Italy vs Israel Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Oct 2025

World Cup qualifying Betting Preview: Italy vs Israel

Italy host Israel in this World Cup qualifying fixture at Stadio Friuli, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Tuesday 14 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats and team news.

The stats suggest that we’ll see both teams finding the net, with Italy and Israel capable of scoring. We find the odds of +104 attractive when it comes to the BTTS Yes option.

Confident in our BTTS Yes prediction? Use the updated BetMGM promo code and explore our in-depth expert review before placing your bet.

Italy, sitting second in Group I, beat Estonia 3-1 away in their last game. Gennaro Gattuso’s side produced a dominant display in the World Cup qualifier at A. Le Coq Arena, recording nine shots on target and 64% possession, with goals from Moise Kean, Mateo Retegui and Francesco Pio Esposito.

Third-placed Israel lost their previous game. On the road, they suffered a 5-0 World Cup qualifying defeat against Norway at Ullevaal. The Blue and White had 46% possession and one shot on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

These two teams last met at Nagyerdei Stadion, with Italy claiming the win. Beating Israel by a 5-4 scoreline. For the past 3 matches involving these teams, Italy have won every time.

Europe World Cup Qualification		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21	12	9	21:12	18
3	Israel	8	4	0	4	19	20	-1	19:20	12

View Full Table

Italy have 6 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals from 5.9 shots on goal and 16.4 attempts. Gli Azzurri have averaged 56.7% possession, 538.4 passes and 5.8 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.7 goals from 4.1 shots on goal, 9.6 attempts and 4.5 corners.

Top goalscorer is Moise Kean on 6 goals, while Mateo Retegui and Giacomo Raspadori have both bagged 4. Leading assistors have been Mateo Retegui and Giacomo Raspadori with 4, while goalkeeper Gianluigi Donnarumma has 3 clean sheets.

Israel have 4 victories, 5 defeats and 1 draw, averaging 4.9 shots on goal, 9.0 attempts and 1.8 goals. Ran Ben Shimon's men average 46.1% possession, 3.8 corners awarded and 5.8 corners against, while 2.4 goals have been conceded from 13.3 attempts and 5.6 shots on goal.

Dor Peretz and Mohammad Abu Fani have scored 3 goals, followed by Dan Biton with 2. Manor Solomon is top assists provider with 4, while Daniel Peretz has recorded 3 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Italy confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Gianluigi Donnarumma (GK), Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Gianluca Mancini, Riccardo Calafiori, Andrea Cambiaso, Nicolo Barella, Manuel Locatelli, Sandro Tonali, Federico Dimarco, Mateo Retegui, Giacomo Raspadori.

Israel confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Omri Glazer (GK), Eliazer Dasa, Or Blorian, Matan Baltaxa, Roy Revivo, Anan Khalaili, Oscar Gloukh, Eliel Peretz, Dan Biton, Tai Baribo, Manor Solomon.

Italy vs Israel Prediction & Betting Tips

Step into Italy vs Israel with confidence, armed with our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, top corners angle, key player prop plays and a custom-built bet builder for maximum value.

Match Prediction

It’s likely that we’ll see the two teams finding the net and that leads us to bet BTTS Yes for this World Cup qualifying showdown. This betting selection is priced at +104 and can be backed with confidence.

We’re always the first to know about team news, with our football tipsters also studying the latest World Cup qualifying form to enhance their view. You will also find a mixture of stats which provide some valuable predictions ahead of the action.

Key Italy vs Israel stats:

• BTTS Yes has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Italy games at home.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 14 of the last 20 Italy games at home.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 2 straight Italy games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 13 of the last 20 Israel games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Israel games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 3 games between these teams.

According to the latest odds, there’s a 49% likelihood of our pick winning. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

There’s an opportunity to get a slightly bigger price for your BTTS Yes selection by combining it with Over 2.5 on the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market. With this wager, you need at least three goals along with both teams scoring.

Maximize your betting potential with the latest free bets, sign-up and welcome offers — all listed in our expert bonus guide.

Our Match Prediction

Both Teams To Score - Yes @ +104 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Italy 2 - 1 Israel

We’re going for Italy at +850 to secure a 2-1 win. It’s exciting to bet on the correct score and this wager will hopefully be able to land a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Dan Biton Over 0.5 Shots On Target +185

Dan Biton (Israel) has finished with one or more shots on goal in back-to-back games. There is odds of +185 available when it comes to this Shots on Target wager and we think he’ll cover the line.

Latest Dan Biton Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+575

First

+1600

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-313

Shots

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

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Moise Kean to Score -110

Moise Kean (Italy) has scored at least one goal in four consecutive matches. We’re content to land the -110 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he features on the scoresheet.

Latest Moise Kean Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

-109

First

+300

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

+107

Under 1.5

-167

Shots

Over 3.5

-105

Under 3.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Israel Over 2.5 Corners -125

We’ve seen an average of 3.80 Israel corners in the past 10 games, with Italy conceding over 2.5 corners in the previous four home matches. We’re expecting history to repeat itself and for the Israel Team Corners line to get covered at -125.

Competitive Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Italy

Total

10.30 5.80 4.50

Home

10.90 6.90 4.00

Away

8.40 4.50 3.90

Israel

Total

9.60 3.80 5.80

Home

10.00 5.30 4.70

Away

8.60 3.70 4.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-105

Under 9.5

-132

Italy Corners

Over 6.5

-130

Under 6.5

-105

Israel Corners

Over 2.5

+108

Under 2.5

-152

Most Corners

1

-909

X

+1100

2

+800

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Italy vs Israel Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The latest Full-Time Result odds give Italy a 86% chance of triumphing which means that they’re overwhelming -625 favourites to win this World Cup qualifying clash. Israel are regarded as a long shot to win and you can back them at +1300.

