Instituto vs Independiente Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 29 Aug 2025

Primera División Betting Preview: Instituto vs Independiente

Instituto host Independiente in this Argentine Primera División fixture, with kick-off set for 20:15 on Friday 29 August 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

We Predict a Tight Affair

The way forward could be to back Instituto with a +0.25 Asian Handicap at -154 against Independiente. This means our stake is split between 0 and +0.5, which allows us to land a return with a draw.

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2-0 Victory for Independiente in Last H2H

Instituto have lost back-to-back Primera División games. On their travels, San Lorenzo recently beat them 1-0. La Gloria had 53% possession and recorded one shot on target.

Independiente suffered a defeat in their previous league game. A 2-1 scoreline occurred against Vélez Sarsfield, making it two Primera División road losses on the spin. The Avellaneda side had 43% of possession and three shots on goal, while Felipe Loyola found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Independiente won the last clash between the pair. Landing a 2-0 home victory when facing Instituto. The previous 3 H2H matches have involved a win for Instituto, a victory for Independiente and a draw.

Primera División		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Independiente	16	8	5	3	23	12	11	23:12	29
19	Instituto	16	5	3	8	16	20	-4	16:20	18

View Full Table

Instituto have 2 wins, 5 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.6 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 8.1 attempts. The Córdoba club have averaged 47.4% possession and 5.2 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.8 goals from 4.6 shots on goal, 10.4 attempts and 5.2 corners.

Damian Puebla and Alex Luna are the top scorers with 2 goals each, while Gonzalo Requena has 1. Manuel Romero, Francis Mac Allister and Alex Luna have racked up the most assists with 1 each.

Independiente have won 2, lost 6 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.1 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 8.6 attempts. Julio Vaccari's side have averaged 60.0% possession, 4.1 corners taken and 4.5 corners against, while conceding 1.6 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 7.3 attempts.

Felipe Loyola has scored 2 goals, followed by Nicolas Freire, Gabriel Avalos, Alvaro Angulo and Santiago Gabriel Montiel on 1. Santiago Gabriel Montiel, Leonardo Godoy and Federico Mancuello have been the top assists providers with 1 in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Instituto predicted lineup (4-4-2): Manuel Roffo (GK), Juan Franco, Nicolás Zalazar, Leonel Mosevich, Elías Pereyra, Damian Puebla, Stefano Moreyra, Gastón Lódico, Jonás Acevedo, Alex Luna, Manuel Romero.

Independiente predicted lineup (4-3-3): Rodrigo Rey (GK), Leonardo Godoy, Franco Paredes, Sebastián Valdéz, Facundo Zabala, Felipe Loyola, Ivan Marcone, Luciano Cabral, Walter Mazzantti, Gabriel Ávalos, Santiago Montiel.

Instituto vs Independiente Prediction & Betting Tips

Be ready for Instituto vs Independiente with our in-depth betting tips, featuring a key match prediction, our expected scoreline, best corners advice, player props to watch and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

Instituto look capable of winning this Primera División encounter and we’ll take them on the Asian Handicap. Back them at -154 with a +0.25 goal start, with confidence high that they can perform well.

In order to come up with the best football predictions, we like to know the Primera División team news and study the latest form. There are also plenty of numbers to crunch from the available stats.

Key Instituto vs Independiente league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Instituto in 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Instituto in 13 of their last 19 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Independiente in 6 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Independiente in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Independiente in 16 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Instituto in 2 of their last 3 games against Independiente.

Instituto +0.25 Probability

If you go by the best football betting sites, our pick has a 60.6% chance of delivering a return. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

If you’re looking for a good alternative to backing Instituto on the Asian Handicap, then consider the Winning Margin market. You can choose from a range of fixed intervals and odds.

Get ahead of the game by checking our latest guide full of betting offers, welcome bonuses, and free bet deals.

Our Match Prediction

Instituto Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -154 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Instituto 1 - 0 Independiente

A 1-0 win in favor of Instituto can be backed at odds of +540. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Gabriel Ávalos Over 0.5 Shots On Target -149

Gabriel Ávalos (Independiente) is available at -149 to have a minimum of one shot on goal. It’s hard to turn down such attractive odds for this player when it comes to Shots on Target.

