Lazio vs AC Milan Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Dec 2025

Coppa Italia Betting Preview: Lazio vs AC Milan

Serie A clubs Lazio and AC Milan meet in the Coppa Italia round of 16, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Thursday 4 December.

We’re confident that there will be a low goal count when Lazio and Milan meet. The Total Goals market offers us the chance to bet on Under 2.5 and the odds of -152 look really appealing.

Expecting things to stay tight on the scoreline? Grab the best BetMGM promo code and check our full review before you jump in.

7 Victories for Milan in Previous 10 H2H Games

AC Milan and Lazio met in the Serie A on Saturday night, with hosts Milan landing a 1-0 victory. Lazio had 54% possession and drew 4-4 for shots on target, with Rafael Leao netting the winning goal.

Looking at the past 10 H2H meetings, there has been one draw. Milan have won seven games and Lazio two.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	AC Milan	20	12	7	1	33	16	17	33:16	43
9	Lazio	20	7	7	6	21	16	5	21:16	28

View Full Table

4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 10.0 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal. Lazio have had 48.3% possession, 465.4 passes and 3.0 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 0.7 goals from 12.0 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal, while earning 4.3 corners.

Matteo Cancellieri is the top goalscorer with 3, Mattia Zaccagni has 2, with Matteo Guendouzi and two other players on 1. Toma Basic has the most assists with 2, while goalie Ivan Provedel has recorded 6 clean sheets.

Milan have 6 victories and 4 draws, with an average of 1.5 goals from 13.1 attempts and 4.9 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 50.6% possession, 3.6 corners in their favour and 5.4 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.7 goals from 11.9 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal.

The top scorers have been Rafael Leao with 5, Christian Pulisic on 3 and Alexis Saelemaekers 2. Youssouf Fofana has been the top assist maker on 2, with Mike Maignan notching 4 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Lazio confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Christos Mandas (GK), Adam Marusic, Mario Gila, Alessio Romagnoli, Luca Pellegrini, Matteo Guendouzi, Matias Vecino, Toma Basic, Gustav Isaksen, Valentin Castellanos, Mattia Zaccagni.

AC Milan confirmed lineup (3-5-1-1): Mike Maignan (GK), Fikayo Tomori, Koni De Winter, Strahinja Pavlovic, Alexis Saelemaekers, Samuele Ricci, Ardon Jashari, Adrien Rabiot, Pervis Estupinan, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Rafael Leao.

Lazio vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve lined up expert Lazio vs AC Milan betting tips, from our match prediction and correct score call to corners betting insight, best player prop picks and bet builder advice. Read on for the full breakdown.

Match Prediction

We’re not expecting these teams to score any more than two goals between them in this Coppa Italia game. On this basis, we’ll bet on Under 2.5 Goals which is currently priced at odds of -152.

Our team of experts monitor the current injuries and suspensions. When integrated with the latest form, this helps us secure the value odds. Our data-led approach backed up by key stats always proves useful.

Key Lazio vs AC Milan Coppa Italia & league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 7 Lazio games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Lazio games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 15 of the last 20 Lazio games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Milan games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Milan games.

According to the best betting sites, our pick has a 60.2% chance of landing a return. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 70%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

There are some bigger-priced options for those looking for larger odds and that includes the Result & Total Goals market. Combine Under 2.5 Goals with one of the teams to triumph.

Before you bet, take a look at our complete guide to the best free bets and new customer bonuses on offer now.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -152 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Lazio 1 - 1 Milan

Our prediction is a 1-1 draw which is available at odds of +400. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Boulaye Dia Under 0.5 Shots On Target -164

Boulaye Dia (Lazio) has failed to record a shot on goal in seven of the past ten matches. When it comes to Shots on Target, we’re expecting him to fall short and you can currently land odds of -164.

Latest Boulaye Dia Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+340

First

+700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-172

Shots

Over 1.5

-112

Under 1.5

-

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Christian Pulisic to Score +190

Christian Pulisic (Milan) has netted three goals in his past four away games. Based on the stats, we think that odds of +190 are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Christian Pulisic Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+205

First

+440

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+110

Shots

Over 2.5

-110

Under 2.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Milan Under 4.5 Corners -132

Milan have had under 4.5 corners in five consecutive away matches, with Lazio conceding under 4.5 corners in the previous three games. We think Milan might fall short of the mark, with odds of -132 available when it comes to this Team Corners pick.

Coppa Italia & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Lazio

Total

7.30 3.00 4.30

Home

10.00 6.30 3.70

Away

7.20 3.00 4.20

Milan

Total

9.00 3.60 5.40

Home

9.56 5.33 4.22

Away

9.30 3.50 5.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-143

Under 8.5

-102

Lazio Corners

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-143

Milan Corners

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-141

Most Corners

1

-100

X

+600

2

+104

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Lazio vs AC Milan Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

For this Coppa Italia encounter, the bookmakers have AC Milan as the +128 favourites to win. This therefore implies that they have a 44% chance of triumphing. If you’re interested in wagering Lazio, you can get +230 for the underdog.

