Las Palmas vs Almería Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 27 Sep 2025
La Liga 2 Betting Preview: Las Palmas vs Almería
Las Palmas host Almería in this Spanish La Liga 2 game at Estadio de Gran Canaria, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Saturday 27 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
We are expecting a low number of goals when Las Palmas meet Almería. The odds of -116 for Under 2.5 look really attractive and we can play the Total Goals market with confidence.
Fancy our Total Goals tip? Grab the latest BetMGM promo code, then take a look at our review before placing your bet.
Las Palmas have been handed back-to-back league losses. Their last La Liga 2 game saw them land a 1-0 road victory over Leganés at Estadio Butarque. The Gran Canaria outfit had most of the ball boasting 57% possession and two shots on target, with an early second half strike from Ale Garcia proving the difference.
Almería secured a 2-1 home win over Sporting Gijón at UD Almeria Stadium in their previous game. Rubi's team had nine shots on goal and enjoyed 64% possession, while Adrian Embarba and Sergio Arribas were on the scoresheet.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The last encounter between Almería and Las Palmas saw the former win away from home. It was a 1-0 La Liga triumph at Estadio de Gran Canaria. There have been three wins apiece and three draws in the past 9 H2H meetings.
| La Liga 2 | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Las Palmas |
14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 16:8 | 26 |
| 5 | Almería |
13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 26:18 | 25 |
3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.7 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 10.3 attempts. Las Palmas have had 56.1% possession and 4.9 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 0.9 goals from 3.0 shots on goal and 7.5 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 3.1 corners.
Top scorer Ale Garcia has found the net 3 times, Ivan Gil 2, with Milos Lukovic and Enrique Clemente both scoring 1. Manuel Fuster has made the most assists with 3.
Almería have won 3, lost 3 and drawn 4, with an average of 1.6 goals from 13.3 attempts and 5.5 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 55.6% possession, 6.3 corners awarded and 4.0 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 1.6 goals from 9.2 attempts and 4.9 shots on goal.
Sergio Arribas has recorded 5 goals, Adrian Embarba 4, with Nico Ribaudo and Leo Baptistao both managing 2. Arnau Puigmal is the top assists provider in the last 10 games with 4.
Confirmed Lineups
Las Palmas confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Dinko Horkas (GK), Marvin Park, Alex Suarez, Sergio Barcia, Cristian Gutierrez, Manuel Fuster, Lorenzo Amatucci, Enzo Loiodice, Ale Garcia, Milos Lukovic, Jonathan Viera.
Almería confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Andres Fernandez (GK), Daijiro Chirino, Nelson Monte, Federico Bonini, Alex Munoz, Gui Guedes, Stefan Dzodic, Adrian Embarba, Sergio Arribas, Nico Ribaudo, Patrick Soko.
Las Palmas vs Almería Prediction & Betting Tips
Get set for Las Palmas vs Almería with our full betting breakdown, complete with an expert match prediction, a likely final score, top corners play, player prop picks and a value-driven bet builder.
Match Prediction
The ideal wager for this La Liga 2 match could involve backing a limited number of goals. Our opinion is that Under 2.5 can be backed based on the available information and the odds of -116 appeal.
The Sportsgambler.com football experts keep abreast of the latest La Liga 2 team news and form guide considering they could have a bearing on the outcome. It’s also important for our readers to have access to stats.
Key Las Palmas vs Almería league stats:
The best betting apps make it a 53.8% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.
For those in pursuit of a larger price, there’s an opportunity to have a wager on Under 1.5 Goals, with bettors requiring no more than one goal to be scored in order for the bet to land.
Power up your bet with the latest free bets, sign-up bonuses and premium betting offers found in our in-depth guide.
Correct Score Prediction
An exciting wager could be the game to end in a 1-1 draw at odds of +450. A correct score bet provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.
Player Prop Picks
Adri Embarba (Almería) has scored four goals in his past six La Liga 2 matches. We think this is the pick of the player props, with a generous +440 available when it comes to backing him to score at any time.
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Corners Prediction
In the past four games, it has been Las Palmas with the most corners. The most corners could go to Las Palmas and you can get an attractive -120.
Las Palmas
Almería
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Bet Builder Tips
Try out our bet builder picks which include two or less goals to be registered, a draw on the Full-Time Result combined with Las Palmas to finish with the most corners.
We recommend a bet builder as it’s an exciting way of wagering on a football match. If a bettor has all predictions correct, it’s possible to land a nice pay out from a relatively small amount of money.
Las Palmas vs Almería Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
The favourites are 47% likely to win according to the latest betting odds, with Las Palmas being priced at +112 to come away with a victory in this La Liga 2 encounter. Almería are the +210 outsiders, with the draw being a different option which could yield dividends.
A win for Las Palmas would see a full payout on the Asian Handicap -0.25 option. You can get -119 that they overcome Almería going down this route and half stake refunded if it’s a draw.
The current odds reflect that there’s not much between Over 2.5 Goals and Under 2.5 Goals. Punters expecting both teams to find the net can get -147 when it comes to BTTS Yes.
