Kilmarnock vs Hearts Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 18 Oct 2025

Premiership Betting Preview: Kilmarnock vs Hearts

Kilmarnock host league leaders Hearts in this Scottish Premiership fixture at Rugby Park, with kick-off set for 12:45 on Saturday 18 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Jam Tarts Look Set to Land the Spoils

We can’t resist the chance to back Hearts on the basis that they are -123 to land a win against Kilmarnock. We’ll back this Full-Time Result wager with optimism based on the available information.

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1-0 Victory for Hearts in Pair’s Last Battle

The last Premiership game involving Kilmarnock saw them triumph 2-0 at home. This victory over St Mirren at Rugby Park made it back-to-back league wins. Killie recorded just 37% possession and had five shots on target, while David Watson and Marcus Dackers scored one goal apiece.

Hearts beat Hibernian in their previous game, making it four straight victories. It was a 1-0 home win at Tynecastle Park. Derek McInnes' side boasted 62% possession and recorded three shots on goal, with a late winner coming from Craig Halkett.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Hearts have triumphed in the last two encounters against Kilmarnock. A 1-0 away victory at Rugby Park followed a 3-2 home win at Tynecastle Park. We’ve seen the previous 10 H2H meetings include four Hearts triumphs, three draws and three Kilmarnock wins.

Scottish Premiership		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Hearts	7	6	1	0	16	6	10	16:6	19
3	Kilmarnock	7	2	4	1	11	8	3	11:8	10

View Full Table

Killie have 3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 11.3 attempts. Stuart Kettlewell's men have averaged 37.8% possession and 4.7 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.4 goals from 4.8 shots on goal, 13.0 attempts and 5.7 corners.

Top scorer David Watson has found the net 3 times, with Bruce Anderson, Robbie Deas and Djenairo Daniels getting 2 each. James Brown, David Watson and Dominic Thompson are the leading assists makers with 1.

Hearts have won 9 and drawn 1, with an average of 13.1 attempts, 5.4 shots on goal and 2.2 goals. The Jam Tarts average 53.9% possession, 6.3 corners in their favour and 3.7 corners against, while 0.7 goals have been conceded from 2.7 shots on goal and 9.2 attempts.

Lawrence Shankland has scored 6 goals, followed by Claudio Braga and Stuart Findlay on 3. Alexandros Kiziridis is the top assists provider in the last 10 games with 3.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Kilmarnock predicted lineup (3-5-2): Max Stryjek (GK), Robbie Deas, George Stanger, Lewis Mayo, James Brown, Liam Polworth, Greg Kiltie, David Watson, Dominic Thompson, Marcus Dackers, Bruce Anderson.

Hearts predicted lineup (4-3-3): Alexander Schwolow (GK), Oisin McEntee, Stuart Findlay, Craig Halkett, Stephen Kingsley, Beni Baningime, Harry Milne, Cameron Devlin, Claudio Braga, Lawrence Shankland, Alexandros Kyziridis.

Kilmarnock vs Hearts Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the full betting picture for Kilmarnock vs Hearts, including our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, key corners pick, must-watch player props and a tailored bet builder ready to use.

Match Prediction

We’re pretty bullish when it comes to Hearts winning this Premiership encounter. We will wager the away team at -123 and land some nice dividends if they manage to secure a win.

Our football betting picks come from having access to off-the-press team news along with going through the Premiership form guide. It’s also important to identify the key stats.

Key Kilmarnock vs Hearts league stats:

• Hearts have won 5 consecutive games on the road.
• Hearts have won 9 of their last 10 games.
• Hearts have won 13 of their last 20 games.
• Kilmarnock have lost their last 2 games against Hearts.

Hearts to Win Probability

According to the latest odds, there’s a 55.2% likelihood of our pick winning. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 60-65%. This is why we can recommend this wager.

There are several betting alternatives rather than simply backing Hearts to win. Options include Asian Handicap, Double Result and Result & Both Teams to Score, with bigger prices available.

Explore the best betting offers before you stake your money. Our guide showcases a variety of welcome bonuses worth grabbing.

