Italy vs Norway Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Nov 2025

World Cup qualifying Betting Preview: Italy vs Norway

Second-placed Italy square off against Group I leaders Norway at San Siro, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Sunday 16 November.

Italy and Norway can score a combined three goals or more, with the odds for Over 2.5 in the Total Goals market making appeal. You can get -154 that this outcome happens and we’re confident.

Anticipating an end-to-end thriller? Grab the newest BetMGM promo code and see what our in-depth site review says before making your move.

With a three-point lead and a 17-goal cushion over Italy, Norway only need to avoid a nine-goal defeat in Milan to clinch top spot and secure direct World Cup qualification.

Italy got the win in their last game. It was a 2-0 World Cup qualifying away triumph at Zimbru Stadium when meeting Moldova. Gennaro Gattuso's team recorded nine shots on target and boasted 70% possession, with Gianluca Mancini and Francesco Pio Esposito scoring one goal each.

Norway claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 4-1 World Cup qualifying win occurred against Estonia at Ullevaal. The Lions had seven shots on goal and boasted 68% possession, while Alexander Soerloth and Erling Haaland scored two apiece.

Head-to-Head Statistics

These two teams last met at Ullevaal, with Norway claiming the home win. Beating Italy by a 3-0 scoreline.

Europe World Cup Qualification		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Norway	8	8	0	0	37	5	32	37:5	24
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21	12	9	21:12	18

View Full Table

Italy have 6 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals from 6.3 shots on goal and 18.2 attempts. Gli Azzurri have averaged 57.1% possession, 506.3 passes and 6.3 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.6 goals from 3.9 shots on goal, 9.0 attempts and 4.0 corners.

Top scorer is Moise Kean on 6 goals, while Mateo Retegui has racked up 5 and Giacomo Raspadori 4. The leading assistors are Federico Dimarco and Mateo Retegui with 4, while goalie Gianluigi Donnarumma has recorded 3 clean sheets.

Norway have 9 victories and 1 defeat, averaging 7.3 shots on goal, 18.6 attempts and 4.3 goals. Staale Solbakken's side average 58.2% possession, 539.6 passes, 5.3 corners awarded and 2.0 corners against, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 7.9 attempts and 3.0 shots on goal.

The top scorers have been Erling Haaland with 18, Alexander Soerloth on 7 and Thelo Aasgaard 5. Martin Oedegaard is top assists provider with 7, while Oerjan Haaskjold Nyland and Egil Selvik have kept 3 clean sheets between them in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Italy confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Gianluigi Donnarumma (GK), Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Gianluca Mancini, Alessandro Bastoni, Manuel Locatelli, Matteo Politano, Davide Frattesi, Nicolo Barella, Federico Dimarco, Mateo Retegui, Francesco Pio Esposito.

Norway confirmed lineup (4-1-4-1): Oerjan Haaskjold Nyland (GK), Julian Ryerson, Kristoffer Vassbakk Ajer, Torbjoern Lysaker Heggem, David Moeller Wolfe, Sander Berge, Alexander Soerloth, Patrick Berg, Kristian Thorstvedt, Antonio Nusa, Erling Haaland.

Italy vs Norway Prediction & Betting Tips

Get fully prepped for Italy vs Norway with our betting guide, featuring our expert match pick, predicted scoreline, sharp corners advice, top player props and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

There’s a strong chance that we’ll see at least three goals scored for this World Cup qualifying game. As a result, we’ll go for Over 2.5 Goals and the available odds of -154 look really attractive.

The football predictions are generated after consulting the team news for both sides along with the form. We are also able to analyse the latest World Cup qualifying stats which can suggest how the game might unfold.

Key Italy vs Norway stats:

• The 2.5 line has been covered in 9 of the last 10 Italy games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Italy games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 2 Italy games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 9 of the last 10 Norway games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 16 of the last 20 Norway games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 3 Norway games.

If you go by the best football betting sites, our pick has a 60.6% chance of delivering a return. After careful examination, our team calculate this probability to be closer to 70%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

Those in search of a bigger price could include Over 2.5 Goals in a Result & Total Goals bet. This means you need three or more goals to be scored along with predicting the winning team.

Boost your betting strategy with exclusive offers, free bets, and welcome bonuses—all in our straightforward guide.

Our Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -154 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (15:54, 15 November 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Italy 2 - 1 Norway

We’re predicting Italy to land a 2-1 victory and this is available at +700. The correct score betting option provides plenty of fun and entertainment.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Antonio Nusa Over 1.5 Shots -128

Antonio Nusa (Norway) has recorded over 1.5 shots in six straight matches. We think this could be a telling statistic and we’ll back him to cover the Player Shots line which is available at odds of -128.

Latest Antonio Nusa Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+450

First

+1200

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-263

Shots

Over 1.5

-128

Under 1.5

-

---

Giacomo Raspadori to Score +210

Giacomo Raspadori (Italy) has scored four goals in his past ten games. We’ll use this stat and take odds of +210 that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Giacomo Raspadori Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+210

First

+600

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-100

Shots

Over 2.5

+128

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -149

The 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered in six straight Norway matches, with three of the past five Italy games having the same outcome. We’re going to wager on the teams to fall short for Total Corners and this selection is available at -149.

