Kilmarnock vs Hearts Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 18 Oct 2025
Premiership Betting Preview: Kilmarnock vs Hearts
Kilmarnock host league leaders Hearts in this Scottish Premiership fixture at Rugby Park, with kick-off set for 12:45 on Saturday 18 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
We can’t resist the chance to back Hearts on the basis that they are -123 to land a win against Kilmarnock. We’ll back this Full-Time Result wager with optimism based on the available information.
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The last Premiership game involving Kilmarnock saw them triumph 2-0 at home. This victory over St Mirren at Rugby Park made it back-to-back league wins. Killie recorded just 37% possession and had five shots on target, while David Watson and Marcus Dackers scored one goal apiece.
Hearts beat Hibernian in their previous game, making it four straight victories. It was a 1-0 home win at Tynecastle Park. Derek McInnes' side boasted 62% possession and recorded three shots on goal, with a late winner coming from Craig Halkett.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Hearts have triumphed in the last two encounters against Kilmarnock. A 1-0 away victory at Rugby Park followed a 3-2 home win at Tynecastle Park. We’ve seen the previous 10 H2H meetings include four Hearts triumphs, three draws and three Kilmarnock wins.
| Scottish Premiership | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hearts |
14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 11 | 18 | 29:11 | 31 |
| 10 | Kilmarnock |
14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15:26 | 11 |
Killie have 3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 11.3 attempts. Stuart Kettlewell's men have averaged 37.8% possession and 4.7 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.4 goals from 4.8 shots on goal, 13.0 attempts and 5.7 corners.
Top scorer David Watson has found the net 3 times, with Bruce Anderson, Robbie Deas and Djenairo Daniels getting 2 each. James Brown, David Watson and Dominic Thompson are the leading assists makers with 1.
Hearts have won 9 and drawn 1, with an average of 13.1 attempts, 5.4 shots on goal and 2.2 goals. The Jam Tarts average 53.9% possession, 6.3 corners in their favour and 3.7 corners against, while 0.7 goals have been conceded from 2.7 shots on goal and 9.2 attempts.
Lawrence Shankland has scored 6 goals, followed by Claudio Braga and Stuart Findlay on 3. Alexandros Kiziridis is the top assists provider in the last 10 games with 3.
Confirmed Lineups
Kilmarnock confirmed lineup (5-3-2): Eddie Beach (GK), George Stanger, Lewis Mayo, Robbie Deas, James Brown, Dominic Thompson, David Watson, Liam Polworth, Greg Kiltie, Bruce Anderson, Marcus Dackers.
Hearts confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Alexander Schwolow (GK), Oisin McEntee, Craig Halkett, Stuart Findlay, Stephen Kingsley, Harry Milne, Cameron Devlin, Beni Baningime, Alexandros Kiziridis, Claudio Braga, Lawrence Shankland.
Kilmarnock vs Hearts Prediction & Betting Tips
Get the full betting picture for Kilmarnock vs Hearts, including our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, key corners pick, must-watch player props and a tailored bet builder ready to use.
Match Prediction
We’re pretty bullish when it comes to Hearts winning this Premiership encounter. We will wager the away team at -123 and land some nice dividends if they manage to secure a win.
Our football betting picks come from having access to off-the-press team news along with going through the Premiership form guide. It’s also important to identify the key stats.
Key Kilmarnock vs Hearts league stats:
According to the latest odds, there’s a 55.2% likelihood of our pick winning. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 60-65%. This is why we can recommend this wager.
There are several betting alternatives rather than simply backing Hearts to win. Options include Asian Handicap, Double Result and Result & Both Teams to Score, with bigger prices available.
Explore the best betting offers before you stake your money. Our guide showcases a variety of welcome bonuses worth grabbing.
Correct Score Prediction
There are betting odds of +500 that Hearts land a 1-0 victory. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.
Player Prop Picks
Lawrence Shankland (Hearts) has netted five goals in his past five Premiership matches on the road. It’s worth a gamble on the +140 for him to be Anytime Goalscorer as there’s plenty of juice in these betting odds.
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Corners Prediction
Hearts have been awarded an average of 7.40 corners in the past 5 away games, while the corner count against Kilmarnock has been more than 5.5 in the last four matches. If you’re in agreement with our opinion that the Hearts Team Corners line is on the low side, take the odds of -138 that they go over.
Kilmarnock
Hearts
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Bet Builder Tips
Check out our bet builder which has the following: Hearts to triumph, BTTS No together with Lawrence Shankland (Hearts) to find the net at any time.
It’s now possible to place a bet builder on each individual football game. Should a bettor get all selections correct, then they can achieve a good return from a small stake.
