Lazio vs AC Milan Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Dec 2025

Coppa Italia Betting Preview: Lazio vs AC Milan

Serie A clubs Lazio and AC Milan meet in the Coppa Italia round of 16, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Thursday 4 December.

We’re confident that there will be a low goal count when Lazio and Milan meet. The Total Goals market offers us the chance to bet on Under 2.5 and the odds of -152 look really appealing.

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7 Victories for Milan in Previous 10 H2H Games

AC Milan and Lazio met in the Serie A on Saturday night, with hosts Milan landing a 1-0 victory. Lazio had 54% possession and drew 4-4 for shots on target, with Rafael Leao netting the winning goal.

Looking at the past 10 H2H meetings, there has been one draw. Milan have won seven games and Lazio two.

4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 10.0 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal. Lazio have had 48.3% possession, 465.4 passes and 3.0 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 0.7 goals from 12.0 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal, while earning 4.3 corners.

Matteo Cancellieri is the top goalscorer with 3, Mattia Zaccagni has 2, with Matteo Guendouzi and two other players on 1. Toma Basic has the most assists with 2, while goalie Ivan Provedel has recorded 6 clean sheets.

Milan have 6 victories and 4 draws, with an average of 1.5 goals from 13.1 attempts and 4.9 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 50.6% possession, 3.6 corners in their favour and 5.4 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.7 goals from 11.9 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal.

The top scorers have been Rafael Leao with 5, Christian Pulisic on 3 and Alexis Saelemaekers 2. Youssouf Fofana has been the top assist maker on 2, with Mike Maignan notching 4 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Lazio vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve lined up expert Lazio vs AC Milan betting tips, from our match prediction and correct score call to corners betting insight, best player prop picks and bet builder advice. Read on for the full breakdown.

Match Prediction

We’re not expecting these teams to score any more than two goals between them in this Coppa Italia game. On this basis, we’ll bet on Under 2.5 Goals which is currently priced at odds of -152.

Our team of experts monitor the current injuries and suspensions. When integrated with the latest form, this helps us secure the value odds. Our data-led approach backed up by key stats always proves useful.

Key Lazio vs AC Milan Coppa Italia & league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 7 Lazio games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Lazio games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 15 of the last 20 Lazio games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Milan games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Milan games.

According to the best betting sites, our pick has a 60.2% chance of landing a return. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 70%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

There are some bigger-priced options for those looking for larger odds and that includes the Result & Total Goals market. Combine Under 2.5 Goals with one of the teams to triumph.

Before you bet, take a look at our complete guide to the best free bets and new customer bonuses on offer now.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -152 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Lazio 1 - 1 Milan

Our prediction is a 1-1 draw which is available at odds of +400. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Christian Pulisic to Score +188

Christian Pulisic (Milan) has netted three goals in his past four away games. This data directs us to the Anytime Goalscorer market where we can bet him to find the net at attractive odds of +188.

Latest Christian Pulisic Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+188

First

+410

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

+110

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Corners Prediction

Milan Under 4.5 Corners -132

Milan have had under 4.5 corners in five consecutive away matches, with Lazio conceding under 4.5 corners in the previous three games. We think Milan might fall short of the mark, with odds of -132 available when it comes to this Team Corners pick.

Coppa Italia & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Lazio

Total

7.30 3.00 4.30

Home

10.00 6.30 3.70

Away

7.20 3.00 4.20

Milan

Total

9.00 3.60 5.40

Home

9.56 5.33 4.22

Away

9.30 3.50 5.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

+104

Under 9.5

-152

Lazio Corners

Over 4.5

-106

Under 4.5

-133

Milan Corners

Over 4.5

-105

Under 4.5

-135

Most Corners

1

+133

X

+600

2

-125

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Lazio vs AC Milan Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

For this Coppa Italia encounter, the bookmakers have AC Milan as the +125 favourites to win. This therefore implies that they have a 44% chance of triumphing. If you’re interested in wagering Lazio, you can get +230 for the underdog.

If Milan and Lazio play out a draw, then an Asian Handicap -0.25 on the former means a half stake refund. However, a victory for the favourites would mean a full payout at -118.

The Total Goals odds suggest that Under 2.5 is the likelier outcome in this contest. For those expecting both sides to find the net, Both Teams to Score Yes is available at -127.

For those wagering on Coppa Italia games, it’s all about heading to the top football betting sites where hundreds of markets await you. Pre-match and In-Play options are plentiful.

Full-Time Result

1

+230

X

+210

2

+125

Half-Time Result

1

+275

X

+115

2

+180

Double Chance

1X

-175

12

-333

X2

-357

Draw No Bet

1

+123

2

-185

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-123

2 Hcp -0.25

-118

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-152

Over 2.5

+106

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-127

No

-112

Christian Pulisic is the favourite to be First Goalscorer at +410. If you’re interested in backing him to find the net at anytime, then the price is +188.

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

First

+188

Anytime

+410

Santiago Giménez (Milan)

First

+190

Anytime

+410

Rafael Leão (Milan)

First

+195

Anytime

+440

Valentín Castellanos (Lazio)

First

+210

Anytime

+480

Christopher Nkunku (Milan)

First

+300

Anytime

+600

Boulaye Dia (Lazio)

First

+330

Anytime

+700

Pedro Rodríguez Ledesma (Lazio)

First

+360

Anytime

+800

Youssouf Fofana (Milan)

First

+360

Anytime

+800

Matteo Cancellieri (Lazio)

First

+390

Anytime

+850

Mattia Zaccagni (Lazio)

First

+400

Anytime

+900

Adrien Rabiot (Milan)

First

+400

Anytime

+900

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

First

+410

Anytime

+850

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

First

+440

Anytime

+950

Gustav Isaksen (Lazio)

First

+475

Anytime

+1000

Luka Modric (Milan)

First

+480

Anytime

+1000

Fisayo Dele-Bashiru (Lazio)

First

+550

Anytime

+1200

Matías Vecino (Lazio)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Pervis Estupiñán (Milan)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Davide Bartesaghi (Milan)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Danilo Cataldi (Lazio)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Luca Pellegrini (Lazio)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

Nicolò Rovella (Lazio)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

Samuele Ricci (Milan)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Mattéo Guendouzi (Lazio)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Nuno Tavares (Lazio)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Santiago Giménez (Milan)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+110

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

+110

Rafael Leão (Milan)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-102

Valentín Castellanos (Lazio)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-104

Christopher Nkunku (Milan)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-185

Boulaye Dia (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-189

Youssouf Fofana (Milan)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-192

Pedro Rodríguez Ledesma (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-222

Mattia Zaccagni (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-217

Matteo Cancellieri (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-222

Gustav Isaksen (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-263

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-263

Adrien Rabiot (Milan)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-294

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-313

Luka Modric (Milan)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-357

Fisayo Dele-Bashiru (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-400

Matías Vecino (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-556

Danilo Cataldi (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-625

Nicolò Rovella (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-909

Mattéo Guendouzi (Lazio)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-909

Latest Coppa Italia and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Lazio Stats

AC Milan Stats

Full-Time Result

• 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 6 wins and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.10 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.60 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 1.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 1 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.50 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.70 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 3.00 corners awarded and 4.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 6.30 corners awarded and 3.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 7.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 3.60 corners awarded and 5.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 3.50 corners awarded and 5.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 48.30% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 56.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 50.60% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 50.10% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches

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Lazio vs AC Milan Lineups & Team News

Double-check the Lazio vs Milan team news before placing your bets. Get the latest confirmed Coppa Italia lineups along with current injury news.

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