If you visit one of the recommended betting sites, it’s fantastic to access hundreds of markets for whichever La Liga 2 game appeals. Scan through the choices and pick your football wager.
Milos Lukovic is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +525, while you can get similar odds if you want him to score the last goal.
Las Palmas have six defeats, two wins and two draws in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 0.90 goals per match and conceding 1.50.
Almería have finished with six defeats, three draws and one win in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.90.
The last Estadio de Gran Canaria meeting saw Almería beat Las Palmas 1-0. The past 5 H2H meetings at Estadio de Gran Canaria have featured two triumphs for Almería, one for Las Palmas along with two draws.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Las Palmas Home Stats |
2-2-6 | 2.40 | 0.90 | 1.50 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | |
Almería Away Stats |
1-3-6 | 2.80 | 0.90 | 1.90 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 3 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- La Liga: 17/03 2024 Las Palmas 0 Almería 1
- La Liga: 28/10 2023 Almería 1 Las Palmas 2
- La Liga 2: 09/01 2022 Las Palmas 1 Almería 1
- La Liga 2: 09/10 2021 Almería 1 Las Palmas 1
- La Liga 2: 14/02 2021 Almería 3 Las Palmas 1
- La Liga 2: 17/10 2020 Las Palmas 2 Almería 0
- La Liga 2: 17/06 2020 Almería 0 Las Palmas 1
- La Liga 2: 14/09 2019 Las Palmas 0 Almería 3
- La Liga 2: 02/06 2019 Las Palmas 0 Almería 0
Las Palmas League Stats
Almería League Stats
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 6 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.70 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 3.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 3.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.30 corners awarded and 4.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 4.00 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 56.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 52.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 55.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 54.10% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Las Palmas this season are Ale Garcia (3), Ivan Gil (2), Enrique Clemente (1)
- Top Assistors for Las Palmas this season are Manuel Fuster (3), Ale Garcia (1), Milos Lukovic (1)
Las Palmas vs Almería Lineups & Team News
Before placing any bets on Las Palmas vs Almería, check the team news first. Receive the predicted and confirmed La Liga 2 lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.
Las Palmas Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Almería Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Las Palmas Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Almería Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Las Palmas Substitutes
- 7Jaime Mata
- 8Ivan Gil
- 9Jeremia Recoba
- 10Jese
- 13Jose Antonio Caro
- 15Juanma Herzog
- 17Viti
- 18Edward Cedeno
- 24Pejino
- 26Inaki Gonzalez
- 27Valentin Pezzolesi
- 35Adri Suarez
Almería Substitutes
- 2Arnau Puigmal
- 5Selvi Clua
- 6Andre Horta
- 9Thalys
- 12Leo Baptistao
- 13Fernando Martinez
- 14Iddrisu Baba
- 15Aridane Hernandez
- 16Marcos Luna
- 20Alex Centelles
- 21Juan Brandariz
- 36Marko Perovic
Previous Las Palmas Lineups
Previous Almería Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
La Liga 2 Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 27:13 | 26 |
| 2 | Racing Club | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 3 | Las Palmas | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 16:8 | 26 |
| 4 | Burgos | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21:12 | 25 |
| 5 | Almería | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26:18 | 25 |
| 6 | Cádiz | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 11:12 | 21 |
| 7 | Real Valladolid | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 8 | Córdoba | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 19:19 | 20 |
| 9 | Sporting Gijon | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19:20 | 20 |
| 10 | Castellón | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20:19 | 19 |
| 11 | Albacete | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 21:23 | 19 |
| 12 | Leganés | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 14:12 | 18 |
| 13 | Ceuta | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12:16 | 18 |
| 14 | Eibar | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 17 |
| 15 | La Cultural | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 16:19 | 17 |
| 16 | Andorra | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16:20 | 17 |
| 17 | Real Sociedad B | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 22:24 | 15 |
| 18 | Málaga | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 16:18 | 15 |
| 19 | Granada | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | 15 |
| 20 | Huesca | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 12:19 | 15 |
| 21 | Mirandés | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:23 | 12 |
| 22 | Real Zaragoza | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8:23 | 9 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Almería | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19:11 | 16 |
| 2 | Racing Club | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:11 | 16 |
| 3 | Real Sociedad B | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 4 | Eibar | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 5 | Sporting Gijon | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:10 | 14 |
| 6 | Cádiz | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 14 |
| 7 | Las Palmas | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 13 |
| 8 | Deportivo | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10:2 | 12 |
| 9 | Málaga | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:7 | 12 |
| 10 | Burgos | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 11 | Ceuta | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 12 |
| 12 | Huesca | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:7 | 12 |
| 13 | Real Valladolid | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:8 | 11 |
| 14 | Castellón | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14:12 | 11 |
| 15 | Córdoba | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 11 |
| 16 | Albacete | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 17 | Andorra | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 9 |
| 18 | Granada | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 19 | La Cultural | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | 8 |
| 20 | Leganés | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | 5 |
| 21 | Real Zaragoza | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:12 | 5 |
| 22 | Mirandés | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | 4 |
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