World Cup qualifying Betting Preview: Italy vs Israel

Italy host Israel in this World Cup qualifying fixture at Stadio Friuli, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Tuesday 14 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats and team news.

BTTS Yes Looks Value

The stats suggest that we’ll see both teams finding the net, with Italy and Israel capable of scoring. We find the odds of +104 attractive when it comes to the BTTS Yes option.

Confident in our BTTS Yes prediction? Use the updated BetMGM promo code and explore our in-depth expert review before placing your bet.

Italy Beat Israel in Pair’s Last Meeting

Italy won their last game 3-1. This was a World Cup qualifying road win against Estonia at A Le Coq Arena. Gennaro Gattuso's side had nine shots on target and boasted 64% possession, with Moise Kean, Mateo Retegui and Francesco Pio Esposito scoring one goal each.

Israel lost their previous game. On the road, they suffered a 5-0 World Cup qualifying defeat against Norway at Ullevaal. The Blue and White had 46% possession and one shot on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

These two teams last met at Nagyerdei Stadion, with Italy claiming the win. Beating Israel by a 5-4 scoreline. For the past 3 matches involving these teams, Italy have won every time.

Europe World Cup Qualification		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Italy	5	4	0	1	15	8	7	15:8	12
3	Israel	6	3	0	3	15	16	-1	15:16	9

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Italy – Last 10 Competitive Games

Italy have 6 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals from 5.9 shots on goal and 16.4 attempts. Gli Azzurri have averaged 56.7% possession, 538.4 passes and 5.8 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.7 goals from 4.1 shots on goal, 9.6 attempts and 4.5 corners.

Top goalscorer is Moise Kean on 6 goals, while Mateo Retegui and Giacomo Raspadori have both bagged 4. Leading assistors have been Mateo Retegui and Giacomo Raspadori with 4, while goalkeeper Gianluigi Donnarumma has 3 clean sheets.

Israel – Last 10 Competitive Games

Israel have 4 victories, 5 defeats and 1 draw, averaging 4.9 shots on goal, 9.0 attempts and 1.8 goals. Ran Ben Shimon's men average 46.1% possession, 3.8 corners awarded and 5.8 corners against, while 2.4 goals have been conceded from 13.3 attempts and 5.6 shots on goal.

Dor Peretz and Mohammad Abu Fani have scored 3 goals, followed by Dan Biton with 2. Manor Solomon is top assists provider with 4, while Daniel Peretz has recorded 3 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Italy vs Israel Prediction & Betting Tips

Step into Italy vs Israel with confidence, armed with our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, top corners angle, key player prop plays and a custom-built bet builder for maximum value.

Match Prediction

It’s likely that we’ll see the two teams finding the net and that leads us to bet BTTS Yes for this World Cup qualifying showdown. This betting selection is priced at +104 and can be backed with confidence.

We’re always the first to know about team news, with our football tipsters also studying the latest World Cup qualifying form to enhance their view. You will also find a mixture of stats which provide some valuable predictions ahead of the action.

Key Italy vs Israel stats:

BTTS Yes has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Italy games at home.
BTTS Yes has been covered in 14 of the last 20 Italy games at home.
BTTS Yes has been covered in 2 straight Italy games.
BTTS Yes has been covered in 13 of the last 20 Israel games.
BTTS Yes has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Israel games.
BTTS Yes has been covered in 3 games between these teams.

BTTS Yes Probability

According to the latest odds, there’s a 49% likelihood of our pick winning. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

There’s an opportunity to get a slightly bigger price for your BTTS Yes selection by combining it with Over 2.5 on the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market. With this wager, you need at least three goals along with both teams scoring.

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Our Match Prediction

Both Teams To Score - Yes @ +104 Bet Now

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Published 21:07, 12 October 2025

Correct Score Prediction

Italy

2 - 1 Israel logo

Israel

We’re going for Italy at +850 to secure a 2-1 win. It’s exciting to bet on the correct score and this wager will hopefully be able to land a nice return.