Kilmarnock vs Hearts Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
The bookies have Hearts at -125 when it comes to Full-Time Result. This implies that the favourites are 56% likely to win this Premiership encounter according to the latest betting odds. Kilmarnock are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +310.
Hearts are -127 on the Asian Handicap -0.5 which is like backing them on the Full-Time Result market. Alternatively, you can get -106 for Kilmarnock +0.5 and get the draw on your side.
If you’re betting on Total Goals, the market is finding it hard to split Unders and Overs. BTTS Yes is on offer at -133 for anyone who wants to side with Both Teams to Score.
You can find hundreds of markets for every Premiership game, with the best betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and In-Play selections before placing your football bets.
Lawrence Shankland is the First Goalscorer favourite at +330. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to simply back him to find the net anytime at +138.
Kilmarnock have recorded four victories, three draws and three defeats in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 1.20.
Hearts have secured five straight victories on their travels. Derek McInnes' side have recorded seven victories, two defeats and one draw in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 2.00 goals per game and conceding 1.00.
Hearts were 1-0 victors against Kilmarnock last time out at Rugby Park. In the previous 8 H2H games at Rugby Park, there have been three wins apiece and two draws.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kilmarnock Home Stats |
4-3-3 | 2.70 | 1.50 | 1.20 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | |
Hearts Away Stats |
7-1-2 | 3.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Scottish Premiership: 18/05 2025 Kilmarnock 0 Hearts 1
- Scottish Premiership: 25/01 2025 Hearts 3 Kilmarnock 2
- Scottish Premiership: 15/12 2024 Kilmarnock 1 Hearts 0
- Scottish Premiership: 30/10 2024 Hearts 1 Kilmarnock 2
- Scottish Premiership: 27/04 2024 Kilmarnock 0 Hearts 0
- Scottish Premiership: 30/03 2024 Hearts 1 Kilmarnock 1
- Scottish Premiership: 02/12 2023 Kilmarnock 0 Hearts 1
- Scottish Premiership: 13/08 2023 Hearts 0 Kilmarnock 0
- Scottish Premiership: 01/04 2023 Kilmarnock 2 Hearts 1
- Scottish Premiership: 17/12 2022 Hearts 3 Kilmarnock 1
Kilmarnock League Stats
Hearts League Stats
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 9 wins and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.20 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 5.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 4.50 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.30 corners awarded and 3.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.10 corners awarded and 4.20 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 37.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 42.00% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 53.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 51.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Kilmarnock this season are David Watson (3), Djenairo Daniels (2), Ben Brannan (1)
- Top Assistors for Kilmarnock this season are Brad Lyons (1), David Watson (1), Dominic Thompson (1)
Kilmarnock vs Hearts Lineups & Team News
Avoid surprises — review the Kilmarnock vs Hearts team news before you bet. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Premiership lineups and injury news right here.
Kilmarnock Confirmed Lineup 5-3-2
Hearts Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Kilmarnock Confirmed Lineup 5-3-2
Hearts Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Kilmarnock Substitutes
- 2Jamie Brandon
- 4Zac Williams
- 7Rory McKenzie
- 8Brad Lyons
- 16Kyle Magennis
- 17Scott Tiffoney
- 25Ethan Schilte-Brown
- 26Ben Brannan
- 40Corey Armour
Hearts Substitutes
- 1Craig Gordon
- 5Jamie McCart
- 7Elton Kabangu
- 11Pierre Landry Kabore
- 15Michael Steinwender
- 16Blair Spittal
- 17Alan Forrest
- 22Tomas Magnusson
- 29Sabah Kerjota
Previous Kilmarnock Lineups
Previous Hearts Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Premiership Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hearts | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 29:11 | 31 |
| 2 | Celtic | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23:9 | 29 |
| 3 | Motherwell | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 22:15 | 22 |
| 4 | Rangers | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 17:11 | 22 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 24:18 | 21 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 19:21 | 20 |
| 7 | Aberdeen | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 10:12 | 17 |
| 8 | Dundee United | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 19:21 | 15 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12:25 | 12 |
| 10 | Kilmarnock | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:26 | 11 |
| 11 | St Mirren | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9:19 | 10 |
| 12 | Livingston | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15:26 | 8 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hearts | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17:5 | 17 |
| 2 | Celtic | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15:2 | 16 |
| 3 | Motherwell | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:5 | 12 |
| 4 | Falkirk | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:10 | 10 |
| 5 | Rangers | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 6 | Dundee FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:11 | 10 |
| 7 | Hibernian | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 9 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 9 | Dundee United | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | 7 |
| 10 | St Mirren | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:8 | 6 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:12 | 6 |
| 12 | Livingston | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8:10 | 4 |
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