There’s a Big Line Available for the Underdogs

Moldova +2.75 look like a quality wager at a price of -118. We will select them on the Asian Handicap in the expectation that the underdogs perform better than anticipated against Italy.

Two Teams Defeated in Last Game

Italy were beaten last game and this was on the road at Ullevaal. Norway claimed a 3-0 World Cup qualifying victory. Gli Azzurri boasted 54% possession and had one shot on target.

Moldova lost when last in action. In a World Cup qualifying home game at Zimbru Stadium, they were turned over 3-2 by Estonia. Serghei Clescenko's side enjoyed 47% possession and seven shots on goal, while Ion Nicolaescu and Mihail Caimacov were both on target.

Europe World Cup Qualification		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Italy	2	1	0	1	2	3	-1	2:3	3
5	Moldova	3	0	0	3	2	10	-8	2:10	0

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Italy – Last 10 Competitive Games

4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 10.6 attempts and 4.2 shots on goal. Italy have had 50.5% possession, 507.0 passes and 4.0 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.8 goals from 10.6 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal, while earning 5.3 corners.

Moise Kean and Davide Frattesi lead the way with 3 goals, while Giacomo Raspadori has 2. Leading assistors have been Giacomo Raspadori and Federico Dimarco with 3, while goalkeeper Gianluigi Donnarumma has one clean sheet.

Moldova – Last 10 Competitive Games

Moldova have won 4, lost 4 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.0 goals from 8.4 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 44.9% possession, 4.1 corners in their favour and 4.0 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.4 goals from 10.4 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal.

Ion Nicolaescu is the leading scorer with 3 goals, followed by Mihail Caimacov on 2, with Virgiliu Postolachi and two others bagging 1. Maxim Cojocaru, Mihail Caimacov and Victor Mudrac have had 1 assists in the last 10 games, while Dorian Railean has one clean sheet to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

Italy confirmed lineup (3-5-1-1): Gianluigi Donnarumma (GK), Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Alessandro Bastoni, Luca Ranieri, Andrea Cambiaso, Davide Frattesi, Samuele Ricci, Sandro Tonali, Federico Dimarco, Giacomo Raspadori, Mateo Retegui.

Moldova confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Cristian Avram (GK), Vladyslav Baboglo, Victor Mudrac, Daniel Dumbravanu, Sergiu Platica, Artur Ionita, Stefan Bodisteanu, Oleg Reabciuk, Mihail Caimacov, Ion Nicolaescu, Virgiliu Postolachi.

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Italy vs Moldova Prediction & Betting Tips

We can make a big case when it comes to Moldova +2.75 at -118 on the Asian Handicap. The visitors are capable of being more competitive than anticipated when it comes to this World Cup qualifying match.

We’re always the first to know about team news, with our football experts also studying the latest form to enhance their view. You will also find a mixture of stats which provide some valuable recommendations ahead of the action.

Key Italy vs Moldova stats:

The +2.75 line has been covered by Moldova in 9 of their last 10 games on the road.
The +2.75 line has been covered by Moldova in 18 of their last 20 games.
The +2.75 line has been covered by Moldova in 2 consecutive games on the road.
The -2.75 line hasn’t been covered by Italy in 5 consecutive games.
The -2.75 line hasn’t been covered by Italy in 9 of their last 10 games.
The -2.75 line hasn’t been covered by Italy in 17 of their last 20 games.

Moldova +2.75 Probability

According to the odds, there’s a 54.1% likelihood of our pick winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

There are several options available including selling goals. If you want more juice from your wager, then you can go down this route and take your own view.

Our Match Prediction

Moldova Asian Hcp +2.75 @ -118 Bet Now

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Published 19:38, 07 June 2025

Correct Score Prediction

Italy

2 - 0 Moldova logo

Moldova

There are betting odds of +440 that Italy land a 2-0 victory. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.

Latest Correct Score Odds

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Corners Prediction

Moldova Over 1.5 Corners -120

The 1.5 corners line has been covered by Moldova in ten consecutive matches, with Italy conceding over 1.5 corners in their past ten games. If you’re in agreement with our opinion that the Moldova Team Corners line is on the low side, take the odds of -120 that they go over.

Competitive Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Italy

Total

9.30 4.00 5.30

Home

10.00 6.20 3.80

Away

8.50 4.40 4.10

Moldova

Total

8.10 4.10 4.00

Home

8.10 4.80 3.30

Away

9.10 4.60 4.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Italy Corners

Moldova Corners

Most Corners

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Bet Builder Tips

Asian Handicap Moldova +2.75 -118

Both Team To Score No -200

Team Corners Moldova Over 1.5 -120

We’ve lined up a bet builder including these picks: Moldova on the Asian Handicap at +2.75, both teams to score No accompanied by Moldova Over 1.5 corners.

A bet builder provides an exciting opportunity to follow various picks for the same football match. You’re able to forecast various outcomes, with the odds increasing each time before going ahead and placing this wager.

Bet Boosts

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Italy vs Moldova Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Italy Massive Favourites to Win

The bookmakers are taking no risks with their odds of -1408 for Italy which suggests that the favourites have a 93% likelihood of winning this World Cup qualifying clash. If you’re looking for an alternative angle at a much bigger price, Moldova are trading at +2800.

There’s sometimes a case for betting on the Half-Time Result market, with Italy available at -300 and Moldova at +2200. The third option is the draw which is priced at +240.

Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest odds and that means three goals or more are anticipated. For those wanting to back Both Teams to Score No, this is currently priced at -300.

The recommended betting sites push the boat out to ensure that football bettors can select from hundreds of markets. You can access them for every World Cup qualifying game before making a decision.

Full-Time Result

Half-Time Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Asian Handicap

Total Goals

Both Teams to Score

Mateo Retegui Favourite to Be First Goalscorer

There is -149 available that Mateo Retegui finds the net at any stage. He is available at +255 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.

Player Goals

Mateo Retegui (Italy)

Moise Kean (Italy)

Lorenzo Lucca (Italy)

Giacomo Raspadori (Italy)

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Player Shots On Target

Davide Frattesi (Italy)

Mateo Retegui (Italy)

Moise Kean (Italy)

Nicolò Barella (Italy)

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Player Shots

Mateo Retegui (Italy)

Moise Kean (Italy)

Lorenzo Lucca (Italy)

Giacomo Raspadori (Italy)

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Last 5 Games

Italy

Moldova

Team Stats

Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.

Italy Stats

Moldova Stats

Full-Time Result

4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
An average of 2.30 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
An average of 3.70 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 away matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

An average of 4.00 corners awarded and 5.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
An average of 6.20 corners awarded and 3.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

An average of 4.10 corners awarded and 4.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 4.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
An average of 8.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches

Possession