Italy beating Israel by two goals means the Asian Handicap -2.25 bet sees half your stake returned. However, there’s a payout at -100 if they’re able to claim a 3+ goal success.

The Over 2.5 pick is trading as the favourite when it comes to betting on Total Goals. The Both Teams to Score No wager is -135 and it’s perfect if you anticipate that one side or more will fail to score by the full-time whistle.

The best football betting sites have excellent coverage for the latest World Cup qualifying games. They supply customers with hundreds of markets and it’s down to you to find the best angle.

Full-Time Result

1

-625

X

+650

2

+1300

Half-Time Result

1

-189

X

+225

2

+800

Double Chance

1X

-5000

12

-1250

X2

+360

Draw No Bet

1

-2000

2

+800

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -2.25

-100

2 Hcp +2.25

-125

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+210

Over 2.5

-286

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-103

No

-135

Favourite Mateo Retegui is available at +240 to be the First Goalscorer. Similar odds apply if you’re interested in him to score the last goal.

Mateo Retegui (Italy)

First

-156

Anytime

+240

Moise Kean (Italy)

First

-109

Anytime

+300

Roberto Piccoli (Italy)

First

-100

Anytime

+320

Francesco Pio Esposito (Italy)

First

+120

Anytime

+360

Giacomo Raspadori (Italy)

First

+135

Anytime

+380

Riccardo Orsolini (Italy)

First

+150

Anytime

+450

Nicolo Cambiaghi (Italy)

First

+240

Anytime

+700

Davide Frattesi (Italy)

First

+260

Anytime

+700

Hans Nicolussi Caviglia (Italy)

First

+340

Anytime

+950

Bryan Cristante (Italy)

First

+350

Anytime

+1050

Nicolò Barella (Italy)

First

+360

Anytime

+1100

Sandro Tonali (Italy)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Andrea Cambiaso (Italy)

First

+500

Anytime

+1500

Manuel Locatelli (Italy)

First

+500

Anytime

+1400

Tai Baribo (Israel)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Federico Dimarco (Italy)

First

+575

Anytime

+1600

Dan Biton (Israel)

First

+575

Anytime

+1600

Anan Khalaili (Israel)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Manor Solomon (Israel)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Alessandro Bastoni (Italy)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Dor Turgeman (Israel)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Leonardo Spinazzola (Italy)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Oscar Gloukh (Israel)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Diego Coppola (Italy)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Matteo Gabbia (Italy)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Riccardo Calafiori (Italy)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Dor Peretz (Israel)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Omri Gandelman (Israel)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Giacomo Raspadori (Italy)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

+145

Riccardo Orsolini (Italy)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

+135

Mateo Retegui (Italy)

Over 1.5

-152

Under 1.5

-104

Nicolo Cambiaghi (Italy)

Over 0.5

-127

Under 0.5

-118

Davide Frattesi (Italy)

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-130

Roberto Piccoli (Italy)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-167

Moise Kean (Italy)

Over 1.5

+107

Under 1.5

-167

Hans Nicolussi Caviglia (Italy)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-200

Bryan Cristante (Italy)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-227

Francesco Pio Esposito (Italy)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-244

Nicolò Barella (Italy)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-263

Tai Baribo (Israel)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-263

Sandro Tonali (Italy)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-278

Federico Dimarco (Italy)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-303

Manor Solomon (Israel)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-294

Dan Biton (Israel)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-313

Oscar Gloukh (Israel)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-357

Anan Khalaili (Israel)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-370

Andrea Cambiaso (Italy)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-370

Dor Turgeman (Israel)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-385

Dor Peretz (Israel)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-476

Manuel Locatelli (Italy)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-476

Alessandro Bastoni (Italy)

Over 0.5

+275

Under 0.5

-526

Leonardo Spinazzola (Italy)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-625

Omri Gandelman (Israel)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-667

Diego Coppola (Italy)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-667

Mateo Retegui (Italy)

Over 4.5

+123

Under 4.5

-

Moise Kean (Italy)

Over 3.5

-105

Under 3.5

-

Roberto Piccoli (Italy)

Over 3.5

-133

Under 3.5

-

Francesco Pio Esposito (Italy)

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-

Giacomo Raspadori (Italy)

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-

Riccardo Orsolini (Italy)

Over 2.5

-128

Under 2.5

-

Federico Dimarco (Italy)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

-

Tai Baribo (Israel)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Sandro Tonali (Italy)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Nicolò Barella (Italy)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Bryan Cristante (Italy)

Over 1.5

+143

Under 1.5

-

Hans Nicolussi Caviglia (Italy)

Over 1.5

+108

Under 1.5

-

Davide Frattesi (Italy)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

-

Nicolo Cambiaghi (Italy)

Over 1.5

-179

Under 1.5

-

Dan Biton (Israel)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Anan Khalaili (Israel)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

Manor Solomon (Israel)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

-

Dor Turgeman (Israel)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Oscar Gloukh (Israel)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

-

Dor Peretz (Israel)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Omri Gandelman (Israel)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-

Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.

Italy Stats

Israel Stats

Full-Time Result

• 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 2.50 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 4.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 4.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.80 goals scored and 2.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 4.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 4.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 6.90 corners awarded and 4.00 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 10.90 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 3.80 corners awarded and 5.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 3.70 corners awarded and 4.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.60 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 56.70% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 59.80% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 46.10% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 52.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches

Italy vs Israel Lineups & Team News

Before making your bets, take a look at the Italy vs Israel team news. Get the confirmed World Cup qualifying lineups and the most recent injury news from us.

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