Independiente vs Unión Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 10 Mar 2026

Primera División Betting Preview: Independiente vs Unión

Independiente clash with Unión, with kick-off set for 18:45 on Tuesday 10 March.

If you agree with our verdict that Independiente can defeat Unión, then there’s the chance to get betting odds of +110 that this happens. We think that this price sticks out on the Full-Time Result market.

Independiente won their last Primera División game, beating Central Córdoba by a 2-0 scoreline which made it back-to-back wins on home soil. Gustavo Quinteros' team had five shots on target and boasted 65% possession, while Gabriel Avalos and Ivan Marcone each scored one goal.

Unión have won three straight games. They recently enjoyed a 2-1 scoreline on the road against Instituto. The Santa Fe side enjoyed just 38% possession and had three shots on goal, with Cristian Alberto Tarragona and Mateo Del Blanco finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 3-0 home victory for Independiente when they last faced Unión. We’ve seen the previous 6 H2H games involve four triumphs for Independiente, one draw and one win for Unión.

Primera División		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
6	Unión	8	4	2	2	11	5	6	11:5	14
8	Independiente	8	3	4	1	11	7	4	11:7	13

View Full Table

5 wins, 1 loss and 4 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 8.2 attempts. Independiente have had 53.6% possession and 6.0 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 0.7 goals from 3.1 shots on goal and 6.7 attempts, while being awarded 3.7 corners.

Gabriel Avalos leads the way with 5 goals, with Matias Abaldo and Santiago Gabriel Montiel getting 2 apiece. The top assist makers are Santiago Arias, Ignacio Malcorra and Facundo Zabala, all of whom have 2 on the board.

Unión have 4 victories, 3 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 5.0 shots on goal, 11.1 attempts and 1.2 goals. El Tatengue average 47.7% possession, 3.6 corners taken and 4.1 corners against them, while 0.7 goals have been conceded from 7.5 attempts and 3.5 shots on goal.

Cristian Alberto Tarragona is top of the team’s scoring charts with 5, while Mateo Del Blanco, Julian Palacios, Brahian Cuello and Rafael Profini have 1. Julian Palacios has been top assists provider with 4 in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Independiente predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Rodrigo Rey (GK), Leonardo Godoy, Kevin Lomonaco, Sebastián Valdéz, Facundo Zabala, Ivan Marcone, Lautaro Millan, Santiago Montiel, Ignacio Malcorra, Matías Abaldo, Gabriel Ávalos.

Unión predicted lineup (4-4-2): Matías Mansilla (GK), Lautaro Vargas, Valentín Fascendini, Juan Pablo Ludueña, Mateo Del Blanco, Julian Palacios, Mauro Pittón, Rafael Profini, Brahian Cuello, Marcelo Estigarribia, Cristian Tarragona.

Independiente vs Unión Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Independiente vs Unión preview includes expert betting advice on all fronts — from a match prediction and correct score guidance to corners advice, player prop selections and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

Independiente look like an attractive bet at +110 and we think they can win this Primera División clash. We’ll place this wager with confidence and there’s plenty of juice in the available price.

The latest Primera División injuries and suspensions can affect the overall outcome and we use this information as well as the form guide. The same applies to the stats so that we can get the best understanding of how things might pan out.

Key Independiente vs Unión league stats:

• Independiente have won 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• Independiente have won 2 consecutive games at home.
• Independiente have won 4 of their last 6 games against Unión.

The betting apps are estimating that there is a 47.6% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability somewhere between 50-55%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

If you think the odds for Independiente to triumph are a touch too skinny, then why not boost your price by combining this pick with both teams to find the net on the Result & BTTS market.

Fuel your next bet with the hottest betting offers, welcome promos, and free bets featured in our straightforward bonus guide.

Our Match Prediction

Independiente To Win @ +110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 9, 00:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Independiente 1 - 0 Unión

There could be merit in backing Independiente to win 1-0. Odds of +425 are available about a correct score bet where a nice potential return is on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Santiago Montiel to Score +360

Santiago Montiel (Independiente) has netted two goals in his past seven Primera División matches. Based on the stats, we think that odds of +360 are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Santiago Montiel Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+360

First

+800

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 8.5 Corners -103

There has been under 8.5 corners in six straight Unión games. We’re going to bet on the teams to fall short when it comes to Total Corners and this pick is available at -103.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Independiente

Total

9.70 6.00 3.70

Home

8.90 5.70 3.20

Away

9.90 4.40 5.50

Unión

Total

7.70 3.60 4.10

Home

7.00 4.30 2.70

Away

9.90 3.70 6.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-135

Under 8.5

-105

Independiente Corners

Over 4.5

-118

Under 4.5

-119

Unión Corners

Over 3.5

-147

Under 3.5

+102

Most Corners

1

-128

X

+600

2

+138

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Independiente vs Unión Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The favourites have a 48% likelihood of success according to the bookies, with Independiente chalked up at +110 to land a win in this Primera División clash. For those wanting to back Unión, you will find +280 about this outsider.

Independiente -0.25 on the Asian Handicap can be backed at -130. It means your stake is split between 0 and -0.5, with a full payout if they beat Unión. Half your stake is refunded if we see a draw.

Under 2.5 Goals is a short-priced option for those expecting two goals or less. A fresh approach might involve siding with a BTTS wager and there’s -152 on offer for Both Teams to Score No.

You’ll be blown away by the hundreds of markets available for Primera División games. Head to one of our recommended betting sites and take your pick from the various football options available.

Full-Time Result

1

+110

X

+210

2

+280

Half-Time Result

1

+180

X

-103

2

+335

Double Chance

1X

-385

12

-278

X2

-141

Draw No Bet

1

-227

2

+155

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-130

2 Hcp +0.25

-100

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-204

Over 2.5

+155

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+107

No

-152

Favourite Gabriel Ávalos is now available at +330 to be the First Goalscorer. You will find similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.

Gabriel Ávalos (Independiente)

First

+145

Anytime

+330

Santiago Montiel (Independiente)

First

+360

Anytime

+800

Marcelo Estigarribia (Unión)

First

+400

Anytime

+850

Ignacio Pussetto (Independiente)

First

+410

Anytime

+900

Cristian Tarragona (Unión)

First

+420

Anytime

+900

Luciano Cabral (Independiente)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Ignacio Malcorra (Independiente)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Federico Mancuello (Independiente)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Franco Fragapane (Unión)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Lautaro Millán (Independiente)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Nicolas Palavecino (Unión)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Independiente vs Unión Lineups & Team News

Stay informed and review the Independiente vs Unión team news before placing your bets. Expect the predicted and confirmed Primera División lineups along with timely injury updates.

Independiente Team Page Unión de Santa Fe Team Page

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