Kilmarnock vs St Mirren Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Oct 2025

Premiership Betting Preview: Kilmarnock vs St Mirren

Kilmarnock host St Mirren in this Scottish Premiership clash at Rugby Park, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 4 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

We’re Predicting Under 2.5 Goals

We’re not expecting the net to bulge on too many occasions when Kilmarnock clash with St Mirren. On this basis, we’re wagering Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market and this pick is available at -128.

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St Mirren 5-1 Winners in Most Recent H2H

Kilmarnock got the win in their last game. A 2-0 victory occurred on the road at Tannadice Park when meeting Dundee United. Stuart Kettlewell's men had 41% possession and totalled seven shots on target, while Bruce Anderson and Robbie Deas each scored one goal.

St Mirren made it back-to-back Premiership victories after a 1-0 home win over Dundee FC at SMISA Stadium. The Buddies had four shots on goal and 53% possession, with Killian Phillips finding the net in the 39th minute.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 5-1 home win for St Mirren at SMISA Stadium when they last played Kilmarnock. The previous 10 H2H matches have ended up with five Kilmarnock wins, one St Mirren victory and four draws.

Scottish Premiership		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	St Mirren	6	2	3	1	5	4	1	5:4	9
7	Kilmarnock	6	1	4	1	9	8	1	9:8	7

View Full Table

3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 11.3 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal. Killie have had 37.2% possession and 4.5 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.4 goals from 13.5 attempts and 5.1 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 5.4 corners.

Top scorer David Watson has found the net 3 times, with Bruce Anderson, Robbie Deas, Djenairo Daniels and Danny Armstrong getting 2 goals each. David Watson, Dominic Thompson and Greg Kiltie have racked up the most assists with 1 each.

St Mirren have 4 victories, 1 defeat and 5 draws, with an average of 1.1 goals from 9.6 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 38.2% possession, 4.3 corners awarded and 7.6 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 0.7 goals from 10.8 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal.

The top scorers have been Mikael Mandron and Jonah Ayunga on 3, with Killian Phillips getting 1. The top assistors in the last 10 games are Mikael Mandron, Declan John and Roland Idowu who have all made 2.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Kilmarnock predicted lineup (3-5-2): Max Stryjek (GK), Robbie Deas, George Stanger, Lewis Mayo, James Brown, Liam Polworth, Greg Kiltie, David Watson, Dominic Thompson, Marcus Dackers, Bruce Anderson.

St Mirren predicted lineup (3-5-2): Shamal George (GK), Richard King, Alexandros Gogic, Miguel Freckleton, Jayden Richardson, Killian Phillips, Liam Donnelly, Roland Idowu, Declan John, Jonah Ayunga, Mikael Mandron.

Kilmarnock vs St Mirren Prediction & Betting Tips

We cover the key Kilmarnock vs St Mirren betting angles, showcasing our expert match prediction, best corners pick, correct score selection, top player props and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

The stage is set for a low-scoring Premiership clash. As a result, we will wager on Under 2.5 which can be taken at attractive odds of -128, with defences likely to nullify the attacking players.

The Premiership injury and suspension data can be utilised to provide expert football betting tips. You can also identify that a stats-led approach is adopted by considering the most important stats.

Key Kilmarnock vs St Mirren league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 Kilmarnock games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 St Mirren games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 St Mirren games.

Under 2.5 Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 56.2% chance of winning. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 60-65%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

Bettors looking for a larger price for a similar selection have the opportunity to wager on Under 1.5 Goals, with a return on the cards if there is one goal or less scored by the full-time whistle.

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Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -128 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Kilmarnock 1 - 1 St Mirren

There are odds of +440 available that we see a 1-1 scoreline played out. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: David Watson to Score +600

David Watson (Kilmarnock) has managed two goals in his past five Premiership home matches. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive considering the numbers and we’ll plump for him to find the net at odds of +600.

