World Cup qualifying Betting Preview: Israel vs Italy

Israel host Italy in this World Cup qualifying game at Nagyerdei Stadion, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Monday 8 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats and team news.

We’re Backing Israel to Cover the Line

We’ve going to back Israel +1.25 when they line up against Italy. You can get Asian Handicap odds of -118 and our stake is split between +1 and +1.5 when it comes to the underdogs.

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Italy Too Good for Israel in Last H2H

Israel won last time out by a 4-0 scoreline. It was away from home against Moldova at Zimbru Stadium in the World Cup qualifier. Ran Ben Shimon's team boasted 60% possession and recorded nine shots on target, with Dor Peretz, Manor Solomon, Tai Baribo and Oscar Gloukh each scoring one goal.

Italy secured a 5-0 World Cup qualifying home win over Estonia at Gewiss Stadium in their previous game. Gli Azzurri had twelve shots on goal and enjoyed 70% possession, with Mateo Retegui finding the net twice.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Italy overcame Israel in their last head-to-head encounter. It was a 4-1 Nations League home triumph at Stadio Friuli.

Europe World Cup Qualification		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Israel	4	3	0	1	11	6	5	11:6	9
3	Italy	3	2	0	1	7	3	4	7:3	6

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Israel – Last 10 Competitive Games

Israel have 4 wins, 5 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.6 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 8.9 attempts. Ran Ben Shimon's side have averaged 45.6% possession and 3.7 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.9 goals from 6.0 shots on goal, 14.4 attempts and 5.8 corners.

Mohammad Abu Fani is the top goalscorer with 4, Dan Biton has 2, with Dor Peretz and two other players on 1. Manor Solomon is top assists maker with 3, while goalkeeper Daniel Peretz has kept 3 clean sheets.

Italy – Last 10 Competitive Games

Italy have 5 victories, 3 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 2.1 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 15.0 attempts. There’s been an average of 54.0% possession, 531.4 passes, 4.8 corners awarded and 5.6 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.5 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 10.1 attempts.

Moise Kean and Mateo Retegui have 4 and they’re top of the team’s scoring charts, with Giacomo Raspadori on 3. Giacomo Raspadori has been chief assist maker on 5, with Gianluigi Donnarumma recording 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Israel predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Daniel Peretz (GK), Eliazer Dasa, Stav Lemkin, Idan Nachmias, Roy Revivo, Dor Peretz, Eliel Peretz, Dan Biton, Oscar Gloukh, Manor Solomon, Tai Baribo.

Italy predicted lineup (4-3-3): Gianluigi Donnarumma (GK), Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Alessandro Bastoni, Riccardo Calafiori, Federico Dimarco, Nicolo Barella, Manuel Locatelli, Sandro Tonali, Matteo Politano, Mateo Retegui, Mattia Zaccagni.

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Israel vs Italy Prediction & Betting Tips

From our main match prediction to correct score advice, a corners pick, must-watch player props and a custom bet builder — this Israel vs Italy betting preview covers it all.

Match Prediction

Israel +1.25 look to be a good bet on the Asian Handicap at odds of -118. We think that the hosts can perform well in this World Cup qualifying game and keep the scoreline respectable.

We’re always aware of the injuries and suspensions for each team before we decide which way to go with our football picks. The form and data also help the World Cup qualifying experts at Sportsgambler.com when it comes to a betting view on the action.

Key Israel vs Italy stats:

The +1.25 line has been covered by Israel in 4 of their last 5 games.
The +1.25 line has been covered by Israel in 16 of their last 20 games at home.
The +1.25 line has been covered by Israel in 2 consecutive games.
The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Italy in 4 consecutive games on the road.
The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Italy in 9 of their last 10 games on the road.
The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Italy in 17 of their last 20 games on the road.

