-0 when visiting San Martin de Tucuman in the Copa Argentina.

Head-to-Head Statistics

River haven’t lost to Independiente in their past seven games. Their last clash saw River land a 2-0 home win. The past 7 H2H matches have included five River wins along with two draws.

Primera División		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	River Plate	16	8	7	1	21	9	12	21:9	31
5	Independiente	16	8	5	3	23	12	11	23:12	29

View Full Table

3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 3.4 shots on goal and 9.1 attempts. Independiente have had 64.6% possession and 5.8 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.4 goals from 3.4 shots on goal and 7.7 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 3.8 corners.

Top scorer Gabriel Avalos has found the net 3 times, with Nicolas Freire, Felipe Loyola, Alvaro Angulo and Santiago Gabriel Montiel getting 1 goals each. Leading assistor is Pablo Galdames with 2.

River have won 6, lost 1 and drawn 3, with an average of 6.4 shots on goal, 11.3 attempts and 2.4 goals. Marcelo Gallardo's team average 64.0% possession, 4.1 corners awarded and 3.5 corners against, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 7.1 attempts and 2.9 shots on goal.

Miguel Borja has scored 4, followed by Facundo Colidio, Franco Mastantuono and Sebastian Driussi with 3 goals apiece. Franco Mastantuono and Facundo Colidio are the top assist makers, managing 3 in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Independiente predicted lineup (4-3-3): Rodrigo Rey (GK), Federico Vera, Kevin Lomonaco, Nicolas Freire, Facundo Zabala, Felipe Loyola, Ivan Marcone, Luciano Cabral, Walter Mazzantti, Gabriel Ávalos, Santiago Montiel.

River Plate predicted lineup (4-3-3): Franco Armani (GK), Gonzalo Montiel, German Pezzella, Paulo Díaz, Marcos Acuna, Kevin Castaño, Enzo Pérez, Matías Galarza Fonda, Santiago Lencina, Miguel Borja, Facundo Colidio.

Independiente vs River Plate Prediction & Betting Tips

Tackle Independiente vs River Plate with all the betting insight you need, including our match prediction, scoreline forecast, corners market advice, key player prop selections and a hand-picked bet builder.

Match Prediction

The Both Teams to Score market could be worth a visit ahead of this Primera División clash, especially as odds of -167 are available when it comes to BTTS No. This price looks really appealing.

We take note of any injuries or suspensions affecting each side before going ahead with our football predictions. The Primera División form guide and stats also help the team at Sportsgambler.com crunch the numbers ahead of the action.

Key Independiente vs River Plate league stats:

• 8 of the last 10 Independiente matches have resulted in BTTS No
• 4 of the last 5 Independiente home matches have resulted in BTTS No
• 4 of the last 5 River away matches have resulted in BTTS No
• 7 of the last 10 River away matches have resulted in BTTS No
• The last 2 River matches have resulted in BTTS No
• The last 4 matches between these teams have resulted in BTTS No

The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 62.5% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 65-70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

There are bigger odds on the cards if you combine the BTTS No selection with other picks as part of a Bet Builder. Load up the bet slip until you’re happy with the overall price.

Before betting, make sure to browse our bonus guide packed with the best betting promo codes, free bets, and sign-up offers.

Our Match Prediction

Both Teams To Score - No @ -167 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Independiente 1 - 0 River

You can secure odds of +540 that Independiente are able to land a 1-0 victory. Correct score betting can provide plenty of fun and it’s a way of landing bigger odds.

Player Prop Picks

Facundo Colidio Over 0.5 Shots On Target -125

Facundo Colidio (River) is available at -125 to record at least one shot on goal. It’s all about backing him at attractive odds when it comes to the Shots on Target market.

Latest Facundo Colidio Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+280

First

+500

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-123

Under 0.5

-119

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Santiago Montiel To Score +380

Santiago Montiel (Independiente) is available at +380 to find the net. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager which means we need him to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Santiago Montiel Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+380

First

+700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-164

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Corners Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners -147

The average corner count for the past five Independiente home matches has been 11.80, with the equivalent number for the previous ten River away games being 9.60. We think it’s possible that the teams will cover the Total Corners line and odds of -147 can be landed.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Independiente

Total

9.60 5.80 3.80

Home

9.90 5.80 4.10

Away

7.50 3.90 3.60

River

Total

7.60 4.10 3.50

Home

8.30 5.00 3.30

Away

9.60 5.20 4.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-137

Under 8.5

-104

Independiente Corners

Over 4.5

-112

Under 4.5

-127

River Corners

Over 4.5

+116

Under 4.5

-167

Most Corners

1

-112

X

+600

2

+128

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Independiente vs River Plate Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Betting Sites Predicting a Close Encounter

The latest Full-Time Result betting odds are available for this Primera División encounter and you can get +165 that River Plate win and +190 that Independiente triumph. Those wanting to back the draw can get +188.