If Milan and Lazio play out a draw, then an Asian Handicap -0.25 on the former means a half stake refund. However, a victory for the favourites would mean a full payout at -114.

The Total Goals odds suggest that Under 2.5 is the likelier outcome in this contest. For the Both Teams to Score betting option, it’s up in the air odds-wise as to whether Yes or No will be the end result.

For those wagering on Coppa Italia games, it’s all about heading to the top football betting sites where hundreds of markets await you. Pre-match and In-Play options are plentiful.

Full-Time Result

1

+230

X

+205

2

+128

Half-Time Result

1

+275

X

+108

2

+185

Double Chance

1X

-182

12

-313

X2

-357

Draw No Bet

1

+123

2

-179

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-125

2 Hcp -0.25

-114

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-175

Over 2.5

+123

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-114

No

-125

Rafael Leão is the favourite to be First Goalscorer at +380. If you’re interested in backing him to find the net at anytime, then the price is +175.

Rafael Leão (Milan)

First

+175

Anytime

+380

Santiago Giménez (Milan)

First

+195

Anytime

+400

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

First

+205

Anytime

+440

Valentín Castellanos (Lazio)

First

+210

Anytime

+475

Christopher Nkunku (Milan)

First

+295

Anytime

+600

Boulaye Dia (Lazio)

First

+340

Anytime

+700

Matteo Cancellieri (Lazio)

First

+380

Anytime

+850

Pedro Rodríguez Ledesma (Lazio)

First

+390

Anytime

+800

Mattia Zaccagni (Lazio)

First

+390

Anytime

+850

Youssouf Fofana (Milan)

First

+425

Anytime

+850

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

First

+425

Anytime

+900

Adrien Rabiot (Milan)

First

+430

Anytime

+900

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

First

+450

Anytime

+950

Gustav Isaksen (Lazio)

First

+480

Anytime

+1000

Luka Modric (Milan)

First

+525

Anytime

+1000

Fisayo Dele-Bashiru (Lazio)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Matías Vecino (Lazio)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Danilo Cataldi (Lazio)

First

+800

Anytime

+1600

Pervis Estupiñán (Milan)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Davide Bartesaghi (Milan)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Samuele Ricci (Milan)

First

+950

Anytime

+1900

Luca Pellegrini (Lazio)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Mattéo Guendouzi (Lazio)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Nicolò Rovella (Lazio)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Nuno Tavares (Lazio)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Mario Gila (Lazio)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Santiago Giménez (Milan)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

+115

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+110

Rafael Leão (Milan)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

+107

Valentín Castellanos (Lazio)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

+108

Boulaye Dia (Lazio)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-172

Christopher Nkunku (Milan)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-167

Matteo Cancellieri (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-208

Pedro Rodríguez Ledesma (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-213

Mattia Zaccagni (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-227

Youssouf Fofana (Milan)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-222

Gustav Isaksen (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-238

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-244

Adrien Rabiot (Milan)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-294

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-303

Luka Modric (Milan)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-333

Fisayo Dele-Bashiru (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-370

Matías Vecino (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-526

Danilo Cataldi (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-667

Mattéo Guendouzi (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-833

Nicolò Rovella (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-909

Rafael Leão (Milan)

Over 2.5

-114

Under 2.5

-

Santiago Giménez (Milan)

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

-

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

Over 2.5

-110

Under 2.5

-

Valentín Castellanos (Lazio)

Over 2.5

-125

Under 2.5

-

Christopher Nkunku (Milan)

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

Boulaye Dia (Lazio)

Over 1.5

-112

Under 1.5

-

Matteo Cancellieri (Lazio)

Over 1.5

-106

Under 1.5

-

Pedro Rodríguez Ledesma (Lazio)

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-

Mattia Zaccagni (Lazio)

Over 1.5

-112

Under 1.5

-

Youssouf Fofana (Milan)

Over 1.5

-110

Under 1.5

-

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Gustav Isaksen (Lazio)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

-

Luka Modric (Milan)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

-

Fisayo Dele-Bashiru (Lazio)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Matías Vecino (Lazio)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Danilo Cataldi (Lazio)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

Latest Coppa Italia and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Lazio Stats

AC Milan Stats

Full-Time Result

• 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 6 wins and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.10 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.60 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 1.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 1 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.50 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.70 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 3.00 corners awarded and 4.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 6.30 corners awarded and 3.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 7.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 3.60 corners awarded and 5.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 3.50 corners awarded and 5.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 48.30% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 56.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 50.60% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 50.10% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches

Lazio vs AC Milan Lineups & Team News

Double-check the Lazio vs Milan team news before placing your bets. Get the latest confirmed Coppa Italia lineups along with current injury news.

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