Our Match Prediction

Hearts To Win @ -123 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Kilmarnock 0 - 1 Hearts

There are betting odds of +480 that Hearts land a 1-0 victory. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Lawrence Shankland to Score +140

Lawrence Shankland (Hearts) has netted five goals in his past five Premiership matches on the road. It’s worth a gamble on the +140 for him to be Anytime Goalscorer as there’s plenty of juice in these betting odds.

Latest Lawrence Shankland Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+140

First

+330

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Corners Prediction

Hearts Over 5.5 Corners -138

Hearts have been awarded an average of 7.40 corners in the past 5 away games, while the corner count against Kilmarnock has been more than 5.5 in the last four matches. If you’re in agreement with our opinion that the Hearts Team Corners line is on the low side, take the odds of -138 that they go over.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Kilmarnock

Total

10.40 4.70 5.70

Home

9.60 5.10 4.50

Away

10.60 4.40 6.20

Hearts

Total

10.00 6.30 3.70

Home

9.70 6.20 3.50

Away

10.30 6.10 4.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-119

Under 10.5

-119

Kilmarnock Corners

Over 4.5

-125

Under 4.5

-110

Hearts Corners

Over 5.5

-120

Under 5.5

-120

Most Corners

1

+165

X

+650

2

-161

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Kilmarnock vs Hearts Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Match Odds Suggest Hearts Win

The bookies have Hearts at -123 when it comes to Full-Time Result. This implies that the favourites are 55% likely to win this Premiership encounter according to the latest betting odds. Kilmarnock are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +310.

Hearts are -125 on the Asian Handicap -0.5 which is like backing them on the Full-Time Result market. Alternatively, you can get -108 for Kilmarnock +0.5 and get the draw on your side.

If you’re betting on Total Goals, the market is finding it hard to split Unders and Overs. BTTS Yes is on offer at -127 for anyone who wants to side with Both Teams to Score.

You can find hundreds of markets for every Premiership game, with the best betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and In-Play selections before placing your football bets.

Full-Time Result

1

+310

X

+260

2

-123

Half-Time Result

1

+340

X

+125

2

+140

Double Chance

1X

-116

12

-417

X2

-500

Draw No Bet

1

+185

2

-286

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.5

-108

2 Hcp -0.5

-125

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-123

Over 2.5

-108

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-127

No

-112

Lawrence Shankland Shortest Odds for First Goalscorer

Lawrence Shankland is the First Goalscorer favourite at +330. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to simply back him to find the net anytime at +140.

Lawrence Shankland (Hearts)

First

+140

Anytime

+330

Cláudio Braga (Hearts)

First

+195

Anytime

+440

Elton Kabangu (Hearts)

First

+210

Anytime

+480

James Wilson (Hearts)

First

+295

Anytime

+650

Bruce Anderson (Kilmarnock)

First

+310

Anytime

+650

Blair Spittal (Hearts)

First

+450

Anytime

+950

Marley Watkins (Kilmarnock)

First

+480

Anytime

+1050

Scott Tiffoney (Kilmarnock)

First

+480

Anytime

+1100

Kyle Magennis (Kilmarnock)

First

+480

Anytime

+1100

Greg Kiltie (Kilmarnock)

First

+540

Anytime

+1100

Cam Devlin (Hearts)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Calem Nieuwenhof (Hearts)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Beni Baningime (Hearts)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

David Watson (Kilmarnock)

First

+750

Anytime

+1500

Liam Polworth (Kilmarnock)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Jamie McCart (Hearts)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Stephen Kingsley (Hearts)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Brad Lyons (Kilmarnock)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Four Kilmarnock Triumphs From Their Past Ten Home Clashes

Kilmarnock have recorded four victories, three draws and three defeats in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

Hearts have secured five straight victories on their travels. Derek McInnes' side have recorded seven victories, two defeats and one draw in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 2.00 goals per game and conceding 1.00.

Hearts were 1-0 victors against Kilmarnock last time out at Rugby Park. In the previous 8 H2H games at Rugby Park, there have been three wins apiece and two draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Kilmarnock Home Stats		4-3-3	2.70	1.50	1.20	4	6	5	5
Hearts Away Stats		7-1-2	3.00	2.00	1.00	7	3	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Kilmarnock vs Hearts Lineups & Team News

Avoid surprises — review the Kilmarnock vs Hearts team news before you bet. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Premiership lineups and injury news right here.

Kilmarnock Team Page Hearts Team Page