Competitive Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Italy

Total

10.30 6.30 4.00

Home

11.00 6.70 4.30

Away

9.10 5.60 3.50

Norway

Total

7.30 5.30 2.00

Home

7.70 6.00 1.70

Away

7.80 5.00 2.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-118

Under 9.5

-120

Italy Corners

Over 4.5

-159

Under 4.5

+106

Norway Corners

Over 4.5

+104

Under 4.5

-156

Most Corners

1

-130

X

+600

2

+138

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Italy vs Norway Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

For this World Cup qualifying encounter, the bookmakers have Italy as the +117 favourites to win. This therefore implies that they have a 46% chance of triumphing. Norway are seen as the most unlikely winner at +220.

There’s the chance to back Italy at -114 if you want to take them on the Asian Handicap -0.25. There’s a full payout if they beat Norway but also half stake returned if the scoreline ends level.

The Total Goals market reveals that Over 2.5 Goals is the current betting favourite. Punters anticipating that both teams will find the net are able to land -208 for the BTTS Yes option.

You’ll love the hundreds of markets if you want to bet on the World Cup qualifying coupon and we advise heading to the top sports betting sites to get the football wager that you think is value.

Full-Time Result

1

+117

X

+245

2

+220

Half-Time Result

1

+160

X

+145

2

+245

Double Chance

1X

-303

12

-345

X2

-154

Draw No Bet

1

-179

2

+123

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-114

2 Hcp +0.25

-110

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+128

Over 2.5

-167

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-208

No

+148

Mateo Retegui is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +310. Alternatively, there’s the chance to back him to find the net at any stage at -105.

Mateo Retegui (Italy)

First

-105

Anytime

+310

Erling Haaland (Norway)

First

-102

Anytime

+310

Giacomo Raspadori (Italy)

First

+210

Anytime

+600

Mattia Zaccagni (Italy)

First

+230

Anytime

+700

Riccardo Orsolini (Italy)

First

+250

Anytime

+750

Alexander Sørloth (Norway)

First

+260

Anytime

+750

Matteo Politano (Italy)

First

+280

Anytime

+850

Jørgen Strand Larsen (Norway)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Thelo Aasgaard (Norway)

First

+300

Anytime

+850

Kristian Thorstvedt (Norway)

First

+360

Anytime

+900

Oscar Bobb (Norway)

First

+420

Anytime

+1150

Andreas Schjelderup (Norway)

First

+420

Anytime

+1000

Aron Dönnum (Norway)

First

+450

Anytime

+1150

Antonio Nusa (Norway)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Sandro Tonali (Italy)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

Nicolò Barella (Italy)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Patrick Berg (Norway)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Federico Dimarco (Italy)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Andrea Cambiaso (Italy)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Samuele Ricci (Italy)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Manuel Locatelli (Italy)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Alessandro Bastoni (Italy)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Giacomo Raspadori (Italy)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-100

Riccardo Orsolini (Italy)

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-120

Alexander Sørloth (Norway)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-132

Mattia Zaccagni (Italy)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-125

Erling Haaland (Norway)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-137

Matteo Politano (Italy)

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-152

Thelo Aasgaard (Norway)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-159

Mateo Retegui (Italy)

Over 1.5

-110

Under 1.5

-159

Jørgen Strand Larsen (Norway)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-164

Kristian Thorstvedt (Norway)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-208

Andreas Schjelderup (Norway)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-244

Antonio Nusa (Norway)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-263

Oscar Bobb (Norway)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-270

Aron Dönnum (Norway)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-263

Sandro Tonali (Italy)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-313

Nicolò Barella (Italy)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-357

Patrick Berg (Norway)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-417

Federico Dimarco (Italy)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-455

Samuele Ricci (Italy)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-833

Alessandro Bastoni (Italy)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-909

Mateo Retegui (Italy)

Over 3.5

-119

Under 3.5

-

Erling Haaland (Norway)

Over 3.5

-130

Under 3.5

-

Giacomo Raspadori (Italy)

Over 2.5

+128

Under 2.5

-

Sandro Tonali (Italy)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Antonio Nusa (Norway)

Over 1.5

-128

Under 1.5

-

Aron Dönnum (Norway)

Over 1.5

+165

Under 1.5

-

Andreas Schjelderup (Norway)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Oscar Bobb (Norway)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Thelo Aasgaard (Norway)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Kristian Thorstvedt (Norway)

Over 1.5

-109

Under 1.5

-

Jørgen Strand Larsen (Norway)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

Matteo Politano (Italy)

Over 1.5

-141

Under 1.5

-

Alexander Sørloth (Norway)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

-

Riccardo Orsolini (Italy)

Over 1.5

-204

Under 1.5

-

Mattia Zaccagni (Italy)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

-

Federico Dimarco (Italy)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Patrick Berg (Norway)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-

Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.

Italy Stats

Norway Stats

Full-Time Result

• 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the previous 10 matches
• 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 2.50 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.90 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 4.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 4.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 4.30 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 5.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.80 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 6.30 corners awarded and 4.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 6.70 corners awarded and 4.30 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 11.00 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 2.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 2.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 7.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 7.80 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 57.10% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 58.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 58.20% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 56.00% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 away matches

Italy vs Norway Lineups & Team News

Before making your bets, take a look at the Italy vs Norway team news. Expect the confirmed World Cup qualifying lineups and all current injury developments from us.

Top Football Pages