Las Palmas vs Almería Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 27 Sep 2025

La Liga 2 Betting Preview: Las Palmas vs Almería

Las Palmas host Almería in this Spanish La Liga 2 game at Estadio de Gran Canaria, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Saturday 27 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Go For Under 2.5 for This Encounter

We are expecting a low number of goals when Las Palmas meet Almería. The odds of -116 for Under 2.5 look really attractive and we can play the Total Goals market with confidence.

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1-0 Win for Almería in Last Head-to-Head

Las Palmas have been handed back-to-back league losses. Their last La Liga 2 game saw them land a 1-0 road victory over Leganés at Estadio Butarque. The Gran Canaria outfit had most of the ball boasting 57% possession and two shots on target, with an early second half strike from Ale Garcia proving the difference.

Almería secured a 2-1 home win over Sporting Gijón at UD Almeria Stadium in their previous game. Rubi's team had nine shots on goal and enjoyed 64% possession, while Adrian Embarba and Sergio Arribas were on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last encounter between Almería and Las Palmas saw the former win away from home. It was a 1-0 La Liga triumph at Estadio de Gran Canaria. There have been three wins apiece and three draws in the past 9 H2H meetings.

La Liga 2		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
6	Las Palmas	6	3	2	1	7	4	3	7:4	11
12	Almería	6	2	2	2	12	13	-1	12:13	8

View Full Table

3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.7 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 10.3 attempts. Las Palmas have had 56.1% possession and 4.9 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 0.9 goals from 3.0 shots on goal and 7.5 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 3.1 corners.

Top scorer Ale Garcia has found the net 3 times, Ivan Gil 2, with Milos Lukovic and Enrique Clemente both scoring 1. Manuel Fuster has made the most assists with 3.

Almería have won 3, lost 3 and drawn 4, with an average of 1.6 goals from 13.3 attempts and 5.5 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 55.6% possession, 6.3 corners awarded and 4.0 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 1.6 goals from 9.2 attempts and 4.9 shots on goal.

Sergio Arribas has recorded 5 goals, Adrian Embarba 4, with Nico Ribaudo and Leo Baptistao both managing 2. Arnau Puigmal is the top assists provider in the last 10 games with 4.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Las Palmas predicted lineup (4-3-3): Dinko Horkaš (GK), Marvin Park, Alex Suárez, Sergio Barcia, Mika Mármol, Enzo Loiodice, Iván Gil, Lorenzo Amatucci, Ale García, Milos Lukovic, Manuel Fuster.

Almería predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Andres Fernandez (GK), Daijiro Chirino, Nélson Monte, Federico Bonini, Álex Muñoz, Iddrisu Baba, Guilherme Borges Guedes, Adrián Embarba, Sergio Arribas, Nico Melamed, Leo Baptistao.

Las Palmas vs Almería Prediction & Betting Tips

Get set for Las Palmas vs Almería with our full betting breakdown, complete with an expert match prediction, a likely final score, top corners play, player prop picks and a value-driven bet builder.

Match Prediction

The ideal wager for this La Liga 2 match could involve backing a limited number of goals. Our opinion is that Under 2.5 can be backed based on the available information and the odds of -116 appeal.

The Sportsgambler.com football experts keep abreast of the latest La Liga 2 team news and form guide considering they could have a bearing on the outcome. It’s also important for our readers to have access to stats.

Key Las Palmas vs Almería league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 6 Las Palmas games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 2 of the last 3 Las Palmas games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Almería games on the road.

Under 2.5 Probability

The best betting apps make it a 53.8% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

For those in pursuit of a larger price, there’s an opportunity to have a wager on Under 1.5 Goals, with bettors requiring no more than one goal to be scored in order for the bet to land.

Power up your bet with the latest free bets, sign-up bonuses and premium betting offers found in our in-depth guide.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -116 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Las Palmas 1 - 1 Almería

An exciting wager could be the game to end in a 1-1 draw at odds of +450. A correct score bet provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Adri Embarba to Score +440

Adri Embarba (Almería) has scored four goals in his past six La Liga 2 matches. We think this is the pick of the player props, with a generous +440 available when it comes to backing him to score at any time.