If you think that River are able to beat Independiente, then the +114 could be the option for you on the Asian Handicap -0.25. Built into this bet is the half stake refund should the scoreline end level.

A low-scoring contest will be predicted by several which is reflected in the fact that Under 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds. For those wanting to back Both Teams to Score No, this is currently priced at -167.

If you’re wanting hundreds of football markets, then the good news is that the top betting sites can provide this. For any Primera División match, take your pick and hopefully find a winning angle.

Full-Time Result

1

+190

X

+188

2

+165

Half-Time Result

1

+260

X

-110

2

+235

Double Chance

1X

-217

12

-250

X2

-250

Draw No Bet

1

-111

2

-133

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-167

2 Hcp -0.25

+114

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-233

Over 2.5

+175

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+117

No

-167

Maximiliano Salas Top of First Goalscorer List

Maximiliano Salas is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +480 while there’s also the chance to back him to find the net at +270.

Maximiliano Salas (River)

First

+270

Anytime

+480

Facundo Colidio (River)

First

+280

Anytime

+500

Gabriel Ávalos (Independiente)

First

+290

Anytime

+550

Franco Mastantuono (River)

First

+340

Anytime

+575

Sebastián Driussi (River)

First

+340

Anytime

+650

Miguel Borja (River)

First

+360

Anytime

+650

Santiago Montiel (Independiente)

First

+380

Anytime

+700

Ignacio Pussetto (Independiente)

First

+400

Anytime

+800

Walter Mazzantti (Independiente)

First

+450

Anytime

+850

Giuliano Galoppo (River)

First

+525

Anytime

+1000

Diego Tarzia (Independiente)

First

+600

Anytime

+1150

Pity Martínez (River)

First

+700

Anytime

+1300

Luciano Cabral (Independiente)

First

+700

Anytime

+1300

Felipe Loyola (Independiente)

First

+800

Anytime

+1600

Federico Mancuello (Independiente)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Manuel Lanzini (River)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Ignacio Fernández (River)

First

+900

Anytime

+1700

Maximiliano Meza (River)

First

+900

Anytime

+1700

Santiago Simón (River)

First

+900

Anytime

+1800

Lautaro Millán (Independiente)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

Kevin Duvan Castaño (River)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2000

Enzo Pérez (River)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2000

Iván Marcone (Independiente)

First

+1200

Anytime

+2200

Facundo Colidio (River)

Over 0.5

-123

Under 0.5

-119

Sebastián Driussi (River)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-120

Miguel Borja (River)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-128

Franco Mastantuono (River)

Over 0.5

-110

Under 0.5

-128

Maximiliano Salas (River)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-156

Gabriel Ávalos (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-167

Santiago Montiel (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-164

Ignacio Pussetto (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-172

Giuliano Galoppo (River)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-270

Pity Martínez (River)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-313

Walter Mazzantti (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-313

Diego Tarzia (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+225

Under 0.5

-357

Lautaro Millán (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-357

Federico Mancuello (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-417

Felipe Loyola (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+265

Under 0.5

-435

Manuel Lanzini (River)

Over 0.5

+295

Under 0.5

-500

Luciano Cabral (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-500

Maximiliano Meza (River)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-526

Santiago Simón (River)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-556

Ignacio Fernández (River)

Over 0.5

+335

Under 0.5

-625

Kevin Duvan Castaño (River)

Over 0.5

+370

Under 0.5

-667

Enzo Pérez (River)

Over 0.5

+400

Under 0.5

-769

Iván Marcone (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+950

Under 0.5

-2500

Independiente vs River Plate Lineups & Team News

Stay ahead of the game by checking the Independiente vs River team news before betting. Expect the predicted and confirmed Primera División lineups along with timely injury updates.

Independiente Team Page River Plate Team Page