Latest Correct Score Odds

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Dan Biton Over 0.5 Shots On Target +185

Dan Biton (Israel) has finished with one or more shots on goal in back-to-back games. There is odds of +185 available when it comes to this Shots on Target wager and we think he’ll cover the line.

Latest Dan Biton Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Shots On Target

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Moise Kean to Score -110

Moise Kean (Italy) has scored at least one goal in four consecutive matches. We’re content to land the -110 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he features on the scoresheet.

Latest Moise Kean Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Shots On Target

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Corners Prediction

Israel Over 2.5 Corners -125

We’ve seen an average of 3.80 Israel corners in the past 10 games, with Italy conceding over 2.5 corners in the previous four home matches. We’re expecting history to repeat itself and for the Israel Team Corners line to get covered at -125.

Competitive Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Italy

Total

10.30 5.80 4.50

Home

10.90 6.90 4.00

Away

8.40 4.50 3.90

Israel

Total

9.60 3.80 5.80

Home

10.00 5.30 4.70

Away

8.60 3.70 4.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Italy Corners

Israel Corners

Most Corners

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Bet Builder Tips

Both Team To Score Yes +104

Asian Handicap Israel +2 +102

Shots On Target Dan Biton Over 0.5 +185

We’ve lined up different selections in the following bet builder: BTTS Yes, Israel to cover the +2 Asian Handicap as well as Dan Biton (Israel) to have one or more shots on target.

A football bet builder is a wager on a specific game where you select different outcomes to happen. You’re able to forecast various outcomes, with the odds increasing each time before going ahead and placing this wager.

Bet Boosts

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Italy vs Israel Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Make Italy Big Favourites

The latest Full-Time Result odds give Italy a 86% chance of triumphing which means that they’re overwhelming -625 favourites to win this World Cup qualifying clash. Israel are regarded as a long shot to win and you can back them at +1300.

There’s -125 available if you think Italy can overcome a -2 deficit on the Asian Handicap. A 3+ goal payout would see a full return and there’s money back if Israel are beaten by two.

The Over 2.5 pick is trading as the favourite when it comes to betting on Total Goals. The Both Teams to Score No wager is -143 and it’s perfect if you anticipate that one side or more will fail to score by the full-time whistle.

The best football betting sites have excellent coverage for the latest World Cup qualifying games. They supply customers with hundreds of markets and it’s down to you to find the best angle.

Full-Time Result

Half-Time Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Asian Handicap

Total Goals

Both Teams to Score

Mateo Retegui Favourite to Score the First Goal

Favourite Mateo Retegui is available at +300 to be the First Goalscorer. Similar odds apply if you’re interested in him to score the last goal.

Player Goals

Mateo Retegui (Italy)

Moise Kean (Italy)

Roberto Piccoli (Italy)

Francesco Pio Esposito (Italy)

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Player Shots On Target

Giacomo Raspadori (Italy)

Riccardo Orsolini (Italy)

Nicolo Cambiaghi (Italy)

Davide Frattesi (Italy)

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Last 5 Games

Italy

Israel

Head to Head

Italy vs Israel

Team Stats

Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.

Italy Stats

Israel Stats

Full-Time Result

6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

An average of 2.50 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
An average of 2.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
An average of 4.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
An average of 4.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

An average of 1.80 goals scored and 2.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
An average of 4.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 4.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
An average of 6.90 corners awarded and 4.00 corners against in the last 10 home matches
An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
An average of 10.90 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

An average of 3.80 corners awarded and 5.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
An average of 3.70 corners awarded and 4.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
An average of 8.60 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

An average of 56.70% possession in the last 10 matches
An average of 59.80% possession in the last 10 home matches
Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

An average of 46.10% possession in the last 10 matches
An average of 52.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches

Italy vs Israel Lineups & Team News

Before making your bets, take a look at the Italy vs Israel team news. Get the confirmed World Cup qualifying lineups and the most recent injury news from us.