Latest Gabriel Ávalos Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+280

First

+540

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-105

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Damián Puebla to Score +700

Damián Puebla (Instituto) has netted two goals in his past ten Primera División games. There are odds of +700 on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer bet and we think this is an attractive wager for the player to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Damián Puebla Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+700

First

+1300

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-333

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Corners Prediction

Independiente Under 4.5 Corners -114

We’ve seen an average of 2.60 Independiente corners in the past 5 games, while the previous 10 Instituto home matches have seen them concede an average of 2.30 corners. We’re going to bet on Independiente to fall short for Team Corners and this selection is available at -114.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Instituto

Total

10.40 5.20 5.20

Home

9.00 6.70 2.30

Away

9.20 3.70 5.50

Independiente

Total

8.60 4.10 4.50

Home

9.00 5.10 3.90

Away

7.70 3.30 4.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-130

Under 8.5

-110

Instituto Corners

Over 4.5

+114

Under 4.5

-161

Independiente Corners

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-141

Most Corners

1

+117

X

+600

2

-102

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Instituto vs Independiente Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Close Game in the Eyes of the Betting Sites

The bookies have betting odds of +165 for Independiente to win this Primera División clash, while you could instead opt for Instituto at +185, with the draw being the third Full-Time Result option at +205.

Independiente and Instituto can be backed at -125 and -109 respectively on the Draw No Bet market. This is an ideal route for bettors who want to ensure they have money back if the scoreline ends level.

A low-scoring contest will be predicted by several which is reflected in the fact that Under 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds. If you think this points to a low-scoring or one-sided affair, then BTTS No could be an option at -154.

All of the Primera División games see the top betting sites go to town with their service. Bettors can find the best approach from the hundreds of markets which are presented to them each time.

Full-Time Result

1

+185

X

+205

2

+165

Half-Time Result

1

+255

X

-106

2

+230

Double Chance

1X

-217

12

-270

X2

-244

Draw No Bet

1

-109

2

-125

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-154

2 Hcp -0.25

+123

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-217

Over 2.5

+163

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+108

No

-154

Gabriel Ávalos Shortest Odds for First Goalscorer

There’s the chance to back Gabriel Ávalos at +540 to be the First Goalscorer, with the favourite on this market available at similar odds to find the net last.

Gabriel Ávalos (Independiente)

First

+280

Anytime

+540

Ignacio Pussetto (Independiente)

First

+360

Anytime

+700

Santiago Montiel (Independiente)

First

+370

Anytime

+700

Luca Klimowicz (Instituto)

First

+370

Anytime

+800

Felipe Loyola (Independiente)

First

+390

Anytime

+750

Alex Luna (Instituto)

First

+410

Anytime

+850

Facundo Suarez (Instituto)

First

+420

Anytime

+850

Walter Mazzantti (Independiente)

First

+430

Anytime

+800

Diego Tarzia (Independiente)

First

+575

Anytime

+1150

Luciano Cabral (Independiente)

First

+600

Anytime

+1150

Jeremías Lázaro (Instituto)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Damián Puebla (Instituto)

First

+700

Anytime

+1300

Federico Mancuello (Independiente)

First

+800

Anytime

+1500

Lautaro Millán (Independiente)

First

+850

Anytime

+1600

Juan Ignacio Mendez (Instituto)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Francis Mac Allister (Instituto)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Matias Gallardo (Instituto)

First

+950

Anytime

+1800

Jonás Acevedo (Instituto)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Fernando Alarcón (Instituto)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Gastón Lodico (Instituto)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2000

Pablo Galdames (Independiente)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Sebastián Valdéz (Independiente)

First

+1200

Anytime

+2200

Iván Marcone (Independiente)

First

+1200

Anytime

+2200

Gabriel Ávalos (Independiente)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-105

Santiago Montiel (Independiente)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-137

Alex Luna (Instituto)

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-137

Ignacio Pussetto (Independiente)

Over 0.5

-112

Under 0.5

-139

Luca Klimowicz (Instituto)

Over 0.5

-106

Under 0.5

-159

Facundo Suarez (Instituto)

Over 0.5

+104

Under 0.5

-175

Felipe Loyola (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+117

Under 0.5

-185

Walter Mazzantti (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-208

Diego Tarzia (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+163

Under 0.5

-270

Matias Gallardo (Instituto)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-278

Damián Puebla (Instituto)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-333

Jeremías Lázaro (Instituto)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-333

Luciano Cabral (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-333

Lautaro Millán (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-357

Federico Mancuello (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-370

Gastón Lodico (Instituto)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-385

Jonás Acevedo (Instituto)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-385

Pablo Galdames (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-455

Juan Ignacio Mendez (Instituto)

Over 0.5

+285

Under 0.5

-588

Francis Mac Allister (Instituto)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-833

Sebastián Valdéz (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+360

Under 0.5

-833

Fernando Alarcón (Instituto)

Over 0.5

+440

Under 0.5

-2000

Iván Marcone (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+500

Under 0.5

-1429

Instituto vs Independiente Lineups & Team News

Avoid surprises — review the Instituto vs Independiente team news before you bet. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed Primera División lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries.

Instituto AC Córdoba Team Page Independiente Team Page