Latest Adri Embarba Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+440

First

+900

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Corners Prediction

Las Palmas To Have Most Corners -120

In the past four games, it has been Las Palmas with the most corners. The most corners could go to Las Palmas and you can get an attractive -120.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Las Palmas

Total

8.00 4.90 3.10

Home

9.50 5.70 3.80

Away

8.00 3.20 4.80

Almería

Total

10.30 6.30 4.00

Home

11.30 6.90 4.40

Away

8.90 4.90 4.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-103

Under 9.5

-141

Las Palmas Corners

Over 4.5

-150

Under 4.5

+110

Almería Corners

Over 4.5

+120

Under 4.5

-163

Most Corners

1

-119

X

+600

2

+125

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Las Palmas vs Almería Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Expecting Las Palmas to Triumph

The favourites are 47% likely to win according to the latest betting odds, with Las Palmas being priced at +112 to come away with a victory in this La Liga 2 encounter. Almería are the +210 outsiders, with the draw being a different option which could yield dividends.

A win for Las Palmas would see a full payout on the Asian Handicap -0.25 option. You can get -119 that they overcome Almería going down this route and half stake refunded if it’s a draw.

The current odds reflect that there’s not much between Over 2.5 Goals and Under 2.5 Goals. Punters expecting both teams to find the net can get -147 when it comes to BTTS Yes.

If you visit one of the recommended betting sites, it’s fantastic to access hundreds of markets for whichever La Liga 2 game appeals. Scan through the choices and pick your football wager.

Full-Time Result

1

+112

X

+240

2

+210

Half-Time Result

1

+170

X

+125

2

+260

Double Chance

1X

-333

12

-385

X2

-164

Draw No Bet

1

-179

2

+123

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-119

2 Hcp +0.25

-115

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-116

Over 2.5

-119

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-147

No

-100

Milos Lukovic is the First Goalscorer Favourite

Milos Lukovic is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +525, while you can get similar odds if you want him to score the last goal.

Milos Lukovic (Las Palmas)

First

+230

Anytime

+525

Marciano Sanca (Almería)

First

+250

Anytime

+600

Ibrahima Koné (Almería)

First

+255

Anytime

+575

Jaime Mata (Las Palmas)

First

+280

Anytime

+600

Ivan Gil (Las Palmas)

First

+280

Anytime

+700

Ale Garcia (Las Palmas)

First

+290

Anytime

+700

Marc Cardona (Las Palmas)

First

+310

Anytime

+650

Patrick Soko (Almería)

First

+310

Anytime

+650

Jonathan Viera (Las Palmas)

First

+325

Anytime

+750

Jeremia Recoba (Las Palmas)

First

+335

Anytime

+800

Léo Baptistão (Almería)

First

+350

Anytime

+750

Sergio Arribas (Almería)

First

+400

Anytime

+950

Adri Embarba (Almería)

First

+440

Anytime

+900

Manuel Fuster (Las Palmas)

First

+440

Anytime

+950

Pejiño (Las Palmas)

First

+460

Anytime

+1000

Nicolás Melamed (Almería)

First

+475

Anytime

+1050

Marvin Olawale Akinlabi Park (Las Palmas)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Lucas Robertone (Almería)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Enzo Loiodice (Las Palmas)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Lorenzo Amatucci (Las Palmas)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Silvi Clua (Almería)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Arnau Puigmal (Almería)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Viti Rozada (Las Palmas)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Sergio Barcia (Las Palmas)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Nélson Monte (Almería)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Six Las Palmas Defeats in Previous Ten at Home

Las Palmas have six defeats, two wins and two draws in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 0.90 goals per match and conceding 1.50.

Almería have finished with six defeats, three draws and one win in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.90.

The last Estadio de Gran Canaria meeting saw Almería beat Las Palmas 1-0. The past 5 H2H meetings at Estadio de Gran Canaria have featured two triumphs for Almería, one for Las Palmas along with two draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Las Palmas Home Stats		2-2-6	2.40	0.90	1.50	4	6	5	5
Almería Away Stats		1-3-6	2.80	0.90	1.90	6	4	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Las Palmas vs Almería Lineups & Team News

Before placing any bets on Las Palmas vs Almería, check the team news first. Receive the predicted and confirmed La Liga 2 lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.

Las Palmas Team Page Almería Team Page