Latest David Watson Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+600

First

+1300

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Corners Prediction

Kilmarnock Over 5.5 Corners -100

Kilmarnock have covered the 5.5 corners line in 4 of the past 5 games, while the last 5 St Mirren away matches have seen them concede an average of 8.80 corners. We think that the value can be found by wagering on Team Corners and you can secure -100 that Kilmarnock go over the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Kilmarnock

Total

9.90 4.50 5.40

Home

9.50 5.40 4.10

Away

10.60 4.40 6.20

St Mirren

Total

11.90 4.30 7.60

Home

10.00 4.70 5.30

Away

11.40 4.30 7.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-135

Under 10.5

-104

Kilmarnock Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-138

St Mirren Corners

Over 4.5

-138

Under 4.5

-100

Most Corners

1

-111

X

+600

2

+115

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Kilmarnock vs St Mirren Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Predicting a Close-Run Battle

The latest Full-Time Result betting odds show that St Mirren are +148 for a Premiership victory, while Kilmarnock are +170. The draw is trading at +235 should you think the game will end all square.

For those wanting some insurance backing St Mirren, taking the -0.25 Asian Handicap option means a half stake return if it’s a draw. There’s +110 that they manage to beat Kilmarnock on this market.

The Total Goals market always provides an interesting angle and Under 2.5 Goals is the shortest-priced option. If both teams to score is something you think will happen, there’s an opportunity to wager Yes at -133 on the BTTS market.

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Full-Time Result

1

+170

X

+235

2

+148

Half-Time Result

1

+230

X

+120

2

+205

Double Chance

1X

-217

12

-370

X2

-250

Draw No Bet

1

-110

2

-128

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-152

2 Hcp -0.25

+110

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-128

Over 2.5

-103

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-133

No

-105

Jonah Ayunga Favourite to Be First Goalscorer

Jonah Ayunga is available at +250 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer, with the favourite priced at odds of +525 to find the net first.

Jonah Ayunga (St Mirren)

First

+250

Anytime

+525

Bruce Anderson (Kilmarnock)

First

+255

Anytime

+575

Daniel N'Lundulu (St Mirren)

First

+260

Anytime

+575

Mikael Mandron (St Mirren)

First

+270

Anytime

+550

Marley Watkins (Kilmarnock)

First

+380

Anytime

+850

Roland Idowu (St Mirren)

First

+390

Anytime

+850

Kyle Magennis (Kilmarnock)

First

+400

Anytime

+850

Scott Tiffoney (Kilmarnock)

First

+400

Anytime

+850

Liam Donnelly (St Mirren)

First

+460

Anytime

+1000

Greg Kiltie (Kilmarnock)

First

+460

Anytime

+950

Mark O'Hara (St Mirren)

First

+460

Anytime

+950

Killian Phillips (St Mirren)

First

+475

Anytime

+1000

Liam Polworth (Kilmarnock)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

David Watson (Kilmarnock)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Brad Lyons (Kilmarnock)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Alex Gogic (St Mirren)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Robbie Deas (Kilmarnock)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

James Brown (Kilmarnock)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Scott Tanser (St Mirren)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2000

Unbeaten Kilmarnock in Past Eight H2H Rugby Park Clashes

Kilmarnock haven’t triumphed in four straight games at Rugby Park. Stuart Kettlewell's men have clocked up four wins, three draws and three defeats in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.60 goals per match and conceding 1.30.

St Mirren have four victories, three draws and three defeats in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

The last Rugby Park meeting saw Kilmarnock beat St Mirren 2-0. The past 8 H2H meetings at Rugby Park have resulted in three Kilmarnock triumphs and five draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Kilmarnock Home Stats		4-3-3	2.90	1.60	1.30	5	5	6	4
St Mirren Away Stats		4-3-3	2.50	1.40	1.10	4	6	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Kilmarnock vs St Mirren Lineups & Team News

The Kilmarnock vs St Mirren team news could change everything — review it before betting. We’ll bring you both the expected and confirmed lineups for the Premiership, along with current injury news.

Kilmarnock Team Page St Mirren Team Page