Independiente vs Vélez Sarsfield Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 31 Jan 2026

Primera División Betting Preview: Independiente vs Vélez Sarsfield

Independiente host Vélez Sarsfield, with kick-off set for 17:45 on Saturday 31 January.

Independiente look like a spot of value at -100 when it comes to the Full-Time Result market. The home team should be able to deliver a victory against Vélez Sarsfield based on the information available.

Ready to back Independiente? Grab the most up-to-date BetMGM promo code and check our detailed review for everything you need to know before betting.

Independiente drew away from home in their last game. A 1-1 scoreline was played out against Newell's Old Boys. Los Diablos Rojos managed one shot on target and had 50% possession, while Gabriel Avalos bagged the goal.

Vélez Sarsfield claimed a home win in their previous Primera División game. A 2-1 victory against Talleres made it two league triumphs on the spin. Guillermo Barros Schelotto's side had 53% possession and four shots on goal, while Manuel Lanzini and Roberto Garcia found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Vélez won the last clash between the pair. Landing a 2-1 home victory when facing Independiente. The past 10 H2H matches have witnessed four draws along with three wins each.

Primera División		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Vélez Sarsfield	2	2	0	0	3	1	2	3:1	6
18	Independiente	2	0	2	0	2	2	0	2:2	2

View Full Table

Independiente have 4 wins, 2 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 6.9 attempts. Gustavo Quinteros' team have averaged 54.8% possession and 5.4 corners per match, conceding 0.6 goals and 3.8 corners from 3.4 shots on goal and 7.1 attempts.

Top scorer Gabriel Avalos has found the net 4 times, with Santiago Gabriel Montiel and Felipe Loyola getting 2 apiece. Gabriel Avalos, Luciano Cabral and Santiago Gabriel Montiel have racked up the most assists with 2 each.

Vélez have won 4, lost 4 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.1 goals from 7.8 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 54.5% possession, 5.8 corners awarded and 3.5 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 1.1 goals from 9.5 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal.

Manuel Lanzini got 3 goals, Braian Romero notched 2, while Roberto Garcia and two other players scored 1. Matias Pellegrini has been the top assist maker with 2 in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Independiente predicted lineup (4-3-3): Rodrigo Rey (GK), Leonardo Godoy, Juan Fedorco, Kevin Lomonaco, Facundo Zabala, Lautaro Millan, Rodrigo Fernández, Ignacio Malcorra, Walter Mazzantti, Gabriel Ávalos, Matías Abaldo.

Vélez Sarsfield predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Alvaro Montero (GK), Jano Gordon, Lisandro Magallan, Aaron Quiros, Elias Gomez, Rodrigo Aliendro, Claudio Baeza, Tobias Andrada, Manuel Lanzini, Maher Carrizo, Braian Romero.

Independiente vs Vélez Sarsfield Prediction & Betting Tips

Explore our best Independiente vs Vélez Sarsfield picks, including our main match prediction, top corners bet, correct score forecast, player performance props and a bet builder ready to use.

Match Prediction

It could be beneficial to back Independiente for this Primera División clash. There’s loads of value in the -100 that the home team get the job done and we think a victory could be on the cards.

The team at Sportsgambler.com are right across the latest Primera División injury news and the form guide also informs our football predictions. This data is combined with the latest stats.

Key Independiente vs Vélez Sarsfield league stats:

• Independiente have won 3 of their last 5 games.
• Independiente have won 10 of their last 19 games at home.

The best football betting sites make it a 50% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

One way of securing bigger odds when it comes to Independiente winning is by selecting them on the Double Result market. They need to be leading at the interval and the full-time whistle.

Give your betting journey a head start. Explore the latest welcome offers and free bets in our easy-to-follow guide.

Our Match Prediction

Independiente To Win @ -100 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (00:07, 30 January 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Independiente 1 - 0 Vélez

There are betting odds of +360 that Independiente land a 1-0 victory. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Lautaro Millán To Score +800

Lautaro Millán (Independiente) can be wagered to score at +800. Using all information, we’ll head to the Anytime Goalscorer market where we can bet him to find the net at attractive odds.

Latest Lautaro Millán Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+800

First

+1700

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners -118

The five past away games involving Vélez have had an average of 11.80 corners, with the previous five Independiente matches involving 10.20. If you’re in agreement with our opinion that the Total Corners line is on the low side, take the odds of -118 that the teams go over.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Independiente

Total

9.20 5.40 3.80

Home

8.60 4.90 3.70

Away

9.80 4.30 5.50

Vélez

Total

9.30 5.80 3.50

Home

9.20 6.00 3.20

Away

9.80 4.80 5.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-122

Under 8.5

-118

Independiente Corners

Over 4.5

-139

Under 4.5

-102

Vélez Corners

Over 3.5

-108

Under 3.5

-133

Most Corners

1

-175

X

+600

2

+180

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Independiente vs Vélez Sarsfield Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The latest Independiente odds are -100 which leads to them being favourites in this Primera División clash. It’s also implied by the bookmakers that they have a 50% prospect of securing a victory. If you’re searching for a different slant, Vélez Sarsfield are available at +350.

You can choose Independiente -0.5 or Vélez +0.5 at respective Asian Handicap odds of -103 and -125. The former is the same as betting the favourites to win, with the latter giving you a return if it’s a draw.

For the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this interesting contest. A different slant is having a BTTS bet and Both Teams to Score No is chalked up at -192.

The leading betting sites provide a quality service including hundreds of markets being created for every Primera División match. It’s great for football bettors to choose from so many options.

Full-Time Result

1

-100

X

+195

2

+350

Half-Time Result

1

+170

X

-111

2

+400

Double Chance

1X

-526

12

-263

X2

-128

Draw No Bet

1

-286

2

+190

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-103

2 Hcp +0.5

-125

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-263

Over 2.5

+195

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+133

No

-192

Gabriel Ávalos is the First Goalscorer favourite at +300. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to simply back him to find the net anytime at +145.

Gabriel Ávalos (Independiente)

First

+145

Anytime

+300

Braian Romero (Vélez)

First

+340

Anytime

+700

Ignacio Pussetto (Independiente)

First

+360

Anytime

+750

Santiago Montiel (Independiente)

First

+370

Anytime

+750

Diego Tarzia (Independiente)

First

+500

Anytime

+1000

Maher Carrizo (Vélez)

First

+525

Anytime

+1050

Florian Monzón (Vélez)

First

+550

Anytime

+1150

Luciano Cabral (Independiente)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Ignacio Malcorra (Independiente)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Federico Mancuello (Independiente)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Diego Valdés (Vélez)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Lautaro Millán (Independiente)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Manuel Lanzini (Vélez)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Francisco Pizzini (Vélez)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Independiente vs Vélez Sarsfield Lineups & Team News

Get the latest team news for Independiente vs Vélez before you bet. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Primera División together with updated injury news.

Independiente Team Page Vélez Sarsfield Team Page

Top Football Pages