Israel +1.25 Probability

The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 54.1% chance of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

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Our Match Prediction

Israel Asian Hcp +1.25 @ -118 Bet Now

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Published 21:08, 06 September 2025

Correct Score Prediction

Israel

1 - 1 Italy logo

Italy

There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing the two teams to draw 1-1. We can’t pass up the odds of +700 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.

Latest Correct Score Odds

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Mateo Retegui Over 3.5 Shots -106

Mateo Retegui (Italy) has totalled over 3.5 shots in his past two matches. If you agree with our verdict that he can cover the Player Shots line, then you can land odds of -106 that this happens.

Latest Mateo Retegui Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Shots On Target

Shots

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Moise Kean to Score +165

Moise Kean (Italy) has found the net in his past two matches. There are odds of +165 on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer bet and we think this is an attractive wager for the player to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Moise Kean Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Shots On Target

Shots

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Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -102

We’ve seen the past five Italy games feature an average 12.00 corners, while the last five Israel matches have averaged 10.40. The Total Corners line looks too low and we’re happy to go over this number at odds of -102.

Competitive Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Israel

Total

9.50 3.70 5.80

Home

9.60 5.20 4.40

Away

8.70 4.00 4.70

Italy

Total

10.40 4.80 5.60

Home

10.90 6.90 4.00

Away

8.50 4.40 4.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Israel Corners

Italy Corners

Most Corners

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Bet Builder Tips

Asian Handicap Israel +1.25 -118

Total Goals Under 2.5 +108

Player Shots Mateo Retegui Over 3.5 -106

If you’re up for a same-game multi, then we’ve got Israel on the Asian Handicap at +1.25, less than three goals to be registered together with Mateo Retegui (Italy) to finish with Over 3.5 shots.

The bet builder route is a great one for football fans requiring a tailored same-game multi on a match. You require all predictions to be on the money and our readers enjoy placing a tailored wager on a specific encounter taking place.

Bet Boosts

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Israel vs Italy Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Italy Victory on the Cards According to Betting Sites

The latest Full-Time Result odds give Italy a 72% chance of triumphing which means that they’re overwhelming -263 favourites to win this World Cup qualifying clash. If you want to wager on the underdog, Israel have been priced up at +650.

There’s a nice alternative in the form of the Half-Time Result market. This allows you to back Italy at -118 to lead at the break or alternatively opt for Israel at +550. The draw is the third option at +160.

You can find the shortest odds for Over 2.5 Goals, which means three goals or more being scored. A different angle is going for a BTTS wager and there’s -128 available for Both Teams to Score No.

There are hundreds of markets which means lots of options to find a football wager for the latest World Cup qualifying game. The leading betting apps leave no stone unturned to provide a first-class service.

Full-Time Result

Half-Time Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Asian Handicap

Total Goals

Both Teams to Score

Mateo Retegui Favourite to Find the Net First

Mateo Retegui is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +350 while there’s also the chance to back him to find the net at +135.

Player Goals

Mateo Retegui (Italy)

Gianluca Scamacca (Italy)

Moise Kean (Italy)

Giacomo Raspadori (Italy)

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Player Shots On Target

Moise Kean (Italy)

Giacomo Raspadori (Italy)

Matteo Politano (Italy)

Davide Frattesi (Italy)

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Player Shots

Gianluca Scamacca (Italy)

Mateo Retegui (Italy)

Moise Kean (Italy)

Giacomo Raspadori (Italy)

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Last 5 Games

Israel

Italy

Head to Head

Israel vs Italy

Team Stats

Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.

Israel Stats

Italy Stats

Full-Time Result

4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

An average of 2.10 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
An average of 3.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

An average of 3.70 corners awarded and 5.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 4.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 5.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 4.10 corners against in the last 10 away matches
An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

An average of 45.60% possession in the last 10 matches
An average of 51.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
Most possession in 5 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

An average of 54.00% possession in the last 10 matches
An average of 50.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches

Israel vs Italy Lineups & Team News

Check the Israel vs Italy team news before you place your bets. We’ll provide the confirmed World Cup qualifying lineups along with the latest injury updates.